Falling core inflation raises odds of RBA trimming interest rates in February
1 week ago

Falling core inflation raises odds of RBA trimming interest rates in February

ABC  

A fall in the Reserve Bank's preferred measure of consumer price rises has increased the odds of an interest rate cut in February, despite an increase in headline inflation. AMP's deputy chief economist Diana Mousina believes the RBA will probably cut interest rates if the annual core inflation rate in the December quarter numbers, due towards the end of this month, remains around 3.2 or 3.3 per cent. "As a result, electricity prices fell 21.5 per cent in the 12 months to November, compared to a fall of 35.6 per cent to October." Falling fuel prices have also been a major contributor to declining headline inflation over the past year, down 10.2 per cent, although they also ticked higher in the month of November. Government says 'very substantial progress' made in inflation fight Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor said prices have increased by more than 10 per cent since Labor took office.

Labor Inflation Services Interest Rates Cent Cut Rates Annual Interest Rate Rba Prices Rose Core Inflation Headline Inflation Treasurer Jim Chalmers Electricity Prices  interest  rate  odds  rates  core  raises  rba  services  annual  inflation  cent  prices  rose  cut  months  falling  trimming

History of this topic

Core Inflation Dips to 5.22 Percent in Dec Amid Falling Food Prices
Trending News
1 day, 10 hours ago

Core Inflation Dips to 5.22 Percent in Dec Amid Falling Food Prices

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Bringing the Reserve Bank of India’s tolerance band back to the limit of 2- 6 per cent, India’s headline retail inflation rate, measured by the consumer price index or CPI, for December stood at 5.22 per cent, dipping marginally from 5.48 per cent in November, while the November’s CPI also fell from a 14-month high of 6.21 per …

Dec inflation: Some analysts see rate cut from Feb, others yet another pause
2 days, 1 hour ago

Dec inflation: Some analysts see rate cut from Feb, others yet another pause

New Indian Express  

Watchers of the Reserve Bank are divided over the impact of falling inflation on the potential for a rate cut next month. Two of them forecast another pause in policy rate cuts, arguing that prices remain stubbornly above the central bank’s comfort level, with inflation at 5.2 percent in December. While Aditi Nayar, the chief economist at Icra Ratings, and …

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear
6 days, 1 hour ago

A February interest rate cut is a real possibility, but there's at least one hurdle to clear

ABC  

At 11:31am AEDT on Wednesday, the Australian dollar began falling against the greenback. Inflation drop raises rate cut odds Photo shows A coloured graphic showing a petrol pump, coins, keys and a bag of fresh groceries against a backdrop of receipts A fall in the Reserve Bank's preferred measure of inflation has increased the odds of an interest rate cut …

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory
3 weeks, 1 day ago

RBA Is More Confident on CPI, But Too Early to Declare Victory

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s central bank is more confident that inflation is moving sustainably toward target but it’s still too soon to conclude the battle is won given a recent pick-up in consumption and a still-tight labor market, minutes of the December meeting showed. The Reserve Bank’s board discussed scenarios in which future policy would be eased to boost economic growth or …

U.S. consumer spending rises in November; monthly inflation subsides
3 weeks, 3 days ago

U.S. consumer spending rises in November; monthly inflation subsides

The Hindu  

U.S. consumer spending increased in November, underscoring the economy's enduring strength, which prompted the Federal Reserve this week to project fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than it had three months ago. Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.4% last month after a downwardly revised 0.3% gain in October, the Commerce Department's Bureau …

US Fed’s preferred inflation yardstick edges higher by 2.4% in November, stays within Wall Street estimates
3 weeks, 4 days ago

US Fed’s preferred inflation yardstick edges higher by 2.4% in November, stays within Wall Street estimates

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure rose for a second straight month in November by 2.4 per cent, yet stayed within Wall Street estimates. The US Commerce Department's data showed on Friday that the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.4 per cent year-on-year in the 12 months to November, up from 2.3 per cent in October. At 2.4 …

Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures eased last month
3 weeks, 5 days ago

Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures eased last month

LA Times  

An inflation gauge that is closely watched by the Federal Reserve barely rose last month in a sign that price pressures cooled after two months of sharp gains. The modest monthly inflation figures in Friday’s report point to one likely reason why the Fed was willing to cut its benchmark interest rate Wednesday: Its preferred inflation gauge, known as the …

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers
Trending News
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers

The Independent  

The latest headlines from our reporters across the US sent straight to your inbox each weekday Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. This year's Fed rate reductions have marked a …

Inflation analysis: Prices rising faster means higher borrowing costs for longer amid recession fears
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Inflation analysis: Prices rising faster means higher borrowing costs for longer amid recession fears

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. The faster price gains for consumer goods like food …

UK inflation increase solidifies expectations interest rates will be kept on hold
3 weeks, 6 days ago

UK inflation increase solidifies expectations interest rates will be kept on hold

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. rose to its highest level in eight months during November, official figures showed Wednesday, a development that has cemented market expectations that the Bank of England will opt against cutting borrowing costs this week. It said stubbornly high inflation in the crucial services sector, which accounts for around 80% of the U.K. economy, and …

Inflation rises AGAIN to its highest level since March: Price rises hit 2.6 per cent driven by spikes in the cost of petrol and fags to increase pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves
Trending News
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Inflation rises AGAIN to its highest level since March: Price rises hit 2.6 per cent driven by spikes in the cost of petrol and fags to increase pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves

Daily Mail  

Inflation rose for the second month in a row in November, hitting 2.6 per cent to further increase pressure on Labour Chancellor Rachel Reeves over her Budget's impact on the country. Spikes in petrol and tobacco prices drove CPI to 2.6 per cent, up from 2.3 per cent in October, the Office for National Statistics said. Ms Reeves said: 'I …

U.S. wholesale inflation accelerated in November, a sign that some price pressures remain
1 month ago

U.S. wholesale inflation accelerated in November, a sign that some price pressures remain

LA Times  

Wholesale costs in the United States picked up sharply last month, signaling that price pressures are still evident in the economy even though inflation has tumbled from the peak levels it hit more than two years ago. The Labor Department reported Thursday that its producer price index — which tracks inflation before it reaches consumers — rose 0.4% last month …

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut
1 month ago

Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold in December but leaves door open to a February cut

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has left interest rates on hold in December for a ninth-straight meeting, but opened the door to a rate cut as soon as February. This is a change in language from the board's November statement, which said it needed to "remain vigilant to upside risks to inflation" and was "not ruling anything in or out". "While the …

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?
Trending News
1 month, 1 week ago

RBI MPC meet: Growth needs a boost, but will inflation hold back rate cut?

India Today  

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee began its three-day meeting on Wednesday, setting the stage for a critical decision on the repo rate, which will be announced on December 6 at 10 AM. The meeting takes place amid growing calls from experts and leaders for a rate cut to support India’s slowing economic growth. Piyuh Goyal has even …

RBI Likely To Hold Interest Rates Amid Inflation Surge; Economists Push Rate Cut Forecast To February
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI Likely To Hold Interest Rates Amid Inflation Surge; Economists Push Rate Cut Forecast To February

ABP News  

The Reserve Bank of India is expected to maintain its key policy rate at 6.50 per cent during its upcoming December 4-6 meeting, according to a Reuters poll. A sharp rise in inflation, driven by soaring food prices, has led several economists to revise their forecasts for the first rate cut in the cycle from December to February. RBI Governor …

RBA unlikely to lower interest rates in 2024 despite inflation at its lowest level since July 2021
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBA unlikely to lower interest rates in 2024 despite inflation at its lowest level since July 2021

ABC  

Australia's inflation rate remained steady in October, with analysts tipping this price data won't change the Reserve Bank's mind to hold interest rates at their highest level in about a decade until at least early 2025. The inflation rate held at 2.1 per cent annually, with the rising price of food, alcohol, cigarettes and recreational activities keeping it up, while …

Millions hit with mortgage blow as rise in inflation crushes hopes of interest rate cut
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Millions hit with mortgage blow as rise in inflation crushes hopes of interest rate cut

