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Modi vibes well with Trump. But India may not be ready for a second Trump term
Live MintHaving survived an assassination attempt, and shown defiance and fighting spirit while under attack, former US president Donald Trump has improved his chances of beating a frail-looking Joe Biden, who struggles to convince American voters that he retains the mental acuity to continue in office for another term. Should Trump emerge as the 47th President of the US, as is highly likely, global geopolitical and geoeconomic conditions would swiftly change, given his economic policy plan announcements. The underlying message is clear: a Trump presidency would see the US Fed as an agency that submits to the Executive’s will or gets removed. The net result of Trump’s economic choices would be to dampen US growth, and thereby US import demand, depressing global exports, and to raise the cost of capital, depressing direct investment flows to the developing world and inducing a flight of funds deployed in emerging markets back to the US. While the isolationist streak would lead American foreign policy under Trump to give China greater degrees of freedom in the South China Sea, that has the potential for Chinese conflict with America’s treaty allies like the Philippines, drawing the US itself into the conflict.
History of this topic
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Live Mint![U.S.-India ties will be strengthened, but expect tariff trouble, FTA push: Former Ambassador Juster](https://th-i.thgim.com/public/news/national/wvqdgw/article69040617.ece/alternates/LANDSCAPE_1200/US_Kenneth_Ambassador_US_Index_06_09_1.jpg)
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A ‘pro-America’ India could help New Delhi win over Trump
CNN![What India-US trade could look like after Trump takes office](https://www.livemint.com/lm-img/img/2024/12/06/1600x900/news2_1733464197434_1733464227231.jpg)
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Live Mint![We have to wait and watch to see how it pans out: Official on Trump’s tariff threat](https://images.livemint.com/img/2018/12/28/1600x900/Politics_1545994646567.jpg)
We have to wait and watch to see how it pans out: Official on Trump’s tariff threat
Live Mint![Trump threatens to impose reciprocal tariffs against India](https://static.independent.co.uk/2024/12/17/17/newFile.jpg?quality=75&width=1200&auto=webp)
Trump threatens to impose reciprocal tariffs against India
The Independent![Trump says India charges lot of tariff, threatens to impose reciprocal tax](https://www.deccanchronicle.com/h-upload/2024/12/18/1873519-aa-3659530.jpg)
Trump says India charges lot of tariff, threatens to impose reciprocal tax
Deccan Chronicle![Trump Threatens To Impose Reciprocal Tax On India, Says 'If They Tax Us, We Tax Them'](https://feeds.abplive.com/onecms/images/uploaded-images/2024/12/03/787baf7a0a979010f31adf121918428f1733213792072628_original.jpg?impolicy=abp_cdn&imwidth=1200)
Trump Threatens To Impose Reciprocal Tax On India, Says 'If They Tax Us, We Tax Them'
ABP News![If they tax us, we tax them: Trump's warning to India over tariffs on US goods](https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/story/202412/donald-trump-1-111407338-16x9_1.png?VersionId=zS61mJWVJ6GLv1YnGJ7wPaxxrBwpdnNM)
If they tax us, we tax them: Trump's warning to India over tariffs on US goods
India Today![Trump warns India, says 'If they tax us, we tax them over tariffs on US goods'](https://resize.indiatvnews.com/en/resize/newbucket/1200_-/2024/12/17344654351024480_media-trump-des_moines_28168.jpg)
Trump warns India, says 'If they tax us, we tax them over tariffs on US goods'
India TV News![Trump’s approach to trade could be disruptive without doing much for America and the world](https://www.livemint.com/lm-img/img/2024/12/16/1600x900/trade-kXqC--621x414LiveMint-97f3_1734339195653_1734339195909.jpg)
Trump’s approach to trade could be disruptive without doing much for America and the world
Live Mint![Why Donald Trump should tame his love for tariffs](https://images.firstpost.com/uploads/2024/12/Trump-Oct-29-2024-Reuters-2024-12-61dfacc207a709493483dbc6e5e4d9cf.jpg?im=FitAndFill=(1200,675))
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Trump’s proposed tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada could benefit India - Report
Live Mint![Sanjaya Baru | Driving our foreign trade beyond the Trump bump](https://s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/images.deccanchronicle.com/dc-Cover-sr9prt2jln6rdeh9vdpf6qghi4-20231220073413.Medi.jpeg)
Sanjaya Baru | Driving our foreign trade beyond the Trump bump
Deccan Chronicle![Donald Trump 2.0 is not a challenge for us, says EAM S Jaishankar](https://www.livemint.com/lm-img/img/2024/12/05/1600x900/ANI-20241205183-0_1733409941774_1733409954977.jpg)
Donald Trump 2.0 is not a challenge for us, says EAM S Jaishankar
Live Mint!["We've always had a positive political relationship with Trump": Jaishankar](https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/story/202412/s-jaishankar-05575624-16x9_0.jpg?VersionId=YwA9PqdR6v6UqPis8FPsoEn7McYi8UHp)
"We've always had a positive political relationship with Trump": Jaishankar
India Today![Commerce Ministry Reviews India-US Trade Ties Amid Trump’s Controversial Remark](https://feeds.abplive.com/onecms/images/uploaded-images/2024/12/03/e0f5119d5b40d3c7ee929d354db26dee1733197494220939_original.png?impolicy=abp_cdn&imwidth=1200)
Commerce Ministry Reviews India-US Trade Ties Amid Trump’s Controversial Remark
ABP News![India confident of better trade ties with US under Donald Trump: Piysuh Goyal](https://www.livemint.com/lm-img/img/2024/11/28/1600x900/PTI11-28-2024-000200B-0_1732805125892_1732805141147.jpg)
India confident of better trade ties with US under Donald Trump: Piysuh Goyal
Live Mint![Donald Trump ’friend of India’: Minister Goyal](https://images.livemint.com/img/2018/12/28/1600x900/News_-_world_1545994908237.jpg)
Donald Trump ’friend of India’: Minister Goyal
Live Mint![Will Donald Trump impose tariffs on India after Mexico, China and Canada?](https://images.firstpost.com/uploads/2024/11/trump1-2024-11-c43f6a6dfe206dd9a5fab682277b7ab4.jpg?im=FitAndFill=(1200,675))
Will Donald Trump impose tariffs on India after Mexico, China and Canada?
