Experts Predict What A Second Wave Of Coronavirus Will Be Like
4 years, 6 months ago

Experts Predict What A Second Wave Of Coronavirus Will Be Like

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING There’s been much speculation about if and when a second coronavirus wave will come crashing down on us, and whether it has the potential to be more severe than the first crest. After all, that’s what unfolded with past respiratory infections like the 1918 flu pandemic, which had a second wave far more devastating and fatal than the first. “We see first and second waves with those because seasonally, they go away,” said Christine Johnson, a University of California, Davis professor of epidemiology and researcher on the U.S. Agency for International Development’s Emerging Pandemic Threats PREDICT project. Jennifer Horney, a disaster epidemiologist and founding director of the University of Delaware’s epidemiology program, said that predicting a new virus’s behavior based on other illnesses risks a “false expectations paradox.” Recent flu pandemics — like the avian influenza in 2005 and the H1N1 outbreak in 2009 — may have given us the wrong idea about how COVID-19 will play out, Horney said. Rimoin said a new mutation could potentially cause a bigger wave but so far this virus hasn’t mutated in a way indicating that’ll happen.

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History of this topic

Covid-19 cases rise for first time since second wave peak
3 years, 5 months ago

Covid-19 cases rise for first time since second wave peak

Hindustan Times  

After nearly three months of steady decline, daily Covid-19 infections in India have again started inching upwards, pushed largely by the high volume of daily cases in states such as Kerala where the outbreak continues to expand rapidly. The seven-day average of new infections, which denotes the country’s Covid-19 case curve, dropped to a low of 37,975 every day for …

A third COVID-19 wave can make its appearance felt as early as late August: ICMR epidemiologist Samiran Panda
3 years, 5 months ago

A third COVID-19 wave can make its appearance felt as early as late August: ICMR epidemiologist Samiran Panda

The Hindu  

Dr. Samiran Panda, Head, Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, and Director, National AIDS Research Institute, speaks exclusively to The Hindu and explains about the possibility of a third COVID-19 wave and how future waves can be prevented. One should, however, note that the peak of the third wave may not be as severe as the second …

COVID-19 third wave may hit by August-end, but will be less severe than second: ICMR expert
3 years, 5 months ago

COVID-19 third wave may hit by August-end, but will be less severe than second: ICMR expert

India TV News  

An Indian Council of Medical Research expert suggests that a COVID-19 third wave may hit the nation by August-end, but it will be less severe than the second wave. Commenting on the situation, Head of epidemiology and infectious diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research, Dr. Samiran Panda said, "It's very important for each state to examine the state …

'Next Covid wave can be bigger than second wave if...': Randeep Guleria
3 years, 5 months ago

'Next Covid wave can be bigger than second wave if...': Randeep Guleria

India TV News  

Waning immunity, the emergence of a more transmissible coronavirus variant capable of escaping the immunity shield and lockdown relaxations can be the likely causes of a possible third wave of COVID-19, AIIMS Director Randeep Guleria said on Thursday. Speaking at an event, he said the third wave can be mitigated by following Covid-appropriate behaviour such as maintaining social distancing, using …

COVID-19 in India: False positivity amidst declining second wave?
3 years, 5 months ago

COVID-19 in India: False positivity amidst declining second wave?

The Hindu  

AMONG the Union Ministers dropped from Narendra Modi’s Cabinet was Health Minister Harsh Vardhan, a doctor by profession. The same appears to be the likely fate of even the second wave as the numbers after the peak have already crossed 86 per cent of the cases between February 8 and May 6, and the daily numbers are more than double …

11,000 more deaths than expected in 2nd Covid-19 wave
3 years, 6 months ago

11,000 more deaths than expected in 2nd Covid-19 wave

NL Times  

Between mid-September 2020 and end June 2021, during the second wave of coronavirus infections in the Netherlands, the country saw 11 thousand more deaths than expected for the period. The fact that the number of Covid-19 deaths was higher than the excess mortality until end-March, has to do with the absence of a flue epidemic this past winter. In the …

