AI: World likely to hit key warming threshold in 10-12 years
1 year, 10 months ago

AI: World likely to hit key warming threshold in 10-12 years

Associated Press  

The world will likely breach the internationally agreed-upon climate change threshold in about a decade, and keep heating to break through a next warming limit around mid-century even with big pollution cuts, artificial intelligence predicts in a new study that’s more pessimistic than previous modeling. “And this paper may be the beginning of the end of the 1.5C target.” Stanford University’s Noah Diffenbaugh, a study co-author, said the world is on the brink of the 1.5-degree mark in “any realistic emissions reduction scenario.” Avoiding a 2-degree rise, he said, may depend on nations meeting zero-emissions goals by the middle of this century. Each year, government climate negotiators at a United Nations summit proclaim that they have managed to “keep 1.5 alive.” But with the latest study there’s a divide among scientists on how true that really is. Some scenarios do see temperatures warming past the mark but then coming back down, something called “overshoot.” Other scientists not involved with the study, such as University of Pennsylvania’s Michael Mann and Climate Analytics’ Bill Hare and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner maintain 1.5 is still alive.

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History of this topic

NOAA: 2024 temperatures set to break last year’s global record
1 week, 4 days ago

NOAA: 2024 temperatures set to break last year’s global record

Politico  

NOAA’s findings are an ominous sign for global efforts to keep global temperatures from rising 1.5 C since the Industrial Revolution, a goal set out in the Paris climate agreement. Climate scientists had predicted earlier this year that 2024 would set a new record, but the trends are even more worrying than anticipated, said Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist at …

2024 on its way to being the hottest year ever, break record set in 2023
2 weeks ago

2024 on its way to being the hottest year ever, break record set in 2023

India Today  

2024 is set to become the hottest year on record, with global temperatures expected to remain elevated into early 2025. This alarming prediction from European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service follows a series of extreme weather events worldwide, including severe droughts, floods, and heatwaves that have wreaked havoc across multiple continents. C3S reported that from January to November 2024, average …

EU climate monitor says 2024 ‘certain’ to be hottest year on record
Trending News
2 weeks ago

EU climate monitor says 2024 ‘certain’ to be hottest year on record

Al Jazeera  

The Copernicus Climate Change Service says this year is sure to eclipse 2023 as the hottest yet. Europe’s climate monitor says 2024 is “effectively certain” to be the hottest on record and the first year above the 1.5 degrees Celsius climate benchmark, a critical threshold to protect the Earth from dangerously overheating. The Copernicus Climate Change Service said on Monday …

Climate change: 7 things that COP29 summit at Azerbaijan’s Baku needs to focus on
1 month, 1 week ago

Climate change: 7 things that COP29 summit at Azerbaijan’s Baku needs to focus on

Firstpost  

As COP29 unfolds amid another record-breaking year of high global temperatures, new research highlights accelerating climate impacts – from breached warming thresholds to intensified wildfires, and potential disruption of ocean currents Participating world leaders and delegates arrive for a family photo during the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Baku. AFP This year’s U.N. climate summit - COP29 - is …

The world has ALREADY exceeded the critical 1.5°C warming threshold, study warns - and scientists say time is running out to curb climate change
1 month, 1 week ago

The world has ALREADY exceeded the critical 1.5°C warming threshold, study warns - and scientists say time is running out to curb climate change

Daily Mail  

Time may be running out to curb climate change, scientists have warned - as new data reveals that the critical 1.5°C threshold has already been reached. Scientists say that a new method for attributing human-caused climate change shows that the 1.5°C limit laid out in the Paris Agreement has already been passed This comes after scientists from the Copernicus Climate …

Earth on track for hottest year in recorded history, passing critical 1.5º warming threshold
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Earth on track for hottest year in recorded history, passing critical 1.5º warming threshold

Salon  

The Copernicus Climate Change Service, a European Union organization that monitors global heating, announced on Thursday that the year 2024 will be 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial levels. "This marks a new milestone in global temperature records and should serve as a catalyst to raise ambition for the upcoming Climate Change Conference, COP29.” "This latest record sends another stark …

2024 Is 'Virtually Certain' To Be Hottest Year On Record, Climate Agency Says
1 month, 2 weeks ago

2024 Is 'Virtually Certain' To Be Hottest Year On Record, Climate Agency Says

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING 2024 is “virtually certain” to be the hottest year in recorded history and the first to exceed the warming limit that scientists agree the planet must stay beneath to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. The Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European Union agency that monitors warming trends, said this year is on track to exceed …

