Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Hobbled by high interest rates, persistent inflation, slumping trade and a diminished China, the global economy will slow for a third consecutive year in 2024. “Near-term growth will remain weak, leaving many developing countries — especially the poorest — stuck in a trap: with paralyzing levels of debt and tenuous access to food for nearly one out of every three people,” Indermit Gill, the World Bank’s chief economist, said in a statement. The World Bank now says the global economy grew half a percentage point faster in 2023 than it had predicted back in June and concludes that “the risk of a global recession has receded.’’ Leading the way in 2023 was the United States, which likely registered 2.5% growth last year — 1.4 percentage points faster than the World Bank had expected in mid-year. The World Bank, a 189-country anti-poverty agency, expects U.S. growth to decelerate to 1.6% this year as higher interest rates weaken borrowing and spending. Higher rates are also taming global inflation, which the World Bank foresees sinking from 5.3% last year to 3.7% in 2024 and 3.4% in 2025, though still above pre-pandemic averages.

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History of this topic

India can be a $9 trillion economy by 2030: Arvind Panagariya
1 week, 4 days ago

India can be a $9 trillion economy by 2030: Arvind Panagariya

Live Mint  

India is poised to surpass the position of the world's third-largest economy by 2030, with its gross domestic product expected to expand to $6.5-9 trillion, said Arvind Panagariya, the chairman of the 16th Finance Commission of India, on Thursday. Speaking at the Times Network India Economic Conclave 2024, Panagariya, former vice chairperson of NITI Aayog, said the Indian economy, despite …

World economy to accelerate in 2025, but recovery threatened by higher tariffs, OECD says
2 weeks, 5 days ago

World economy to accelerate in 2025, but recovery threatened by higher tariffs, OECD says

Live Mint  

The global economy is set to grow at slightly a faster pace next year as inflation continues to cool, but could falter if tariffs rise and governments fail to narrow wide budget deficits, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Wednesday. “Growth continues to be resilient," said Alvaro Pereira, the OECD’s chief economist, in an interview with The Wall …

Indian Economy to Grow 7.2 Percent in 2024, Moody’s Forecasts
1 month, 1 week ago

Indian Economy to Grow 7.2 Percent in 2024, Moody’s Forecasts

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Global rating agency Moody’s Ratings on Friday said that the Indian economy is in a sweet spot and projected a 7.2 per cent gross domestic product or GDP growth for India in 2024 with the mix of solid growth and moderating inflation. “Although the central bank shifted its monetary policy stance to neutral while keeping the repo rate …

China's Growth: A Catalyst for Global Prosperity
1 month, 2 weeks ago

China's Growth: A Catalyst for Global Prosperity

China Daily  

China's growth is vital for global development, and the country will promote mutually beneficial cooperation and development to counter the zero-sum games being played by some Western economies. The expansion and structural optimization of China's economy will have a significant impact on global economic growth, with every 1 percentage point increase in China's growth rate boosting global economic growth by …

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty
1 month, 3 weeks ago

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty

China Daily  

China's economy remains a stabilizing force in the global economy, despite the challenges of global geopolitical rivalries and rising government debt. The country's structural reforms and high-quality development strategies have contributed to its stability and growth. China's commitment to high-quality development and its willingness to engage in global trade and cooperation remain crucial for maintaining its economic prosperity and stability …

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections
1 month, 4 weeks ago

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections

China Daily  

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth projections for 2024, with a revised forecast of 3.2 percent for this year and 4.5 percent for 2025. The IMF warns about the global economic outlook, highlighting geopolitical risks, trade protectionism, and challenges in the real estate sector.

China's Economic Turnaround: A Positive Step but Structural Issues Remain
2 months, 1 week ago

China's Economic Turnaround: A Positive Step but Structural Issues Remain

Hindustan Times  

China's economy is showing signs of a turnaround, with the latest round of stimulus measures expected to boost growth. The bank upgrades its forecasts for 2024 and 2025, with an upgraded growth forecast for next year to 4.7%. Despite the positive outlook, Goldman Sachs cautions that structural issues such as demographics and debt remain and pose challenges beyond 2026.

