US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race
2 months ago

US yields dip as ’Trump trades’ unwind in tight presidential race

Live Mint  

* Iowa poll shows Harris ahead of Trump, weighs on yields * US 10-year yields on track for largest fall since early Sept. 4 * US two-year yields show biggest decline in three weeks * US 2/10 yield curve bull flattens * US Treasury three-year notes auction show weak results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, - U.S. Treasury yields slid across the board on Monday, as traders squared up positions ahead of Tuesday's presidential election due in part to a new opinion poll showing Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris with a surprise lead in Iowa over Republican former President Donald Trump. Treasury yields, however, pared losses after an auction of U.S. three-year notes priced higher than expectations, suggesting market participants demanded a premium to take down the note. Yet analysts at JPMorgan said about 21 bps of the recent move higher in 10-year yields was accounted for by expectations that Republicans could win the presidency and both chambers of Congress. The U.S. yield curve, meanwhile, bull flattened with the gap between two-year and 10-year yields at 13.1 bps, down from 17.2 bps on Friday, and unwinding, at least temporarily, the curve steepening in place for the last few weeks.

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History of this topic

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank
Trending News
3 days, 1 hour ago

Last Time Bond Yields Surged Like This, Stock Markets Sank

Live Mint  

There’s room for stock markets to fall further as bond yields approach levels that have been painful for equities in recent years. The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to levels just shy of 4.7%, the highest since April after an almost uninterrupted surge of more than one percentage point since mid-September. “Equity/bond yield correlations have turned negative again,” Goldman Sachs …

US yields rise on strong data amid supply
Trending News
3 days, 15 hours ago

US yields rise on strong data amid supply

Live Mint  

* US job openings grow, exceeding forecasts * Market anticipates Fed rate cuts will be less than previously expected * Fiscal trajectory has pushed up long-term yields By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Jan 7 - Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit an eight-month high on Tuesday after better than expected data pointed to a strong economy and as the Treasury auctioned …

Longer-dated yields rise amid supply
4 days, 13 hours ago

Longer-dated yields rise amid supply

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Jan 6 - The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hit the highest since May on Monday while the 30-year yield posted a 14-month high before the Treasury's auction of longer-dated debt over the next two days. Trump's aides are exploring tariff plans that would be applied to every country but only cover certain sectors deemed critical …

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts
1 week, 1 day ago

Treasuries Post Annual Gain as Fed Starts Interest-Rate Cuts

Live Mint  

The US Treasury market ended 2024 with a small gain as inflation resumed edging lower after the first quarter and the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times. The gain was smaller than the market’s 2023 advance, which followed two straight annual losses for an asset class whose interest payments normally offset price declines caused by rising yields. But the …

Stocks gain with bond yields, dollar up; economy, rates in focus
2 weeks, 4 days ago

Stocks gain with bond yields, dollar up; economy, rates in focus

Live Mint  

* Dollar gains, with Treasury yields * Global stock index up, Wall St indexes close higher * Consumer confidence comes in light, capital goods rise By Sinéad Carew and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, - A global equity index rose on Monday with help from Wall Street, and U.S. Treasury yields climbed to an almost seven-month high while data showed a …

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor
2 weeks, 4 days ago

Treasury Yields Edge Higher With Long-Term Debt Out of Favor

Live Mint  

-- Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders continue to see a slower pace of interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve next year and the potential worsening of country’s fiscal backdrop under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration. The moves Monday built on a rise in yields last week following US central bank officials latest quarterly projections — dubbed the dot …

US stocks end higher ahead of Fed, bitcoin surges
3 weeks, 4 days ago

US stocks end higher ahead of Fed, bitcoin surges

Live Mint  

By Stephen Culp NEW YORK - Megacap tech shares muscled the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to higher closes on Monday as U.S. Treasury yields paused and investors readied for a busy central bank week. Investors will scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections and its "dot plot," which maps out the central bank's future rate cut path, which has …

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions
4 weeks ago

Global stock index falls, bond yields rise ahead of rate decisions

Live Mint  

* Wall Street stocks end close to flat, Europe ends down * Oil prices settle higher, * Dollar rises against yen, falls against the Euro By Sinéad Carew and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON Dec 13 - MSCI's global equity gauge fell on Friday while bond yields climbed as investors waited for clues about the future path for interest rates from …

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut
1 month ago

US 10-year yields fall to six-week low after payrolls, markets see green light to December cut

