US Economy Shrinks 0.9% In June 2022 Quarter, 2nd Straight Drop; Raises Fears Of Recession
2 years, 4 months ago

US Economy Shrinks 0.9% In June 2022 Quarter, 2nd Straight Drop; Raises Fears Of Recession

News 18  

The US economy contracted again in the second quarter amid aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Federal Reserve to combat high inflation, which could fan financial market fears that the economy was already in recession. But the National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of recessions in the United States defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in production, employment, real income, and other indicators.” Job growth averaged 456,700 per month in the first half of the year, which is generating strong wage gains. A separate report from the Labor Department on Thursday showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 256,000 for the week ended July 23. Slowing economic growth could, however, encourage the Fed to step back from hefty interest rate increases, though much would depend on the path of inflation, which is way above the U.S. central bank’s 2% target.

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History of this topic

US job data: These are the top hiring sectors as employers add 227,000 jobs in November
2 weeks, 4 days ago

US job data: These are the top hiring sectors as employers add 227,000 jobs in November

Hindustan Times  

Amid fears of massive tariffs and inflation, November proved to be a strong month for job creation in the United States. Health Care, Hospitality, and Government: Top performing sectors The biggest job gains came from private education and health services, which added 79,000 positions. Government hiring contributed 33,000 positions, while other sectors also performed well, with manufacturing showing strong job …

Federal Reserve Has Another Reason to Take It Slow
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve Has Another Reason to Take It Slow

Bloomberg  

Overall inflation in the US is now 2.1%, the lowest since early 2021 and just above the central bank’s 2% goal. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure, however, posted its biggest monthly gain since April, bolstering the case for a slower pace of interest-rate cuts following last month’s big reduction. Continuing claims, a proxy for the number of people receiving benefits, …

U.S. Economy Grew At Healthy 2.8% Pace Last Quarter On Strength Of Consumer Spending
1 month, 3 weeks ago

U.S. Economy Grew At Healthy 2.8% Pace Last Quarter On Strength Of Consumer Spending

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew at a healthy 2.8% annual rate from July through September, with consumers helping drive growth despite the weight of still-high interest rates. Wednesday’s report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — slowed slightly from its 3% growth rate in …

U.S. job growth outperforms expectations as hiring resurges and unemployment drops
2 months, 3 weeks ago

U.S. job growth outperforms expectations as hiring resurges and unemployment drops

LA Times  

A hiring sign is displayed at a grocery store in Deerfield, Ill. “The report doesn’t single-handedly change the landscape for the economic outlook, but it does provide reassurance that there’s still plenty of life in the jobs market,” said Jim Baird, chief investment officer with Plante Moran Financial Advisors, a major accounting firm based in the Detroit area. The strong …

Jobs report will help Federal Reserve decide how much to cut interest rates
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Jobs report will help Federal Reserve decide how much to cut interest rates

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. If it shows that hiring was weak in August …

Applications for U.S. jobless benefits fall to two-month low as layoffs remain at healthy levels
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Applications for U.S. jobless benefits fall to two-month low as layoffs remain at healthy levels

LA Times  

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to its lowest level in two months last week, signaling that layoffs remain relatively low despite other signs of labor market cooling. Economists polled by FactSet expect Friday’s August jobs report to show that the U.S. added 160,000 jobs, up from 114,000 in July, and that the unemployment rate dipped to …

Fewer Americans file jobless claims as U.S. labor market continues to defy elevated interest rates
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Fewer Americans file jobless claims as U.S. labor market continues to defy elevated interest rates

LA Times  

A hiring sign is displayed at a restaurant in Mount Prospect, Ill., on Tuesday. The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell slightly last week as the U.S. labor market remains healthy in the face of high interest rates. But they started rising in May, hitting 250,000 in late July and adding to evidence that high interest rates were …

U.S. applications for unemployment benefits inch up, but remain at historically healthy levels
4 months ago

U.S. applications for unemployment benefits inch up, but remain at historically healthy levels

LA Times  

A hiring sign is displayed at a liquor store in Arlington Heights, Ill., in May. The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose modestly last week, but the level of claims remains at healthy levels. But they started rising in May, hitting 250,000 in late July and adding to evidence that high interest rates are taking a toll on …