2024 'virtually certain' to be hottest year on record: EU climate agency
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

2024 'virtually certain' to be hottest year on record: EU climate agency

Raw Story  

A day after U.S. voters elected climate-denying Republican Donald Trump in the presidential race, soon ushering in an administration that is sure to expand fossil fuel drilling, the European Union's Earth observation agency announced that 2024 is "virtually certain" to be the hottest year on record and to hit a worrying temperature milestone. While a single year above the 1.5°C …

2024 will be world's hottest on record, EU scientists say
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

2024 will be world's hottest on record, EU scientists say

The Hindu  

This year is "virtually certain" to eclipse 2023 as the world's warmest since records began, the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service said on Thursday. C3S said that from January to October, the average global temperature had been so high that 2024 was sure to be the world's hottest year — unless the temperature anomaly in the rest of the …

European climate agency says this will likely be the hottest year on record — again
1 month, 2 weeks ago

European climate agency says this will likely be the hottest year on record — again

Associated Press  

CHICAGO — For the second year in a row, Earth will almost certainly be the hottest it’s ever been. And for the first time, the globe this year reached more than 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming compared to the pre-industrial average, the European climate agency Copernicus said Thursday. Going over that number in 2024 doesn’t mean the overall trend line …

Year 2024 to be the first to breach 1.5C warming limit: EU climate agency
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Year 2024 to be the first to breach 1.5C warming limit: EU climate agency

Al Jazeera  

The Copernicus Climate Change Service warning comes days before nations are due to gather for crunch climate talks led by the UN. On Thursday, the Copernicus Climate Change Service said this year is also “virtually certain” to eclipse 2023 as the world’s warmest since records began. “This marks a new milestone in global temperature records and should serve as a …

World is on track for a ‘catastrophic’ rise in temperature, UN report says
1 month, 3 weeks ago

World is on track for a ‘catastrophic’ rise in temperature, UN report says

The Independent  

Sign up to the Independent Climate email for the latest advice on saving the planet Get our free Climate email Get our free Climate email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The world is on track for a “catastrophic” 3.1 degrees Celsius of global warming over …

Global warming will be TWICE as bad as predicted: Earth is on track for 'catastrophic' 3.1°C of warming this century, the UN warns
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Global warming will be TWICE as bad as predicted: Earth is on track for 'catastrophic' 3.1°C of warming this century, the UN warns

Daily Mail  

The world is on track for a 'catastrophic' 3.1°C of global warming by the end of this century, the UN has warned. The world is on track for a 'catastrophic' 3.1°C of global warming by the end of this century, the UN has warned The UN warned the world was currently on track for temperature rises of 2.6°C to 3.1°C, …

World on pace for significantly more warming without immediate climate action, report warns
1 month, 4 weeks ago

World on pace for significantly more warming without immediate climate action, report warns

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

Can we avoid 1.5º of global warming? Probably not and our best case scenario is 1.6º, scientists say
4 months ago

Can we avoid 1.5º of global warming? Probably not and our best case scenario is 1.6º, scientists say

Salon  

When almost 200 nations signed the Paris climate agreement in 2015, they pledged to keep Earth's average temperature to no greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The scientists learned that even within all but the most ambitious projections regarding limiting greenhouse gas emissions, humans still fail to fall below the 1.6 degrees Celsius threshold. Speaking to Salon last …

New study finds Earth warming at record rate, but no evidence of climate change accelerating
6 months, 2 weeks ago

New study finds Earth warming at record rate, but no evidence of climate change accelerating

Associated Press  

The rate Earth is warming hit an all-time high in 2023 with 92% of last year’s surprising record-shattering heat caused by humans, top scientists calculated. They said even with a faster warming rate they don’t see evidence of significant acceleration in human-caused climate change beyond increased fossil fuel burning. “If you look at this world accelerating or going through a …

How AI models can fight climate change
7 months ago

How AI models can fight climate change

China Daily  

SHI YU/CHINA DAILY The world is familiar with artificial intelligence models such at ChatGPT. Sector-specific AI models can be particularly useful for Asia and the Pacific region, which is highly vulnerable to extreme weather events due to climate change. Users who develop their own sector-specific model need to be aware that AI models are heavily dependent on data. In the …

The World Meteorological Organization's State of the Global Climate report confirms 2023 broke every single climate indicator
9 months ago

The World Meteorological Organization's State of the Global Climate report confirms 2023 broke every single climate indicator

ABC  

There's an ominous new significance to the phrase 'off the charts', according to the World Meteorological Organization, with 2023 breaking every single climate indicator. The UN agency's annual State of the Global Climate report confirmed it wasn't just the hottest year on record, ocean heat reached its highest level since records began, global mean sea level also reached a record …