Live Mint  

* Odds of 25-basis point rate cut this month rise to 87% according to FedWatch tool * Two year yields fall to five-week low after payrolls report By Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Dec 6 - U.S. Treasuries yield fell to a six-week low after the release of November payrolls data, as investors considered the numbers as a green light to …

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India bond yields to track US rates; downside largely capped

Live Mint  

By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI, Nov 26 - Indian bond yields are likely to open little changed on Tuesday following the dip in the previous session, with traders keeping an eye on U.S. Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year bond yield is expected in a 6.81%-6.84% range, having dipped about two basis points on Monday to 6.8226% largely due to a dip …

India bond yields may drop tracking decline in US rates
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India bond yields may drop tracking decline in US rates

Live Mint  

By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI, Nov 25 - Indian government bond yields may dip at open on Monday, tracking a decline in U.S. rates, while traders wait for data on how Asia's fourth-largest economy fared in the last quarter due later in the week. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped six basis points in Asia trading, after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump …

Dollar dips with Treasury yields after Bessent pick
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Dollar dips with Treasury yields after Bessent pick

Live Mint  

* Treasuries rally as investors see Bessent as fiscal hawk * Dollar eases from two-year high, due some consolidation * Market sees more policy easing from ECB, less from Fed By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 25 - The dollar surrendered a little of its recent gains on Monday as investors assumed the pick for U.S. Treasury secretary would reassure the …

Dollar Falls as Treasury Pick Tempers Trump Bets: Markets Wrap
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Dollar Falls as Treasury Pick Tempers Trump Bets: Markets Wrap

Live Mint  

The dollar fell and Bitcoin’s rally stalled as traders viewed Donald Trump’s pick of Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary as a measured choice, tempering some of the more fevered bets spurred by the president-elect’s victory. The dollar has now climbed for eight straight weeks, the longest advance in more than a year, as traders continued to price Trump’s fiscal policies …

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction
1 month, 3 weeks ago

US yields rise, weak demand for 20-year auction

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell and Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK, Nov 20 - U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as the Treasury Department saw weak demand in an auction and traders assessed when the Federal Reserve may pause its interest rate cutting cycle as U.S. economic growth remains above expectations. Investors correctly betting that Republican Donald Trump would win the U.S. …

Stock market today: Wall Street tumbles as the “Trump bump” fades and vaccine makers sink
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Stock market today: Wall Street tumbles as the “Trump bump” fades and vaccine makers sink

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks tumbled Friday as the “Trump bump” that Wall Street got from last week’s presidential election, along with a cut to interest rates by the Federal Reserve, kept fading. “Kennedy’s appointment may make it less likely traditional qualified experienced staff will agree to join HHS, creating more uncertainty.” Biotech stocks broadly sank to some of the …

Stocks tumble on Wall Street as the ‘Trump bump’ fades and vaccine makers sink
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Stocks tumble on Wall Street as the ‘Trump bump’ fades and vaccine makers sink

LA Times  

Trader Robert Charmak works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange last week. U.S. stocks tumbled Friday as the “Trump bump” that Wall Street got from last week’s presidential election, along with a cut to interest rates by the Federal Reserve, kept fading. Besides Friday’s hit to vaccine makers, Treasury yields have been climbing on both the economy’s …

Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump’s Win
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump’s Win

Live Mint  

Traders are loading up on bets for further losses in the Treasury market in anticipation that Donald Trump’s pledged policies will rekindle inflation and keep US interest rates high. In two-year note futures, open interest has climbed by approximately 132,000 contracts over the past four sessions — equivalent to roughly $8.4 million per basis point in risk added into the …

The new Trump Trade looks scarier than the old one
2 months ago

The new Trump Trade looks scarier than the old one

Live Mint  

Stocks notched their biggest week of the year after Donald Trump’s victory. Treasury yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed after Tuesday’s election, lifted by bets that a second round of Trump tax cuts will boost growth, inflation and budget deficits. Stocks and Treasury yields similarly surged eight years ago when Trump claimed his first electoral win—a major part …

Stocks Hold Trump Election Gains as Dollar Eases: Markets Wrap
2 months ago

Stocks Hold Trump Election Gains as Dollar Eases: Markets Wrap

Live Mint  

US equity futures maintained their post-Election Day gains and the dollar eased as traders continued to map out Donald Trump’s return to the White House and what it holds for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path. “What we saw yesterday was the playbook of the Trump trade in action but it’s soon going to evolve,” said Arnaud Girod, head of economics …