US sharply lowers number of jobs added in year ending in March
4 months ago

US sharply lowers number of jobs added in year ending in March

Al Jazeera  

Economists are divided on the extent of the rate cuts that the US Federal Reserve should undertake this year in light of the latest employment data. The revised total adds to evidence that the job market has been steadily slowing and likely reinforces the US Federal Reserve’s plan to start cutting interest rates soon. The downgraded estimate follows a jobs …

US hiring fell sharply in July, an unexpected setback for the economy stoking recession fears
4 months, 3 weeks ago

US hiring fell sharply in July, an unexpected setback for the economy stoking recession fears

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy suffered an unexpected setback in July as hiring fell sharply and the unemployment rate rose for the fourth straight month with raised interest rates taking a toll on businesses and households. The unemployment rate’s jump to 4.3% in July crossed a tripwire that historically has signaled recession — though economists say the gauge probably is …

Unemployment rises again in July, reviving worries of a recession
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Unemployment rises again in July, reviving worries of a recession

LA Times  

People visit the California Employment Development Department office in Sacramento. U.S. job growth slowed sharply last month and the unemployment rate rose to a nearly three-year high of 4.3%, the latest sign of a cooling labor market, the government reported Friday. Employers added 114,000 jobs in July, well below economists’ projections and down from an average monthly gain of 215,000 …

As jobless claims hit highest level in a year, labor market remains healthy
4 months, 3 weeks ago

As jobless claims hit highest level in a year, labor market remains healthy

LA Times  

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits jumped to its highest level in a year last week, even as the labor market remains surprisingly healthy in an era of high interest rates. Jobless claims for the week that ended July 27 climbed to 249,000 from 235,000 the previous week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Weekly unemployment claims are widely …

US economic growth in first quarter falls short of expectations at 1.6%; inflation may heat up
7 months, 4 weeks ago

US economic growth in first quarter falls short of expectations at 1.6%; inflation may heat up

Hindustan Times  

The US economy expanded less than projected in the first three months of 2024 as exports and consumer spending declined, confirming the expectations of the financial markets that the Federal Reserve would postpone rate-cutting until September. The first quarter saw the US economy rise by 1.6 percent, according to the government data. The first quarter saw the world's largest economy …

Will the US unemployment rate continue at historic lows?
8 months, 3 weeks ago

Will the US unemployment rate continue at historic lows?

Al Jazeera  

US job growth has continued at a steady clip in the months since the COVID-19 pandemic, but experts are looking for warning signs. All eyes will be on Friday’s US unemployment numbers to see how many jobs were added in March and whether the unemployment rate continues to stay in its historically low range or if it is time for …

Applications for US unemployment benefits dip to 210,000 in strong job market
8 months, 3 weeks ago

Applications for US unemployment benefits dip to 210,000 in strong job market

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — The number of Americans signing up for unemployment benefits fell slightly last week, another sign that the labor market remains strong and most workers enjoy extraordinary job security. Applications for unemployment benefits are viewed as a proxy for layoffs and a sign of where the job market is headed. Economists expect some tightening in the jobs market …

Number of Americans filing for jobless benefits remains low in a thriving labor market
9 months, 1 week ago

Number of Americans filing for jobless benefits remains low in a thriving labor market

Associated Press  

The number of Americans applying for jobless benefits last week inched up but largely stayed at historically low levels as the labor market continues to thrive despite elevated interest rates. The Labor Department reported Thursday that filings for unemployment claims for the week ending March 9 ticked down by 1,000 to 209,000 from the previous week’s 208,000. In total, 1.81 …

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government's initial estimate
9 months, 3 weeks ago

US economy grew solid 3.2% in fourth quarter, a slight downgrade from government's initial estimate

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The U.S. economy grew at …

Pay rising too fast for interest rate cut, economists warn
10 months, 1 week ago

Pay rising too fast for interest rate cut, economists warn

The Telegraph  

The number of people kept out of the jobs market by long-term sickness remains near an all-time high, ONS figures showed. One person in every 15 of working age – 6.6pc, equivalent to 2.8 million people – said ill health kept them from working or from looking for a job in the final quarter of 2023. Government must do more …

The U.S. didn’t just avoid a recession — it’s adding hundreds of thousands of new jobs
10 months, 3 weeks ago

The U.S. didn’t just avoid a recession — it’s adding hundreds of thousands of new jobs