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Opinion: Making America Gated Again - India should know Trump means tariffs
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Trump 2.0: Trade, Immigration, Manufacturing, and Geopolitical Complexities
Hindustan Times![Will India gain as Trump points tariff bazooka at China?](https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/story/202411/modi-trump-060142503-16x9.jpeg?VersionId=8G3O1vhQTr0aGl5J_.15p8oKD8fqCWWh)
Will India gain as Trump points tariff bazooka at China?
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Europe may panic but Trump’s return suits India, and Elon-Vivek’s DOGE agenda suits New Delhi even more
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Trump’s policies may open new doors for India’s defence sector: Report
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Under Trump, India can find a way to become manufacturing powerhouse: Fareed Zakaria
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Will US-India thrive under Trump amid 'China factor'? Fareed Zakaria explains
India Today![India is the kind of associate power that Donald Trump will look for: Walter Mead](https://www.hindustantimes.com/ht-img/img/2024/11/16/1600x900/Walter-Mead-said-India-was-among-the-countries-tha_1731767168258.jpg)
India is the kind of associate power that Donald Trump will look for: Walter Mead
Hindustan Times![Trump will pick up from where he left off with India, says his former admin official](https://www.deccanchronicle.com/h-upload/2024/11/08/1860422-8trumpmodi.jpg)
Trump will pick up from where he left off with India, says his former admin official
Deccan Chronicle![How will Donald Trump presidency impact India-US ties, former aide explains](https://www.hindustantimes.com/ht-img/img/2024/11/15/1600x900/US-Election-2024-India-1_1731643181773_1731643223551.jpg)
How will Donald Trump presidency impact India-US ties, former aide explains
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Live Mint![Trump will pick up from where he left off with India, says his former admin official](https://resize.indiatvnews.com/en/resize/newbucket/1200_-/2024/09/17266212881110322_election_2024_trump_modi_02304.jpg)
Trump will pick up from where he left off with India, says his former admin official
India TV News![Donald Trump's pro-India team?](https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/story/202411/pm-modi-and-donald-trump-061342370-16x9_1.jpg?VersionId=uKYJfzvwEh.UXUjqi21.LEqu13xco_AF)
Donald Trump's pro-India team?
India Today![PM Modi is likely to find comfort in Trump's return and shared worldview. Here's why](https://media.assettype.com/newindianexpress%2F2024-11-14%2Famywn414%2FAP24317333180906.jpg?rect=0%2C288%2C5286%2C2775&w=1200&ar=40%3A21&auto=format%2Ccompress&ogImage=true&mode=crop&enlarge=true&overlay=false&overlay_position=bottom&overlay_width=100)
PM Modi is likely to find comfort in Trump's return and shared worldview. Here's why
New Indian Express![Expect trade turmoil with Trump comeback](https://www.hindustantimes.com/ht-img/img/2024/11/12/1600x900/In-the-absence-of-multilateral-trade-rules--powerf_1731425246153.jpg)
Expect trade turmoil with Trump comeback
Hindustan Times![India needs to leverage Trump’s China antipathy](https://www.hindustantimes.com/ht-img/img/2024/11/12/1600x900/FILE-PHOTO--U-S--President-Donald-Trump-attends-a-_1731425246212.jpg)
India needs to leverage Trump’s China antipathy
Hindustan Times![Is Donald Trump good for Indian investors? A market veteran weighs in.](https://www.livemint.com/lm-img/img/2024/11/11/1600x900/Trump_1731313452921_1731313453620.jpg)
Is Donald Trump good for Indian investors? A market veteran weighs in.
Live Mint![Trump’s comeback to bring massive tariffs, trade wars & global economic turmoil?](https://images.firstpost.com/uploads/2024/11/What-Trump-2.0-means-for-US-TikTok-Ban-semicon-industry-and-the-US-China-chip-war-2024-11-c66c93f3c6cc2f16e49bf1fa9e1ce815-1200x675.jpg?im=FitAndFill=(1200,675))
Trump’s comeback to bring massive tariffs, trade wars & global economic turmoil?
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Khalistani arrests: Is Trudeau dialing down India hostility, or is the Trump effect?
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