Vivek Kaul: India’s GDP growth slump holds lessons in forecasting
1 week, 6 days ago

Vivek Kaul: India’s GDP growth slump holds lessons in forecasting

Live Mint  

India’s growth in gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, for the period July to September slowed to a seven-quarter low of 5.4%. Or as Zahaan Bharmal writes in The Art of Physics: Eight Elegant Ideas to Make Sense of Everything: “Blithe predictions… cannot be made in a complex system where the impossibility of accurate prediction is inbuilt." Data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy shows that during July to September, the aggregate net sales of 3,360 listed non-financial firms grew just 3.9% in comparison to a year earlier. In fact, the net sales of listed non-financial firms reached a recent high of 37.2% of GDP during July to September 2022 and have been seeing a downward trend since.

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