
In Forecasting Hurricane Dorian, Models Fell Short
NPRIn Forecasting Hurricane Dorian, Models Fell Short Enlarge this image toggle caption Russell Lewis/NPR Russell Lewis/NPR Hurricane forecasters and the models they depend on failed to anticipate the strength and impact of last year's deadliest storm. The head of the National Hurricane Center, Ken Graham said, "Dorian's forecast was extremely difficult because we were tracking three centers." Where forecasters and the computer models fell short was predicting Dorian's intensity. Although some models and the official NHC forecast indicated Dorian's forward motion would slow as it neared the Bahamas, none predicted the storm would stall there, pounding Great Abaco for several hours with intense winds and subjecting it to tropical storm force winds for three days.
History of this topic

Hurricane Dorian death toll will be ‘staggering’, says Bahamas as storm barrels up US coast
The Independent
Hurricane Dorian survivors struggle with aftermath
Al Jazeera
Dorian, now post-tropical cyclone, makes landfall in Canada; no casualties as storm topples trees, power lines
Firstpost
Hurricane Dorian: Toll rises to 43 across Bahamas; number expected to climb significantly, says govt
Firstpost
Death and destruction stalk Bahamas in wake of Hurricane Dorian
Al Jazeera
In Bahamas, Officials Assess 'Generational Devastation' From Hurricane Dorian
NPR
Hurricane Dorian: Millions of Americans ordered to evacuate homes after storm batters Bahamas
The Independent
Hurricane Dorian moves toward Florida after inflicting 'extreme damage' on the Bahamas
Firstpost
Trail of destruction left behind by Hurricane Dorian
Al Jazeera
Hurricane Dorian weakens to Category 3 storm, stalled over Bahamas, but still dangerous, says Miami-based NHC
Firstpost
Hurricane Dorian: Bahamas suffers ‘huge damage’ as storm becomes joint strongest ever
The Independent
Category 4 Hurricane Dorian triggers floods in Bahamas, at least 5 presumed dead; PM calls devastation 'unprecedented and extensive'
Firstpost
How climate change makes hurricanes more dangerous
CNN
Hurricane Dorian kills at least five in Bahamas, turn to Florida expected
India Today
Scary visuals: Hurricane Dorian triggers massive flooding in Bahamas, at least 5 dead
India Today
Hurricane Dorian weakens to category 3, Bahamas continue to battle floodwater
India Today
Dorian strikes Bahamas with record fury as Category 5 storm
Associated Press
Hurricane Dorian: Category 5 storm hits Bahamas
Al Jazeera
Hurricane Dorian: Storm kills 5 people in Abaco Islands, Prime Minister says
CNN
Hurricane Dorian's Sluggish Movement Makes Future Path Hard To Project
NPR
5 Dead As Slow-Moving Dorian Batters The Bahamas, Tracks Toward U.S.
NPR
Hurricane Dorian strikes Bahamas with 295 kph winds; Florida, Carolinas keep a wary eye on dangerous Category 5 storm
Firstpost
Hurricane Dorian evolves into Category 5 storm, to hit Abaco Island in Bahamas, say US weather forecasters
Firstpost
Hurricane Dorian Intensifies To Dangerous Category 5 Storm
Huff Post
Northern Bahamas hunkers down as Hurricane Dorian closes in
India TV News
Dorian strikes Bahamas with record fury as Category 5 storm
India Today
Hurricane Dorian hits the Bahamas as a Category 5 storm
Salon
Historic Hurricane Dorian Bears Down On Northern Bahamas As A Category 5 Storm
NPR
Hurricane Dorian wreaks havoc in the Bahamas with 'catastrophic' winds reaching 225 miles per hour
The Telegraph
Bahamas pummeled by Hurricane Dorian’s 185-mph winds as hurricane warnings are issued for parts of Florida
CNN
Alert sounded in Bahamas, Florida as Hurricane Dorian strengthens into 'extremely dangerous Category-4' storm
Firstpost
Dorian becomes a Category 4 monster powering toward Florida
Associated Press
Hurricane Dorian Reaches Category 5 Status As It Approaches The Bahamas
NPR
‘A big deal': Florida braces for Hurricane Dorian
Associated Press
Will Hurricane Dorian follow in Andrew’s devastating footsteps?
LA Times
A big deal: Florida braces for Hurricane Dorian
India Today
Storm strengthens to a Category 4, National Hurricane Center says
CNN
Why Hurricane Dorian is so dangerous
CNN
Hurricane Dorian Grows Into Category 4 Storm As It Heads Toward Bahamas, U.S.
NPR
Hurricane Dorian news live: Storm tracker and updates as Florida declares state of emergency
The Independent
Hurricane Dorian set to pummel Florida after cutting power on Caribbean islands
The Independent
Florida Governor Declares State Of Emergency As Hurricane Dorian Gains Force
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