College Football Playoff projections after Week 8: Michigan is now the favorite
1 year, 1 month ago

College Football Playoff projections after Week 8: Michigan is now the favorite

New York Times  

Read The Athletic’s latest College Football Playoff projections. Here’s how the model works: I have developed a season simulator that produces odds for winning the national title, making the College Football Playoff, and winning conference and division titles. Projected national title and College Football Playoff chances Biggest risers in national title chances Michigan: +5.8% Oklahoma: +5.3% Oregon: +2% Oklahoma’s big boost is not due to the unimpressive two-point win against UCF on Saturday. Biggest fallers in national title chances Alabama: -5.5% Penn State: -4.5% North Carolina: -2.9% A couple weeks ago I was saying Alabama was a bit underrated, but the last couple weeks have changed that a bit. Biggest risers in CFP chances Oklahoma: +15.5% Michigan: +12.1% Florida State: +8.5% Florida State cleared the Duke hurdle and that was maybe the best team on its schedule until the ACC title game.

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History of this topic

What are the matchups in the College Football Playoff?
2 weeks ago

What are the matchups in the College Football Playoff?

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! 7 seed Notre Dame, Dec. 20, 8 p.m. BetMGM College Football Odds: Notre Dame by 8.5. 6 seed Penn State, Dec. 21, noon BetMGM College Football Odds: Penn State by 8.5. 5 seed Texas, Dec. 21, 4 p.m. BetMGM College Football Odds: Texas by 10.5. 8 …

College football national title odds: Oregon, Georgia favored but Texas, Penn State get boost from seeding
2 weeks, 1 day ago

College football national title odds: Oregon, Georgia favored but Texas, Penn State get boost from seeding

New York Times  

The debates are over, and the drama is done; the fight card is set for the first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff. Georgia lost starting quarterback Carson Beck in the SEC title game but suffered little fall-off with backup Gunner Stockton, downing Texas for a second time. College Football Playoff national title odds No. 6 Penn State saw a massive title …

2024 College Football Playoff guide: What to know about the new 12-team format, at-large bids
2 weeks, 1 day ago

2024 College Football Playoff guide: What to know about the new 12-team format, at-large bids

New York Times  

College football entered a new era Sunday with the unveiling of the first 12-team Playoff bracket. For most of its century-plus existence, college football had a “mythical national champion.” The sport’s season champion was determined after teams played in bowl games by various polls and rankings, which, of course, led to significant debate. The four quarterfinal games and both semifinals …

College football conference championship odds, picks against the spread for all 9 title games
2 weeks, 4 days ago

College football conference championship odds, picks against the spread for all 9 title games

New York Times  

The song of championship week has a running refrain: It’s tough to beat the same team twice. Sign Up Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State Friday 7 p.m. on CBSSN Jacksonville State joined the FBS last year, and coach Rich Rodriguez already has the Gamecocks in a conference title game. 10 Boise State Friday 8 p.m. on FOX It’s a banner …

Ohio State and Miami tumble in College Football Playoff penultimate rankings
2 weeks, 6 days ago

Ohio State and Miami tumble in College Football Playoff penultimate rankings

CNN  

CNN — Buckeye and Hurricane fans must have known this moment was coming as the College Football Playoff comes into focus ahead of conference championship week. After suffering shocking upsets to unranked opponents on Saturday, Ohio State and Miami dropped in the penultimate CFP rankings, which were revealed Tuesday. After winning their first five ACC games, Miami lost two of …

What the College Football Playoff rankings say about Ohio State after its loss to Michigan
2 weeks, 6 days ago

What the College Football Playoff rankings say about Ohio State after its loss to Michigan

New York Times  

The final College Football Playoff rankings will be revealed on Sunday, but Tuesday night’s penultimate Top 25 gave us an idea of what Ohio State’s fate will be. Tuesday was close to the best-case scenario for Ohio State Eight teams are a lock for the Playoff: Oregon, Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, Georgia, Ohio State, Tennessee and Indiana. It could …

Sports betting roundup: Football on Thanksgiving weekend doesn’t disappoint
3 weeks ago

Sports betting roundup: Football on Thanksgiving weekend doesn’t disappoint

Associated Press  

The football on Thanksgiving weekend didn’t disappoint. Saturday saw a number of upsets as part of Rivalry Week in college football, and then it was a solid Week 13 in the NFL. Here’s a look at the action using data from the BetMGM Sportsbook: Trends of the Week The NFL saw favorites go 9-2 straight up on Sunday, and the …