Daily Mail  

Interest rate cut hopes were crushed yesterday after a bigger-than-expected rise in inflation to a six-month high - in a blow to millions of borrowers. Higher inflation will add to the Bank of England's reluctance to cut its benchmark interest rate, currently at 4.75 per cent. Latest economists' forecasts Rachel Reeves's Budget has also dented rate cut hopes - as …

RBA says February rate cut not guaranteed even if inflation figures rosy
1 month, 3 weeks ago

RBA says February rate cut not guaranteed even if inflation figures rosy

ABC  

The Reserve Bank could hold off on a February rate cut even if underlying inflation is lower than it expects, a move that would reverberate among mortgaged households and could undermine the federal government's electoral fortunes. But the minutes suggest a rate cut is not assured even if December inflation is low using the Reserve Bank's favoured "underlying" measure, which …

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again

New Indian Express  

The main culprit is food inflation, which jumped to 10.87%, largely led by vegetable prices that rose by a staggering 42.18% in October. As Deputy governor Michael Patra noted, inflation will likely encounter a hump in the near months largely due to an adverse base and one-off shocks to prices of vegetables, edible oils and gram. The fact that inflation …

US wholesale inflation picks up slightly in sign that some price pressures remain elevated
2 months ago

US wholesale inflation picks up slightly in sign that some price pressures remain elevated

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Wholesale prices in the United States rose last month, remaining low but suggesting that the American economy has yet to completely vanquish inflationary pressure. Thursday’s report from the Labor Department showed that its producer price index — which tracks inflation before it hits consumers — rose 0.2% from September to October, up from a 0.1% gain the month …

US inflation rises 2.6% YoY in first annual acceleration since March; Wall Street sees fewer rate cuts in 2025
2 months ago

US inflation rises 2.6% YoY in first annual acceleration since March; Wall Street sees fewer rate cuts in 2025

Live Mint  

US inflation ticked higher in October 2024 amid higher costs for shelter after having slowed in September to their lowest pace since 2021, which led Wall Street to lower its bets for the US Federal Reserve's definite interest rate cuts in 2025. US consumer price index rose 2.6 per cent from a year earlier, up from 2.4 per cent in …

Rising inflation clouds stock market sentiment, delays rate cut hopes; Earnings growth in focus, say analysts
2 months ago

Rising inflation clouds stock market sentiment, delays rate cut hopes; Earnings growth in focus, say analysts

Live Mint  

India's retail inflation surged to a 14-month high in October, exceeding the Reserve Bank of India’s upper tolerance limit, dampening expectations of an imminent policy rate cut. Analysts suggest that while October's CPI inflation data was largely anticipated by the Indian stock market, the more pressing concern lies in subdued corporate earnings. While inflation is projected to ease in December, …

Mint Quick Edit | Inflation above 6%: There goes a December rate cut
2 months ago

Mint Quick Edit | Inflation above 6%: There goes a December rate cut

Live Mint  

Reserve Bank of India governor Shaktikanta Das’s warning of inflation rising sharply in October has turned out prescient. With the headline reading now above RBI’s 6% upper tolerance limit, the odds of a rate cut in the monetary policy committee’s December meeting look bleak. Though the rate-setting panel recently shifted its monetary policy stance to neutral, it wouldn’t want inflationary …

U.S. inflation rose slightly last month after 2 years of steady cooling but remained low
2 months ago

U.S. inflation rose slightly last month after 2 years of steady cooling but remained low

LA Times  

Inflation in the United States ticked up in October, driven by costlier rents, used cars and air fares, a sign that price increases might be leveling off after having slowed in September to their lowest pace since 2021. Consumer inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in 2022, has since fallen steadily, though overall prices are still about 20% higher than they …

Why October inflation numbers may delay RBI interest rate cut
2 months ago

Why October inflation numbers may delay RBI interest rate cut

India Today  

India’s consumer price inflation rose to a 14-month high of 6.2 per cent in October, breaching the Reserve Bank of India’s target range of 2-6 per cent, driven by high food inflation. Food and beverages inflation stood at 9.7 per cent in October, in which the inflation on vegetables alone was over 42.2 per cent, a 57-month high. “With mixed …

