UK economic growth forecasts downgraded for next two years – economists
2 months ago

UK economic growth forecasts downgraded for next two years – economists

The Independent  

Get the free Morning Headlines email for news from our reporters across the world Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. EY Item Club’s latest quarterly economic forecast also suggested that caution by Bank of England rate-setters not to cut interest rates too quickly will contribute to “steady rather than rapid” growth. Lower household savings has reduced the scope of potential consumer spending and sticky inflation means that interest rate cuts are set to occur at a gradual pace Matt Swannell, EY Item Club The organisation’s autumn forecast predicts that UK gross domestic product will increase by 0.9% in 2024. Matt Swannell, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club, said: “Following last year’s technical recession, a strong start to 2024 helped establish the UK’s recovery and a return to steady growth is forecast for next year. “However, lower household savings has reduced the scope of potential consumer spending and sticky inflation means that interest rate cuts are set to occur at a gradual pace.

Growth Interest Rates Spending Forecast Ey Item Club  forecasts  household  swannell  economic  spending  sign  savings  growth  economists  set  interest  uk  forecast  downgraded

History of this topic

UK economy shrinks again in another blow to Reeves, new figures show
1 week, 3 days ago

UK economy shrinks again in another blow to Reeves, new figures show

The Independent  

Sign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Rachel Reeves said the figures were disappointing “We are determined to deliver economic growth as …

UK interest rates to fall more slowly than expected after Budget – OECD
2 weeks, 5 days ago

UK interest rates to fall more slowly than expected after Budget – OECD

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK interest rates will fall …

UK economic growth upgraded this year amid ‘temporary boost’ from spending
1 month, 3 weeks ago

UK economic growth upgraded this year amid ‘temporary boost’ from spending

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The UK economy is set …

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections
2 months ago

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections

China Daily  

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth projections for 2024, with a revised forecast of 3.2 percent for this year and 4.5 percent for 2025. The IMF warns about the global economic outlook, highlighting geopolitical risks, trade protectionism, and challenges in the real estate sector.

Britain facing biggest tax rise in G7 even before Reeves’s Budget
2 months ago

Britain facing biggest tax rise in G7 even before Reeves’s Budget

The Telegraph  

The IMF warned that UK debt was on course to keep climbing until the end of the decade, putting it on an unsustainable path. Its chief economist warned this week that rising debt could leave the UK at the “mercy of market pressures” in the absence of a plan to drive it down. The IMF’s latest projections show “general government …

OECD optimistic about UK's economy
2 months, 3 weeks ago

OECD optimistic about UK's economy

China Daily  

Buses cross Waterloo Bridge with the City of London financial district seen behind, in London, Britain, March 5, 2024. In an optimistic assessment likely to please the UK's new Labour Party government, the Paris-based organization said it expects the UK economy to be the joint-second fastest-growing among G7 nations. In its latest twice-yearly global economic outlook, the OECD predicted the …

UK economic outlook brighter but growth held back by ‘uncertainties’, says BCC
3 months, 2 weeks ago

UK economic outlook brighter but growth held back by ‘uncertainties’, says BCC

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Britain’s economy is set to …

UK economy the fastest growing in the G7 in 2024, economists say
4 months, 1 week ago

UK economy the fastest growing in the G7 in 2024, economists say

The Independent  

Get the free Morning Headlines email for news from our reporters across the world Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. “That is why we have made economic growth our national …

UK economy grows 0.6% between April and June as it recovers from recession
4 months, 1 week ago

UK economy grows 0.6% between April and June as it recovers from recession

Associated Press  

LONDON — Britain’s economy continued its recovery from recession at the end of last year, with its GDP increasing by 0.6% between April and June, official figures showed Thursday. “The U.K. economy has now grown strongly for two quarters, following the weakness we saw in the second half of last year,” said Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the …

UK growth slows slightly in second quarter
4 months, 1 week ago

UK growth slows slightly in second quarter

Hindustan Times  

Britain's economy grew 0.6 percent in the April-June period, a slight slowdown compared with the first three months of the year, official data showed on Thursday. UK growth slows slightly in second quarter The country's economy is growing after it exited a mild recession at the end of last year, helped by inflation falling back from four-decade highs. "The new …