China's growth helps bolster global economic recovery in H1
3 months, 4 weeks ago

China's growth helps bolster global economic recovery in H1

China Daily  

Photo taken on July 29, 2024 shows the US Treasury Building in Washington, D.C., the United States. MULTIPLE CHALLENGES WEIGH ON GROWTH According to the latest reports from the IMF and the World Bank, global economic growth is projected to inch forward to 3.2 percent and 2.6 percent respectively this year, with both forecasts suggesting a marginal 0.1 percentage point …

Responsive economic policies have mitigated risks and shock waves
5 months ago

Responsive economic policies have mitigated risks and shock waves

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. The IMF, as well as other international institutions such as Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and UBS, all raised their forecast for China's economic growth this year, mainly because of the overall performance of the Chinese economy in the first half of the year and the effectiveness it has displayed in preventing and resolving risks. Since March, …

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens
5 months, 1 week ago

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens

India TV News  

China’s economy grew at a slower-than-forecast 4.7 per cent annual rate in the last quarter, the government said on Monday. The world's second-largest economy grew 4.7 per cent in April-June, official data showed, its slowest since the first quarter of 2023 and missing a 5.1 per cent analyst forecast in a Reuters poll. United Nations' projections for India The United …

US Employment Seen Moderating Along With Wage Growth
5 months, 3 weeks ago

US Employment Seen Moderating Along With Wage Growth

Live Mint  

-- US employers probably tempered their hiring while wage growth moderated in June, another favorable development for Jerome Powell and his Federal Reserve colleagues seeking more confirmation that inflation is slowing. Among central banks, minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s June meeting will draw a lot of attention on Tuesday after Governor Michele Bullock said the board considered a …

China's new development means opportunities for world
6 months ago

China's new development means opportunities for world

China Daily  

Tourists visit a cultural block in Xiangyang, central China's Hubei province, June 10, 2024. Recently, the World Bank raised its forecast for China's 2024 economic growth to 4.8 percent, 0.3 percentage points higher from the previous forecast. The International Monetary Fund also revised up China's economic outlook to 5 percent, 0.4 percentage points higher than the previous forecast. In the …

India to remain fastest growing Asia-Pacific economy in 2024, predicts Moody's
6 months, 1 week ago

India to remain fastest growing Asia-Pacific economy in 2024, predicts Moody's

India TV News  

Moody's latest Ratings revealed that India is poised to maintain its position as the Asia-Pacific region's top-performing economy in 2024, continuing the robust growth driven by domestic factors seen last year. India to remain fastest growing economy: World Bank Earlier this week, a Work Bank report stated that India will remain the fastest-growing major economy recording a steady growth of …

World Bank boosts forecast: Strength of US economy will support global growth of 2.6% this year
6 months, 1 week ago

World Bank boosts forecast: Strength of US economy will support global growth of 2.6% this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The World Bank upgraded its outlook for the global economy Tuesday, estimating that it will expand 2.6% this year on the strength of sustained growth in the United States. Stronger-than-expected growth in the United States — the world’s biggest economy — accounted for 80% of the World Bank’s upgraded outlook. But even after the World Bank’s upgrade, global …

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades
6 months, 2 weeks ago

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades

Firstpost  

“In India, the outlook is for GDP growth to moderate from 8.2 per cent in 2023 to 7 per cent in 2024 and 6.5 per cent in 2025, because pent-up demand accumulated during the pandemic has been exhausted” the IMF said in the World Economic Outlook The IMF on Tuesday said India's GDP would grow 7% in 2024-25. India’s GDP …

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth
6 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth

Associated Press  

The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its forecast for China’s economy, while warning that consumer-friendly reforms are needed to sustain strong, high-quality growth. The IMF’s report, issued late Tuesday, said the world’s second-largest economy will likely expand at a 5% annual rate this year, based on its growth in the first quarter and recent moves to support the property sector. …

UN reports improved prospects for the world economy and forecasts 2.7% growth in 2024
7 months ago

UN reports improved prospects for the world economy and forecasts 2.7% growth in 2024

Associated Press  

UNITED NATIONS — The United Nations reported improved prospects for the world economy since its January forecast on Thursday, pointing to a better outlook in the United States and several large emerging economies including Brazil, India and Russia. “Globally, energy and food prices are inching upward in recent months, but I think a bit more insidious even is the persistence …

