The states must get their fiscal act together
Live MintCentral bankers driving the current round of monetary tightening in the world are looking askance at fiscal laxity, which could grow the inflation disease even as monetary medicine is being applied. The Centre’s budgeted fiscal deficit for 2022-23 at ₹16.6 trillion, was 6.4 % of gross domestic product as then projected, but 6.2 % of the likely GDP for 2022-23 of ₹269.5 trillion. In March 2022, the finance ministry at the Centre notified states that their off-budget borrowing during 2022-21 and 2021-22 would have to be brought on-budget during 2022-23 and deducted from their FFC entitlement for the year. But since states also deal with unmet expenditures by the simple device of axing smaller schemes which don’t matter from an electoral viewpoint, instead of borrowing, the estimate does overstate off-budget borrowings. Even if the stock is estimated at ₹6 trillion, that is still 2.2% of GDP, which would leave states with new borrowing of just 1.3% of GDP out of their permissible total of 3.5%.