Economic growth revised up sharply in boost for Britain
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Economic growth revised up sharply in boost for Britain

The Telegraph  

The ONS said it now knew the economy was bigger that year because it has richer figures available from annual surveys and administrative data. When factoring in how much the British population grew and the better growth figures, the revisions mean real gross domestic product per head improved marginally at 0.1pc. The ONS also reviewed how much the economy grew …

IMF boosts China's growth outlook to 5 percent for year
5 months, 1 week ago

IMF boosts China's growth outlook to 5 percent for year

China Daily  

Workers assemble doors for new energy vehicles at the Dayun New Energy Vehicle Production Base in Yuncheng, Shanxi province, on Jan 25, 2024. The International Monetary Fund raised its forecasts for China's economic growth to 5 percent this year and 4.5 percent next year, according to its July 2024 World Economic Outlook Update released on Tuesday. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF's …

Britain to be fastest growing major European economy, IMF predicts
5 months, 1 week ago

Britain to be fastest growing major European economy, IMF predicts

The Telegraph  

Thanks for joining me. 5 things to start your day 1) National Grid: Britain will remain dependent on gas for years | Forecasts predict higher than expected demand, in blow to net zero ambitions 2) We’re not a c----- employer, insists Wetherspoon boss after attack by union chief | Rebuttal comes as chain is accused of being ‘anti-union’ and offering …

UK finally sees growth in economy during May
5 months, 1 week ago

UK finally sees growth in economy during May

China Daily  

Buses cross Waterloo Bridge with the City of London financial district seen behind, in London, Britain, March 5, 2024. The United Kingdom economy bounced back in May, showing signs of growth after a stagnant April and marking a continuation of the country's recovery from last year's recession. The Office for National Statistics, or ONS, reported a 0.4 percent increase in …

UK economy returns to growth in May
5 months, 1 week ago

UK economy returns to growth in May

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown said: “The …

IMF Retains Growth Forecast for India at 7 PC in FY25
6 months ago

IMF Retains Growth Forecast for India at 7 PC in FY25

Deccan Chronicle  

Chennai: The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday retained the growth of the Indian economy for the current fiscal at 7 per cent and for next year at 6.5 per cent. As projected in July, the IMF retained the growth forecast for FY25 at 7 per cent and FY26 at 6.5 per cent. Deloitte India too on Tuesday projected 7 -7.2 …

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades
6 months, 2 weeks ago

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades

Firstpost  

“In India, the outlook is for GDP growth to moderate from 8.2 per cent in 2023 to 7 per cent in 2024 and 6.5 per cent in 2025, because pent-up demand accumulated during the pandemic has been exhausted” the IMF said in the World Economic Outlook The IMF on Tuesday said India's GDP would grow 7% in 2024-25. India’s GDP …

Policy and resilience raise confidence in stable economic growth this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Policy and resilience raise confidence in stable economic growth this year

China Daily  

Photo shows a view of Nansha Port in Guangzhou, South China's Guangdong province. The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for China's economic growth for 2024 to 5.0 percent from the previous 4.6 percent. The IMF also raised its forecast for China's economic growth to 4.5 percent for next year, up 0.4 percentage points compared with its April projection. …

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth
6 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth

Associated Press  

The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its forecast for China’s economy, while warning that consumer-friendly reforms are needed to sustain strong, high-quality growth. The IMF’s report, issued late Tuesday, said the world’s second-largest economy will likely expand at a 5% annual rate this year, based on its growth in the first quarter and recent moves to support the property sector. …

Economy set for ‘soft landing’ as IMF upgrades UK growth forecasts
7 months ago

Economy set for ‘soft landing’ as IMF upgrades UK growth forecasts

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The UK economy is set …

IMF upgrades UK growth forecasts and warns Bank of England over 'delays' to interest rate cuts - as Jeremy Hunt swipes at 'unjustified pessimism' about economy
7 months ago

IMF upgrades UK growth forecasts and warns Bank of England over 'delays' to interest rate cuts - as Jeremy Hunt swipes at 'unjustified pessimism' about economy