Michigan State needs win against Rutgers to become eligible for postseason bowl berth
3 weeks, 5 days ago

Michigan State needs win against Rutgers to become eligible for postseason bowl berth

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! WHAT’S AT STAKE Michigan State needs a win over Rutgers to punch its ticket to a bowl game in its first season under coach Jonathan Smith. KEY MATCHUP Michigan State’s running back duo of Kay’ron Lynch-Adams and Nate Carter vs. Rutgers’ rushing defense. … Michigan State’s …

Michigan’s defense of national title fell short, aims to cap lost season with win against Ohio State
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Michigan’s defense of national title fell short, aims to cap lost season with win against Ohio State

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! 9 in the AP Top 25, making them the third college football team since 1991 to be ranked worse than seventh in the preseason poll after winning a national title. Ohio State is a 21 1/2-point favorite, according to the BetMGM Sportsbook, and that marks just …

Sports betting roundup: Football week produces upsets in college and late deciders in NFL
4 weeks ago

Sports betting roundup: Football week produces upsets in college and late deciders in NFL

Associated Press  

From college football upsets on Saturday to last-minute deciders in the NFL on Sunday, it was quite a week. Here’s a look at the action, using data from the BetMGM Sportsbook: Trends of the Week While there were plenty of upsets in college football, the NFL saw popular favorites win and cover. The AP Top 25 college football poll is …

Big Ten bowl projections, and how the top four’s CFP hopes could blur the postseason picture
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Big Ten bowl projections, and how the top four’s CFP hopes could blur the postseason picture

New York Times  

The College Football Playoff may be bigger than ever this year, but there will be nearly six times as many FBS teams playing in non-CFP bowl games as there will be participants in the new 12-team bracket. Early November projection: Illinois ReliaQuest Bowl Particulars: Tampa, Fla., Dec. 31, Noon ET Opponent: A pool of SEC teams ranging from second to …

First College Football Playoff Rankings Set for Reveal
1 month, 2 weeks ago

First College Football Playoff Rankings Set for Reveal

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is released each week throughout the season, and the first set of rankings will determine the 12 teams that will participate in the first round of the playoffs. Oregon, currently ranked number one, will be the top seed in the poll, while Miami, BYU, and Indiana are also undefeated and ranked in the …

Predicting the first 12-team College Football Playoff selection committee rankings
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Predicting the first 12-team College Football Playoff selection committee rankings

New York Times  

The first College Football Playoff rankings will be revealed Tuesday night, and once again I’ll be using my projections model to try to predict how the selection committee will rank the teams each week. Here’s what I expect Tuesday’s rankings to be: Next five: Missouri, South Carolina, UNLV, Arizona State, Tulane Biggest question: What to do with Notre Dame? There …

Strength of Schedule: A Key Factor in the 12-Team Playoff Brackets
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Strength of Schedule: A Key Factor in the 12-Team Playoff Brackets

Associated Press  

The 12-team College Football Playoff selection committee will consider strength of schedule as a factor in determining the bracket. Strength of schedule is a measure of how difficult it is for a team to schedule games against other teams. This factor is not included in the traditional AP Top 25 poll, but it could play a significant role in determining …

Kennesaw State, the College Football Playoff hope crusher, plus Week 9 viewer guide
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Kennesaw State, the College Football Playoff hope crusher, plus Week 9 viewer guide

New York Times  

Until Saturday Newsletter 🏈 | This is The Athletic’s college football newsletter. The previously winless Kennesaw State Owls recorded their first win last night against the PREVIOUSLY UNDEFEATED Liberty Flames and 2023 Conference USA Player of the Year Kaidon Salter. 17 Boise State at UNLV : Friday’s best game features two of the four teams tied atop the Mountain West …

How 30-plus College Football Playoff contenders and their conference races collide in the weeks ahead
2 months ago

How 30-plus College Football Playoff contenders and their conference races collide in the weeks ahead

New York Times  

As November approaches, more and more programs’ College Football Playoff hopes are dropping like autumn leaves from the trees. Key games before first CFP rankings: BYU at UCF, Oct. 26; Cincinnati at Colorado, Oct. 26; Texas Tech at Iowa State, Nov. 2. A failed drive for a last-second field goal cost them at Oregon, but games against Penn State, Indiana …

College football best bets Week 9: Navy to cover vs. Notre Dame, Penn State and more spread bets
2 months ago

College football best bets Week 9: Navy to cover vs. Notre Dame, Penn State and more spread bets

