US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a 5.2% annual rate
1 year ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a 5.2% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Shrugging off higher interest rates, America’s consumers spent enough to help drive the economy to a brisk 5.2% annual pace from July through September, the government reported Wednesday in an upgrade from its previous estimate. Consumer spending, the lifeblood of the economy, rose at a 3.6% annual rate from July through September — still healthy but a downgrade from the previous estimate of 4%. The U.S. economy, the world’s largest, has proved resilient even as the Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark interest rate 11 times since March 2022 to fight the worst bout of inflation in four decades. ”We anticipate a deceleration in household spending, not only on payback for an unusually strong third quarter but also from the cumulative effects of monetary policy tightening.’' The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast Wednesday that the U.S. economy will expand just 1.5% in 2024, down from 2.4% in 2023, as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases — 11 of them since March 2022 — continue to restrain growth.

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History of this topic

U.S. economy grows at 3.1% pace in third quarter, an upgrade from previous estimate
5 days, 5 hours ago

U.S. economy grows at 3.1% pace in third quarter, an upgrade from previous estimate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The American economy grew at a healthy 3.1% annual clip from July through September, propelled by vigorous consumer spending and an uptick in exports, the government said in an upgrade to its previous estimate. Third-quarter growth in U.S. gross domestic product — the economy’s output of goods and services — accelerated from the April-July rate of 3% and …

5.4%: Q2 GDP growth slowest in seven quarters
3 weeks, 3 days ago

5.4%: Q2 GDP growth slowest in seven quarters

Hindustan Times  

India’s economy expanded at a lower-than-expected 5.4% in the three months ended September, with sluggish growth in manufacturing and private consumption, a reflection of weak demand because of high borrowing costs, inflation and weak real wage growth. The headline GDP growth number is 1.3 percentage points lower than the June quarter print and the lowest in seven quarters, since the …

Q2 GDP growth falls to 5.4 per cent, lowest in seven quarters
3 weeks, 4 days ago

Q2 GDP growth falls to 5.4 per cent, lowest in seven quarters

New Indian Express  

The second quarter GDP numbers sprang a negative surprise with real GDP registering a 5.4 per cent growth against 6.7 per cent in the first quarter due to sluggish manufacturing and private consumption. Private final consumption grew at 6 per cent during the quarter, lower than the 7.4 per cent growth recorded during the first quarter. The consumption slowdown was …

US Economy Expands 2.8% In Q3, Driven By Strong Consumer Spending
3 weeks, 5 days ago

US Economy Expands 2.8% In Q3, Driven By Strong Consumer Spending

ABP News  

The US economy grew at a robust annual rate of 2.8 per cent from July to September, driven by solid consumer spending and a surge in exports, the government reported on Wednesday. Consumer spending, which drives about 70 per cent of US economic activity, accelerated to a 3.5 per cent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.8 per …

US Q3 GDP data: US economy grows 2.8% YoY in third quarter on steady consumer spending
3 weeks, 6 days ago

US Q3 GDP data: US economy grows 2.8% YoY in third quarter on steady consumer spending

Live Mint  

The US economy expanded steadily in the third quarter, largely powered by a broad-based advance in consumer spending and steady business investment. Gross domestic product increased at a 2.8 percent annualized pace in the third quarter, the second estimate of the Bureau of Economic Analysis figures showed Wednesday. The government’s other main gauge of economic activity — gross domestic income …

US economy grows at 2.8% pace in third quarter on consumer spending, unchanged from first estimate
Trending News
3 weeks, 6 days ago

US economy grows at 2.8% pace in third quarter on consumer spending, unchanged from first estimate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The American economy expanded at a healthy 2.8% annual pace from July through September on strong consumer spending and a surge in exports, the government said Wednesday, leaving unchanged its initial estimate of third-quarter growth. Still, American voters — exasperated by high prices — were unimpressed by the steady growth and chose this month to return Donald Trump …

Economic growth hits 0.8% in Q3, ahead of eurozone and US
1 month, 1 week ago

Economic growth hits 0.8% in Q3, ahead of eurozone and US

Dutch News  

The Dutch economy grew by an estimated 0.8% in the third quarter of this year when compared with the second, national statistics agency CBS said on Thursday. Economic growth was also up 1.1% in the second quarter, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point on the earlier estimate. Higher government and consumer spending are behind the increase, chief economist Peter …

