What RBI policymakers should be mindful of this fiscal
3 years, 8 months ago

What RBI policymakers should be mindful of this fiscal

Live Mint  

Recently, I read a paper, titled Overcoming the Tragedy of Super Wicked Problems: Constraining our Future Selves to Ameliorate Global Climate Change, that presented a framework for tackling climate change. Separately, the authors of the first paper referred to here note that big questions in social science involve contingent and complex causality, and that the search for ‘laws’ and invariant causal relationships can be frustrating. Given the extreme monetary and fiscal stimuli that pass for economic policy in the developed world, his observations will be useful for RBI policymakers as they look ahead to a new financial year. Examining the Evidence by a group of distinguished policy economists had established that India’s inflation rate was coming down even before flexible inflation targeting was introduced.

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History of this topic

Growth slowdown: Why lay a deeper economic malaise at RBI’s door?
1 week, 2 days ago

Growth slowdown: Why lay a deeper economic malaise at RBI’s door?

Live Mint  

Chapter 16 in the Book of Leviticus, Old Testament, enjoins Aaron to organize sacrifices and expiate the sins of all Israelites. Various ministers, government officials and sundry industry representatives have been hinting at RBI culpability in India’s economic slowdown and have called upon its monetary policy committee to cut rates in support of growth. The debate began with this year’s …

Why RBI is central to the country’s economy
1 week, 2 days ago

Why RBI is central to the country’s economy

New Indian Express  

The art of setting interest rates Maintaining macroeconomic stability and financial stability is the holy grail of any central bank. The pursuit of sustainable growth and low and stable inflation have been fundamental to central banking activities since the early 19th century, though financial stability got equal prominence, thanks to black swan events like the Great Depression of 1930s and …

DC Edit | FM, new RBI chief signal cut
1 week, 4 days ago

DC Edit | FM, new RBI chief signal cut

Deccan Chronicle  

Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s statement that inflation is a major challenge faced by countries around the world and that no country can solve it alone appears to have set an agenda for new RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra, who took charge a few hours before she made this statement. During the tenure of Shaktikanta Das, the RBI remained squarely focused on …

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?
1 week, 6 days ago

DC Edit | Will RBI tweak inflation focus?

Deccan Chronicle  

The appointment of Sanjay Malhotra as the new RBI governor continues the long-standing tradition of IAS officers heading the Central bank, a quasi-autonomous body that decides the country’s monetary policy. Mr Malhotra took over the charge of RBI from Shaktikanta Das — the second longest serving governor after Sir Benegal Rama Rau’s stint of seven years and 197 days — …

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation
Trending News
2 weeks, 3 days ago

​Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee, in its latest bi-monthly review, has decided to maintain status quo on the benchmark interest rate of 6.50% for the eleventh consecutive time. India’s retail inflation, after trending below the median 4% target, for the first time in five years, for two months, spiked over September and October, with food prices leading …

Stalled demand, sluggish growth
2 weeks, 4 days ago

Stalled demand, sluggish growth

Hindustan Times  

Markets got the September quarter GDP number wrong when it came in at 5.4% instead of the widely expected 6.5%. Growth forecasts for quarters ending December 2024 and March 2025 now stand at 6.8% and 7.2%, respectively, instead of the 7.4% for both these quarters in the October resolution. To be sure, RBI’s latest growth projection is still in the …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
2 weeks, 4 days ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI keeps key lending rate unchanged at 6.5%, focus remains on tackling inflation
2 weeks, 4 days ago

RBI keeps key lending rate unchanged at 6.5%, focus remains on tackling inflation

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee has decided to maintain the status quo on key interest rates for the 11th consecutive time. Consequently, the standing deposit facility stands at 6.25%, and the marginal standing facility and the bank rate at 6.75%," announced RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das during the policy statement. "Tackling inflation is critical because high inflation reduces …

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth
2 weeks, 4 days ago

RBI must restore balance between inflation, growth

New Indian Express  

Despite the disappointing slump in economic growth, the RBI on Friday left the benchmark policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 percent amid inflationary pressures. Maintaining a firm stance on inflation control, Governor Shaktikanta Das stressed that the central bank needed “more credible evidence” on the disinflationary process, which he said was getting prolonged and arduous. As Das rightly noted, there …

RBI MPC: FX, not inflation, curbing degrees of policy freedom
3 weeks ago

RBI MPC: FX, not inflation, curbing degrees of policy freedom

Live Mint  

After the recent GDP shocker, speculation is rife regarding a “policy action" in the December monetary policy meeting. Hence, we believe that in an increasingly volatile world, degrees of freedom for the RBI's monetary policy committee to ease policy to support growth would be constrained more by foreign exchange movements rather than inflation. While bond markets now anticipate rate cuts …

