2 Major Traps on China’s Path to Global Leadership
The DiplomatThere are at least two major obstacles that China will have to get over on its path to global leadership, one domestic and one outward-facing. Key policies of the Chinese government aim to help rebalance China’s economy, wean it off its predominantly export-driven model, promote state-of-the-art technologies, tap into the huge domestic market, and make the country more self-sufficient. Another big challenge to China’s prospects as a driving engine of global development is presented by the checkered track record of the Belt and Road Initiative, once hailed by Chinese leader Xi Jinping as the “project of the century.” Many reports of late have uncovered a mountain of non-performing loans provided by Chinese policy banks to recipient countries and the BRI now risks metastasizing into a series of controversies and debt crises. Ironically, China’s charm offensives are undermined first and foremost by its increasingly pompous rhetoric, confrontational diplomacy, and the undisguised use of economic coercion applied to countries that are less than infatuated with Beijing leadership ambitions. For all that, China’s sheer size guarantees that the country will remain a key driver of global growth, though it is less clear to what extent.