In Forecasting Hurricane Dorian, Models Fell Short
4 years, 10 months ago

In Forecasting Hurricane Dorian, Models Fell Short

NPR  

In Forecasting Hurricane Dorian, Models Fell Short Enlarge this image toggle caption Russell Lewis/NPR Russell Lewis/NPR Hurricane forecasters and the models they depend on failed to anticipate the strength and impact of last year's deadliest storm. The head of the National Hurricane Center, Ken Graham said, "Dorian's forecast was extremely difficult because we were tracking three centers." Where forecasters and the computer models fell short was predicting Dorian's intensity. Although some models and the official NHC forecast indicated Dorian's forward motion would slow as it neared the Bahamas, none predicted the storm would stall there, pounding Great Abaco for several hours with intense winds and subjecting it to tropical storm force winds for three days.

History of this topic

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