Donald Trump or Joe Biden? US stock market expert predicts presidential poll's surprising result basis indices movement
10 months ago

Donald Trump or Joe Biden? US stock market expert predicts presidential poll's surprising result basis indices movement

Hindustan Times  

So who's winning US election, scheduled for 5 November 2024? On the back of a stiff neck on neck competition between Joe Biden and Donald Trump stock market has proven to be a reliable indicator in the past. Recent surveys of prominent prediction markets have shown a wide range of probabilities regarding President Joe Biden's chances of winning re-election, fluctuating from below 38% to as high as 76%. This analysis included the U.S. stock market, real GDP, the Conference Board’s consumer-confidence index, and the University of Michigan’s consumer-sentiment survey, focusing on their year-to-date changes leading up to Election Day. Analysis findings predict a Joe Biden victory His findings show a clear relationship between the year-to-date performance of the stock market and the probabilities of the incumbent party retaining the presidency.

History of this topic

In his own words: Trump takes credit for stock market rises but casts aside blame for sell-off
2 weeks, 1 day ago
'Quite the opposite': Analyst uses data to tear apart Trump's popularity brags
1 month, 1 week ago
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2 months, 1 week ago
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4 months, 3 weeks ago
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5 months ago
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5 months, 1 week ago
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7 months, 3 weeks ago
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8 months ago
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8 months, 1 week ago
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8 months, 2 weeks ago
Are the polls even reliable? Experts examine election polling predictions from 1980 to 2024
8 months, 2 weeks ago
Democratic Sen Michael Bennet says Trump could beat Biden in election ‘landslide’
8 months, 2 weeks ago
Trump moves ahead of Biden in new post-debate poll
8 months, 3 weeks ago
CNN Poll: Most voters think Democrats have a better chance of keeping White House if Biden isn’t the nominee
8 months, 3 weeks ago
Bombshell new poll shows the shocking results of how Trump would perform against several Biden replacements after disastrous debate performance
8 months, 3 weeks ago
Biden takes lead over Trump in latest Fox News poll
9 months, 1 week ago
Biden surges past Trump in latest poll by Fox News one week out from the first presidential debate
9 months, 1 week ago
Biden gets major boost in new national poll before the CNN debate despite mounting concerns about his age
9 months, 1 week ago
Biden vs. Trump remains close, so next week's debate offers them an opportunity
9 months, 1 week ago
Poll: Half of voters expect Biden to forget where he is during debate
9 months, 1 week ago
Poll Shows Trump's Guilty Verdict May Help Biden's Chances
9 months, 2 weeks ago
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10 months, 3 weeks ago
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10 months, 3 weeks ago
Three reasons Joe Biden is improving in the polls – and one why his numbers are still low
11 months, 3 weeks ago
Trump leads Biden by FOUR POINTS: Daily Mail poll reveals the president is still trailing his 2024 Republican rival despite multiple visits to swing states while the Donald deals with his legal nightm
11 months, 3 weeks ago
Trump leads Biden in four key battleground states, polls find
1 year ago
'Spinning yarns': Professor blasts Dems for creating fantasy that Trump isn't winning
1 year, 1 month ago
Opinion: Panicking over polls showing Donald Trump ahead of President Biden? Please stop
1 year, 2 months ago
Majority of Americans expect Donald Trump to win against Biden, reveals YouGov poll
1 year, 2 months ago
Trump leads opponents in popularity, Biden approval hits new low: US poll
1 year, 2 months ago
Joe Biden delivers fresh warning on Donald Trump
1 year, 3 months ago
Donald Trump complains: Stock market highs just making ‘rich people richer’
1 year, 3 months ago
After touting stock market, Trump claims record high under Biden only makes “rich people richer”
1 year, 3 months ago
New poll shows Trump BEATING Biden in 2024 - with cash-strapped voters feeling 'hurt' by president's policies and concerned that the 81-year-old's capacity to hold office is dwindling
1 year, 3 months ago
Trump beats Biden among YOUNG voters in new NBC poll - just three years after Dem president held 26 point lead over MAGA rival ahead of the 2020 election
1 year, 4 months ago
Biden’s Low Approval Ratings Doesn’t Mean He'll Lose The Election – Here's Why
1 year, 4 months ago
Joe Biden trails Donald Trump in 2024 rematch - and loses key support from independent and younger voters, Daily Mail poll reveals
1 year, 6 months ago
2024 US Presidential Elections: Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in new poll
1 year, 6 months ago
Trump takes 10-point lead over Biden in US presidential race, new poll shows
1 year, 6 months ago

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