From $89 to near $100 and back: How Brent crude moved since last Diwali over OPEC+ cuts & more
Live MintCrude oil benchmark Brent futures has moved sideways in the last one year - between November 2022 to November 2023, majorly due to the supply cuts announced by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies as well as the Israel-Hamas war. The shock cut, led by Saudi Arabia, immediately drove crude oil prices 8 per cent higher to $83.95 a barrel, which at the time - was the highest rise in more than a year. -By the end of September 2023, crude oil prices had risen 30 per cent in three months, with Brent staring at the $100/bbl-mark, over the supply cuts by the oil producing majors. -In October 2023, the Israel-Hamas war drove crude oil prices between 3-6 per cent, however, the momentum could not be sustained as global demand concerns outweighed the impact of supply cuts. ‘’If Brent crude prices remain elevated at this level for the remainder of the fiscal, we anticipate that the full-year average price for Indian crude oil basket could be ~$86-87 per barrel,'' said CareEdge Ratings.