Daily Mail  

The IMF upgraded forecasts for the UK economy today as Jeremy Hunt swiped at 'unjustified pessimism'. The international body said Britain is on track for a 'soft landing', with GDP predicted to rise 0.7 per cent this year as inflation eases. Jeremy Hunt met the managing director of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, at Downing Street today Official figures for the …

UN reports improved prospects for the world economy and forecasts 2.7% growth in 2024
7 months, 1 week ago

UN reports improved prospects for the world economy and forecasts 2.7% growth in 2024

Associated Press  

UNITED NATIONS — The United Nations reported improved prospects for the world economy since its January forecast on Thursday, pointing to a better outlook in the United States and several large emerging economies including Brazil, India and Russia. “Globally, energy and food prices are inching upward in recent months, but I think a bit more insidious even is the persistence …

U.K. exits recession with better-than-expected 0.6% GDP growth
7 months, 1 week ago

U.K. exits recession with better-than-expected 0.6% GDP growth

The Hindu  

The data will be welcome news for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak who said the economy had “turned a corner” Britain's economy grew by the most in nearly three years in the first quarter of 2024, ending the shallow recession it entered in the second half of last year and delivering a boost to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ahead of an …

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the global economy this year, saying the world appears headed for a “soft landing” — reining in inflation without much economic pain and producing steady if modest growth. In its latest outlook, the IMF, a 190-country lending organization, notes that the global expansion is being powered by unexpectedly strong …

UK economy went into shallow recession in 2023: Official data
8 months, 3 weeks ago

UK economy went into shallow recession in 2023: Official data

Live Mint  

Britain's economy entered a shallow recession last year, official figures confirmed on Thursday, leaving Prime Minister Rishi Sunak with a challenge to reassure voters that the economy is safe with him before an election expected later this year. "The weak starting point for GDP this year means calendar-year growth in 2024 is likely to be limited to less than 1%," …

UK economy enters recession in second half of 2023 after shrinking 0.30 per cent
10 months, 1 week ago

UK economy enters recession in second half of 2023 after shrinking 0.30 per cent

India TV News  

Britain's economy slipped into a recession during the latter half of 2023, contracting by a more significant-than-anticipated 0.3 per cent in the three months leading up to December. The 0.3 per cent contraction in Britain's economy from October to December came after a 0.1 per cent decline between July and September. The Office for National Statistics reported a 0.1 per …

Nirmala Sitharaman: 7% Growth Possible; Global Agencies Like IMF Have Enhanced Assessments
10 months, 3 weeks ago

Nirmala Sitharaman: 7% Growth Possible; Global Agencies Like IMF Have Enhanced Assessments

News 18  

The Narendra Modi government is confident of managing inflation as well as maintaining the robustness in economic growth, said union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Friday in an exclusive interview with Network18 Group Editor-in-Chief Rahul Joshi, a day after presenting the interim budget in Parliament ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. The International Monetary Fund has raised its 2024-25 GDP …

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy

Firstpost  

The two biggest economies in the world, China and the United States, have improved economic prospects, according to the International Monetary Fund, which raised its prediction for global growth on Tuesday. Although a “soft landing” appeared to be imminent, according to the IMF’s most recent World Economic Outlook, head economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas noted that global trade and overall GDP were …

IMF sketches a brighter view of global economy, upgrading growth forecast and seeing lower inflation
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF sketches a brighter view of global economy, upgrading growth forecast and seeing lower inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the world economy this year, envisioning resilient growth led by the United States and a slower pace of inflation. But Gourinchas said that for now, the Red Sea disruptions don’t seem to be “a major source of reigniting supply side inflation,” which arose from far more severe shipping backlogs …

UK economy at risk of recession after surprise third quarter decline
1 year ago

UK economy at risk of recession after surprise third quarter decline

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. “The broader picture, though, remains one of an economy …

IMF raises India growth forecast for FY24 to 6.3%
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF raises India growth forecast for FY24 to 6.3%

Live Mint  

The International Monetary Fund lifted its 2023-24 growth projection for India to 6.3% from its July estimate of 6.1%, citing “stronger-than-expected consumption” during the June quarter. The five emerging market economies—Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and Russia—have contributed about 0.9% percentage points to the decline in medium-term global growth prospects between 2008 and 2023, the IMF report added. In its global …

