Opinion | Unlocking the economy: policy roadmap for India after 14 April
4 years, 9 months ago

Opinion | Unlocking the economy: policy roadmap for India after 14 April

Live Mint  

Long before the coronavirus surfaced as a pandemic, the Indian economy was in the midst of a serious downturn. The following sectors, taken together, account for more than two-fifths of India’s gross domestic product : manufacturing, mining, construction, trade, hotels & restaurants, and transport. The same sectors, taken together, also account for more than two-fifths of total employment: manufacturing, mining, construction, trade, hotels & restaurants, and transport. Monetary policy would need to bring down interest rates by 1-1.5 percentage points, plus quantitative easing through RBI lines of credit to banks to assist large firms, particularly in distressed sectors, inter alia by restructuring debt. If the economy is in freefall, the massive slippage in government revenues would balloon the fiscal deficit to similar levels, without any hope of recovery.

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History of this topic

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes
4 days, 6 hours ago

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes

Live Mint  

The first advance estimates released on Tuesday forecast India's growth at 6.4%, the slowest in four years. Services dominance India’s services exports surpassed goods exports, reaching $35.7 billion—about $3 billion more than goods--in November 2024, preliminary data showed. India’s share in global services exports has steadily grown, reaching 4.2% by 2023, while its share in goods exports has remained flat …

​Growth chill: On the economy
6 days, 12 hours ago

​Growth chill: On the economy

The Hindu  

The National Statistics Office has confirmed emerging fears about the economy’s evidently sluggish trajectory through this year in its first Gross Domestic Product estimates for 2024-25. While the election-focused first quarter hit public capital spending, the second quarter was marred by weak demand and still underwhelming public capex, dragging GDP growth to a seven-quarter low of 5.4%. The NSO’s projection …

India's small businesses drive jobs growth, wage gains curbed by inflation
3 weeks ago

India's small businesses drive jobs growth, wage gains curbed by inflation

The Hindu  

India's small businesses spanning the manufacturing, trade and services sectors added about 11 million jobs in the year to the end of September, with total employment rising to 120.6 million from 109.6 million the previous year, though wage growth was limited by high inflation. The number of small manufacturing businesses, mainly family- owned units such as garment makers, auto component …

India must shift its policy focus to address the demand deficiency that ails its economy.
1 month ago

India must shift its policy focus to address the demand deficiency that ails its economy.

Live Mint  

Two key pieces of economic data released last month have rung alarm bells on the state of India’s economy. Rural wages have been stagnant for the last 10 years, but even general wages have shown a decline in real terms for both rural and urban areas for more than a decade. The Centre’s strategy for managing food inflation has largely …

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P
1 month ago

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P

Firstpost  

In its India outlook for 2025, S&P also retained India’s growth forecast for current fiscal at 6.8 per cent, followed by 6.9 per cent growth in 2025-26 S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday said the Indian economy is set for “resilient growth” in 2025 and projected inflation pressure to recede which will lead to “modest” easing of the monetary policy by …

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too

Live Mint  

India’s growth in gross domestic product of 5.4% in the three months ended 30 September, or the second quarter of 2024-25, was a shocker. It’s the lowest level seen since the third quarter of 2022-23 and a sharp drop from 8.1% growth in the same period last year and also from 6.7% in the first quarter of 2024-25. Given the …

GDP numbers a cause for worry
1 month, 1 week ago

GDP numbers a cause for worry

Hindustan Times  

That the Indian economy would lose some momentum as the pent-up demand from the pandemic was exhausted was a given. The September quarter headline GDP growth of 5.4% was more than a percentage point lower than what private and the Reserve Bank of India forecasts expected. The Indian economy’s tepid growth performance is a result of weak animal spirits triggering …

‘Indian economy cannot progress as long as…’: Rahul Gandhi hits out at Centre
Trending News
1 month, 1 week ago