U.S. Economy Grew At Healthy 2.8% Pace Last Quarter On Strength Of Consumer Spending
1 month, 3 weeks ago

U.S. Economy Grew At Healthy 2.8% Pace Last Quarter On Strength Of Consumer Spending

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a healthy 2.8% annual rate from July through September, with consumers helping drive growth despite the weight of still-high interest rates. Wednesday’s report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — slowed slightly from its 3% growth rate in …

US economic growth increased last quarter to a healthy 2.8% annual rate
4 months, 4 weeks ago

US economic growth increased last quarter to a healthy 2.8% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The nation’s economy accelerated last quarter at a strong 2.8% annual pace, with consumers and businesses helping drive growth despite the pressure of continually high interest rates. The central bank’s favored inflation gauge rose at a 2.6% annual rate last quarter, down from 3.4% in the first quarter of the year. the Fed thinks that it’s getting close …

U.S. economic growth increased last quarter to a healthy 2.8% annual rate
4 months, 4 weeks ago

U.S. economic growth increased last quarter to a healthy 2.8% annual rate

LA Times  

Amazon employees in South Gate load packages on carts before putting them on trucks for delivery last week as part of the company’s Prime Day event. The nation’s economy accelerated last quarter at a strong 2.8% annual pace, with consumers and businesses helping drive growth despite the pressure of continually high interest rates. The central bank’s favored inflation gauge rose …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a 1.4% annual rate
5 months, 3 weeks ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a 1.4% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The American economy expanded at a 1.4% annual pace from January through March, the slowest quarterly growth since spring 2022, the government said Thursday in a slight upgrade from its previous estimate. The Commerce Department had previously estimated that the gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — advanced at a 1.3% rate …

Fitch Raises India's Growth Estimates for FY'25 to 7.2 pc
6 months ago

Fitch Raises India's Growth Estimates for FY'25 to 7.2 pc

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Fitch Ratings on Tuesday raised India's growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.2 per cent, from 7 per cent projected in March, citing a recovery in consumer spending and increased investment. For the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, Fitch projected growth rates of 6.5 per cent and 6.2 per cent, respectively. "We expect the Indian economy to …

Fitch raises India's growth estimates for FY25 to 7.2%
6 months ago

Fitch raises India's growth estimates for FY25 to 7.2%

Hindustan Times  

Fitch Ratings on Tuesday raised India's growth forecast for current fiscal to 7.2 per cent, from 7 per cent projected in March, citing a recovery in consumer spending and increased investment. For the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, Fitch projected growth rates of 6.5 per cent and 6.2 per cent, respectively. "We expect the Indian economy to expand by a …

US economic growth last quarter revised down from 1.6% to 1.3%, inflation cools
6 months, 3 weeks ago

US economic growth last quarter revised down from 1.6% to 1.3%, inflation cools

Hindustan Times  

The U.S. economy grew more slowly in the first quarter than previously estimated after downward revisions to consumer and equipment spending and a key measure of inflation ticked down, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to possibly begin cutting interest rates before the end of the year. Details of the report showed that consumer spending growth, revised down by 0.5 …

US economic growth last quarter is revised down from 1.6% rate to 1.3%, but consumers kept spending
6 months, 3 weeks ago

US economic growth last quarter is revised down from 1.6% rate to 1.3%, but consumers kept spending

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. The Commerce Department had previously estimated that the nation’s …

US economic growth in first quarter falls short of expectations at 1.6%; inflation may heat up
7 months, 4 weeks ago

US economic growth in first quarter falls short of expectations at 1.6%; inflation may heat up

Hindustan Times  

The US economy expanded less than projected in the first three months of 2024 as exports and consumer spending declined, confirming the expectations of the financial markets that the Federal Reserve would postpone rate-cutting until September. The first quarter saw the US economy rise by 1.6 percent, according to the government data. The first quarter saw the world's largest economy …

US growth slowed sharply last quarter to 1.6% pace, reflecting an economy pressured by high rates
7 months, 4 weeks ago

US growth slowed sharply last quarter to 1.6% pace, reflecting an economy pressured by high rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The nation’s economy slowed sharply last quarter to a 1.6% annual pace in the face of high interest rates, but consumers — the main driver of economic growth — kept spending at a solid pace. Gregory Daco, chief economist at the tax and consulting firm EY, noted that the underlying economy looks solid, though it’s slowing from last …