COVID-19: Third wave may see half the cases recorded during second surge, says Central panel scientist
3 years, 6 months ago

COVID-19: Third wave may see half the cases recorded during second surge, says Central panel scientist

Firstpost  

According to Manindra Agarwal, a scientist working with the Sutra Model, a possible third wave could reach its peak between October and November New Delhi: A possible third wave of coronavirus infection can hit its peak between October-November if COVID-appropriate behaviour is not followed, but it may see half the daily cases recorded during the second surge, said a scientist …

Learn from the second wave, be cautious and get vaccinated
3 years, 6 months ago

Learn from the second wave, be cautious and get vaccinated

Hindustan Times  

Caution holds the key in the long and steady march to normalcy as we continue our collective fight against Covid-19, with the government driving the vaccination programme with urgency on a mission mode. Simultaneously, the vaccination drive has to be backed up by the other four proven elements in the strategy to stem the spread of the virus: Testing, Tracing, …

What Will The COVID Third Wave Be Like? An Expert Answers Your Queries
3 years, 6 months ago

What Will The COVID Third Wave Be Like? An Expert Answers Your Queries

News 18  

When the Principal Scientific Advisor to the Government of India warned the country, a few weeks ago, of an inevitable third wave of the pandemic, there was alarm among the people and outcry in the media. Will the virus cause as much, more, or less severe disease in the third wave than in the second wave? A recent study, by …

Covid-19 third wave unlikely to be as severe as second wave: Study
3 years, 6 months ago

Covid-19 third wave unlikely to be as severe as second wave: Study

Live Mint  

New Delhi, Jun 25 A third wave of COVID-19 -- if it occurs -- is unlikely to be as severe as the second wave given the extent of spread of coronavirus infections that has already taken place in the country, according to a study. Presenting a vaccine ramp-up scenario where 40 percent of the population has received two doses within …

Third COVID-19 wave unlikely to be as severe as second: ICMR
3 years, 6 months ago

Third COVID-19 wave unlikely to be as severe as second: ICMR

The Hindu  

A potential third wave would unlikely be as severe as the second wave, according to a modelling study by a team of scientists from the Indian Council of Medical Research and the Imperial College London, U.K. For it to be as devastating, at least 30% of the population who had been infected earlier must entirely lose their immunity, or an …

Third-wave seems unlikely to be as severe as the second wave: ICMR
3 years, 6 months ago

Third-wave seems unlikely to be as severe as the second wave: ICMR

Live Mint  

The third wave of covid-19 seems unlikely to be as severe as the second wave, concluded a study done by the Indian Council of Medical Research in association with Imperial College London, London. Using simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, the ICMR study examined the conditions under which a serious third wave could occur. Using a deterministic, …

Third Wave of Covid-19 Unlikely to Be as Severe as Second Wave: Study
3 years, 6 months ago

Third Wave of Covid-19 Unlikely to Be as Severe as Second Wave: Study

News 18  

A third wave of Covid-19 — if it occurs — is unlikely to be as severe as the second wave given the extent of spread of coronavirus infections that has already taken place in the country, according to a study. Presenting a vaccine ramp-up scenario where 40 percent of the population has received two doses within three months of the …

Is Covid wave 2 over? Positivity rate below 5 pc for 14 days, but experts say end still far
3 years, 6 months ago

Is Covid wave 2 over? Positivity rate below 5 pc for 14 days, but experts say end still far

India Today  

India on Monday crossed the important milestone of a Covid positivity rate of less than 5 per cent for 14 consecutive days, conforming to the WHO’s recommended requirement for a region to reopen, but experts were wary of declaring the devastating second wave over. “With the current positivity rate at less than 5 per cent, India’s Covid-19 second wave is …

Third Covid Wave: When Will it Arrive, What the Govt Said & Are Kids in Danger
3 years, 6 months ago

Third Covid Wave: When Will it Arrive, What the Govt Said & Are Kids in Danger

News 18  

AIIMS Director Dr Randeep Guleria on Saturday warned that if Covid-appropriate behaviour is not followed and crowding not prevented, the next wave of the viral infection could strike the country in the next six to eight weeks. In the poll conducted by Reuters, nearly two-thirds of experts, when asked if children and those under 18 years would be most at …

