
Analysts see 25 bps policy rate reduction by RBI panel
New Indian ExpressThe MPC meeting comes amid falling rupee, which has lost over 3% since the December meeting, and tight liquidity conditions despite the central bank infusing close to `5 lakh crore since January via a slew of measures like VRR rupee-dollar swaps and OMOs. “The rate-cut cycle is likely to be shallow given global uncertainties, a neutral stance offers the MPC more flexibility,” said Aditi Nayar, chief economist at Icra Ratings, said, adding that there will be a 25 bps reduction likely on Friday. Pencilling in a 25 bps repo cut, Dipti Deshpande, the principal economist at Crisil Ratings said the budget has pursued the path of fiscal tightening but has also ensured it remains growth supportive led by softer food prices. Nathan Sribalasundaram, Sonal Varma and Aurodeep Nandi of Nomura in a note also said in their base case scenario, the RBI does not over-deliver but in the medium term, still expect a deeper cutting cycle basing their pessimism to the bleeding rupee and the still unfolding trade wars.
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