LA Times  

A worker from Portland General Electric replaces a power line as crews work to restore power after a January storm in Oregon. “Today, we saw more proof, with another month of strong wage gains and employment gains of over 350,000 in January, continuing the strong growth from last year.” Business What rising immigration really means for California’s economy New data …

U.S. employers add a surprisingly strong 216,000 jobs in a sign of continued economic strength
11 months, 2 weeks ago

U.S. employers add a surprisingly strong 216,000 jobs in a sign of continued economic strength

LA Times  

The nation’s labor market is still cranking out enough jobs to keep the unemployment rate near historic lows. The nation’s employers added a robust 216,000 jobs last month, the latest sign that the American job market remains resilient even in the face of sharply higher interest rates. The Fed is satisfied enough with the progress so far that it hasn’t …

US applications for unemployment benefits fall again as job market continues to show strength
11 months, 2 weeks ago

US applications for unemployment benefits fall again as job market continues to show strength

Associated Press  

The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell last week as the labor market continues to show resilience despite elevated interest rates. In an effort to extinguish the four-decade high inflation that took hold after an unusually strong economic rebound from the COVID-19 recession of 2020, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate 11 times since March of 2022. …

US applications for jobless benefits rise but labor market remains solid
11 months, 3 weeks ago

US applications for jobless benefits rise but labor market remains solid

Associated Press  

More Americans applied for unemployment benefits last week, but not enough to raise concern about the labor market or broader economy. The Federal Reserve started raising interest rates early last year to try to beat down the inflation that surged after an unusually strong economic rebound from the COVID-19 recession of 2020. The Fed has left rates alone at its …

Weekly US unemployment claims rise slightly but job market remains strong as inflation eases
1 year ago

Weekly US unemployment claims rise slightly but job market remains strong as inflation eases

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week but still remained at historically low levels despite high interest rates intended to slow hiring and cool the economy. The Federal Reserve began raising interest rates last year to combat the inflation that surged as the result of an unexpectedly strong economic rebound from the COVID-19 …

Congressional Budget Office projects lower inflation and higher unemployment into 2025
1 year ago

Congressional Budget Office projects lower inflation and higher unemployment into 2025

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Congressional Budget Office said Friday it expects inflation to nearly hit the Federal Reserve’s 2% target rate in 2024, as overall growth is expected to slow and unemployment is expected to rise into 2025, according to updated economic projections for the next two years. The office’s Current View of the Economy from 2023 to 2025 report estimates …

Solid US hiring lowers unemployment rate in latest sign of a still-sturdy job market
1 year ago

Solid US hiring lowers unemployment rate in latest sign of a still-sturdy job market

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. employers added a healthy 199,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate fell, fresh signs that the economy could achieve an elusive “soft landing,” in which inflation would return to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target without causing a steep recession. “From my perspective,” Seyedian said, “the economy is still strong, and people still want to spend money.” …

U.S. employers add a solid 199,000 jobs and unemployment falls, signaling a still-sturdy labor market
1 year ago

U.S. employers add a solid 199,000 jobs and unemployment falls, signaling a still-sturdy labor market

LA Times  

Mechanic David Stoliaruk works on the engine of a car at IC Auto in Philadelphia on May 2. The nation’s employers added a solid 199,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate fell, fresh signs that the economy could achieve an elusive “soft landing,” in which inflation would return to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target without causing a steep recession. …

US job openings fall to lowest level since March 2021 as labor market cools
1 year ago

US job openings fall to lowest level since March 2021 as labor market cools

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. employers posted 8.7 million job openings in October, the fewest since March 2021, in a sign that hiring is cooling in the face of higher interest rates yet remains at a still-healthy pace. The drop in job openings last month was particularly steep in healthcare and social assistance, where they fell by 236,000; finance, which includes banking, …

US applications for jobless benefits inch down, remain at historically healthy levels
1 year, 1 month ago

US applications for jobless benefits inch down, remain at historically healthy levels

Associated Press  

Slightly fewer Americans applied for jobless claims last week, further indicating that the labor market remains strong in an era of high interest rates. Though Fed officials opted to leave the benchmark rate alone last week, the U.S. central bank has raised rates 11 times since March of 2022 in an effort to tame inflation, which reached a four-decade high …