US yields post sharp gains as Trump victory triggers caution about deficits
2 months ago

US yields post sharp gains as Trump victory triggers caution about deficits

Live Mint  

* Longer-dated US bond yields surge * Trump win seen widening deficits * Tariff plans could also increase inflation * US yield curve hits steepest since late September * Focus shifts to Fed meeting By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, - U.S. Treasuries fell sharply on Wednesday, propelling yields to multi-month highs as Donald Trump's presidential election victory ignited bets on …

Stock market today: Stocks, bond yields and bitcoin advance with US vote count uncertain
Trending News
2 months ago

Stock market today: Stocks, bond yields and bitcoin advance with US vote count uncertain

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction
2 months ago

US yields mixed as election risks rise after solid 10-year note auction

Live Mint  

* Online betting odds favor Trump victory * US services index rises, helps extend earlier gains in yields * US yield curve flattens * US Treasury 10-year auction shows solid results By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Nov 5 - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Tuesday, with longer maturities reversing earlier gains, as volatility intensified toward the market close and …

Dollar dips as US voters head to polls
2 months ago

Dollar dips as US voters head to polls

Live Mint  

By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper -The U.S. dollar fell as U.S. voters headed to the polls on Tuesday, with the results of the elections likely to decide at least the near-term fate of the greenback. my sense is that people are cautious," said Steve Englander, head of global G10 FX research and North America macro strategy at Standard Chartered …

Stocks rise, Treasuries steady as markets brace for US vote
2 months ago

Stocks rise, Treasuries steady as markets brace for US vote

Live Mint  

By Koh Gui Qing and Lawrence White NEW YORK -World stocks rose and Treasury yields rebounded on Tuesday while an index of market volatility retreated, as markets awaited early indications of the outcome of the knife-edge U.S. presidential election, with only currency markets showing some jitters. Yields spiked higher earlier even as investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut …

US Bonds slip as market volatility hits one-year high amid US election results; Spot dollar index down
2 months ago

US Bonds slip as market volatility hits one-year high amid US election results; Spot dollar index down

Live Mint  

-- US Treasuries fell and a gauge of bond volatility rose to the highest in a year as traders counted down to a presidential election that remains too close to call. “Harris is the status quo outcome for policy but not necessarily for markets,” said Meera Chandan, co-head of global FX strategy at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in a Bloomberg …

Dollar, stocks tread water before tight US election
2 months ago

Dollar, stocks tread water before tight US election

Live Mint  

By Koh Gui Qing and Tom Wilson NEW YORK/LONDON -The dollar fell while stocks eked out slim gains on Monday as investors treaded carefully before the U.S. presidential election which will impact the world economy, with a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut also expected later in the week. In the U.S. presidential race, Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican …

Wall Street drifts ahead of election day and a manic week for markets
2 months, 1 week ago

Wall Street drifts ahead of election day and a manic week for markets

LA Times  

A screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Monda shows a broadcast talking about presidential hopefuls Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. And in 2020, U.S. stocks climbed immediately after election day and kept going even after former President Trump refused to concede and challenged the results, creating plenty of uncertainty. A Trump victory would be less …

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns
2 months, 1 week ago

Bond Yields Soar After Fed's Interest Rate Cut, Raising Concerns

Live Mint  

US bond yields have surged after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, with the 10-year bond rising by more than 60 basis points since the last policy meeting. This surge has been attributed to several factors, including data surprises suggesting a stronger economy, political 'betting market' movements, and a backtracking of policy signals from the Fed. While the relative importance …

Yields Soar Before Jobs Report, But Fed's Hands Remain Tight
2 months, 1 week ago

Yields Soar Before Jobs Report, But Fed's Hands Remain Tight

Live Mint  

U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday, with two-year yields reaching a three-month high before Friday's jobs report. The data could create a large market reaction and potentially make some Federal Reserve interest rate cuts less likely if it comes in much stronger than expected. However, the number is also expected to be negatively impacted by strikes in the aerospace manufacturing …

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed
Trending News
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Dollar Soars to 2-1/2-Month Peak as US Rates, Election Eyed

Live Mint  

The US dollar has been on a strong upward trajectory in recent weeks, driven by positive economic data and expectations of a Fed pause in interest rate cuts. The greenback has reached a 2-1/2-month high, with the market pricing in an 89.6% chance for a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's upcoming meeting. However, the dollar's rise is also …