Why Britain will beat IMF’s bleak forecasts – but still faces a low-growth trap
1 year, 2 months ago

Why Britain will beat IMF’s bleak forecasts – but still faces a low-growth trap

The Telegraph  

The accuracy of the International Monetary Fund’s forecasts has come under greater scrutiny than ever after it published gloomy predictions that analysts warned were already out of date. The Fund claimed Britain’s economy will be the worst performing in the G7 next year, posing a potential headache for Rishi Sunak as he fights the next general election. The latest predictions …

IMF predicts Indian economy to grow at 6.1 percent in 2023
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF predicts Indian economy to grow at 6.1 percent in 2023

Deccan Chronicle  

Washington: The International Monetary Fund has predicted that India's economy will grow at 6.1 percent in 2023, a 0.2 percentage point upward revision compared with the April projection, reflecting momentum from stronger-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 as a result of stronger domestic investment. IMF said in the latest update of the World Economic Outlook that growth in …

IMF global economic outlook sees slight growth, but inflation still a drag
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF global economic outlook sees slight growth, but inflation still a drag

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Global growth will see a slight improvement compared to previous International Monetary Fund projections but “many challenges still cloud the horizon, and it is too early to celebrate,” the organization’s chief economist said Tuesday. IMF economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas gave his assessment as the organization projected that global economic growth will slow to an estimated 3% in 2023 and …

IMF raises India’s 2023 GDP growth forecast to 6.1%
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF raises India’s 2023 GDP growth forecast to 6.1%

Live Mint  

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday revised India’s GDP growth forecast to 6.1% for 2023, up from 5.9% projected by the financial institution earlier this year as a result of stronger domestic investment. “Growth in India is projected at 6.1% in 2023, a 0.2 percentage point upward revision compared with the April projection, reflecting momentum from stronger-than-expected growth in the …

IMF Raises India's GDP Forecast To 6.1% For FY24, Lowers Global Economy Growth Projection
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF Raises India's GDP Forecast To 6.1% For FY24, Lowers Global Economy Growth Projection

ABP News  

The International Monetary Fund has raised India's GDP growth forecast for the financial year 2023-24 to 6.1 per cent from earlier 5.9 per cent after the country's stronger-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter of 2022. The global lender in its latest World Economic Outlook on Tuesday also revised its projection for the growth of the global economy in 2023 to …

IMF projects Indian economy to grow at 6.1% in 2023
1 year, 4 months ago

IMF projects Indian economy to grow at 6.1% in 2023

The Hindu  

The IMF on July 25 projected a growth rate of 6.1% for India in 2023, which is a 0.2 percentage point upward revision compared with the April projection. “Growth in India is projected at 6.1% in 2023, a 0.2 percentage point upward revision compared with the April projection,” it said in its latest update of the World Economic Outlook. Inflation …

British economy will outperform Germany this year, IMF admits
1 year, 4 months ago

British economy will outperform Germany this year, IMF admits

The Telegraph  

Britain will outperform Germany this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, after its worst fears for the UK economy failed to materialize. The IMF expects the UK economy to grow by 0.4pc this year, it said on Tuesday, confirming predictions published in May as part of its annual economic healthcheck. The IMF said the Windsor Framework agreement announced by …

Britain faces years of stagnation because of high interest rates, economists warn
1 year, 5 months ago

Britain faces years of stagnation because of high interest rates, economists warn

The Telegraph  

Britain is facing a prolonged economic slump caused by higher interest rates, economists have warned, with the battle against inflation set to weigh on growth for years to come. In its latest quarterly update, the group said the economy is set to grow by 0.8pc next year, less than half its previous prediction of 1.9pc. Martin Beck, chief economic adviser …

Truss’s taskforce claims average Briton £10,000 worse off than US counterpart
1 year, 5 months ago

Truss’s taskforce claims average Briton £10,000 worse off than US counterpart

The Independent  

Get the free Morning Headlines email for news from our reporters across the world Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email Sign up to our free Morning Headlines email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. If over the next two decades the UK economy could achieve annual GDP per …

