Epidemiologist questions ‘confusing logic’ of UK travel restrictions
Sign up to Simon Calder’s free travel email for expert advice and money-saving discounts Get Simon Calder’s Travel email Get Simon Calder’s Travel email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy An esteemed epidemiologist has questioned the “logic” of the UK’s international travel restrictions, saying he is “confused” by them. Tim Spector OBE, principal investigator of the PREDICT studies and the ZOE Covid Symptom Study app, said he didn’t understand why the government is restricting travel to lower risk countries when the UK is on course to have one of the highest coronavirus rates in Europe in the next few days. Logic?” The graph compares daily confirmed Covid cases per million people across major European countries: Spain, Greece, France, Italy, Germany, Portugal and the UK. A study by the University of Washington Department of Environmental & Occupational Health Sciences plus Johns Hopkins University, published in January 2021 in the Journal of Emergency Management, claimed that travel bans can delay the arrival of an infectious disease into a country, but “there is very little evidence to suggest that a travel ban eliminates the risk of the disease crossing borders in the long term.” The latest R number in England is estimated to be between 1.2 and 1.4, meaning that the number of new infections is growing by between 3 per cent and 6 per cent every day.




























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