Dow sets a record as Wall Street drifts to the finish of another winning week
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Dow sets a record as Wall Street drifts to the finish of another winning week

LA Times  

U.S. stocks closed another record-setting week with a muted performance Friday, as hope built on Wall Street that the U.S. economy can manage the rare feat of suppressing high inflation without causing a recession. U.S. employers have slowed their hiring, and the inflation report on Friday also showed that growth in U.S. consumer spending in August fell shy of economists’ …

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Longer-dated yields climb as investors consider recession outlook

Live Mint  

* U.S. two-year note auction better than expected * U.S. 2/10 year yield curve inversion narrowest in 3 weeks * Investors await PCE data due Friday By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK, Aug 27 - U.S. Treasury longer-dated yields edged higher on Tuesday, as investors assessed the likelihood that the U.S. economy will be able to avoid a recession, while a …

India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve
4 months, 3 weeks ago

India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve

Hindustan Times  

By Dharamraj Dhutia India bond yields seen marginally lower as Fed rate cut bets improve MUMBAI, - Indian government bond yields are expected to trend lower in early trading on Wednesday, tracking a fall in U.S. Treasury yields amid rising prospects of a deeper interest rate cut next month. "The odds of a larger than 25 basis point cut by …

Stock market today: Wall Street coasts to the close of another winning week as Nvidia cools again
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Stock market today: Wall Street coasts to the close of another winning week as Nvidia cools again

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks coasted to the close of their latest winning week on Friday, as Nvidia ’s stock continued to cool from its startling, supernova run. AP AUDIO: Stock market today: Wall Street drifts as Nvidia loses some more momentum AP correspondent Seth Sutel has the AP Markets in a Minute report for the final day of the …

US stocks edge up after more than expected fall in retail sales
10 months, 3 weeks ago

US stocks edge up after more than expected fall in retail sales

Live Mint  

US stocks edged up on Thursday after more than expected fall in retail sales. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 184.34 points, or 0.48 per cent, at 38,608.61, the S&P 500 was up 14.75 points, or 0.29 per cent, at 5,015.37, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 7.69 points, or 0.05 per cent, at 15,866.83. At the opening …

US Market: Wall Street rises on strong GDP data, S&P 500 sets a new record
11 months, 2 weeks ago

US Market: Wall Street rises on strong GDP data, S&P 500 sets a new record

Live Mint  

US Market News: Thursday saw gains in most US stock as a result of the most recent indication that the economy is still far better than anticipated. With robust consumer spending driving faster-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter, the US economy defied grim forecasts of a recession following the Federal Reserve's aggressive hike in interest rates. The US Federal Reserve …

Bond yields tumble as bets on rate cuts mount amid fresh signs of easing inflation
1 year ago

Bond yields tumble as bets on rate cuts mount amid fresh signs of easing inflation

Daily Mail  

Bond yields fell yesterday as fresh signs of easing inflation pressure threw the spotlight onto central banks ahead of key interest rate decisions. UK figures showed a slowdown in wage growth while in America inflation dipped to 3.1 per cent. Bond slump: UK figures showed a slowdown in wage growth while in America inflation dipped to 3.1% Central banks have …

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield
1 year, 2 months ago

Decoding the (Almost) 5% 10-Year Treasury Yield

Live Mint  

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched 5% for the first time in 16 years last week, spurring debate about whether it has peaked or just taken another step in its long and disruptive climb. Here is a look at how yields got here and their possible paths forward: The Fed sets the tone Yields on Treasurys …

Global Equities, US Yields Fall Ahead of Debt Ceiling Vote
1 year, 7 months ago

Global Equities, US Yields Fall Ahead of Debt Ceiling Vote

News 18  

Global equities and U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday as risk-off sentiment dominated markets, with investors focused on a much-anticipated vote in Congress on raising the U.S. debt ceiling. The U.S. dollar rose to a more than two-month high after data showed that job openings unexpectedly rose in April, pointing to persistent strength in the labour market that could …

US Stocks Rise and Treasury Yields Dip as Data Shows Inflation is Cooling
1 year, 8 months ago