India’s 14-month high retail inflation fades hope of December rate cut
Trending News
2 months ago

India’s 14-month high retail inflation fades hope of December rate cut

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India’s retail inflation accelerated in October to its highest in over a year largely due to heated food prices, tempering expectations of a rate cut when the central bank’s monetary policy panel meets early next month. India’s retail inflation also breached the Reserve Bank of India’s medium-term target of 2-6% for the first time in over a year—which, …

Brits hope for mortgage relief with Bank of England poised to cut interest rates TODAY… but fears big-spending Budget could keep borrowing costs higher for years
2 months, 1 week ago

Brits hope for mortgage relief with Bank of England poised to cut interest rates TODAY… but fears big-spending Budget could keep borrowing costs higher for years

Daily Mail  

The Bank of England is poised to cut interest rates today - but could signal that the big-spending Budget will keep borrowing costs higher in future. Threadneedle Street's decision could be swayed by grim figures this week showing growth in the UK services sector slowing to its lowest rate in nearly a year. Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global …

RBA leaves cash rate at 4.35pc, acknowledging it's 'restrictive,' while ASX loses ground — as it happened
2 months, 1 week ago

RBA leaves cash rate at 4.35pc, acknowledging it's 'restrictive,' while ASX loses ground — as it happened

ABC  

Here are some highlights from the RBA Board's statement. Underlying inflation remains too high: "Inflation has fallen substantially since the peak in 2022, as higher interest rates have been working to bring aggregate demand and supply closer towards balance. "Headline inflation was 2.8 per cent over the year to the September quarter, down from 3.8 per cent over the year …

ASX has lowest close since mid-September; household spending weaker than expected — as it happened
2 months, 2 weeks ago

ASX has lowest close since mid-September; household spending weaker than expected — as it happened

ABC  

The Reserve Bank's new, less frequent meeting schedule hasn't done away with the Melbourne Cup day board meeting — we'll get the latest interest rate decision this coming Tuesday, half an hour before the race that stops the nation at Flemington. After this week's inflation figures showed price pressures easing off, but the RBA's preferred measure of underlying inflation — …

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021

LA Times  

As a presidential race profoundly shaped by Americans’ frustration with high prices nears its end, the government said Thursday that an inflation gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve has dropped to near pre-pandemic levels. Inflation peaked at 7.1% in June 2022 after the economy had accelerated out of the pandemic recession at a time of severe shortages of parts …

When will we get an interest rate cut? It's largely up to you
2 months, 2 weeks ago

When will we get an interest rate cut? It's largely up to you

ABC  

If you needed an excuse to be a bit of a tight-arse this Christmas, quote the latest inflation figures to your disgruntled family and friends. At 2.8 per cent, the annual headline inflation number plunged back within the RBA's 2-3 per cent target range for the first time in three years. At 4.6 per cent over the past year, the …

Interest rate cut ‘nailed on’ after UK inflation falls to three-year low
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Interest rate cut ‘nailed on’ after UK inflation falls to three-year low

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy A fall in UK inflation …

Why has inflation slowed and what does it mean for households?
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Why has inflation slowed and what does it mean for households?

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. It was the lowest reading since April 2021 and …

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts
3 months, 1 week ago

Inflation in Europe falls below 2% and opens the way for faster rate cuts

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

Inflation steady – but chances of another rate cut are slim
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation steady – but chances of another rate cut are slim

The Independent  

Let’s start with the good news: August’s inflation number came in unchanged at 2.2 per cent. While that is higher than the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target, it is in line with City forecasts and beneath the 2.4 per cent the Bank itself had predicted at this stage. One thing to watch is the cost of services – …

US inflation falls to 2.5% in August, reaches 3-year low as Federal Reserve set to cut interest rates
4 months ago

US inflation falls to 2.5% in August, reaches 3-year low as Federal Reserve set to cut interest rates

Hindustan Times  

The post-pandemic spike in U.S. inflation eased further last month as year-over-year price increases reached a three-year low, clearing the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, so-called core prices rose 3.2% in August from a year ago, the same as in July. A key reason for last month's drop …

