Data shows coronavirus can only be controlled if 8 out of 10 Australians stay home
The success or failure of Australia's coronavirus fight relies to a remarkable degree on just one thing, new modelling has found. According to the simulation, if Australia sees 80 per cent compliance with advice on 'physical distancing', the spread of COVID-19 could be controlled within 13 weeks. However, if 80 per cent of people follow the advice, the model suggests there's still a chance coronavirus could be brought under control in 13 weeks, with the number of new cases per day falling back to about 100. If school closures are added to a 70 per cent compliance rate, it might compensate for about 10 per cent of a lack of physical distancing compliance. "If you close schools on top of this 70 per cent social distancing, it starts to go at least in a direction where the incidence and prevalence are reduced," Professor Prokopenko said.
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