China’s export boom means Trump tariffs would hit Beijing where it hurts
Live MintChina’s economy is more dependent on exports than it has been for most of the past two decades, leaving it vulnerable to a new broadside on trade from President-elect Donald Trump. Aside from 2021, when consumers the world over were gorging on Chinese-made home appliances, fitness equipment and computer gear during Covid-19 lockdowns, that would mark trade’s biggest contribution to Chinese economic growth since 2006, when China’s exports were surging in the aftermath of its accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001. China’s exports exceeded its imports in 2024 by $992 billion, a record, reflecting not just buoyant exports but also subdued Chinese demand for the rest of the world’s goods and services. A wider trade fight would make it much harder for Beijing to lean on exports as an engine of growth, economists say, heaping pressure on officials to fire up lackluster domestic spending—or settle for a much weaker expansion than the 5% or so China is expected to report for 2024.