Global covid trends: The second wave and where we are headed
3 years, 7 months ago

Global covid trends: The second wave and where we are headed

Live Mint  

Global covid deaths now exceed 3.7 million, as officially recorded, and are fast approaching 500 per million of the world population. The first wave peaked in Europe between 6 March 2020 and 20 April 2020, and the second wave between 6 December 2020 and 21 January 2021. India’s second wave nevertheless appears to have peaked around 23 May at a …

Connecting the dots to mitigate a third wave
3 years, 7 months ago

Connecting the dots to mitigate a third wave

The Hindu  

After a long and painful month-and-a-half, confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India have been declining steadily for more than a month. ‘R’ and determinants A simple epidemiologic concept can be used to better understand the second wave and help plan for a potential third wave. R depends on four factors, summarised by the acronym DOTS: the Duration a person is …

Coronavirus | The need to stay prepared for multiple waves and variants
3 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus | The need to stay prepared for multiple waves and variants

The Hindu  

Even as the second wave in India seems to have already peaked, many States still report high test positivity rates suggesting more cases remain to be detected. In an email to The Hindu, Dr. Bhramar Mukherjee, Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiology at the School of Public Health, University of Michigan, and Dr. Giridhara Babu, Professor of Epidemiology at the Public …

Nobody anticipated four times strong second Covid wave, says Jaishankar, bats for enhancing supply chain capabilities
3 years, 7 months ago

Nobody anticipated four times strong second Covid wave, says Jaishankar, bats for enhancing supply chain capabilities

India Today  

External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, on Thursday, pushed for enhancing supply chain capabilities to “de-risk” the world economy. That is a 40 times increase,” said Jaishankar, adding, “It is not like people didn’t think of a second wave. Nobody saw a four times wave coming at us as the second wave.” While there is much debate over whether if the …

Will there be a third wave of coronavirus? AIIMS Director Dr. Randeep Guleria answers | Exclusive
3 years, 8 months ago

Will there be a third wave of coronavirus? AIIMS Director Dr. Randeep Guleria answers | Exclusive

India TV News  

AIIMS Director Dr. Randeep Guleria on Sunday said that any epidemic usually make its impact in three waves out of which it is believed that the second wave proves to be the most dangerous one. Speaking exclusively to India TV as part of #JeetegaIndia, Harega Corona health conclave, Dr. Guleria also responded on whether the second wave of coronavirus in …

How different will Covid's 3rd wave be from first two? What government says
3 years, 8 months ago

How different will Covid's 3rd wave be from first two? What government says

Hindustan Times  

Variants are only one factor of the huge second wave of the Covid-19 that is sweeping the country now, the government's principal scientific advisor K Vijay Raghavan said on Wednesday. As new variants of a virus are natural, the existing variants will make way for new variants which may or may not be more virulent, but variants should not make …

Covid second wave is nearing its peak: Noted virologist Dr T Jacob John
3 years, 8 months ago

Covid second wave is nearing its peak: Noted virologist Dr T Jacob John

New Indian Express  

Yes indeed, the scale and speed of spread in second wave took me by surprise. That was because I, like everyone else, was under the impression that India had only the "founder variant" Wuhan virus, which was later replaced by "D614G" variant. The second wave is mostly being driven by new variants -- UK, South Africa and Brazil variants plus …

Third wave of Covid inevitable, says government
3 years, 8 months ago

Third wave of Covid inevitable, says government

Hindustan Times  

India has detected a total of 3,532 Sars-CoV-2 variants of concern in 27 states, the government announced on Wednesday, adding that a third wave of Covid-19 was inevitable looking at the current surge in infections. Three-four states had shown higher variant load, including Maharashtra, Punjab, Delhi, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. A combination of the standing level of immunity in the …

May 4, 2021 coronavirus news
3 years, 8 months ago

May 4, 2021 coronavirus news

CNN  

M Vidyasagar, chair of the Covid-19 Modeling Committee CNN India should see a downturn in the number of cases “within a matter of a week or two, possibly within days” according to their latest model, M Vidyasagar, chair of the Covid-19 Modeling Committee, told CNN on Tuesday. “We underestimated the number of cases at the start of April but subsequent …