‘Indian economy cannot progress as long as…’: Rahul Gandhi hits out at Centre

Hindustan Times  

Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha, Rahul Gandhi on Sunday said that the India's Gross Domestic Product growth rate has fallen to its lowest in two years at 5.4 percent. Rahul Gandhi on Sunday said India's GDP growth has dropped to 5.4 percent, the lowest in two years. The thing is clear - the Indian economy cannot progress as …

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data

Hindustan Times  

India's Gross Domestic Product growth slowed down to 5.4% during the second quarter of the financial year 2024-25 due to the falling growth rate in manufacturing, consumption, and mining. India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25, govt data shows In comparison, the GDP growth rate was 8.1% in the second quarter of 2023-24, according to government data released …

India’s GDP growth: The first half faltered, but economy seen rebounding in the second
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth: The first half faltered, but economy seen rebounding in the second

Live Mint  

Two consecutive quarters of disappointing economic growth have left economists pinning their hopes on a rebound in the second half of the fiscal year. Some economists, however, expect India’s FY25 GDP growth to be lower than the Reserve Bank of India’s 7.2% outlook because of the disappointing economic growth in the first two quarters of the fiscal year. “Government will …

India's Q2 GDP slows to 5.4%, hits 18-month low on weak consumption
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India's Q2 GDP slows to 5.4%, hits 18-month low on weak consumption

India Today  

India’s GDP growth for the July-September quarter fell sharply to 5.4%, marking an 18-month low, as per data released by the National Statistics Office on Friday. Manufacturing growth decelerated significantly to 2.2%, compared to 14.3% in the same quarter last year and 7% in the previous quarter. The weaker-than-expected GDP growth raises concerns about the sustainability of economic recovery, particularly …

India’s GDP growth likely moderated to 6.5% in Q2, says Icra
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth likely moderated to 6.5% in Q2, says Icra

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India’s GDP growth is likely to have slowed marginally to 6.5% in the second quarter of FY2025 from 6.7% in the previous quarter, primarily due to heavy rainfall, weak corporate margins, and subdued exports, according to rating agency Icra. While government capital expenditure and healthy kharif sowing provided a lift, their impact was offset by disruptions caused by …

IMF Sees India's Economic Growth and Outlook as Stable
2 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF Sees India's Economic Growth and Outlook as Stable

New Indian Express  

India remains the world's fastest-growing economy, with inflation expected to decline to 4.4% in FY24-25. IMF Director Krishna Srinivasan highlights the country's strong macroeconomic fundamentals, including a large and growing population, favourable harvests, and a stable fiscal situation. Srinivasan suggests that the country focus on creating jobs, removing trade restrictions, and investing in infrastructure and education to strengthen its economy …

Job Creation Seems Better Than Before but What About Quality and Sustainability?
5 months, 1 week ago

Job Creation Seems Better Than Before but What About Quality and Sustainability?

The Quint  

India's job market landscape presents a complex narrative, characterised by both positive indicators and underlying anxieties. The Reserve Bank of India recently published 'Measuring Productivity at the Industry Level-The India KLEMS Database,' providing data on employment trends across 27 key industries in India. The database, spanning FY 1980-81 to 2022-23 aims to provide critical data points on economic output, worker …

India Needs to Create 78.51 Lakh Jobs in Non-Farm Sector: Survey
5 months, 3 weeks ago

India Needs to Create 78.51 Lakh Jobs in Non-Farm Sector: Survey

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: The government on Monday asserted that the Indian economy needs to generate around 78.51 lakh jobs annually in the non-farm sector to meet growing demand and population growth. “The Indian economy needs to generate an average of nearly 78.5 lakh jobs annually until 2030 in the non-farm sector to cater to the rising workforce,” said the survey. “Casual …

Economic Survey 2023-24: Economy needs to generate nearly 78.51 lakh jobs annually in the non-farm sector
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Economic Survey 2023-24: Economy needs to generate nearly 78.51 lakh jobs annually in the non-farm sector