UN weather agency issues ‘red alert’ on climate change after record heat
9 months ago

UN weather agency issues ‘red alert’ on climate change after record heat

Al Jazeera  

The World Meteorological Organization warns there is a ‘high probability’ that 2024 will be another record-hot year. The United Nations’ weather agency is sounding a “red alert” about global warming, citing record-breaking increases last year in greenhouse gases, land and water temperatures and the melting of glaciers and sea ice. “Never have we been so close – albeit on a …

Data Munching | The numbers don’t lie: the Earth is warming, and rapidly
10 months ago

Data Munching | The numbers don’t lie: the Earth is warming, and rapidly

Hindustan Times  

Earth is running a fever, and the latest temperature readings aren’t offering much comfort. Last week, climate data released by Europe’s Copernicus Climate Change Service, better known as C3S, presented another warning about the impending climate crisis hovering over humanity — for the first time in recorded human history, 12 consecutive months saw temperatures 1.5 degrees Celsius hotter than pre-industrial …

Earth surpassed 'doomed' 2.7F global warming limit for the first time in 2023 - which scientists say was hottest in 100,000 years
10 months, 1 week ago

Earth surpassed 'doomed' 2.7F global warming limit for the first time in 2023 - which scientists say was hottest in 100,000 years

Daily Mail  

The Earth exceeded 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit of warming in a 12-month period for the first time since scientists began recording global temperatures. Last year was the hottest year on record, and scientists suspect El Niño and global warming combined to make it the hottest year in 100,000 years. Climate predictions that came true In the late 1970s, petroleum company ExxonMobil …

First time world exceeds 1.5C warming limit over 12-month period
10 months, 2 weeks ago

First time world exceeds 1.5C warming limit over 12-month period

Al Jazeera  

EU monitors report comes as NASA launches climate satellite to survey oceans and atmosphere in never-before-seen detail. For the first time on record, global warming has exceeded temperatures of 1.5 degrees Celsius over a 12-month period, European climate monitors have said, in what scientists called a “warning to humanity”. The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service reported the run of …

Scientists explain why the record-shattering 2023 heat has them on edge. Warming may be worsening
11 months, 1 week ago

Scientists explain why the record-shattering 2023 heat has them on edge. Warming may be worsening

Associated Press  

The latest calculations from several science agencies showing Earth obliterated global heat records last year may seem scary. “The heat over the last calendar year was a dramatic message from Mother Nature,” said University of Arizona climate scientist Katharine Jacobs. They wonder whether human-caused climate change and a natural El Nino were augmented by a freak blip or whether “there’s …

2023 confirmed as hottest year ever as climate records ‘tumbling like dominoes’
11 months, 2 weeks ago

2023 confirmed as hottest year ever as climate records ‘tumbling like dominoes’

The Independent  

Sign up to the Independent Climate email for the latest advice on saving the planet Get our free Climate email Get our free Climate email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The findings are hardly surprising, but a global gut-punch nonetheless: 2023 has been confirmed as …

Scientists have confirmed 2023 is the hottest year on record, with a month to spare
1 year ago

Scientists have confirmed 2023 is the hottest year on record, with a month to spare

ABC  

Scientists have confirmed 2023 will be the hottest year on record, with the official declaration from climate change service Copernicus, run by the EU, made with a month to spare. Key points: An EU-run climate change service declares 2023 the hottest year on record The call comes as Australia is in the grip of a heatwave The global mean temperature …

UN report says world is racing to well past warming limit as carbon emissions rise instead of plunge
1 year, 1 month ago

UN report says world is racing to well past warming limit as carbon emissions rise instead of plunge

Associated Press  

Earth is speeding to 2.5 to 2.9 degrees Celsius of global warming since pre-industrial times, set to blow well past the agreed-upon international climate threshold, a United Nations report calculated. The United States’ Inflation Reduction Act, which has $375 billion in spending on clean energy, by 2030 would reduce yearly emissions of carbon dioxide by about 1 billion metric tons, …

Pioneering scientist says global warming is accelerating. Some experts call his claims overheated
1 year, 1 month ago

Pioneering scientist says global warming is accelerating. Some experts call his claims overheated

Associated Press  

One of modern climate science’s pioneers is warning that the world isn’t just steadily warming but is dangerously accelerating, according to a study that some other scientists call a bit overheated. Hansen said a key calculation used in figuring out how much the world will warm in response to carbon pollution shows much faster warming than the United Nations’ Intergovernmental …

