Adverse weather may be forecast 520 years' ahead
3 years, 2 months ago

Adverse weather may be forecast 520 years' ahead

Deccan Chronicle  

HYDERABAD: A University of Hyderabad and UK’s University of Exeter collaborated study released on Monday uncovered for the first time that the Indian Ocean Dipole decadal predictions can forecast climate processes with a lead of some years. For the research, UoH Prof. K. Ashok, his PhD student Feba Francis, and Prof. Satish Shetye, former chair professor of Centre for Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences; collaborated with University of Exeter’s Prof. Mat Collins. This decadal prediction model though is still at a nascent stage,” Prof. Ashok told Deccan Chronicle. Though results are only indicative, newly released decadal predictions run with CMIP6 simulations within global community may show better decadal prediction results, given the improved models and larger number of observations that have been assimilated, Prof. Ashok added.

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History of this topic

Subdued monsoon leaves climate agencies re-evaluating forecasts
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Subdued monsoon leaves climate agencies re-evaluating forecasts

New Indian Express  

THIRUVANANTHAPURAM: The subdued onset of the southwest monsoon has led several climate agencies to revise their rainfall expectations for Kerala in July. While the India Meteorological Department initially predicted above-normal rainfall for the month, other global weather agencies, including United States Climate Prediction Center and Europe’s ECMWF, have tempered their forecasts. The IMD’s latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecasting System model …

Explained | Global warming will likely soon cross 1.5º C. What will it mean for India?
1 year, 7 months ago

Explained | Global warming will likely soon cross 1.5º C. What will it mean for India?

The Hindu  

The World Meteorological Organization has just predicted that there is a greater than 66% probability that at least one of the years from 2023 to 2027 will witness a global mean surface temperature rise of 1.5o C above the average in the years 1850-1900. To do this, we must first understand how these multi-year forecasts are different from the much …

Warming warning: The Hindu Editorial on the World Meteorological Organization projections for temperature trends
1 year, 7 months ago

Warming warning: The Hindu Editorial on the World Meteorological Organization projections for temperature trends

The Hindu  

The World Meteorological Organization has issued its annual update on its projections for temperature trends in the next decade. The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is likely to be 1.1°-1.8°C higher than the average from 1850-1900. There is a 66% chance that the global near-surface temperature will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, in …

Climate change is making weather forecast difficult, admits IMD DG
2 years, 4 months ago

Climate change is making weather forecast difficult, admits IMD DG

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Climate change has hampered the ability of the forecasting agencies to accurately predict severe events and weather bureaus across the world are focusing on augmenting the observational network density and the weather prediction modelling to improve predictability, India Meteorological Department director general Mrutyunjay Mohapatra has said. “Climate change has increased the instability in the atmosphere, leading to an …

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