If Biden bans menthol cigarettes, it might be very good for Trump.
SlateAntismoking groups have been pressuring Joe Biden for years to ban menthol cigarettes. But there are also concerns that the goals of the ban would be undermined by the FDA’s restrictions on safer alternatives like flavored e-cigarettes, which would incentivize illicit markets, make menthol smokers more likely to stick with conventional cigarettes, and potentially subject the ban to legal challenge. That survey finds that voters generally support ending the sale of menthol cigarettes and that a ban would make no difference in the margin between Biden and Trump. A federal ban would not target individual users—but pushing menthol cigarettes into illicit markets likely would lead to arrests and prosecutions of sellers. The FDA’s proposed menthol rule relies heavily on a study published in 2021 projecting that a federal ban would avert about 650,000 premature deaths by the year 2060, demonstrating a substantial benefit to public health.