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth
7 months, 1 week ago

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth

China Daily  

Export-bound vehicles await loading at Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu province. WANG CHUN/FOR CHINA DAILY China's economy is showing fresh signs of stabilization with a solid first-quarter performance this year, laying a strong foundation for achieving its preset growth target of around 5 percent for 2024, said economists and global executives. Looking ahead, Liu said she believes China's 2024 annual growth target …

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth
7 months, 1 week ago

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth

China Daily  

Export-bound vehicles await loading at Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu province. WANG CHUN/FOR CHINA DAILY China's economy is showing fresh signs of stabilization with a solid first-quarter performance this year, laying a strong foundation for achieving its preset growth target of around 5 percent for 2024, said economists and global executives. Looking ahead, Liu said she believes China's 2024 annual growth target …

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth
7 months, 1 week ago

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth

China Daily  

Export-bound vehicles await loading at Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu province. WANG CHUN/FOR CHINA DAILY China's economy is showing fresh signs of stabilization with a solid first-quarter performance this year, laying a strong foundation for achieving its preset growth target of around 5 percent for 2024, said economists and global executives. Looking ahead, Liu said she believes China's 2024 annual growth target …

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth
7 months, 1 week ago

Stabilizing economy augurs well for global growth

China Daily  

Export-bound vehicles await loading at Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu province. WANG CHUN/FOR CHINA DAILY China's economy is showing fresh signs of stabilization with a solid first-quarter performance this year, laying a strong foundation for achieving its preset growth target of around 5 percent for 2024, said economists and global executives. Looking ahead, Liu said she believes China's 2024 annual growth target …

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies
8 months ago

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday that the world economy has proven surprisingly resilient in the face of higher interest rates and the shock of war in Ukraine and Gaza, but “there is plenty to worry about,’' including stubborn inflation and rising levels of government debt. In the United States, she said, “the flipside’’ of …

Indian economy projected to grow 6.5% in 2024: UNCTAD
8 months ago

Indian economy projected to grow 6.5% in 2024: UNCTAD

The Hindu  

India’s economy is projected to grow by 6.5% in 2024, according to a report by the UN which noted that multinationals extending their manufacturing processes into the country to diversify their supply chains will have a positive impact on Indian exports. “The expansion in 2023 was driven by strong public investment outlays as well as the vitality of the services …

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF
8 months, 1 week ago

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF

Hindustan Times  

US has a 2x rate of GDP growth relative to any other G7 country this year, as per International Monetary Fund projections, while its economy gains the upper hand globally, creating wild market swings by itself. International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas holds the IMF's World Economic Outlook during a press briefing at the IMF-World Bank Group spring meetings …

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the global economy this year, saying the world appears headed for a “soft landing” — reining in inflation without much economic pain and producing steady if modest growth. In its latest outlook, the IMF, a 190-country lending organization, notes that the global expansion is being powered by unexpectedly strong …

Economist predicts further upswing for economy
8 months, 2 weeks ago

Economist predicts further upswing for economy

China Daily  

China's economic outlook is poised to improve in the following months, buoyed by robust fiscal spending, and the country's growth target of around 5 percent for 2024 is achievable, according to a renowned economist. Huang Yiping, dean of Peking University's National School of Development, told China Daily in an exclusive interview that the nation's economy is relatively stable, with better-than-expected …

US’s Yellen warns China it cannot export its way to rapid growth
8 months, 2 weeks ago

US’s Yellen warns China it cannot export its way to rapid growth

Al Jazeera  

US treasury secretary says market-based reforms will aid world’s second largest economy. United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned that China is too large to try to export its way to rapid growth and would benefit by reducing excess industrial capacity that is pressuring other economies. The International Monetary Fund currently forecasts China’s 2024 real gross domestic product growth …

Debt, trade barriers and uncertainty will drag on Asian economies in 2024, World Bank report says
8 months, 3 weeks ago

Debt, trade barriers and uncertainty will drag on Asian economies in 2024, World Bank report says

Associated Press  

BANGKOK — Asian economies are not doing as well as they could and growth in the region is forecast to slow to 4.5% this year from 5.1% in 2023, the World Bank said in a report released Monday. Debt, trade barriers and policy uncertainties are dulling the region’s economic dynamism and governments need to do more to address long-term problems …

UK economy went into shallow recession in 2023: Official data
8 months, 3 weeks ago