U.S. growth fell sharply to 1.6% last quarter, pressured by high interest rates
7 months, 4 weeks ago

U.S. growth fell sharply to 1.6% last quarter, pressured by high interest rates

LA Times  

Robots assemble solar panels at the Hanwha Qcells Solar plant in Dalton, Ga., in 2023. On Thursday, the government reported that U.S. economic growth slowed sharply last quarter to a 1.6% annual pace. The nation’s economy slowed sharply last quarter to a 1.6% annual pace in the face of high interest rates, but consumers — the main driver of economic …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a healthy 3.4% annual rate
8 months, 3 weeks ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a healthy 3.4% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a solid 3.4% annual pace from October through December, the government said Thursday in an upgrade from its previous estimate. But last quarter’s growth was still a solid performance, coming in the face of higher interest rates and powered by growing consumer spending, exports and business investment in buildings and software. In the …

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government’s initial estimate
9 months, 3 weeks ago

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government’s initial estimate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a robust 3.2% annual pace from October through December, propelled by healthy consumer spending, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday in a slight downgrade from its initial estimate. U.S. growth has now topped 2% for six straight quarters, defying fears that high interest rates would tip the world’s largest economy into a recession. The …

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government's initial estimate
9 months, 3 weeks ago

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government's initial estimate

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The U.S. economy grew at …

US economy sees remarkable growth at 3.3% in fourth quarter than expected
10 months, 4 weeks ago

US economy sees remarkable growth at 3.3% in fourth quarter than expected

Hindustan Times  

The US economy remained startlingly sound in the fourth quarter to finish out a remarkably great 2023 as individuals and businesses continued to spend freely, despite high interest rates and price levels that have annoyed many households. The most recent data highlighted the surprisingly resilient nature of the largest economy in the world, with GDP growing at an annual rate …

US economy grew by 3.3% over the past year - ending fears of recession and sending the S&P and Dow up
10 months, 4 weeks ago

US economy grew by 3.3% over the past year - ending fears of recession and sending the S&P and Dow up

Daily Mail  

Consumers and businesses have continued to spend despite high interest rates The US economy grew much faster than expected in the final three months of last year, trouncing expectations as consumers and businesses continued to spend. The US economy grew much faster than expected in the final three months of last year, trouncing expectations as consumers and businesses continued to …

US economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.3% pace last quarter, pointing to continued resilience
10 months, 4 weeks ago

US economy grew at a surprisingly strong 3.3% pace last quarter, pointing to continued resilience

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The nation’s economy grew at an unexpectedly brisk 3.3% annual pace from October through December as Americans showed a continued willingness to spend freely despite high interest rates and price levels that have frustrated many households. Thursday’s report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — decelerated …

Economic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter
10 months, 4 weeks ago

Economic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter

CBS News  

The nation's economy grew at an unexpectedly brisk 3.3% annual pace from October through December as Americans showed a continued willingness to spend freely despite high interest rates and price levels that have frustrated many households. Thursday's report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy's total output of goods and services — decelerated from its …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a 5.2% annual rate
1 year ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a 5.2% annual rate

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Shrugging off higher interest rates, …

Focus still on evolution of inflation in the US
1 year ago

Focus still on evolution of inflation in the US

China Daily  

Customers shop at a Costco store in Foster City, the United States, Jan 12, 2023. The overall judgment set out in the recently released minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, held on Oct 31 and Nov 1, is that the employment, inflation and economic growth data of the United States now all support the decision that …

US economy grows at its fastest rate in TWO YEARS after households splashed out on Taylor Swift concerts and Barbie tickets - but experts warn trend is finally starting to slow
1 year, 1 month ago

US economy grows at its fastest rate in TWO YEARS after households splashed out on Taylor Swift concerts and Barbie tickets - but experts warn trend is finally starting to slow

Daily Mail  

That is the highest growth in almost two years - spurred by consumer spending US GDP accelerated 4.9 percent in Q3, according to the Commerce Department The US economy grew last quarter at its fastest rate in nearly two years thanks to a surge in consumer spending. Consumer spending was up 4 percent, up from just 0.8 percent last quarter, …

US economic growth accelerated to strong 4.9% rate last quarter as consumers shrugged off Fed hikes
1 year, 1 month ago

US economic growth accelerated to strong 4.9% rate last quarter as consumers shrugged off Fed hikes