Second Wave of Covid-19 Very Similar to First Wave: Govt Cites Data to Alleviate Fear
3 years, 8 months ago

Second Wave of Covid-19 Very Similar to First Wave: Govt Cites Data to Alleviate Fear

News 18  

The Health Ministry on Wednesday released a slew of comparative data, showing that the severity, virulence and demography of the victims in the ongoing second wave of Covid-19 are about the same as the first wave. According to the figures shared by Bhushan, 4.03 per cent Covid-19 cases were reported in the first wave in those below 10 years, while …

COVID second wave: Clueless Centre cannot hold
3 years, 8 months ago

COVID second wave: Clueless Centre cannot hold

The Hindu  

The latest trend of rising COVID-19cases in India, which has once again made the country one of the hotbeds of the pandemic, can only be described as an explosion. From 78,395 confirmed cases across India in the week ending February 14, 2021, the weekly total increased steadily over the next three weeks by 13.9 per cent, 19.2 per cent and …

India may see 2,320 daily Covid-19 deaths by first week of June in second wave: Lancet report
3 years, 8 months ago

India may see 2,320 daily Covid-19 deaths by first week of June in second wave: Lancet report

India Today  

With India in the grip of a second Covid-19 wave, the country may see 1,750 coronavirus related deaths per day, rising to approximately 2,320 by the first week of June, a report of the Lancet Covid-19 Commission by India Task Force members said. The report, titled “Managing India’s second Covid-19 wave: Urgent steps”, highlights the key points of the second …

On the trail of the second wave’s dynamics
3 years, 8 months ago

On the trail of the second wave’s dynamics

The Hindu  

The rapid ascent of the second wave of COVID-19 in India from the third week of February, a major source of concern for the general public, the government, health administrators and the medical profession, needs to be carefully interpreted. While the cumulative number at the peak of the first wave was 51,15,893, infections in the second wave in the last …

Covid-19 second wave: 5 reasons why coronavirus cases are rising
3 years, 9 months ago

Covid-19 second wave: 5 reasons why coronavirus cases are rising

India Today  

On September 16 last year, India recorded its highest daily Covid-19 cases at 97,860. In the first Covid-19 wave, the biggest jump in the active caseload was recorded on September 10 last year when it increased by 24,610. Here are five possible explanations: Protocol fatigue According to experts at the John Hopkins Medicine, human behaviour is the major factor for …

2nd wave of Covid-19 in India could last up to 100 days, peak in April: Report says vaccination more effective
3 years, 9 months ago

2nd wave of Covid-19 in India could last up to 100 days, peak in April: Report says vaccination more effective

India Today  

India is in the midst of a second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. The report argued that if one considers the number of days taken to reach the current level from the lowest level of daily new cases witnessed on February 21, the time it took for the second Covid-19 wave to hit India is similar to what happened in …

The Hindu Explains | Is the recent spike in COVID-19 infections indicative of a ‘second wave’, and will it be as severe as the first one?
3 years, 10 months ago

The Hindu Explains | Is the recent spike in COVID-19 infections indicative of a ‘second wave’, and will it be as severe as the first one?

The Hindu  

The story so far: Experts remain divided on the question of whether the slow yet steady rise in the number of COVID-19 cases in the country over the last week of February is indicative of the onset of a ‘second wave’. In an interview to The Hindu, Manindra Agrawal, deputy director at IIT Kanpur and a leading mathematician involved with …

Second wave will soon put regular care at risk: health authorities
4 years ago

Second wave will soon put regular care at risk: health authorities

NL Times  

If the number of coronavirus infections does not fall quickly, people may soon be unable to get the regular care they need, the Health and Youth Care Inspectorate and Dutch healthcare authority NZa warned in a letter to Minister Tamara van Ark for Medical Care, ANP reports. Hospitals are currently still able to provide most of the treatments that have …