UK economy went into shallow recession in 2023: Official data

Live Mint  

Britain's economy entered a shallow recession last year, official figures confirmed on Thursday, leaving Prime Minister Rishi Sunak with a challenge to reassure voters that the economy is safe with him before an election expected later this year. "The weak starting point for GDP this year means calendar-year growth in 2024 is likely to be limited to less than 1%," …

Chinese economy belies scaremongers: China Daily editorial
8 months, 4 weeks ago

Chinese economy belies scaremongers: China Daily editorial

China Daily  

The high growth rate the Chinese economy maintained for the majority part of the past four decades seems to have made some take it for granted. They therefore view the 5.2 percent year-on-year growth of the Chinese economy last year from a glass-half-empty perspective. Yet China's economic growth rate is markedly higher than those of other major economies, including the …

China's economy has braved obstacles in the past, and will continue to do so
9 months ago

China's economy has braved obstacles in the past, and will continue to do so

China Daily  

JIN DING/CHINA DAILY Some Western politicians and institutions recently invented the "Peak China "theory, arguing that China's development has peaked. Despite Western countries claiming over the past decade that China's development is disappointing and will collapse, the economy has been continually developing, even under pressure, and scaling new heights. Some people believe China's total population has already peaked, and the …

China says economy got a strong start in 2024, sets sights on latest technology, upgrading factories
9 months, 2 weeks ago

China says economy got a strong start in 2024, sets sights on latest technology, upgrading factories

Associated Press  

BEIJING — China has plenty of room to maneuver to attain its annual target for robust economic growth of about 5% after a strong start for the year, top economic officials said Wednesday, though they acknowledged it’s a challenge. It’s hard to fully meet needs using existing funding channels and there’s an urgent need to increase support,” he said at …

China pushes for 5% GDP growth
9 months, 2 weeks ago

China pushes for 5% GDP growth

China Daily  

China aims to see economic expansion at around 5 percent for 2024, unchanged from last year, as the world's second-largest economy will leverage intensified and targeted macro policies to sustain stable growth, according to the Government Work Report released on Tuesday. The country pledged to pursue a proactive fiscal policy that will be intensified as appropriate with improved quality and …

Govt Work Report shows how China plans to leverage its advantages
9 months, 2 weeks ago

Govt Work Report shows how China plans to leverage its advantages

China Daily  

High-rises dominate the skyline on both sides of the Huangpu River in Shanghai. This year's blueprint is a plan for China to strengthen science and technology programs and to transform this massive emphasis on research and development into new industrialization policies to create a more efficient, high quality and green industrial base for the nation's future development, and that of …

Govt Work Report shows how China plans to leverage its advantages
9 months, 2 weeks ago

Govt Work Report shows how China plans to leverage its advantages

China Daily  

High-rises dominate the skyline on both sides of the Huangpu River in Shanghai. This year's blueprint is a plan for China to strengthen science and technology programs and to transform this massive emphasis on research and development into new industrialization policies to create a more efficient, high quality and green industrial base for the nation's future development, and that of …

Professional forecasters raise expectations for US economy in 2024
9 months, 3 weeks ago

Professional forecasters raise expectations for US economy in 2024

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — This year looks to be a much better one for the U.S. economy than business economists were forecasting just a few months ago, according to a survey released Monday. High rates put the brakes on the economy, such as by making mortgages and credit card bills more expensive, in hopes of starving inflation of its fuel. Professional …

China seen as largest engine for world economic growth
10 months ago

China seen as largest engine for world economic growth

China Daily  

Photo shows a view of Nansha Port in Guangzhou, South China's Guangdong province. China's GDP exceeded 126 trillion yuan in 2023, up 5.2 percent over the previous year, making it the largest engine of global growth. As China's growth is likely to exceed expectations, emerging Asian economies as a whole are projected by the IMF to grow by 5.2 percent …

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF
10 months, 3 weeks ago

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF

China Daily  

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will remain the largest contributor to global growth in 2024, said Steven Barnett, senior resident representative of the International Monetary Fund in China. "China would still be the single-largest contributor to contribute over one-quarter of global growth this year," Barnett said in an exclusive interview with China Daily, adding that the over-a-quarter contribution is …

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF
10 months, 3 weeks ago

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF

China Daily  

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will remain the largest contributor to global growth in 2024, said Steven Barnett, senior resident representative of the International Monetary Fund in China. "China would still be the single-largest contributor to contribute over one-quarter of global growth this year," Barnett said in an exclusive interview with China Daily, adding that the over-a-quarter contribution is …

