Australia's economy beats expectations ahead of bushfire, coronavirus impacts
ABCAustralia's economy grew by a better-than-expected 0.5 per cent in the December quarter and 2.2 per cent over the past year, according to the Bureau of Statistics. Key points: Australia's GDP growth decelerated from 0.6 per cent in the September quarter to 0.5 per cent in the three months to December But the result was better than most economists forecast, with typical estimates around 0.3 to 0.4 per cent Westpac economist Andrew Hanlan said real estate transactions and rising inventories boosted GDP in the quarter Most economists were forecasting quarterly economic growth of 0.3 or 0.4 per cent and annual growth around 2 per cent, although the lowest forecast was from AMP Capital's Shane Oliver, who tipped 0 per cent GDP growth for the quarter. Treasury has estimated that the bushfires might take 0.2 percentage points from GDP, while the OECD has warned that coronavirus could hit Australian economic growth by at least 0.5 percentage points. However, economic modelling by former Reserve Bank board member and ANU professor Warwick McKibbin found that the hit to Australian GDP in 2020 from even a moderate coronavirus pandemic would likely surpass 2 percentage points. Westpac's Andrew Hanlan said real estate agents and conveyancers were also doing very well from the housing rebound since June, with ownership transfer costs up 12.3 per cent in the quarter, adding substantially to GDP growth.