New York Times  

It’s now Week 9 of the college football regular season, and every single week from here on out — and the last few — will have ranked matchups and a ton of drama for the College Football Playoff. Sign Up Best bets for college football Week 9 Penn State -6.5 at Wisconsin If you want to talk about how Penn …

Our experts’ midseason College Football Playoff, national championship and Heisman picks
2 months ago

Our experts’ midseason College Football Playoff, national championship and Heisman picks

New York Times  

How much has the outlook for the college football season changed since the preseason? Ohio State is still on top of the national championship race in Austin Mock’s College Football Playoff projections model, winning the national title in 21 percent of our simulations. Team Votes Texas 11 Ohio State 9 Oregon 6 Georgia 4 Not only is Texas our most …

College Football Playoff race at midseason: Miami, Indiana, Army and Navy are big risers
2 months, 1 week ago

College Football Playoff race at midseason: Miami, Indiana, Army and Navy are big risers

New York Times  

You have to give credit to the new era of the College Football Playoff for giving us increased drama week in and week out. GO DEEPER College Football Playoff 2024 projections: Tennessee knocks Alabama out of bracket Stock up The Hurricanes aren’t a huge surprise to be in the Playoff race at the midseason point. According to my College Football …

Sports betting roundup: Close games in all sports make for betting excitement
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Sports betting roundup: Close games in all sports make for betting excitement

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! Exciting baseball playoff games, lots of upsets in college football and NFL games that came down to the final seconds all made for a thrilling weekend for sports bettors. Trends of the Week In one of the best NFL games on Sunday, the Baltimore Ravens came …

It’s a championship game rematch as No. 10 Michigan travels to Washington in Big Ten clash
2 months, 2 weeks ago

It’s a championship game rematch as No. 10 Michigan travels to Washington in Big Ten clash

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! It’s a rematch of last season’s College Football Playoff championship game where the Wolverines prevailed, but now it’s an early-season Big Ten matchup. Both teams only vaguely look like the squads that played for the title last season, although Michigan is far closer to the same …

Texas and defending national champ Michigan clash in rare meeting of two historic programs
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Texas and defending national champ Michigan clash in rare meeting of two historic programs

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! A rare matchup of two of the winningest programs in college football history and two of last season’s playoff teams. A loss in the SEC-Big Ten bragging rights matchup won’t kill the College Football Playoff hopes for either team in this season’s expanded format, but the …

NCAA Tournament projections: Model picks every team’s chances to make each round
9 months ago

NCAA Tournament projections: Model picks every team’s chances to make each round

New York Times  

The bracket is set and NCAA Tournament pools are being organized all over. If you’re waiting on something to sway you in one way or another on a few picks, I have full projections from my model for the men’s tournament. From there, I set up the bracket and simulate the tournament — all 67 of those games — one …

College Football Playoff approves 5+7 format and reduces spots for conference champions
10 months ago

College Football Playoff approves 5+7 format and reduces spots for conference champions

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! The field for the 12-team College Football Playoff beginning next season will comprise five conference champions and seven at-large selections after the university presidents who oversee the CFP voted unanimously Tuesday to tweak the format. The original plan for the 12-team format was to have the …

Michigan is a unanimous No. 1 in final AP Top 25 football poll. Florida State finishes tied for 6th
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Michigan is a unanimous No. 1 in final AP Top 25 football poll. Florida State finishes tied for 6th

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! 1 in the final Associated Press Top 25 college football poll of the season after the Wolverines beat Washington in the College Football Playoff championship game Monday night to win their first national title in 26 years. Washington was second, the Huskies’ best final ranking since …

College Football Playoff semifinals could set betting records
11 months, 3 weeks ago

College Football Playoff semifinals could set betting records

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! LAS VEGAS — Sportsbook director Jay Kornegay is anticipating massive crowds at Westgate’s Las Vegas location this weekend and Monday to bet on the two College Football Playoff semifinal games. “We expect the handle to double, possibly triple, what we did last year mainly because the …

Michigan facing Alabama in College Football Playoff is ideal chance to earn validation
1 year ago

Michigan facing Alabama in College Football Playoff is ideal chance to earn validation

New York Times  

INDIANAPOLIS — The College Football Playoff selection committee didn’t do Michigan any favors by snubbing Florida State and pitting the Wolverines against Alabama in the Rose Bowl. Playing a wounded Florida State team without star quarterback Jordan Travis in the CFP would have been another opportunity for critics to say Michigan didn’t really earn its way to the top. GO …

NFL Draft order 2024 projections: Three-team race for No. 1; Bengals fall
1 year ago