Monetary policy: Emotive choices and immediate response mechanism
3 weeks, 1 day ago

Monetary policy: Emotive choices and immediate response mechanism

Live Mint  

The RBI kickstarted its post-covid normalization of monetary policy in April 2022. Since then, India’s monetary policy trajectory had been moving forward without any humps amid well-aligned expectation of financial market participants, corporates, and the government. Willy nilly, the conclusion in such debates appears to be veering towards the notion that India’s Monetary Policy Committee is maintaining its policy rate …

Ajit Ranade: Inflation control holds primacy as an objective for RBI
4 weeks, 1 day ago

Ajit Ranade: Inflation control holds primacy as an objective for RBI

Live Mint  

Not too long ago, a governor of the Reserve Bank of India said that his main job was to protect the value of your money. In this policy framework, called flexible inflation targeting, RBI had a mandate and a numerical target of an inflation band given by the government. And should not the numerical target of inflation exclude food and …

India’s central bank should adhere to its inflation-targeting mandate
Trending News
1 month ago

India’s central bank should adhere to its inflation-targeting mandate

Live Mint  

Less than four years after the government concluded its review of India’s inflation-targeting regime in April 2021 and opted to keep both its target and nitty-gritty—its target range, indicator, etc—unchanged, its view of inflation targeting seems to be shifting. After commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal and then finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman called for lower interest rates, on Tuesday chief …

Inflation control: India doing better than advanced economies like US and Germany, says SBI report
3 months, 1 week ago

Inflation control: India doing better than advanced economies like US and Germany, says SBI report

Live Mint  

India has shown a largely successful inflation-targeting regime compared to advanced economies like the United States and Germany, reported ANI, quoting a State Bank of India research report. “India had a largely successful inflation targeting regime, compared to advanced economies like the USA and Germany,” as per the report. The SBI report cited government initiatives, Reserve Bank of India measures, …

‘Abandoning RBI’s inflation target regime could be risky, counterproductive’
4 months ago

‘Abandoning RBI’s inflation target regime could be risky, counterproductive’

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India's inflation targeting regime has worked well and need not be abandoned in favour of a more discretionary regime that could be risky and counterproductive, a new research paper has said. The paper titled 'Inflation Targeting In India: A Further Assessment' said the weight of food-price inflation in the CPI inflation basket should be reduced to …

RBI maintains calm against global noise
4 months, 2 weeks ago

RBI maintains calm against global noise

Live Mint  

The Reserve Bank of India’s bi-monthly monetary policy orchestrated on 8th August 2024 ensured that the “elephant” was deep in the forest before changing the policy. The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee voted with 4:2 to keep the policy repo rate and stance unchanged at 6.50% and “withdrawal of accommodation” respectively. Like last policy, the two of the external MPC members, …

Both dovish and hawkish
8 months, 2 weeks ago

Both dovish and hawkish

Hindustan Times  

The first Monetary Policy Committee meeting for the new fiscal year has kept the policy rate unchanged at 6.5% and retained the stance of monetary policy as focused on the withdrawal of accommodation. RBI believes India’s GDP growth rate and benchmark inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, to be 7% and 4.5%, respectively, in FY25. After all, …

RBI pegs FY25 growth at 7%, inflation at 4.5%
10 months, 2 weeks ago

RBI pegs FY25 growth at 7%, inflation at 4.5%

Hindustan Times  

The Reserve Bank of India on Thursday decided to keep the policy rate unchanged for the sixth time in a row, citing global uncertainty and the need to bring down retail inflation to 4 %, and said that it expects GDP growth in the next financial year to be at 7%. “Monetary policy must continue to be actively disinflationary to …

RBI’s battles with inflation
10 months, 2 weeks ago

RBI’s battles with inflation

Hindustan Times  

That the Monetary Policy Committee would not change policy rates or its stance in its February meeting was widely expected. One, Reserve Bank of India seems to believe, perhaps rightly, that the monetary tightening unleashed by it in the last two years — the policy rate has been increased by 250 basis points — has not hurt growth. Despite core …

RBI Monetary Policy Meet underway: Key things to watch out for
1 year ago

RBI Monetary Policy Meet underway: Key things to watch out for

Live Mint  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das will unveil the fifth monetary policy of the financial year 2023-24 on Friday, December 8, after a two-day review, as it observes the impact of global headwinds on India's macroeconomic indicators such as inflation trajectory and growth in gross domestic product. The review by the six-member Monetary Policy Committee led by Das will …

