Germany will not fall into recession, insists Scholz
1 year, 11 months ago

Germany will not fall into recession, insists Scholz

The Telegraph  

Germany will avoid a recession this year, Chancellor Olaf Scholz has insisted, despite the energy crisis which has ravaged its economy. Mr Scholz said that new liquefied natural gas terminals on the Baltic and North Sea coasts would help cushion the blow from the energy crisis on Germany’s crucial manufacturing sector. “I’m absolutely convinced that this will not happen – Germany going into a recession,” he told Bloomberg ahead of a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday. Germany has been boosted by unseasonably warm weather, which has reduced gas consumption over winter and helped energy prices fall to pre-invasion levels. Christian Lindner, Germany's finance minister, said plunging gas prices suggested the government would spend tens of billions of euros less than initially anticipated to help struggling families deal with rising energy bills.

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History of this topic

Germany’s economy is in trouble. The government’s collapse and Trump’s return bring more risk
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Germany’s economy is in trouble. The government’s collapse and Trump’s return bring more risk

Associated Press  

WARSAW, Poland — The collapse of Germany’s governing coalition and President-elect Donald Trump’s imminent return to the White House are creating new risks for the European Union’s biggest economy, already in a troubling decline. “At the European level, political instability in Germany is not good news,’' Antonio Villafranca, vice president of the Italian think tank ISPI, said, noting that a …

Gloom settles over Germany’s economy, with businesses downbeat about the coming months
10 months ago

Gloom settles over Germany’s economy, with businesses downbeat about the coming months

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — Germany’s businesses remain mired in pessimism, a key survey showed Friday, as Europe’s largest economy struggles with shortages of skilled labor, slower global trade, high interest rates and political squabbling. The closely watched Ifo institute survey of business sentiment rose only slightly to 85.5 points in February from 85.2 points in January due to “slightly less pessimistic …

Germany says Europe’s largest economy is in ‘troubled waters’ and cuts its growth forecast
10 months ago

Germany says Europe’s largest economy is in ‘troubled waters’ and cuts its growth forecast

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The German government said Europe’s largest economy was in “troubled waters” and slashed its growth forecast for this year as it struggles with a lack of skilled labor, excessive bureaucracy, high interest rates and lagging investment in new projects — while a relatively modest set of tax breaks for business remains blocked in the legislature. “The economy …

Germany’s economy seen shrinking again in the current quarter as business confidence declines
1 year ago

Germany’s economy seen shrinking again in the current quarter as business confidence declines

Associated Press  

BERLIN — Germany’s economy is likely to shrink again slightly in the current fourth quarter, the country’s central bank said Monday, while a survey showed business confidence retreating unexpectedly. The Bundesbank said in its monthly report that “real gross domestic product in Germany is likely to decline again slightly in the fourth quarter of 2023” as a result of weak …

Germany, now the world’s worst-performing major economy, grapples with a budget crisis
1 year ago

Germany, now the world’s worst-performing major economy, grapples with a budget crisis

LA Times  

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz delivers a speech on the government’s budget crisis at the Parliament in Berlin. Chancellor Olaf Scholz vowed recently that his government would work “as fast as possible” to lay out how to solve Germany’s budget crisis, but he offered few details on how he would achieve his goals of promoting clean energy after a court decision …

German economy sinking in recession in 2023, predicts European Commission
1 year, 3 months ago

German economy sinking in recession in 2023, predicts European Commission

Live Mint  

Bearing the brunt of high inflation driven by factors like Russia-Ukraine crisis, German economy is expected to contract in 2023, predicted European Commission on Monday. The recent cut in forecast has come at a time when Euro's biggest economy is facing high inflation and the spill over effect of Russia-Ukraine war. Euro zone expected to grow slower, says EC The …

German central bank sees the economy stagnating again in the 3rd quarter
1 year, 4 months ago

German central bank sees the economy stagnating again in the 3rd quarter

Associated Press  

BERLIN — Germany’s central bank anticipates that the country’s economy, Europe’s biggest, will be more or less stagnant again in the current quarter — adding to a string of weak performances. German gross domestic product stagnated in the second quarter after declining in both of the two previous quarters as the country struggled with high energy prices, rising borrowing costs …

Germany used to be the world’s export powerhouse. Now, it’s not growing. What happened?
1 year, 4 months ago

Germany used to be the world’s export powerhouse. Now, it’s not growing. What happened?