The Hindu  

India's workforce is nearly 56.5 crore, with more than 45% employed in agriculture, 11.4% in manufacturing, 28.9% in services, and 13.0% in construction, highlights the Economic Survey 2023-24 released by the finance ministry on July 22. It stated, “The female labour force participation rate has been rising for six years, from 23.3% in 2017-18 to 37% in 2022-23, driven mainly …

Economic Survey 2024 key highlights: FY25 growth forecast, inflation outlook and more
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Economic Survey 2024 key highlights: FY25 growth forecast, inflation outlook and more

India Today  

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharman on Monday tabled the Economic Survey 2023-24, which highlighted that the Indian economy is “on a strong wicket and stable footing”. Here are some of the key takeaways from the Economic Survey 2023-24: Indian economy on 'strong wicket' The Economic Survey highlighted that the economy is growing strongly, demonstrating resilience despite challenges. Inflation under control, private …

In search of jobs: On the challenge of employment generation
5 months, 4 weeks ago

In search of jobs: On the challenge of employment generation

The Hindu  

Employment generation will remain a major challenge before the Narendra Modi government in its third term, and the upcoming Union Budget is expected to take note of it. The ILO’s India Employment Report had also warned that the share of manufacturing employment was stagnant, at around 12%-14% and the slow transition of jobs from agriculture to non agriculture reversed due …

Revive India’s unorganized sector to raise incomes and tackle unemployment
6 months ago

Revive India’s unorganized sector to raise incomes and tackle unemployment

Live Mint  

The release of the Annual Survey of Unincorporated Sector Enterprises by the National Statistical Office fills an important data gap in our understanding of what is happening in the unorganized sector. The net impact of this is that the total number of workers in the unorganized sector has fallen from 111.3 million in 2015-16 to 110 million in 2022-23. While …

India won't be able to create enough jobs over next decade even if economy grows 7%: Citigroup
6 months, 1 week ago

India won't be able to create enough jobs over next decade even if economy grows 7%: Citigroup

Hindustan Times  

India will struggle to create enough jobs for its growing workforce over the next decade even if the economy grows at a rapid pace of 7%, Citigroup Inc. said, suggesting the world’s most-populous nation will need more concerted steps to boost employment and skills. India will struggle to create enough jobs for its growing workforce over the next decade even …

Economic survey: What’s helping Delhi economy revive after the pandemic?
10 months, 1 week ago

Economic survey: What’s helping Delhi economy revive after the pandemic?

Hindustan Times  

The advance estimates of Gross Domestic Product for 2023-24 released with Delhi’s 2023-24 Economic Survey on March 1 show one promising trend. The secondary sector – this comprises manufacturing, electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services, and construction sub-sectors – has contributed ₹ 15.02 lakh crore or 22% to the growth in Delhi’s GVA since 2019-20. The secondary sector …

India’s Q3 GDP bucks all estimates at 8.4% growth
10 months, 2 weeks ago

India’s Q3 GDP bucks all estimates at 8.4% growth

Hindustan Times  

The Indian economy continued to outperform, with GDP growth in the quarter ending December coming in at 8.4%, beating analyst estimates by around 180 basis points or 1.8 percentage points, and the government now expects the economy to grow by 7.6% in 2023-24, up from the 7.3% projected in January. Given the fact that GDP numbers for 2021-22 and 2022-23 …

India will be $7 trillion economy by 2030
11 months, 2 weeks ago

India will be $7 trillion economy by 2030

Firstpost  

India can aspire to become a $7 trillion economy by 2030, according to “The Indian Economy: A Review” written by V Anantha Nageswaran, Chief Economic Adviser to the government, and his team of economists. Meanwhile, as per National Statistical Office, the Indian economy is estimated to grow 7.3 per cent in 2023-24, while Reserve Bank of India projected a 7 …

India will be third largest GDP by 2027, says Nirmala
1 year, 1 month ago

India will be third largest GDP by 2027, says Nirmala

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Terming the India-Middle East-Europe Connectivity Corridor as one of the most promising connectivity projects, Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Wednesday said that it would be a win-win situation for all stakeholders who are involved in bringing efficiency in transportation, reducing logistic costs, increasing economic unity, generating employment, and lowering greenhouse gas emissions. The country’s economic growth is …