RBI’s December policy review: Status quo to continue
1 year ago

RBI’s December policy review: Status quo to continue

Live Mint  

The Reserve Bank of India is likely to hold the key interest rates in its December monetary policy review and continue with its emphasis on containing inflation, which has shown encouraging trends the past two months. Given the likely status quo, the market will instead closely track the narrative from RBI’s monetary policy committee for direction on rates and liquidity …

Tightrope walk: The Hindu Editorial on RBI holding rates
1 year, 2 months ago

Tightrope walk: The Hindu Editorial on RBI holding rates

The Hindu  

The decision of the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee to leave interest rates unchanged even as the central bank warned of the major risk that ‘high inflation’ poses to macroeconomic stability is a clear sign that monetary authorities find themselves caught in a cleft stick. After a relatively benign first quarter, when headline retail inflation averaged 4.63% as against the RBI’s …

RBI Monetary Policy: Central bank likely to hold rates, maintain hawkish stance
1 year, 2 months ago

RBI Monetary Policy: Central bank likely to hold rates, maintain hawkish stance

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is expected to maintain key interest rates in its upcoming decision but maintain focus on inflation amid rising global crude oil prices and sustained economic growth. In a survey of 71 economists conducted by news agency Reuters in late September, all but one anticipated that the RBI would keep its key repo …

Path to inclusive growth must be paved by price stability: RBI officials
1 year, 6 months ago

Path to inclusive growth must be paved by price stability: RBI officials

The Hindu  

Taming inflation and anchoring inflation expectations is key to helping revive consumer spending and private capital expenditure and thereby supporting growth, RBI officials wrote in an article in the monthly bulletin released on Friday. This, in turn, is moderating corporate sales and holding back private investment in capacity creation.,” the officials including Deputy Governor Michael Debabrata Patra wrote in ‘State …

RBI holds rates, vows to keep price stability
1 year, 6 months ago

RBI holds rates, vows to keep price stability

The Hindu  

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India, on the basis of an assessment of the current and evolving macroeconomic situation, on June 8 decided to keep the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility unchanged at 6.50% The standing deposit facility rate remains unchanged at 6.25% and the marginal standing facility rate and the Bank Rate …

RBI holds rates but signals tight monetary policy ahead
1 year, 6 months ago

RBI holds rates but signals tight monetary policy ahead

Hindustan Times  

India's central bank kept its key lending rate steady for a second straight policy meeting on Thursday, as widely expected, but signalled that monetary conditions will remain tight for some time as it looks to further curb inflationary pressures. The RBI maintained its policy stance of "withdrawal of accommodation" to ensure inflation progressively aligns with the committee's target while remaining …

Inflation Momentum Softer Than Anticipated: RBI's State Of The Economy Report
1 year, 7 months ago

Inflation Momentum Softer Than Anticipated: RBI's State Of The Economy Report

ABP News  

The Reserve Bank of India’s State of the Economy report on Monday said that consumer price index-based inflation, which dropped below 5 per cent in April, for the first time since November 2021, demonstrated the central bank’s monetary policy decision. “The CPI inflation print for April 2023 indicates that momentum is turning out to be softer than anticipated on account …

Why RBI is finding it tough to tame inflation
1 year, 11 months ago

Why RBI is finding it tough to tame inflation

Live Mint  

Even as inflation has crept downwards, the battle against it continues. Inflation remains elevated and persistent across countries as they grapple with food and energy price shocks and shortages…The correction in industrial input prices and supply chain pressures, if sustained, could help ease pressures on output prices; but the pending pass-through of input costs could keep core inflation firm.” Blunt …

RBI must keep playing it safe
2 years ago

RBI must keep playing it safe

Hindustan Times  

The last three years have shown why fiscal and monetary policy have to remain conservative and nimble, and why policymakers themselves have to be resolute. Last week, the monetary policy committee of the Reserve Bank of India raised the interest rate by 0.35 percentage points to 6.25% and, according to its policy statement, “decided to remain focused on withdrawal of …

The record shows that ‘Arjuna’s eye’ hasn’t quite been on inflation
2 years ago

The record shows that ‘Arjuna’s eye’ hasn’t quite been on inflation

Live Mint  

Casting itself in the role of the skilled archer of the Mahabharata, the Reserve Bank of India has said it has “Arjuna’s eye” on inflation. After the pandemic hit, seeing that India’s recovery was fragile, RBI concluded that inflation was the lesser evil compared to the collapse in growth: India’s GDP contraction was the worst in the world after Peru’s. …

