India’s GDP likely slowed to 6.5% in Q2
Live MintAfter double digit expansion in the first quarter, India’s economic growth will likely slow to 6.5% in the second quarter largely due to the high base and erosion of corporate profitability due to inflation, according to economists. In fact, the second half of FY23 will likely see a sharp deceleration in growth on account of the global economic environment, which is expected to have a bearing on India’s exports and overall economy. “We estimate GDP growth in Q2 FY2023 at 6.5-6.7%, benefitting from robust demand for contact-intensive services, pre-festive season stocking of goods and easing margin pressure in some sectors. The downsides are posed by the mixed output trends revealed by the advance estimates of kharif production, adverse input cost movements for sectors such as cement, as well as the impact of the flagging external demand on non-oil merchandise exports,” said Aditi Nayar, chief economist, ICRA Ltd. RBI governor Shaktikanta Das had cautioned during the last policy meet in September that headwinds from extended geopolitical tensions, tightening global financial conditions and possible decline in global demand can pose downside risks to growth.