
India may see fourth COVID wave around 22 June: IIT Kanpur study
FirstpostThe researchers noted that there is always a fair chance that a possible new variant of coronavirus may have an intense impact on the whole analysis. New Delhi: The fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in India may start around 22 June and peak from mid to late August, a modelling study by researchers at the Indian Institute of Technology-Kanpur suggests. The study led by Sabara Parshad Rajeshbhai, Subhra Sankar Dhar, and Shalabh of IIT Kanpur’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics shows that the severity of the fourth wave will depend on the emergence of a possible new coronavirus variant, and vaccination status across the country. “The data indicates that the fourth wave of COVID-19 in India will arrive after 936 days from the initial data availability date, which is January 30, 2020,” the authors of the study said. In the current study, the researchers applied the statistical methodology to COVID-19 data from India to forecast the occurrence of the fourth wave in the country.
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