How RBI went wrong on inflation
2 years, 1 month ago

How RBI went wrong on inflation

Live Mint  

MUMBAI : Earlier this month, Shaktikanta Das, the governor of the Reserve Bank of India, compared the Indian central bank to Arjuna in the Mahabharata. RBI’s inflation mandate In February 2015, the RBI entered an agreement on the monetary policy framework with the central government. RBI’s monetary policy framework agreement with the government clearly states that the central bank would …

No need to change inflation target of 2-6%; October print to be lower than 7%: RBI Governor
2 years, 1 month ago

No need to change inflation target of 2-6%; October print to be lower than 7%: RBI Governor

The Hindu  

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das on November 12 said there was no need to change the inflation target despite the Central bank's failure to keep it below the 6% upper tolerance level for nine consecutive months while exuding confidence that the October print will be less than 7 %. Speaking at the HT Leadership Summit on Saturday, Mr. Das said there …

Missed inflation target, but acting early would have exerted heavy costs: RBI Das
2 years, 1 month ago

Missed inflation target, but acting early would have exerted heavy costs: RBI Das

Deccan Chronicle  

Mumbai: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das on Wednesday defended the Reserve Bank's handling of the price situation, saying acting prematurely on inflation would have exerted a heavy cost on the economy and citizens. Acknowledging that the inflation target has been missed, Das said the RBI decided to support the economy by not introducing a rate hike in face of a spike …

RBI may need a revised strategy to anchor inflation expectations
2 years, 2 months ago

RBI may need a revised strategy to anchor inflation expectations

Live Mint  

The world is struggling with higher-than-desirable inflation. Household inflation expectations, thus, form a critical piece of information for central banks, especially in periods of high inflation. We compared inflation expectations of urban households over time with the actual consumer inflation in urban areas, starting with 2016, when RBI moved to the current inflation-targeting framework. Whether and how variations in household …

Boxed in: The Hindu Editorial on need for inflation control as top policy priority
2 years, 2 months ago

Boxed in: The Hindu Editorial on need for inflation control as top policy priority

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India’s rate decision on Friday was ultimately inevitable. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das cited the ‘aggressive monetary policy actions and even more aggressive communication from advanced economy central banks’ as a third shock -- following the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — which he said had thrust the ‘global economy into the eye of a new …

Why the RBI is unlikely to slow down in curbing inflation
2 years, 2 months ago

Why the RBI is unlikely to slow down in curbing inflation

Live Mint  

Global growth is slowing rapidly, inflation is stubbornly high and central banks in developed nations are hiking interest rates by magnitudes not seen in decades. At other times, new data sources are introduced to make statistics more accurate, particularly to capture India’s informal sector better. Why the wait for new trade policy just got longer Busted: The myth of India …

Synchronize policies to counter weak growth and high inflation
2 years, 3 months ago

Synchronize policies to counter weak growth and high inflation

Live Mint  

There is a wide consensus that India’s gross domestic product will grow at 7%-7.5% during 2022-23. Though mainly driven by high food and energy price inflation, high headline inflation also reflects elevated inflation across a wide range of non-food, non-fuel core inflation components. Apart from domestic inflation, RBIs policy stance also takes into account other factors, in particular global supply …

How ideology muddled inflation control in India
2 years, 3 months ago

How ideology muddled inflation control in India

The Hindu  

The Governor of the Reserve Bank of India reportedly stated that the inflation rate would be brought to its target level of 4% within 24 months. Though the characteristics of India’s economy vary substantially when compared to those of the industrialised West, their governments follow the same approach to inflation control, termed ‘inflation targeting’ and implemented by their central banks. …

Tackling Inflation Is RBI's Top Priority, Trying Not To Hurt Growth, Says Shaktikanta Das
2 years, 3 months ago

Tackling Inflation Is RBI's Top Priority, Trying Not To Hurt Growth, Says Shaktikanta Das

News 18  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday said tackling inflation is the central bank’s top priority and the RBI will try to minimise its impact on growth. India’s GDP rose 13.5 per cent in the June 2022 quarter. However, the Q1FY23 growth fell short of the RBI’s projection of 16.2 per cent. The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee hiked …

RBI Bulletin: India's Inflation Still Elevated, May Need Monetary Policy Response
2 years, 4 months ago

RBI Bulletin: India's Inflation Still Elevated, May Need Monetary Policy Response