Indian economic prospects may require a more realistic analysis
1 year, 4 months ago

Indian economic prospects may require a more realistic analysis

Live Mint  

The chaos and cacophony of bazaars have a life-affirming quality. Walking through a Delhi bazaar last week, chatting with friendly shopkeepers and roadside merchants and revelling in the warm glow of traditional India, it was impossible not to feel optimistic about the country’s prospects. Recall that, in 2020-21, India’s economy, still recovering from an unwarranted demonetization, contracted by 7% as …

An uneven rebound: The Hindu Editorial on the economy
1 year, 4 months ago

An uneven rebound: The Hindu Editorial on the economy

The Hindu  

India’s economy, as measured by the Gross Domestic Product as well as the Gross Value Added, grew 7.8% in the first quarter of the year. But the months ahead could prove to be more challenging with global headwinds that have hit goods exports and manufacturing already, combining with domestic pressures from the renewed spurt in inflation and the likelihood of …

DC Edit | Inflation, exports still a concern
1 year, 4 months ago

DC Edit | Inflation, exports still a concern

Deccan Chronicle  

India’s economy performed well by growing at the rate of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of financial year 2023-24, thanks to a significant increase in private consumption, government capital expenditure, financials and services. Though the current growth rate pales in comparison with 13.1 per cent expansion in the economy witnessed in the first quarter of FY 2022-23, it …

ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES | Is the Indian economy booming in the 76th year of independence?
1 year, 4 months ago

ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES | Is the Indian economy booming in the 76th year of independence?

The Hindu  

Published : Aug 24, 2023 11:00 IST - 6 MINS READ On the completion of 76 years since Indian Independence, a wide range of “informed” opinions from government spokespersons, non-government analysts, and large sections of the domestic and foreign media, enthusiastically or grudgingly declared that, as an economy, India is doing very well. This bounce back from the 5.8 per …

DC Edit | Economy in the right direction
1 year, 7 months ago

DC Edit | Economy in the right direction

Deccan Chronicle  

The report that India’s gross domestic product grew at 6.1 per cent during the January-March quarter of the fiscal year 2022-23 is yet another indicator that the country’s economy is healthy and headed in the right direction. This will push the overall growth rate to 7.2 per cent for the full year, April 2022 to March 2023. Electricity, gas, water …

India’s GDP expanded 6.1% in 2022-23’s last quarter
1 year, 7 months ago

India’s GDP expanded 6.1% in 2022-23’s last quarter

The Hindu  

India’s GDP growth accelerated to 6.1% in the January to March 2023 quarter, lifting the economy’s uptick in 2022-23 to 7.2% from the 7% estimated earlier, according to the provisional national income data released by the National Statistical Office on Wednesday. The higher-than-expected GDP growth last year could also temper growth expectations for this year, which the government and central …

India’s economy picks up speed amid global slowdown
1 year, 7 months ago

India’s economy picks up speed amid global slowdown

Al Jazeera  

With 6.1% quarterly growth, India remains one of the fastest growing emerging economies, especially as China’s recovery stumbles. India’s economic growth has accelerated to 6.1 percent in the January–to-March quarter, boosted by government and private capital spending even as private consumption remained sluggish, government data shows. The manufacturing sector, which for the past decade has accounted for just 17 percent …

India’s post-pandemic potential growth could be pushed higher
1 year, 9 months ago

India’s post-pandemic potential growth could be pushed higher

Live Mint  

Three years have now passed since the pandemic brought the world to a standstill. The World Bank has this week released a large database with estimates of potential growth over the years for various countries. First, the World Bank estimates Indian potential growth at 7% a year. Second, Indian potential growth is higher than that of most emerging economies it …