Britain caught in ‘growth doom loop’ as private investment lags far behind rest of G7
1 year, 6 months ago

Britain caught in ‘growth doom loop’ as private investment lags far behind rest of G7

The Telegraph  

“If the economy is the engine of a country, investment is its fuel. But the UK’s tank is running on empty and it’s harming economic growth, driving inequality, and slowing progress towards net zero and energy security.” As well as ranking last among the G7, the IPPR report also found that the UK now ranks twenty-seventh out of the 30 …

UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, IMF says
1 year, 7 months ago

UK economy to avoid recession but inflation still a worry, IMF says

Associated Press  

LONDON — The British economy will avoid falling into recession this year, according to upgraded growth forecasts Tuesday from the International Monetary Fund. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at a press briefing in London that the latest assessment reflects “favorably” on the U.K. in comparison to other countries in the Group of Seven leading industrial nations. Despite the more …

UK economy is no longer to fall into a recession in 2023, says IMF
1 year, 7 months ago

UK economy is no longer to fall into a recession in 2023, says IMF

Firstpost  

Britain’s economy is no longer will fall into a recession this year, the International Monetary Fund said on Monday, adding that it upgraded forecasts published last month and warned that the outlook remains subdued. “The improved outlook reflected the unexpected resilience of demand, helped in part by faster than usual pay growth, higher government spending and improved business confidence,” it …

IMF no longer expects UK recession this year
1 year, 7 months ago

IMF no longer expects UK recession this year

CNN  

London CNN — The United Kingdom will not, after all, be the worst-performing rich economy this year, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday, announcing a major revision to its previous gloomy forecast. The forecast reflected “higher-than-expected” resilience in demand helped by strong wage growth, improved confidence and falling energy prices, the IMF added. While previously the IMF saw UK GDP …

British economy will take a smaller hit in 2023 than previously anticipated, says IMF
1 year, 8 months ago

British economy will take a smaller hit in 2023 than previously anticipated, says IMF

Firstpost  

Britain is no longer the only Group of Seven economy set for a fall in GDP this year as Germany too is now expected to shrink by 0.1%, the IMF global forecasts indicated. After narrowly avoiding recession in 2022, Britain’s economy has shown some signs of resilience in early 2023 London: Britain is expected to take a smaller economic hit …

India set to grow by 5.9% this fiscal: IMF
1 year, 8 months ago

India set to grow by 5.9% this fiscal: IMF

The Hindu  

The International Monetary Fund has projected that India’s economy will grow by 5.9% for the current fiscal year April 2023 - March 2024, a downward revision of 0.2 percentage points since the January forecast. Gradual recovery “The global economy’s gradual recovery from both the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine remains on track,” IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said, adding …

IMF Lowers India's Economic Growth Forecast To 5.9% For FY24
1 year, 8 months ago

IMF Lowers India's Economic Growth Forecast To 5.9% For FY24

ABP News  

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday lowered its economic growth forecast for India by 20 basis points to 5.9 per cent for the financial year 2023-24. The World Bank forecast said India will grow at 6.3 per cent, while the Asian Development Bank is projecting 6.4 per cent GDP growth for FY24. In its World Economic Outlook report released on …

Britain to remain world’s worst-performing large economy in 2023
1 year, 8 months ago

Britain to remain world’s worst-performing large economy in 2023

The Telegraph  

Britain will still be the worst-performing large economy in the world this year, even after a significant upgrade in its forecasts, according to the International Monetary Fund. It means that the UK will remain the world’s worst-performing large economy: in Russia, which has been targeted by wide-ranging sanctions from Europe and the US in the wake of the Ukraine war, …

UK avoided recession last year by narrowest of margins. It might not be so lucky in 2023
1 year, 10 months ago

UK avoided recession last year by narrowest of margins. It might not be so lucky in 2023

CNN  

London CNN — The UK economy flatlined in the last quarter of 2022, meaning that it just managed to avoid falling into a recession. “No recession on the pedantic definition of two consecutive quarters of falling GDP, but a calamitous performance nonetheless,” Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, tweeted. “The UK still is the ‘only’ G7 country in …

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