US applications for jobless claims inch back down as companies hold on to their employees
1 year, 3 months ago

US applications for jobless claims inch back down as companies hold on to their employees

Associated Press  

U.S. applications for unemployment benefits fell slightly last week as companies held on to employees in an economy that has largely withstood rapidly rising interest rates, intended to cool hiring and spending, for more than a year. The number of Americans applying for jobless benefits last fell week by 4,000, to 228,000 the week ending August 26, the Labor Department …

US economic growth for last quarter is revised down to a 2.1% annual rate
1 year, 3 months ago

US economic growth for last quarter is revised down to a 2.1% annual rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.1% annual pace from April through June, showing continued resilience in the face of higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, the government said Wednesday in a downgrade from its initial estimate. The Commerce Department’s second estimate of growth last quarter marked a slight acceleration from a 2% annual growth rate from …

U.S. jobless claims applications fall as labor market continues to show resiliency
1 year, 4 months ago

U.S. jobless claims applications fall as labor market continues to show resiliency

Associated Press  

The U.S. labor market continues to flex its muscle as applications for jobless claims fell again last week and remain at healthy levels in the face of high interest rates and inflation. Applications for unemployment benefits dropped by 11,000 to 239,000 for the week ending August 12, down from 250,000 the previous week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Early this …

Job openings fall to lowest level in two years as demand for workers cools
1 year, 4 months ago

Job openings fall to lowest level in two years as demand for workers cools

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. employers posted fewer jobs in June, a sign that the red-hot demand for workers that has been a key feature of the post-pandemic economy is cooling a bit. The government’s report also showed that the number of people who quit their jobs in June fell sharply to 3.8 million, from 4.1 million, another sign the job market …

US economy unexpectedly accelerated to a 2.4% growth rate in April-June quarter despite Fed hikes
1 year, 4 months ago

US economy unexpectedly accelerated to a 2.4% growth rate in April-June quarter despite Fed hikes

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy surprisingly accelerated to a 2.4% annual growth rate from April through June, showing continued resilience in the face of steadily higher interest rates resulting from the Federal Reserve’s 16-month-long fight to bring down inflation. Consumer spending, the heart of the nation’s economy, was also solid last quarter, though it slowed to a 1.6% annual rate …

US job growth slows in June; unemployment rate falls to 3.6%
1 year, 5 months ago

US job growth slows in June; unemployment rate falls to 3.6%

Al Jazeera  

Despite the lower numbers, the labour market remains resilient, even as Fed predicts more rate hikes. Job growth in the United States slowed more than expected in June after surging in the prior month, but labour market conditions remain tight, with the unemployment rate retreating from a seven-month high and fairly strong wage gains continuing. Though job growth is slowing, …

US claims for unemployment aid jump, but remain low
1 year, 7 months ago

US claims for unemployment aid jump, but remain low

Associated Press  

The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits jumped last week but remain low overall, even as the Federal Reserve has furiously raised interest rates to beat down inflation and cool the labor market. Another sign that the labor market may be cooling came Tuesday when the government reported that U.S. job openings fell in March to the lowest level …

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?
1 year, 7 months ago

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The government’s report Thursday that the economy grew at a 1.1% annual rate last quarter signaled that one of the most-anticipated recessions in recent U.S. history has yet to arrive. The economy’s direction has confounded the Fed’s policymakers and many private economists ever since growth screeched to a halt in March 2020, when COVID-19 struck and 22 million …

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?
1 year, 7 months ago

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. The economy's direction has confounded the Fed's policymakers and …

US jobless claims rise but remain at historically low levels
1 year, 8 months ago

US jobless claims rise but remain at historically low levels

Associated Press  

U.S. applications for jobless benefits rose to their highest level in more than a year, but remain at relatively low levels despite efforts by the Federal Reserve to cool the economy and job market in its battle against inflation. Jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending April 8 rose by 11,000 to 239,000 from the previous week, the …

US jobless aid claims fell last week as layoffs remain low
1 year, 9 months ago

US jobless aid claims fell last week as layoffs remain low

Associated Press  

Fewer Americans applied for jobless claims last week as the labor market continues to thrive despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool the economy and tamp down inflation. With recent data showing that those rate hikes have done little to bring down inflation and even less to cool the economy and labor market, many analysts were expecting the Fed to …