RBI projects economic growth at 6.4% for next fiscal
1 year, 11 months ago

RBI projects economic growth at 6.4% for next fiscal

Firstpost  

Announcing the bi-monthly monetary policy, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the RBI’s internal survey says manufacturing, services and infrastructure sector firms are optimistic of the business outlook New Delhi: The Reserve Bank of India has projected India’s economic growth to slow down to 6.4 per cent in FY24 from 7 per cent in the current fiscal, citing risks from geo-political …

After 'smart recovery' from Covid, what do MSMEs expect from Budget 2023
1 year, 11 months ago

After 'smart recovery' from Covid, what do MSMEs expect from Budget 2023

Hindustan Times  

The micro, small and medium enterprises sector has posted smart recovery from pandemic-induced shock, with the goods and services tax paid by the sector in fiscal year 2022 exceeding the pre-pandemic level in FY20, the Economic Survey tabled in parliament on Tuesday noted. The Economic survey highlighted Covid had a significant negative impact on the sector’s performance. Economic survey highlighted …

Indian economy forecast to keep growing at more than 6% despite global downturn
1 year, 11 months ago

Indian economy forecast to keep growing at more than 6% despite global downturn

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy India’s growth story is set …

Employment recovers beyond pre-Covid level: Economic Survey 2022-23 | DETAILS
1 year, 11 months ago

Employment recovers beyond pre-Covid level: Economic Survey 2022-23 | DETAILS

India TV News  

Economic Survey 2022-23: According to Economic Survey 2022-23 tabled in the Parliament on Tuesday, the labour markets and employment recovered beyond pre-Covid level with sustained effort in last few years. Unemployment rate declined to 7.2 Quarterly urban employment data shows progress beyond pre-pandemic levels as the unemployment rate declined from 8.3 per cent in July-September 2019 to 7.2 per cent …

Eco Survey LIVE: GDP will rise to 8% if global economy recoups, says CEA
1 year, 11 months ago

Eco Survey LIVE: GDP will rise to 8% if global economy recoups, says CEA

Business Standard  

Recovery of economy is complete; non-banking and corporate sectors now have healthy balance sheets, hence, we don't have to speak of pandemic recovery any more, we have to look ahead to the next phase, said Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran. He added that leverage ratio in corporate sector went very sharply in first decade of millenium, second decade was …

Despite India's economic growth, few jobs and meagre pay for urban youth
1 year, 11 months ago

Despite India's economic growth, few jobs and meagre pay for urban youth

The Hindu  

Ravi Verma, hired by an electrical parts manufacturing firm early last year as India’s economy surged, was fired in November when the company lost several export orders. “I face a risk of loan default if I don’t get a job soon.” The urban unemployment rate swelled to 10.1% in December, although the total number of jobs in India touched a …

India’s economic growth to slow to 7%, government forecasts
2 years ago

India’s economic growth to slow to 7%, government forecasts

Al Jazeera  

India remains a relative ‘bright spot’ in the world economy, but weak exports are expected to hamper its growth. India’s government expects economic growth to slow in the financial year that ends on March 31 as pandemic-related distortions ease and pent-up demand for goods levels out going into 2023. “A broad-based consumption recovery, therefore, is still some distance away.” ‘Bright …

Year in Review | Indian economy amid global headwinds
2 years ago

Year in Review | Indian economy amid global headwinds

The Hindu  

Multiple headwinds at varied points of time impacted the Indian economy’s thorough economic revival in the calendar year 2022. “India’s growth rates in real terms of 9.7% in the first half of this year is well above the trend in other countries and is happening amid tightening global financial conditions and the commodity price shock since the Ukraine invasion by …

Explained | Is the economy driving with the brakes on?
2 years ago

Explained | Is the economy driving with the brakes on?