ABP News  

India’s inflation may still require a monetary policy response going forward as it remains above the target range even though it has eased in recent months, the Reserve Bank of India said in the monthly bulletin released on Thursday. The RBI said, “Inflation has edged down, but its persistence at elevated levels warrants appropriate policy responses to anchor expectations going …

RBI must revise its inflation target range -- upwards
2 years, 5 months ago

RBI must revise its inflation target range -- upwards

Live Mint  

Last year, the finance ministry and Reserve Bank of India agreed to maintain our inflation target at 4%, with a 2% variation on either side as the tolerance limit, from 1 April 2021 to 31 March 2026. Unless RBI recalibrates the model with new data or rethinks the methodology, it is possible that the current inflation target rate “imparts a …

RBI to remain flexible while aiming to tame inflation: Governor Shaktikanta Das
2 years, 5 months ago

RBI to remain flexible while aiming to tame inflation: Governor Shaktikanta Das

The Hindu  

Reserve Bank of India will continue calibrating policy to preserve and foster macroeconomic stability while bringing down inflation and will remain flexible in its approach, Governor Shaktikanta Das said on Saturday. The global economy is going through an uncertain time and concerns around growth and inflation persist, but the central bank believes that there could be some respite from rising …

Inflation expected to remain higher than RBI tolerance level till Dec, says Shaktikanta Das
2 years, 5 months ago

Inflation expected to remain higher than RBI tolerance level till Dec, says Shaktikanta Das

Firstpost  

The RBI governor said inflation is currently the biggest challenge confronting most economies in the world and the current surge is primarily because of global factors New Delhi: India’s headline inflation is expected to remain higher than the Reserve Bank of India upper tolerance level of six per cent till December 2022, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has said. “Until December, …

Govt mindful of inflation situation, says RBI Governor Das
2 years, 6 months ago

Govt mindful of inflation situation, says RBI Governor Das

The Hindu  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das on Wednesday said the government is "mindful" of the current inflation situation, and it is up to the Centre to take further supply-side measures to contain the price rise situation. "I am sure the government is mindful of the current inflation situation and it is for the government to decide on further supply-side …

RBI raises inflation forecast to 6.7% for 2022-2023
2 years, 6 months ago

RBI raises inflation forecast to 6.7% for 2022-2023

India TV News  

Highlights RBI today upped inflation projection for current fiscal to 6.7% from 5.7% forecast in April RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the upside risk to inflation persists High global crude oil prices would add to the upside pressure on inflation RBI inflation news updates : Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday upped inflation projection for the current fiscal to 6.7 …

Retail inflation: The step ahead
2 years, 7 months ago

Retail inflation: The step ahead

Hindustan Times  

Mint Street and North Block must maintain close coordination in making sure that our policy response does not throw the baby out with the bathwater But will a monetary tightening be able to control inflation? That the April inflation number would be higher than the 6.95% reading in March 2022 was a given, especially after the unscheduled rate hike by …

‘Inflation is the biggest challenge now’
2 years, 7 months ago

‘Inflation is the biggest challenge now’

The Hindu  

Inflation is now the biggest challenge for India’s policy makers rather than the U.S. Federal Reserve’s taper programme and measures like interest rate increases to stem rising prices could dent the fledgling consumption demand recovery from the pandemic not just in India but globally, a senior official said on Wednesday. “The nearly 7% inflation print for March came four days …

Inflation control needs another model
2 years, 7 months ago

Inflation control needs another model

The Hindu  

Inflation is back as a talking point in the public arena, some would say belatedly, for wholesale price inflation has been in the double digits for over 12 months. It may appear contradictory to ask whether the RBI’s stated policy of ‘inflation targeting’, implemented through changes in the interest rate, can control inflation, but we show here why that would …

This age of inflation
2 years, 8 months ago

This age of inflation

The Hindu  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das announced in early April that the central bank will course-correct. Inflation reached a 17-month high of nearly 7% in the month of March, breaching the target level of 4% that the government has set for the RBI, as also the upper tolerance level of 6%. Policy choices What made high inflation stubborn isn’t …

RBI MPC: What Markets are Expecting From RBI's First Monetary Policy Meet this Fiscal
2 years, 8 months ago

RBI MPC: What Markets are Expecting From RBI's First Monetary Policy Meet this Fiscal

News 18  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee will announce its policy decision tomorrow, i.e. It is widely agreed that this is going to be one of the most crucial policies of recent times amid uncertainties caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, commodity prices have gone through the roof, oil is on the boil and perhaps for the first time since …

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