US Stocks Rise and Treasury Yields Dip as Data Shows Inflation is Cooling

News 18  

U.S. stocks advanced on Friday and benchmark Treasury yields dipped on a week marked by strong earnings, ending a solid month with data confirming inflation is cooling, which could allow the Federal Reserve to pause after next week’s expected rate hike. “It’s the last day of a fairly solid month, along with the realization that this earnings season continues to …

U.S. Federal Reserve attacks inflation with its largest rate hike since 1994
2 years, 6 months ago

U.S. Federal Reserve attacks inflation with its largest rate hike since 1994

The Hindu  

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday intensified its drive to tame high inflation by raising its key interest rate by three-quarters of a point — its largest hike in nearly three decades — and signaling more large rate increases to come that would raise the risk of another recession. With the additional rate hikes they foresee, the policymakers expect their key …

US stocks gain, Treasury yields hit multi-year highs ahead of expected rate hike
2 years, 8 months ago

US stocks gain, Treasury yields hit multi-year highs ahead of expected rate hike

Live Mint  

Wall Street recovered some lost ground on Monday and benchmark U.S. Treasury yields hit a 3-1/2-year high at the start of an eventful week of corporate earnings, economic data, and an expected interest rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve. All three major U.S. stock indexes were last modestly green as the 10-year Treasury yield crept closer to the 3% …

Bets against US Treasury bills left bond bears in a cold sweat
3 years, 8 months ago

Bets against US Treasury bills left bond bears in a cold sweat

Live Mint  

Investors betting against Treasury bonds of the United States—or even just hiding out in cash waiting for lower prices—just suffered a rough week, even after a robust slate of economic figures showed that America’s rebound from the pandemic is gaining steam. Treasury yields could extend their decline, potentially taking the 10-year yield as low as 1.2%—a level not seen since …

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas
4 years, 2 months ago

Fading hopes of big US spending pull down yields overseas

Live Mint  

The election-induced drop in Treasury yields rippled overseas, dragging down borrowing costs in Europe as investors wrote off hopes that a big U.S. spending package could give the global economy a jolt. German 10-year yields hovered around their lowest levels since March on Thursday, dropping to minus 0.657% in early trading before rebounding to minus 0.636%, slightly above Wednesday’s close, …

Bond traders ditch bets on heavy stimulus in tight US Election
4 years, 2 months ago

Bond traders ditch bets on heavy stimulus in tight US Election

Live Mint  

Bond traders are abandoning bets for aggressive fiscal stimulus, with Treasury yields well off their peaks as counting for key states progresses in a tight U.S. election, ahead of a Federal Reserve policy decision. Even the U.S.’s announcement on Wednesday of record quarterly debt sales couldn’t damp the biggest one-day rally in months, with a slight tilt toward shorter-dated issuance …

The 10-year Treasury yield just dropped below 1% for the first time in history
4 years, 10 months ago

The 10-year Treasury yield just dropped below 1% for the first time in history

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The 10-year Treasury bond yield dropped below 1% for the first time in history on Tuesday, as investors grew increasingly worried about the novel coronavirus outbreak. Lower interest rates Treasuries also express investors’ interest rate expectations. So if the 10-year Treasury yield falls, the market tends to expect lower rates in the future. The amount …

Dollar falls amid declining US Treasury yields
5 years, 4 months ago

Dollar falls amid declining US Treasury yields

India TV News  

The dollar decreased on Tuesday, as long-term US Treasury yields retreated again, raising worries over potential economic slowdown. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, decreased 0.17 per cent at 98.1849 in late trading, the Xinhua news agency reported. The long-dated US Treasury notes saw their yields pull back on Tuesday, while the benchmark 3-month Treasury …

US markets extend losses as treasuries advance
5 years, 9 months ago

US markets extend losses as treasuries advance

Live Mint  

New York: US stocks retreated as traders remained on edge after Friday’s rout. While weakening data and a pivot by global central banks away from tighter policy is shaking confidence, a breakthrough in US-China trade talks could provide support going forward. “It’s mildly positive for risk assets, but only very mildly and not nearly enough to overcome skittishness and downward …

US markets fall amid weak economic data; bonds decline
5 years, 10 months ago

US markets fall amid weak economic data; bonds decline

Live Mint  

US stocks drifted lower in thin trading, while Treasuries also declined as investors grappled with concerns about growth and the latest twists in global trade. We’ve seen such a huge momentum shift to start the year.’’ Investors are also closely watching incoming economic numbers to see how they may nudge central bankers that are in a wait-and-see stance. At the …

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