The Hindu  

The story so far: At this time last December, India’s economy was on the cusp of a fledgling recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, though the Omicron variant posed fresh speed bumps for the rebound. As JP Morgan managing director and India chief economist Sajjid Chinoy explained at a CII economic policy summit last week, 2022 was expected to see a …

Manufacturing shrinks, slowing Q2 GDP growth to 6.3%
2 years, 1 month ago

Manufacturing shrinks, slowing Q2 GDP growth to 6.3%

The Hindu  

Manufacturing and mining output contracted year-on-year in the July-September quarter, dragging Gross Value Added growth to a slower-than-expected 5.6%, which together with high inflation and weak exports combined to slow overall Gross Domestic Product growth to a 6.3% pace, as per estimates released by the National Statistical Office. Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said the data confirms that the …

India’s GDP likely slowed to 6.5% in Q2
2 years, 1 month ago

India’s GDP likely slowed to 6.5% in Q2

Live Mint  

After double digit expansion in the first quarter, India’s economic growth will likely slow to 6.5% in the second quarter largely due to the high base and erosion of corporate profitability due to inflation, according to economists. In fact, the second half of FY23 will likely see a sharp deceleration in growth on account of the global economic environment, which …

India's Job Crisis Laid Bare By PLI Data: Govt Investment Must Create Employment
2 years, 2 months ago

India's Job Crisis Laid Bare By PLI Data: Govt Investment Must Create Employment

The Quint  

The willingness or the lack of it, of people to invest, using the incentives provided via public or the taxpayer’s money to businesses, comes off as not a healthy barometer of the Indian economy. Consider just the two sectors being pointed out as showing robust growth—pharmaceuticals as the first, here, while the amount of investment is 107% of the target …

Why recession clouds in parts of the globe can hit India's economic recovery
2 years, 3 months ago

Why recession clouds in parts of the globe can hit India's economic recovery

India Today  

A day after Russia escalated the war on Ukraine by raining missiles on its capital Kyiv, the International Monetary Fund, on October 11, announced what many have been fearing—that a large part of the globe will witness recession this year or the next. The IMF has cut India’s GDP growth to 6.8 per cent for 2022-23, from 7.4 per cent …

Joblessness below pre-COVID levels: Finance Ministry
2 years, 3 months ago

Joblessness below pre-COVID levels: Finance Ministry

The Hindu  

Demand for work under the national rural employment guarantee scheme hit a two-year low in August, signalling that the recovering economy is creating more jobs in rural as well as urban India, the Union Finance Ministry said on Saturday. India’s inflation, the Ministry said, is “in control” and expected to moderate in coming months from the 7% mark in August …

What is the state of the Indian economy today?
2 years, 4 months ago

What is the state of the Indian economy today?

Hindustan Times  

India’s Gross Domestic Product expanded by 13.5% on a year-on-year basis in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2023, largely in line with our projections. GDP growth in the previous quarter was driven by a surge in consumption demand, with private final consumption expenditure surging by 25.9% YoY — this alone contributed as much as 14 percentage points to …

Indian economy stands tall than its global peers; likely to score a double-digit GDP growth in Q1FY23
2 years, 4 months ago

Indian economy stands tall than its global peers; likely to score a double-digit GDP growth in Q1FY23

Live Mint  

India is one of the few economies that has rebounded strongly despite three significant COVID waves, and it is currently in better shape than its global peers. It anticipates India's GDP growth to average 7 percent in 2022–23 and says the Indian economy is set for its best run in over a decade as pent-up demand is being unleashed. Furthermore, …

Indian economy stands tall than its global peers; likely to score a double-digit GDP growth in Q1FY23
2 years, 4 months ago

Indian economy stands tall than its global peers; likely to score a double-digit GDP growth in Q1FY23

Live Mint  

India is one of the few economies that has rebounded strongly despite three significant COVID waves, and it is currently in better shape than its global peers. It anticipates India's GDP growth to average 7 percent in 2022–23 and says the Indian economy is set for its best run in over a decade as pent-up demand is being unleashed. Furthermore, …

How to sustain 7% growth for India
2 years, 4 months ago

How to sustain 7% growth for India

Live Mint  

One country stands out from the gloomy overall tone of the International Monetary Fund’s recent update of its World Economic Outlook. This is the fastest growth of any large economy except Saudi Arabia, which is the incidental beneficiary of upward pressure on global oil prices from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war against Ukraine. One might also note that, with India’s …

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