Second Covid-19 wave likely to hit Maharashtra in January, 4,132 cases recorded on Friday
4 years, 1 month ago

Second Covid-19 wave likely to hit Maharashtra in January, 4,132 cases recorded on Friday

Hindustan Times  

In last one month, Maharashtra has seen rapid improvement in its Covid-19 situation with more recoveries and fewer daily infections. A circular from the government’s health services directorate dated November 11 said a second wave of the pandemic is likely in January-February. The circular said the need of the hour is to celebrate a firecracker-free Diwali keeping in mind health …

Second COVID-19 wave in Maharashtra likely in Jan-Feb; govt asks authorities to not get complacent on testing
4 years, 1 month ago

Second COVID-19 wave in Maharashtra likely in Jan-Feb; govt asks authorities to not get complacent on testing

Firstpost  

In a circular, the Maharashtra govt also asked local authorities to ensure there are testing labs in each district and municipal corporation limits Mumbai: Anticipating a second COVID-19 wave in January-February, the Maharashtra government has asked the authorities to ensure there is no complacency in testing and said labs should be functional in every district and municipal corporation limits. A …

Coronavirus | No let up in COVID-19 tests, second wave likely in January-February: Maharashtra government
4 years, 1 month ago

Coronavirus | No let up in COVID-19 tests, second wave likely in January-February: Maharashtra government

The Hindu  

Anticipating a second COVID-19 wave in January-February, the Maharashtra government has asked the authorities to ensure there is no complacency in testing and said labs should be functional in every district and municipal corporation limits. A circular from the Government’s health services directorate dated November 11 said a second wave of the pandemic is likely in January-February. The circular said …

Peak of second Covid wave may be in sight: Public health institute
4 years, 2 months ago

Peak of second Covid wave may be in sight: Public health institute

NL Times  

After a week of record-high coronavirus infections in the Netherlands, public health institute RIVM is cautiously seeing some spots for optimism. The peak of the second wave of Covid-19 infections seems to be coming into sight, RIVM modeller Jacco Walliinga said to newspaper AD. While 10 thousand new infections a day is a whole lot, it is also stable. In …

India still under 1st Covid wave, 2nd wave yet to come: Experts at India Today Healthgiri Awards
4 years, 3 months ago

India still under 1st Covid wave, 2nd wave yet to come: Experts at India Today Healthgiri Awards

India Today  

The first wave of coronavirus in India is still on and the second wave is yet to come, even though the number of Covid-19 cases has been rising, experts said on Friday. Taking part in a session during the India Today Healthgiri Awards-2020, Dr Rajesh Parikh, director of medical research, Jaslok Hospital said there is no question of India having …

COVID-19: All you need to know about Europe’s second wave
4 years, 3 months ago

COVID-19: All you need to know about Europe’s second wave

Al Jazeera  

Alarm spreads across the continent as cases of the novel coronavirus rise amid relaxed physical distancing. In the Czech Republic, in a televised debate on Sunday, former health minister Adam Vojtech who resigned on Monday as cases climbed above 50,000 said the government could declare a state of emergency if the infection rate continued to rise – a measure several …

The Curious Case of a Second Coronavirus Wave in India
4 years, 3 months ago

The Curious Case of a Second Coronavirus Wave in India

News 18  

Is there one or not? Dr Randeep Guleria, member of India’s National Task Force on Covid-19, director of Delhi’s AIIMS and a leading pulmonologist told CNN-News18 about some parts of the country witnessing a ‘second wave’ of infection. “We don’t know if it will be a second wave, a second peak or a continuing first wave in some countries,” she …

Coronavirus: What is second wave of pandemic and has Covid-19 hit that stage in India?
4 years, 4 months ago

Coronavirus: What is second wave of pandemic and has Covid-19 hit that stage in India?

India Today  

Pandemics are known to have multiple waves before they die down. With many states in India recording sudden spikes in fresh cases of Covid-19 in recent days after showing signs of relent, the second wave of Covid-19 has been in focus in conversations about the coronavirus pandemic. For example, August 3, 10, 17 and 24 have reported minimum number of …

Is the world facing a second coronavirus wave?
4 years, 5 months ago

Is the world facing a second coronavirus wave?