U.S. inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates
4 months ago

U.S. inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates

LA Times  

Wednesday’s report from the Labor Department showed that consumer prices rose 2.5% in August from a year earlier, down from 2.9% in July. The post-pandemic spike in U.S. inflation eased further last month as year-over-year price increases reached a three-year low, clearing the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, …

Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge shows price pressures easing as rate cuts near
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge shows price pressures easing as rate cuts near

LA Times  

An inflation measure closely tracked by the Federal Reserve remained low last month, extending a trend of cooling price increases that clears the way for the Fed to start cutting its key interest rate next month for the first time in 4 1/2 years. In a high-profile speech last week, Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell attributed the inflation surge that …

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates
5 months ago

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. For months, cooling inflation has …

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates
5 months ago

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates

LA Times  

A sale sign is displayed on a store clothes rack. Wednesday’s report from the Labor Department showed that consumer prices rose just 0.2% from June to July after dropping slightly the previous month for the first time in four years. At a news conference last month, Powell said that cooler inflation data this spring had strengthened the Fed’s confidence that …

UK inflation stays at 2% target in June, leaving rate cut on a 'knife edge'
5 months, 4 weeks ago

UK inflation stays at 2% target in June, leaving rate cut on a 'knife edge'

Hindustan Times  

Inflation in the U.K. held steady at the Bank of England's target rate of 2% in the year to June, official figures showed Wednesday, in a development that could be enough for policymakers to cut borrowing costs next month. Grocery price inflation fell to its lowest level since September 2021 in a further sign of easing cost pressures, ahead of …

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon
6 months ago

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. “This confirms that there is very little chance of inflation re-accelerating and that it’s time for some rate cuts from …

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon
6 months ago

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon

New Indian Express  

WASHINGTON: Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In a better-than-expected report, consumer prices declined 0.1% from May to June after having remained flat the previous month, the Labor …

Inflation on services like insurance is sticky and a global problem — so I took matters into my own hands
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation on services like insurance is sticky and a global problem — so I took matters into my own hands

ABC  

Bill shock — it's a well-known phenomenon in this cost-of-living crisis. My question was simple: why had the cost of my car insurance spiked 19.5 per cent when nothing at my end had changed? "For example, in Canada, core and headline inflation are below 3 per cent but services is still above 4 per cent," Hogan said. The Bank of …

Inflation returns to target, but experts warn June rate cut ‘off the table’
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation returns to target, but experts warn June rate cut ‘off the table’

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The Prime Minister has hailed …

US inflation eases to 3.3% in May, defying expectations for slight rise
7 months ago

US inflation eases to 3.3% in May, defying expectations for slight rise

Hindustan Times  

Stock markets surged Wednesday after data showed US inflation slowed in May, raising hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. "The cool inflation numbers should boost investor confidence for a Fed rate cut in the second half of 2024," said Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at trading platform eToro. With inflation slowing and other recent data …

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year
7 months ago

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials said Wednesday that inflation has fallen further toward their target level in recent months but signaled that they expect to cut their benchmark interest rate just once this year. The policymakers’ forecast for one rate cut was down from their previous projection of three cuts, because inflation, despite having cooled in the past two months, …

RBA Sees Some Households Struggling, Suggesting Rate-Hike Limits
7 months, 2 weeks ago

RBA Sees Some Households Struggling, Suggesting Rate-Hike Limits

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s inflation is showing persistent strength and weighing heavily on the finances of some households, a senior Reserve Bank official said, highlighting the limits to further interest-rate increases. “The board are absolutely focused on the fact that inflation is clearly still above the target band,” RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter said at a conference in Sydney on Thursday, referring …

Inflation rises slightly in April to 3.6pc but economists say that should ring 'alarm bells' for RBA
7 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation rises slightly in April to 3.6pc but economists say that should ring 'alarm bells' for RBA

ABC  

In short: The annual rate of inflation ticked up to 3.6 per cent in April, from 3.5 per cent in March. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, an underlying measure of inflation — called "trimmed mean" inflation — also picked up again in April, from 4 per cent to 4.1 per cent. "It does not appear that the RBA …

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