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy

Firstpost  

The two biggest economies in the world, China and the United States, have improved economic prospects, according to the International Monetary Fund, which raised its prediction for global growth on Tuesday. Although a “soft landing” appeared to be imminent, according to the IMF’s most recent World Economic Outlook, head economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas noted that global trade and overall GDP were …

Economic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter
10 months, 4 weeks ago

Economic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter

CBS News  

The nation's economy grew at an unexpectedly brisk 3.3% annual pace from October through December as Americans showed a continued willingness to spend freely despite high interest rates and price levels that have frustrated many households. Thursday's report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy's total output of goods and services — decelerated from its …

China’s economy expanded 5.2% last year, hitting the government’s target despite an uneven recovery
11 months ago

China’s economy expanded 5.2% last year, hitting the government’s target despite an uneven recovery

Associated Press  

HONG KONG — China’s economy for the October-December quarter grew at a quicker rate, allowing the Chinese government to hit its target of about 5% annual growth for 2023 even though trade data and the economic recovery remain uneven. Officials from China’s National Bureau of Statistics said that measures including “strengthened macro regulation, and redoubled efforts to expand domestic demand, …

China reports 5.2% GDP growth for 2023
11 months ago

China reports 5.2% GDP growth for 2023

China Daily  

China's gross domestic product expanded by 5.2 percent in 2023 - meeting the country's preset annual growth target of around 5 percent, fueled by a slew of policy measures taking effect gradually last year, official data showed on Wednesday. Experts called China's 2023 GDP growth as "relatively fast" in contrast to other major economies, highlighting China's role as a key …

China reports 5.2% GDP growth for 2023
11 months ago

China reports 5.2% GDP growth for 2023

China Daily  

China's gross domestic product expanded by 5.2 percent in 2023 - meeting the country's preset annual growth target of around 5 percent, fueled by a slew of policy measures taking effect gradually last year, official data showed on Wednesday. Experts called China's 2023 GDP growth as "relatively fast" in contrast to other major economies, highlighting China's role as a key …

China's economy still much better than West
11 months, 1 week ago

China's economy still much better than West

China Daily  

A view of the Lujiazui area of Pudong, East China's Shanghai. And before the global economy had recovered, it faced the COVID-19-induced recession, the trade wars initiated by the US government, the near collapse of supply chains, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the ensuing economic sanctions, all of which have slowed the rates of growth of almost all economies. This is …

Global asset managers optimistic about A-share market's rebound this year
11 months, 1 week ago

Global asset managers optimistic about A-share market's rebound this year

China Daily  

Global investment banks and asset managers have expressed cautious optimism that China's A-share market is poised for a rebound this year, after underperforming major global peers in 2023. Chen Dong, chief Asia strategist and head of Asia research at Pictet Wealth Management, said the Swiss company remains tactically positive on Chinese equities over the short to medium term as China's …

Country's strategic priorities reflect Chinese wisdom
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Country's strategic priorities reflect Chinese wisdom

China Daily  

The financial district of Pudong New Area. In addition, the nation's recently announced strategic priorities — science technology, innovation, development of a modern industrial system, the boosting of domestic demand, support for agriculture and rural farmers, integration of urban-rural development, coordinated regional development, immense social development, high-level opening-up and prevention of risks in key areas — vividly reflect the economic …

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for
11 months, 3 weeks ago

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for

Al Jazeera  

US interest rates, oil prices and the Chinese economy will determine the global economy next year. “And once an economic slowdown gets under way, it risks feeding on itself,” he said, adding that while falling inflation will be an important factor in determining monetary policy, “weakening growth will almost certainly determine when the Fed will pivot.” Federal funds futures are …

After bumpy recovery, China’s economy faces serious headwinds in 2024
1 year ago

After bumpy recovery, China’s economy faces serious headwinds in 2024

Al Jazeera  

The world’s second-largest economy is heading into 2024 on a precarious footing amid deep-seated structural issues. China’s reopening after the lifting of its harsh “zero-COVID” restrictions in January coincided with challenging economic conditions overseas, as soaring inflation made consumers less inclined to buy Chinese goods. “The all too often near-anarchic environment of the past two decades has led to such …

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