In early 2029, Earth will likely lock into breaching key warming threshold, scientists calculate
1 year, 1 month ago

In early 2029, Earth will likely lock into breaching key warming threshold, scientists calculate

Associated Press  

In a little more than five years – sometime in early 2029 – the world will likely be unable to stay below the internationally agreed temperature limit for global warming if it continues to burn fossil fuels at its current rate, a new study says. The study in Monday’s journal Nature Climate Change calculates what’s referred to as the remaining …

World unlikely to limit temperature rise to 2C, warns climate scientist
1 year, 5 months ago

World unlikely to limit temperature rise to 2C, warns climate scientist

The Independent  

Sign up to the Independent Climate email for the latest advice on saving the planet Get our free Climate email Get our free Climate email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy A leading climate scientist has said he is “very pessimistic” about the world reducing emissions …

Global warming rate speeds up at 0.2 degrees celsius per decade, scientists warn
1 year, 6 months ago

Global warming rate speeds up at 0.2 degrees celsius per decade, scientists warn

Hindustan Times  

Record-high greenhouse gas emissions and diminishing air pollution have caused an unparalleled acceleration in global warming, 50 top scientists warned Thursday in a sweeping climate science update. From 2013 to 2022, "human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade," they reported in a peer-reviewed study aimed at policymakers. World leaders will be …

Planet warming at ‘unprecedented rate’, study finds
1 year, 6 months ago

Planet warming at ‘unprecedented rate’, study finds

Al Jazeera  

Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate of 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade, scientists say in a new study. From 2013 to 2022, “human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of more than 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade,” 50 top scientists warned on Thursday in a sweeping climate science update. World leaders will be confronted with the …

Current climate path will lead to collapse of life on Earth, say scientists
1 year, 6 months ago

Current climate path will lead to collapse of life on Earth, say scientists

The Independent  

Sign up to the Independent Climate email for the latest advice on saving the planet Get our free Climate email Get our free Climate email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Failing to limit the global temperature to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels could trigger tipping points …

The likelihood that Earth briefly hits key warming threshold grows bigger and closer, UN forecasts
1 year, 7 months ago

The likelihood that Earth briefly hits key warming threshold grows bigger and closer, UN forecasts

Associated Press  

There’s a two-out-of-three chance that the world will temporarily hit a key warming limit within the next five years, the United Nations weather agency said Wednesday. Maybe it’ll be next year or the year after” that a year averages 1.5 degrees Celsius, said report lead author Leon Hermanson, a climate scientist at the United Kingdom’s Met Office. The temporary warming …

Global warming now more likely to breach 1.5°C threshold by 2027, scientists warn
1 year, 7 months ago

Global warming now more likely to breach 1.5°C threshold by 2027, scientists warn

The Hindu  

For the first time ever, global temperatures are now more likely than not to breach 1.5°C of warming within the next five years, the World Meteorological Organization said on May 17. With a 66% chance of temporarily reaching 1.5°C by 2027, "it's the first time in history that it's more likely than not that we will exceed 1.5°C," said Adam …

Flirting with climate danger: UN forecasts 2 in 3 chance of briefly hitting key heat limit soon
1 year, 7 months ago

Flirting with climate danger: UN forecasts 2 in 3 chance of briefly hitting key heat limit soon

The Independent  

The latest headlines from our reporters across the US sent straight to your inbox each weekday Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy There’s a two-out-of-three chance …

AI is a more urgent risk than climate change, believes ‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton
1 year, 7 months ago

AI is a more urgent risk than climate change, believes ‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton

Firstpost  

Renowned scientist Geoffrey Hinton, who is often considered one of the biggest pioneers of AI, has claimed that the emergence of this technology poses a more pressing threat to humanity than climate change. “But I think this might end up being more urgent.” Also read: AI’s Godfather Quits: Google’s leading AI expert quits, starts warning about the tech’s future Hinton, …

‘Off the charts’: UN report highlights rapid climate breakdown
1 year, 8 months ago

‘Off the charts’: UN report highlights rapid climate breakdown

Al Jazeera  

Record levels of greenhouse gases have caused “planetary scale changes on land, in the ocean and in the atmosphere”, a UN agency says in a report that shows the past eight years were the hottest ever recorded on Earth. Global sea levels are rising at more than double the pace they did in the first decade of measurements from 1993 …

Rich nations must achieve net zero carbon quicker, by 2040: U.N. chief Antonio Guterres
1 year, 9 months ago

Rich nations must achieve net zero carbon quicker, by 2040: U.N. chief Antonio Guterres