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The nation’s economy expanded at a robust 4.9% annual rate from July through September as Americans defied higher prices, rising interest rates and widespread forecasts of a recession to spend at a brisk pace. The Commerce Department said the economy expanded last quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years — and more than twice the 2.1% …

U.S. economic growth accelerated to 4.9% last quarter as consumers shrugged off Fed rate hikes
1 year, 1 month ago

U.S. economic growth accelerated to 4.9% last quarter as consumers shrugged off Fed rate hikes

LA Times  

Shoppers look over blankets on sale in a Costco warehouse in Sheridan, Colo. The Commerce Department on Thursday said the economy expanded last quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years. The nation’s economy expanded at a robust 4.9% annual rate from July through September as Americans defied higher prices, rising interest rates and widespread forecasts of a recession …

China's GDP expected to grow at around 4% in Q3
1 year, 2 months ago

China's GDP expected to grow at around 4% in Q3

China Daily  

A view of Beijing's CBD area. The country's industrial production sentiment has improved, and industrial production is expected to increase by 4.3 percent in September, said Zhang Wenlang, chief macroeconomic analyst with investment bank China International Capital Corp. In terms of consumption, the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods is expected to rebound to about 5.5 percent …

US government estimates economy grew last quarter at a 2.1% rate, unchanged from previous projection
1 year, 2 months ago

US government estimates economy grew last quarter at a 2.1% rate, unchanged from previous projection

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a 2.1% annual pace from April through June, extending its sturdy performance in the face of higher interest rates, the government said Thursday, leaving its previous estimate unchanged. The second-quarter expansion of the nation’s gross domestic product — its total output of goods and services — marked a modest deceleration from the economy’s …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised down to a 2.1% annual rate
1 year, 3 months ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised down to a 2.1% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.1% annual pace from April through June, showing continued resilience in the face of higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, the government said Wednesday in a downgrade from its initial estimate. The Commerce Department’s second estimate of growth last quarter marked a slight acceleration from a 2% annual growth rate from …

US economy unexpectedly accelerated to a 2.4% growth rate in April-June quarter despite Fed hikes
1 year, 4 months ago

US economy unexpectedly accelerated to a 2.4% growth rate in April-June quarter despite Fed hikes

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy surprisingly accelerated to a 2.4% annual growth rate from April through June, showing continued resilience in the face of steadily higher interest rates resulting from the Federal Reserve’s 16-month-long fight to bring down inflation. Consumer spending, the heart of the nation’s economy, was also solid last quarter, though it slowed to a 1.6% annual rate …

The US economy grew stronger than expected in the second quarter, but consumers are pulling back
1 year, 4 months ago

The US economy grew stronger than expected in the second quarter, but consumers are pulling back

CNN  

Washington CNN — The US economy picked up steam in the second quarter despite punishing rate hikes and still-high inflation, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of economic output, grew at just a 1.6% rate in the second quarter, down sharply from a 4.2% rate in the first three months of the year. “In …

US economy grew faster than expected in Q2
1 year, 4 months ago

US economy grew faster than expected in Q2

Al Jazeera  

The US economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter as labour market resilience supported consumer spending, while businesses boosted investment in equipment, potentially keeping a much-feared recession at bay. The government’s measure of inflation in the economy, the price index for gross domestic purchases, increased at a 1.9 percent rate, slowing from the 3.8 percent pace logged in …

US economic growth last quarter is revised up sharply to a 2% annual rate
1 year, 5 months ago

US economic growth last quarter is revised up sharply to a 2% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Showing surprising resilience in the face of higher interest rates, the U.S. economy grew at a 2% annual pace from January through March as consumers spent at the fastest pace in nearly two years. Thursday’s revised figure from the Commerce Department sharply upgraded its assessment of first-quarter growth from its previous estimate of a 1.3% annual rate. Despite …

China’s premier says economic growth is accelerating and the country can hit its 5% target this year
1 year, 5 months ago

China’s premier says economic growth is accelerating and the country can hit its 5% target this year