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The German economy is still failing to grow, figures showed Friday, as the country that should be the industrial powerhouse for all of Europe struggles with high energy prices, rising borrowing costs and a lagging rebound from key trading partner China. It comes after the International Monetary Fund forecast this week that Germany would be the globe’s …

British economy will outperform Germany this year, IMF admits
1 year, 4 months ago

British economy will outperform Germany this year, IMF admits

The Telegraph  

Britain will outperform Germany this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, after its worst fears for the UK economy failed to materialize. The IMF expects the UK economy to grow by 0.4pc this year, it said on Tuesday, confirming predictions published in May as part of its annual economic healthcheck. The IMF said the Windsor Framework agreement announced by …

Germany economy shrinks in first quarter, signaling one definition of recession
1 year, 6 months ago

Germany economy shrinks in first quarter, signaling one definition of recession

Associated Press  

BERLIN — The German economy shrank unexpectedly in the first three months of this year, marking the second quarter of contraction that is one definition of recession. Two consecutive quarters of contraction is a common definition of recession, though economists on the euro area business cycle dating committee use a broader set of data, including employment figures. Employment in the …

Europe's largest economy succumbs, Germany declares recession
1 year, 6 months ago

Europe's largest economy succumbs, Germany declares recession

Firstpost  

Germany slipped into recession after its economy shrank in the first three months of 2023, marking the second quarter of contraction, country’s statistical office said on Thursday. The gross domestic product of Europe’s largest economy declined by 0.3 per cent in the period from January to March. Initial estimates had indicated that the GDP would remain stagnant at zero growth, …

Germany sinks into recession – as UK avoids one
1 year, 6 months ago

Germany sinks into recession – as UK avoids one

The Telegraph  

Soaring energy prices have pushed Germany into recession while Britain has escaped one, upending the forecasts made by economists at the start of the year. Europe’s biggest economy shrank 0.3pc in the first three months of 2023, revised figures showed, following a contraction of 0.5pc at the end of last year. In the last year, food prices in Germany rose …

UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, IMF says
1 year, 7 months ago

UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, IMF says

Associated Press  

LONDON — The British economy will avoid falling into recession this year, according to upgraded growth forecasts Tuesday from the International Monetary Fund. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at a press briefing in London that the latest assessment reflects “favorably” on the U.K. in comparison to other countries in the Group of Seven leading industrial nations. Despite the more …

British economy will take a smaller hit in 2023 than previously anticipated, says IMF
1 year, 8 months ago

British economy will take a smaller hit in 2023 than previously anticipated, says IMF

Firstpost  

Britain is no longer the only Group of Seven economy set for a fall in GDP this year as Germany too is now expected to shrink by 0.1%, the IMF global forecasts indicated. After narrowly avoiding recession in 2022, Britain’s economy has shown some signs of resilience in early 2023 London: Britain is expected to take a smaller economic hit …

Inflation and recession: Can the world defeat both in 2023?
1 year, 10 months ago

Inflation and recession: Can the world defeat both in 2023?

Al Jazeera  

No, says conventional wisdom. The IMF, World Bank and many other experts have pointed to one key factor pushing the economy towards a recession: sharp interest rate hikes by central banks in recent months to tame soaring inflation. Amid the COVID-19 pandemic that crushed the global economy because of lockdowns and supply chain bottlenecks, central banks around the world cut …

Germany sees brighter outlook for Europe’s largest economy
1 year, 10 months ago

Germany sees brighter outlook for Europe’s largest economy

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The German government on Wednesday said it expects to eke out economic growth this year instead of a decline as Europe’s largest economy manages its energy divorce from Russia and shells out support for consumers and businesses hit by higher energy costs. The improved outlook “didn’t fall from heaven — we accomplished it, this country accomplished it.” …

EU expects recession to hit this year as inflation hangs on
2 years, 1 month ago

EU expects recession to hit this year as inflation hangs on

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The European Union’s executive commission slashed its forecast for economic growth next year, saying the 19 countries that use the euro currency will slide into recession over the winter as peak inflation hangs on for longer than expected and high fuel and heating costs erode consumer purchasing power. The commission says high energy prices, a rising cost …

The UK economy is sliding into recession and Europe is set to follow
2 years, 1 month ago

The UK economy is sliding into recession and Europe is set to follow

CNN  

London CNN Business — The UK economy shrank in the third quarter, signaling the start of a recession that is likely to hit Europe next. “Lower consumer spending appetite is likely to help push GDP into a second-straight contraction during the fourth quarter,” James Smith, developed markets economist at ING, said in a note on Friday. “As inflation keeps cutting …

German economy to shrink in 2023, government advisers expect
2 years, 1 month ago

German economy to shrink in 2023, government advisers expect

Associated Press  

BERLIN — The German government’s panel of independent economic advisers forecast Wednesday that Europe’s biggest economy will shrink by 0.2% next year. But a weak winter, with gross domestic product declining in the last months of the year and in the first three months of next year, is still widely expected. The advisers’ forecast of 1.7% growth this year and …

UK economy to enter recession until summer 2023, financial experts warn
2 years, 2 months ago

UK economy to enter recession until summer 2023, financial experts warn

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. A combination of high energy …

German government: Economy to shrink in 2023 as war bites
2 years, 2 months ago

German government: Economy to shrink in 2023 as war bites

Associated Press  

BERLIN — The German government on Wednesday slashed its growth forecast for this year and predicted that Europe’s biggest economy would shrink in 2023 as it deals with the fallout from Russia’s war in Ukraine, including Moscow cutting off natural gas supplies. Habeck said that despite the grim growth projections, employment would likely remain “robust.” Russian imports once accounted for …

