Is China’s high-growth era over – forever?
Al JazeeraWith its population declining, China’s period of rapid growth is likely over. The growth rate that China does manage to sustain in years ahead will largely depend on how Beijing adapts to the structural challenges facing its economy and the impact of Xi’s new priorities. Pettis said GDP – used initially to measure Western economies – is not built-for-purpose for capturing anomalies caused by China’s “soft budget constraints”, which refers to a model where the state steps in to cover for spending in excess of income earned from a project. Instead, he has emphasised “high-quality growth”, which features as a guiding principle in China’s current five-year plan. “Consumption is the key here.” Household expenditure as a share of total GDP sat at about 38 percent by the end of 2021, far below the global average of 63 percent, leaving China with one of the weakest consumption levels among the world’s major economies.