UK avoided recession last year by narrowest of margins. It might not be so lucky in 2023
1 year, 10 months ago

UK avoided recession last year by narrowest of margins. It might not be so lucky in 2023

CNN  

London CNN — The UK economy flatlined in the last quarter of 2022, meaning that it just managed to avoid falling into a recession. “No recession on the pedantic definition of two consecutive quarters of falling GDP, but a calamitous performance nonetheless,” Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, tweeted. “The UK still is the ‘only’ G7 country in …

Fed’s Powell: Strong hiring could force further rate hikes
1 year, 10 months ago

Fed’s Powell: Strong hiring could force further rate hikes

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Tuesday that if the U.S. job market further strengthens in the coming months or inflation readings accelerate, the Fed might have to raise its benchmark interest rate higher than it now projects. Powell’s remarks followed the government’s blockbuster report last week that employers added 517,000 jobs in January, nearly double December’s gain. …

US inflation and consumer spending cooled in December
1 year, 10 months ago

US inflation and consumer spending cooled in December

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge eased further in December, and consumer spending fell — the latest evidence that the Fed’s series of interest rate hikes are slowing the economy. Friday’s report from the Commerce Department showed that prices rose 5% last month from a year earlier, down from a 5.5% year-over-year increase in November. Last year’s holiday …

US economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter
1 year, 10 months ago

US economy slowed but still grew at 2.9% rate last quarter

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.9% annual pace from October through December, ending 2022 with momentum despite the pressure of high interest rates and widespread fears of a looming recession. “From the Fed’s perspective, a desired slowdown in the economy will be welcome news.” Consumer spending, which fuels about 70% of the entire economy, rose at a …

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?
1 year, 10 months ago

How will we know if the US economy is in a recession?

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The second consecutive quarter of economic growth that the government reported Thursday underscored that the nation isn’t in a recession despite high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s fastest pace of interest rate hikes in four decades. The economy’s direction has confounded the Fed’s policymakers and many private economists ever since growth screeched to a halt in March 2020, …

US unemployment claims fall unexpectedly, housing remains tight
1 year, 11 months ago

US unemployment claims fall unexpectedly, housing remains tight

Al Jazeera  

Solid job growth and a tight labour market poured cold water on hopes that the US Federal Reserve would pause hiking interest rates. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, pointing to another month of solid job growth and continued labour market tightness despite efforts by the Federal Reserve to cool demand for …

U.S. job growth solid, unemployment rate falls to 3.5%
1 year, 11 months ago

U.S. job growth solid, unemployment rate falls to 3.5%

The Hindu  

The U.S. economy maintained a strong pace of job growth in December, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.5%, but higher borrowing costs as the Federal Reserve fights inflation could see the labour market momentum slowing significantly by mid-year. The government revised the seasonally adjusted data for the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived, for the last …

Low weekly jobs claims underscores tight labour market
2 years ago

Low weekly jobs claims underscores tight labour market

Al Jazeera  

New data shows a still-tight labour market while Q3 economy rebounded to 3.2 percent, revised up from 2.9 percent. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased less than expected last week, pointing to a still-tight labour market, while the economy rebounded faster than previously estimated in the third quarter. “The Fed may well need to raise …

Fewer Americans apply for jobless benefits last week
2 years ago

Fewer Americans apply for jobless benefits last week

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell significantly last week, a sign that the labor market remains strong even as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates in an effort to cool the economy and slow inflation. American workers have extraordinary job security at the moment, despite an economy some see in danger of tipping …

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9% rate
2 years ago

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9% rate

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Despite high interest rates and chronic inflation, the U.S. economy grew at a 2.9% annual rate from July through September, the government said Wednesday in a healthy upgrade from its initial estimate. Last quarter’s rise in the U.S. gross domestic product — the economy’s total output of goods and services — followed two straight quarters of contraction. That …

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9 percent
2 years ago

US revises up last quarter’s economic growth to 2.9 percent

Al Jazeera  

Despite high interest rates and chronic inflation, the United States economy grew at a 2.9 percent annual rate from July through September, the government has said in a healthy upgrade from its initial estimate. Last quarter’s rise in the US gross domestic product – the economy’s total output of goods and services – followed two straight quarters of contraction. With …

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