NFL Draft order 2024 projections: Three-team race for No. 1; Bengals fall

New York Times  

How did Week 12 of the NFL schedule shake up the possible 2024 NFL Draft order? The simulation then runs 100,000 times after each day of games to give us, in this case, our projected top-10 draft order, plus each team’s projected win total and playoff chances. But with Monday night’s comically awful 12-10 win in Minnesota, the Bears now …

Georgia loses to Alabama: Predicting the College Football Playoff scenarios
1 year ago

Georgia loses to Alabama: Predicting the College Football Playoff scenarios

New York Times  

The Athletic has live coverage of the College Football Playoff rankings selection show. Heading into championship weekend, eight teams — Georgia, Michigan, Washington, Oregon, Florida State, Texas, Alabama and Ohio State — can still reach the College Football Playoff. GO DEEPER Emerson: Georgia’s three-peat hopes depend on beating familiar nemesis Scenario 10: Alabama, Washington, Florida State and Oklahoma State win. …

College Football Playoff rankings projections: Should Ohio State or Michigan be ranked higher?
1 year, 1 month ago

College Football Playoff rankings projections: Should Ohio State or Michigan be ranked higher?

New York Times  

The Athletic has live coverage of the College Football Playoff rankings selection show. It’s rivalry week in college football and Ohio State at Michigan is the marquee game. The College Football Playoff committee had been ranking Ohio State ahead of Michigan for the past few weeks and the numbers are starting to agree. The algorithm is simply projecting where teams …

Georgia passes Ohio State for top spot in College Football Playoff rankings
1 year, 1 month ago

Georgia passes Ohio State for top spot in College Football Playoff rankings

LA Times  

Georgia moved up to No. 1 in the College Football Playoff rankings Tuesday night, nudging past Ohio State, with third-place Michigan and fourth-place Florida State holding their spots in the top four. Selection committee chairman Boo Corrigan, the athletic director at North Carolina State, said Missouri’s big win last week against Tennessee helped bolster Georgia’s case for No. The top …

College football bowl projections: No change in the College Football Playoff … yet
1 year, 1 month ago

College football bowl projections: No change in the College Football Playoff … yet

New York Times  

Barring a flurry of upsets, the pool of 6-6 teams is shallower this year than ever before. The fine print: *Replacement for a conference without enough eligible teams ** Projected 5-7 team New Year's Six BOWL DATE TEAMS LOCATION TIME Cotton Dec. 29 Alabama vs. Oklahoma State Arlington, Tex. 8 p.m. Peach Dec. 30 Missouri vs. Tulane Atlanta Noon Orange …

College football contenders: Who has a legit national title shot?
1 year, 1 month ago

College football contenders: Who has a legit national title shot?

LA Times  

After Michigan’s 49-0 evisceration of in-state rival Michigan State on Saturday night, the Wolverines find themselves in an unprecedented situation — within the annals of their storied program and college football history. Michigan is now the betting favorite to win the College Football Playoff national title, jumping ahead of two-time defending champ Georgia. The NCAA is looking into whether Michigan …

Those who stayed hope to make Michigan a national champion
1 year, 8 months ago

Those who stayed hope to make Michigan a national champion

Associated Press  

The AP Top 25 college football poll is back every week throughout the season! Jim Harbaugh’s last two teams beat rival Ohio State, went on to win conference championship games and lose in the College Football Playoffs. “We keep chasing that perfection.” Motivated to help Michigan win its first national title since 1997, several players chose to come back this …

College football bowl season best bets, including picking a side in Georgia-Ohio State
2 years ago

College football bowl season best bets, including picking a side in Georgia-Ohio State

New York Times  

Read The Athletic’s latest college football bowl projections. Worst line to bet: SMU -6 Model projection: SMU 37.0, BYU 29.5 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Dec. 20 My model thinks the MAC was pretty weak this season, definitely when compared to the Mountain West. Worst line to bet: San Jose State -4 Model projection: SJSU 29.4, EMU 23.0 Alamo Bowl, Dec. …

Michigan State football: 10 observations on the Spartans’ impressive win over Miami
3 years, 3 months ago

Michigan State football: 10 observations on the Spartans’ impressive win over Miami

New York Times  

EAST LANSING, Mich. — Ten final thoughts on Michigan State’s 38-17 win over Miami. Here are some of the things MSU has accomplished offensively through three weeks: Ranks 29th nationally in scoring offense and third in the Big Ten, averaging 39.3 points per game Ranks 14th nationally in total offense, averaging 520 yards per game Ranks eighth nationally in yards …

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