Germany to spend billions to tackle high energy prices
2 years, 2 months ago

Germany to spend billions to tackle high energy prices

Associated Press  

BERLIN — Germany plans to spend up to 200 billion euros helping consumers and businesses as surging energy prices due to the war in Ukraine are pushing Europe’s largest economy into a looming recession. “We have taken decisions that allow us to deal with this changed situation.” The fund, part of wide efforts across Europe to provide relief on energy …

Europe's largest economy Germany will fall into recession in 2023: OCED
2 years, 2 months ago

Europe's largest economy Germany will fall into recession in 2023: OCED

Firstpost  

Germany is facing soaring inflation, particularly in energy prices, after Russia cut gas supplies through the Nord Stream pipeline as tensions mount over the Ukraine war New Delhi: Europe’s largest economy Germany will fall into recession in 2023, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said on Monday. “Pessimism regarding the coming months has grown decidedly.” Energy prices spike as …

Germany: Recession clouds gather in Europe's largest economy
2 years, 2 months ago

Germany: Recession clouds gather in Europe's largest economy

Firstpost  

Germany’s key future indicator, the IFO survey of business confidence, pointed down for the fourth month in a row as high inflation fed by astronomical natural gas prices undermines consumer pricing power and imposes heavy costs on businesses Frankfurt: Europe’s largest economy is sending recession signals. Germany’s key future indicator, the IFO survey of business confidence, pointed down for the …

War in Ukraine could lead to recession, government forecaster says
2 years, 9 months ago

War in Ukraine could lead to recession, government forecaster says

Dutch News  

The CPB macro-economic forecasting agency has updated its spring economic forecasts to reflect the war in Ukraine and now says the Netherlands could end up in a short recession. The new scenario assumes that the war will lead to long-term high energy and commodity prices and lower spending in various European economies. Dutch employers’ organisation VNO-NCW has also warned against …

War in Ukraine could lead to recession, government forecaster says
2 years, 9 months ago

War in Ukraine could lead to recession, government forecaster says

Dutch News  

The CPB macro-economic forecasting agency has updated its spring economic forecasts to reflect the war in Ukraine and now says the Netherlands could end up in a short recession. The new scenario assumes that the war will lead to long-term high energy and commodity prices and lower spending in various European economies. Dutch employers’ organisation VNO-NCW has also warned against …

Germany slumps into second recession, says Bundesbank
2 years, 10 months ago

Germany slumps into second recession, says Bundesbank

The Telegraph  

Officials warned that labour shortages were “markedly” blighting activity across the economy. The Bundesbank’s monthly report said: “In contrast to previous waves of the pandemic, it’s not just the services sector that’s hit by restrictions and adapted behaviour.” However, despite the gloomy assessment, recent business surveys suggest German business activity picked up sharply this month. Phil Smith from IHS Markit …

Omicron leaves Germany on brink of recession as growth dips
2 years, 11 months ago

Omicron leaves Germany on brink of recession as growth dips

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The risk of recession is looming for Germany after Europe’s biggest economy shrank at the end of 2021 and as it faces a bumpy start to this year, with the rapid spread of COVID-19’s omicron variant deterring people from shopping and travel and supply bottlenecks holding back manufacturers. Forecasts are also shaky for the first three months …

Germany is on the brink of a winter recession
3 years ago

Germany is on the brink of a winter recession

CNN  

London CNN Business — Germany is teetering on the brink of recession this winter as supply bottlenecks and a wave of new coronavirus cases hobble the economy. “Ongoing supply bottlenecks and the fourth wave of the coronavirus are noticeably slowing down the German economy,” Timo Wollmershäuser, head of forecasts at Ifo, said in a statement. “The strong post-pandemic recovery that …

Merkel's successor inherits slowing German economy
3 years, 1 month ago

Merkel's successor inherits slowing German economy

The Telegraph  

Germany’s new chancellor will inherit a far weaker than expected recovery as the aftermath of the pandemic plays havoc with the country’s manufacturers, new forecasts show. The downbeat news comes amid ongoing coalition talks between the Social Democrats, the Greens and Free Democrats to succeed Angela Merkel’s “grand coalition” following last month’s election. The economy minister, Peter Altmaier, blamed the …

Germany’s economy: Pandemic recession wasn’t as bad as 2009
3 years, 11 months ago

Germany’s economy: Pandemic recession wasn’t as bad as 2009

CNN  

London CNN Business — Germany’s economy held up better in the pandemic than it did during the global financial crisis, despite a second wave of lockdowns in the fourth quarter and the reversal of more than a decade’s growth in employment and trade. “Germany’s outperformance reflects its comparatively light lockdown during the first wave of Covid-19, low share of tourism …

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