Al Jazeera  

The number of new cases is surging around the globe and governments are weighing options to face it. Just a few weeks ago, many countries thought they had the coronavirus under control as the number of cases was falling and the curve of infections flattening. A sudden record number of infections is being reported in many countries. The World Health …

UK coronavirus infections rise as ministers fret over second wave in Europe
4 years, 5 months ago

UK coronavirus infections rise as ministers fret over second wave in Europe

India Today  

Britain reported its highest number of new coronavirus infections in more than a month on Thursday, as ministers fretted about the second wave of cases in Europe and warned more quarantine restrictions were possible. Prime Minister Boris Johnson said coronavirus was under some measure of control in Britain, but a resurgence in some European countries showed the pandemic was not …

Covid-19 rise a sign of possible second wave; "This is a wake-up call" says expert
4 years, 5 months ago

Covid-19 rise a sign of possible second wave; "This is a wake-up call" says expert

NL Times  

News of an alarming increase in the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the Netherlands must serve as a reminder to people to remain cautious and vigilant, said Aura Timen, the head of the Center for Infectious Disease Control. She noted the "significant increase" in every benchmark which measures the spread of the novel coronavirus responsible for respiratory illness Covid-19. It …

JOHN NAISH: Why the UK's deadliest coronavirus threat is now complacency
4 years, 6 months ago

JOHN NAISH: Why the UK's deadliest coronavirus threat is now complacency

Daily Mail  

Are we already starting to suffer a second wave of Covid-19 before the first wave has even fully subsided? A woman wearing a face mask walks past social distance advisory signs in Leicester's North Evington neighbourhood today Matt Hancock announced non-essential shops will shut from tomorrow and schools will close from Thursday in Leicester The fear is that viral pandemic …

South Korea says it has a second wave of coronavirus infections — but what does that really mean?
4 years, 6 months ago

South Korea says it has a second wave of coronavirus infections — but what does that really mean?

ABC  

Social distancing and lockdowns have created substantial economic losses across the world — but with many countries now easing restrictions, fear is rising about the risk of a second wave of infections. Key points: Some experts are reluctant to use the term "second wave" Some experts are reluctant to use the term "second wave" It is used to refer to …

Second Wave Of Coronavirus Cases? Experts Say We're Still In The First.
4 years, 6 months ago

Second Wave Of Coronavirus Cases? Experts Say We're Still In The First.

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING What’s all this talk about a “second wave” of U.S. coronavirus cases? In The Wall Street Journal last week, Vice President Mike Pence wrote in a piece headlined “There Isn’t a Coronavirus ‘Second Wave’” that the nation is winning the fight against the virus. Let’s get out of the first wave before you have a second wave.” …

2nd wave of virus cases? Experts say we’re still in the 1st
4 years, 6 months ago

2nd wave of virus cases? Experts say we’re still in the 1st

Associated Press  

What’s all this talk about a “second wave” of U.S. coronavirus cases? In The Wall Street Journal last week, Vice President Mike Pence wrote in a piece headlined “There Isn’t a Coronavirus ‘Second Wave’” that the nation is winning the fight against the virus. Let’s get out of the first wave before you have a second wave.” Clearly there was …

June 19, 2020 coronavirus news
4 years, 6 months ago

June 19, 2020 coronavirus news

CNN  

World Health Organization There are no specific definitions for classifying a second wave or a second peak of coronavirus, Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of the World Health Organization’s Health Emergencies Program, said during a briefing on Friday. Ryan did explain some differences between both: A second wave, Ryan said, is when “a number of cases rises and it falls …

The second wave? Global markets slip on new coronavirus concerns
4 years, 6 months ago

The second wave? Global markets slip on new coronavirus concerns

Al Jazeera  

Equities and oil prices fall in Asia after new virus cases surge in China and many parts of the US. Global markets started the week on the back foot on Monday while oil prices slipped as fears of a second wave of coronavirus infections in China and a surge in cases in the United States sent investors scurrying for safe-haven …

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