The Hindu  

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres called on wealthy countries on March 20, 2023 to move up their goals of achieving carbon neutrality as close as possible to 2040, mostly from 2050 now, in order to “defuse the climate time bomb.” Introducing a capstone report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the impacts and trajectory of global warming, Guterres …

IPCC: global warming "likely" to pass 1.5 degree mark, but there are bright spots
1 year, 9 months ago

IPCC: global warming "likely" to pass 1.5 degree mark, but there are bright spots

NL Times  

Even if greenhouse gas emissions fall drastically in the coming years, global warming is "more likely" to exceed 1.5 degrees in the near future than not to exceed that point. "Current policy is insufficient, but we certainly see the effects of climate policy," said Dutch researcher Detlef van Vuuren. "In almost all scenarios, we will temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees of …

The UN’s climate handbook for a ‘liveable’ future
1 year, 9 months ago

The UN’s climate handbook for a ‘liveable’ future

Al Jazeera  

Hitting the 2015 Paris Agreement temperature goals will require a massive reduction in fossil fuel use and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society, IPCC reports say. Earth is hotter than it has been in 125,000 years but deadly heatwaves, storms and floods amplified by global warming could be a foretaste as planet-heating fossil fuels put a “liveable” future at …

Climate Change: Why we could see a terrible rise in global temperatures in just 50 years
1 year, 10 months ago

Climate Change: Why we could see a terrible rise in global temperatures in just 50 years

Live Mint  

The United Nations’ international body on climate science, the IPCC, is easily the most authoritative institution on global heating. While it can be suspected that the intricacies of international consensus could have more than a little to do with this, the fact remains that even the most conservative estimates state that the world is fast running out of time to …

Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming
2 years, 4 months ago

Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming

India Today  

Massive incentives for clean energy in the US law signed Tuesday by President Joe Biden should reduce future global warming “not a lot, but not insignificantly either,” according to a climate scientist who led an independent analysis of the package. Even with nearly $375 billion in tax credits and other financial enticements for renewable energy in the law, the United …

Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming
2 years, 4 months ago

Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Massive incentives for clean energy in the U.S. law signed Tuesday by President Joe Biden should reduce future global warming “not a lot, but not insignificantly either,” according to a climate scientist who led an independent analysis of the package. Even with nearly $375 billion in tax credits and other financial enticements for renewable energy in the law, …

World has 50-50 chance of hitting 1.5C mark soon: U.N.
2 years, 7 months ago

World has 50-50 chance of hitting 1.5C mark soon: U.N.

The Hindu  

Global temperatures have a 48 per cent chance of reaching 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels at least once within the next five years, according to new findings from the World Meteorological Organization. Rapidly warming planet While WMO scientists said that any surge over 1.5 degrees Celsius may be temporary, there is a clear trend towards rising temperature. In the five …

World may soon pass the crucial climate threshold of 1.5°C
2 years, 7 months ago

World may soon pass the crucial climate threshold of 1.5°C

Live Mint  

If the next eight years represent a crucial time for stopping climate change, then the stakes just got bigger. The Global Annual To Decadal Climate Update, prepared by scientists at the United Kingdom Met Office and released by the WMO, states that there is 50:50 chance that in at least one year between 2022-2026, the global average temperature will be …

There’s a 50:50 chance the planet will pass the 1.5C warming threshold in the next 5 years
2 years, 7 months ago

There’s a 50:50 chance the planet will pass the 1.5C warming threshold in the next 5 years

CNN  

CNN — There’s now a 50:50 chance that the world will surpass a critical threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius of global warming in the next five years, a new World Meteorological Organization report shows, warning of heating that could have devastating impacts on systems like coral reefs as well as Arctic ice. “This study shows – with a high level …

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026
2 years, 7 months ago

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The world is creeping closer …

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026
2 years, 7 months ago

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026

Associated Press  

The world is creeping closer to the warming threshold international agreements are trying to prevent, with nearly a 50-50 chance that Earth will temporarily hit that temperature mark within the next five years, teams of meteorologists across the globe predicted. With human-made climate change continuing, there’s a 48% chance that the globe will reach a yearly average of 1.5 degrees …

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026, report says
2 years, 7 months ago

Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026, report says

LA Times  

The world is creeping closer to the warming threshold international agreements are trying to prevent, with nearly a 50-50 chance that Earth will temporarily hit that temperature mark within the next five years, teams of meteorologists across the globe predicted. With human-made climate change continuing, there’s a 48% chance that the globe will reach a yearly average of 1.5 degrees …

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