
Reserve Bank leaves interest rates on hold but odds of cut soon remain high
ABCDespite a significant level of anticipation the Reserve Bank would cut interest rates this month, it has kept them on hold for the 30th consecutive meeting. Key points: The Reserve Bank's cash rate target remains on hold at a record low 1.5 per cent for the 30th meeting Markets are pricing in a greater-than-70 per cent chance of rates falling by the August meeting The RBA is looking for further falls in unemployment or underemployment to boost inflation, otherwise it may cut rates The record-low cash rate of 1.5 per cent has been at that level since the last move in August 2016, although money market traders do not expect it to stay there much longer. Bureau of Statistics figures show consumer prices remained unchanged over the first three months of this year, for an annual inflation rate of 1.4 per cent when the most volatile price changes were removed. That inflation rate is well below both the Reserve Bank's forecasts and its 2-3 per cent target range, and caused a massive surge in betting on a May rate cut. "That they want to see 'further improvement' in the labour market to meet their inflation objectives is an acknowledgement that a 5 per cent unemployment rate is no longer good enough. "
History of this topic

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