Associated Press  

BEIJING — China’s No. 2 leader said Tuesday that economic growth accelerated in the latest quarter and expressed confidence it can hit the ruling Communist Party’s official target of 5% for the year. Premier Li Qiang, speaking at a conference in the eastern city of Tianjin, gave no figure for the three months ending in June but said it was …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a still-tepid 1.3% annual rate
1 year, 6 months ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a still-tepid 1.3% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a lackluster 1.3% annual rate from January through March as businesses wary of an economic slowdown trimmed their inventories, the government said Thursday in a slight upgrade from its initial estimate. The steady slowdown in the nation’s economic growth is a consequence of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive drive to tame inflation, with 10 …

US economy slows sharply in January-March quarter
1 year, 7 months ago

US economy slows sharply in January-March quarter

Al Jazeera  

The US economy slowed sharply from January through March, decelerating to just a 1.1 percent annual pace as higher interest rates hammered the housing market and businesses reduced their inventories. “We continue to expect the drag from higher interest rates and tightening credit conditions to push the economy into a mild recession soon.″ Many economists have said the cumulative impact …

US revises down last quarter’s economic growth to 2.7% rate
1 year, 10 months ago

US revises down last quarter’s economic growth to 2.7% rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.7% annual rate from October through December, a solid showing despite rising interest rates and elevated inflation, the government said Thursday in a downgrade from its initial estimate. The Commerce Department’s revised estimate of the fourth quarter’s gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — marked a …

US economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter
1 year, 10 months ago

US economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.9% annual pace from October through December, ending 2022 with momentum despite the pressure of high interest rates and widespread fears of a looming recession. “From the Fed’s perspective, a desired slowdown in the economy will be welcome news.” Consumer spending, which fuels about 70% of the entire economy, rose at a …

U.S. economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter
1 year, 10 months ago

U.S. economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter

LA Times  

An employee works in the battery assembly hall at the BMW Spartanburg plant in Greer, S.C., on Oct. 19. The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.9% annual pace from October through December, ending 2022 with momentum despite the pressure of high interest rates and widespread fears of a looming recession. Thursday’s estimate from the Commerce Department showed that the nation’s …

US economy grew 3.2% in Q3, an upgrade from earlier estimate
2 years ago

US economy grew 3.2% in Q3, an upgrade from earlier estimate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Shrugging off rampant inflation and rising interest rates, the U.S. economy grew at an unexpectedly strong 3.2% annual pace from July through September, the government reported Thursday in a healthy upgrade from its earlier estimate of third-quarter growth. Still, many economists expect the economy to slow and probably slip into recession next year under the pressure of higher …

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9% rate
2 years ago

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9% rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Despite high interest rates and chronic inflation, the U.S. economy grew at a 2.9% annual rate from July through September, the government said Wednesday in a healthy upgrade from its initial estimate. Last quarter’s rise in the U.S. gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — followed two straight quarters of contraction. That …

Even as US economic recovery rebounds, demand stalls
2 years, 1 month ago

Even as US economic recovery rebounds, demand stalls

Al Jazeera  

The US economy snapped two straight quarters of GDP decline to grow 2.6 percent, but domestic demand weakened. US economic growth rebounded strongly in the third quarter amid a shrinking trade deficit, but that overstates the economy’s health as domestic demand was the weakest in two years because of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes. “With the full effect …

US economy drops at 0.6% annual rate from April through June
2 years, 2 months ago

US economy drops at 0.6% annual rate from April through June

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Battered by surging consumer prices and rising interest rates, the U.S. economy shrank at a 0.6% annual rate from April through June, the government announced Thursday, unchanged from its previous second-quarter estimate. But the Fed has raised interest rates five times this year — most recently Sept. 21 — to rein in consumer prices, which were up 8.3% …

US economy transitions to slower growth as inflation weighs on consumers
2 years, 4 months ago

US economy transitions to slower growth as inflation weighs on consumers

Live Mint  

The U.S. economy is enduring a rocky transition from an exceptionally strong recovery to a steep slowdown as rising inflation and interest rates weigh on consumers and businesses. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge rose 6.8% in June from the year before, the sharpest rise since January 1982, the Commerce Department said Friday. Friday’s Labor Department report on wages “is …

US economy shrinks for a 2nd quarter, raising recession fear
2 years, 4 months ago

US economy shrinks for a 2nd quarter, raising recession fear

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy shrank from April through June for a second straight quarter, contracting at a 0.9% annual pace and raising fears that the nation may be approaching a recession. “The fact that the economy created 2.7 million payrolls in the first half of the year would seem to argue against an official recession call for now.” Still, …

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