Joe Biden’s weakness among Latinos threatens his re-election

United States | Political demographics Joe Biden’s weakness among Latinos threatens his re-election In Arizona, a growing Hispanic electorate should help Democrats. Arizona, Hispanics as % of population By census tract, 2021 0 20 40 60 80 100 Congressional districts Grand Canyon Colorado River Phoenix Yuma Tucson MEXICO 50 km Share of total votes cast by Hispanic voters, 2020, % 5 0 10 15 20 National NV AZ GA MI WI PA Arizona, Hispanics as % of population By census tract, 2021 0 20 40 60 80 100 Congressional districts Grand Canyon Colorado River Phoenix Yuma Tucson MEXICO 50 km Share of total votes cast by Hispanic voters, 2020, % 5 0 10 15 20 National PA MI GA NV AZ WI Arizona, Hispanics as % of population By census tract, 2021 Share of total votes cast by Hispanic voters, 2020, % 20 60 100 0 40 80 Congressional districts 20 Grand Canyon AZ NV 15 Colorado River 10 National Phoenix 5 GA Yuma PA Tucson WI MI MEXICO 0 50 km Democrats have assumed at their peril that Latinos are a natural constituency and share many of the party’s progressive preferences. According to a report by Equis Research, an outfit that studies Latino political behaviour, “Latino voters saw the 2020 election as a referendum on the economy…in a way they hadn’t in 2016.” About 85% of Arizona’s Latino voters trace their origins to Mexico, a cohort whose views typically track Latino national averages. None of the above “Who do you think would do a better job handling the following issues as president?” United States, % Share of Hispanics responding 20 25 30 35 40 Immigration Trump Inflation The economy Abortion Biden Health care Share responding “neither”, by race White Black Hispanic 5 10 15 20 25 Abortion Immigration Inflation Health care The economy Source: YouGov/The Economist None of the above “Who do you think would do a better job handling the following issues as president?”, United States, % Share of Hispanics responding Share responding “neither”, by race White Black Hispanic 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 Immigration Abortion Trump Inflation Immigration The economy Inflation Abortion Health care Biden Health care The economy None of the above “Who do you think would do a better job handling the following issues as president?”, United States, % Share of Hispanics responding Share responding “neither”, by race White Black Hispanic 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 Immigration Abortion Trump Inflation Immigration The economy Inflation Abortion Health care Biden Health care The economy Yet it is not a sure bet that Latinos will comprise a larger share of the electorate in 2024.