NFL Week 13 picks against the spread: Stay warm and pick the relaxing sides on Thanksgiving
3 weeks, 4 days ago

NFL Week 13 picks against the spread: Stay warm and pick the relaxing sides on Thanksgiving

New York Times  

People like to say that Thanksgiving is about family, but it’s really about eating weird stuff that you normally don’t, taking the day off from work and reducing stress — and let’s face it, some family members can be a challenge to your relaxation goals. GO DEEPER NFL Power Rankings Week 13: Eagles, Packers rising, plus the best case for every team Last week’s record: 7-6 against the spread, 2-3 on best bets. Don’t forget that Dallas has lost all five of its home games, is allowing 28.5 points per game the last four weeks and is 2-11 against the spread on Thanksgiving since 2012. Miami’s defense has improved since the return of Zach Sieler, and Chop Robinson leads the NFL in pass pressure percentage the past four weeks at 25.8 percent. As for the other side of the ball, Colts QB Anthony Richardson’s -0.15 EPA per dropback rate and 60.4 passer rating last week actually stand as his second best performance in his last four starts.

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History of this topic

NFL Week 16 picks against the spread: Caleb Williams will keep it close against Lions
4 days, 15 hours ago

NFL Week 16 picks against the spread: Caleb Williams will keep it close against Lions

New York Times  

I need to adopt a new mediocre-to-poor quarterback. It’s not like we’re asking Williams to win Sunday; just stay within seven points of a banged-up Detroit Lions team that everyone is betting will bounce back after losing to the Buffalo Bills. Herbert used to be able to lean on J.K. Dobbins and the run game, but he’s hurt and the …

NFL Week 14 picks against the spread: Justin Jefferson’s scoreless streak will end vs. Falcons
2 weeks, 4 days ago

NFL Week 14 picks against the spread: Justin Jefferson’s scoreless streak will end vs. Falcons

New York Times  

The Minnesota Vikings have won five games in a row, and amazingly, their best player, Justin Jefferson, hasn’t scored in any of those games. But there are three problems with jumping on that bandwagon in this matchup: 1) the Lions are very good against the run, so Josh Jacobs can’t carry the Packers offense here; 2) Jordan Love has been …

NFL best bets Week 14: Packers, Chiefs, Dolphins to cover and a couple over-unders
2 weeks, 5 days ago

NFL best bets Week 14: Packers, Chiefs, Dolphins to cover and a couple over-unders

New York Times  

If you thought that the Chicago Bears’ game-ending blunder was bad or that Justin Tucker’s fall from GOAT status was tough, imagine being on the wrong side of both of those bets this past week. Sign Up Best bets for NFL Week 14 If you gleaned any takeaways from the Bears-Lions Thanksgiving matchup other than the Bears’ incompetency, it was …

NFL Power Rankings Week 14: Bills, Eagles peaking, plus worst-case scenarios
2 weeks, 6 days ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 14: Bills, Eagles peaking, plus worst-case scenarios

New York Times  

The Week 14 NFL Power Rankings don’t want to be a downer, but since we did best-case scenarios last week, it’s only fair to consider the worst-case scenarios for all 32 teams. Up next: vs. Carolina Panthers, Sunday, 1 p.m. Buffalo Bills Last week: 3 Sunday: Beat San Francisco 49ers 35-10 Worst-case scenario: Derrick Henry going wild in the playoffs …

NFL Week 13: Steelers-Bengals and 4 more games with biggest impact on playoff odds
3 weeks, 5 days ago

NFL Week 13: Steelers-Bengals and 4 more games with biggest impact on playoff odds

New York Times  

Thanksgiving is here, and that means it’s time to really start diving into the NFL playoff picture. So, let’s get started: Team Current playoff odds Playoff odds with win Playoff odds with loss Dolphins 32.8% 49.2% 23.2% Packers 93.9% 96.5% 89.5% The Dolphins have the third-highest swing in playoffs odds going into Week 13 at 26%. GO DEEPER NFL best …

NFL best bets Week 13 with overs on Bears-Lions, Eagles-Ravens: ‘Give me all the food and all the points’
3 weeks, 6 days ago

NFL best bets Week 13 with overs on Bears-Lions, Eagles-Ravens: ‘Give me all the food and all the points’

New York Times  

Thanksgiving is on Thursday, so we’ll have NFL football on all day — and there’s nothing better than football and mountains of food. Last week’s record: 2-2-1, -0.20 units Season record: 26-28-3, -3.70 units, -6.1% ROI Here are three plays to kick off the week, including one on Thanksgiving. Sign Up Best bets for NFL Week 13 Chicago Bears at …

NFL Week 12 takeaways: First running back MVP in over a decade? What’s going on with the Texans? What next for wide-open NFC West?
3 weeks, 6 days ago

NFL Week 12 takeaways: First running back MVP in over a decade? What’s going on with the Texans? What next for wide-open NFC West?

CNN  

CNN — With six weeks of the 2024 NFL season remaining, each result becomes increasingly important for a team’s aspirations. “He’s a bad man.” A victory for Barkley could come hand-in-hand with an Eagles postseason run and bring further hurt to an already struggling Giants season. Cooper Neill/Getty Images The Titans – who were seen as one of the favorites …

NFL best bets Week 12: Picking Jim against the spread in the Harbaugh Bowl and 3 more plays
1 month ago

NFL best bets Week 12: Picking Jim against the spread in the Harbaugh Bowl and 3 more plays

New York Times  

It had been a solid run betting on the NFL, and that run has abruptly come to an end. Sign Up Best bets for NFL Week 12 Minnesota Vikings -3 at Chicago Bears Caleb Williams and this Bears offense looked a lot better last week after making a change at offensive coordinator. Worst price to bet: Over 46.5 Los Angeles …

NFL Week 11 top storylines: Chiefs-Bills, Ravens-Steelers and can Bears get right vs. Packers?
1 month ago

NFL Week 11 top storylines: Chiefs-Bills, Ravens-Steelers and can Bears get right vs. Packers?

New York Times  

And the beat goes on. Another action-packed slate of games is upon us as Week 11 of the NFL regular season offers four high-stakes divisional matchups and another three contests between projected playoff teams. Pittsburgh’s defense, which is eighth-best in yards and second-stingiest in points per game, will certainly receive its most challenging assignment of the season. If the Ravens …

NFL best bets Week 11: Patrick Mahomes as an underdog is too good to pass up
1 month, 1 week ago

NFL best bets Week 11: Patrick Mahomes as an underdog is too good to pass up

New York Times  

Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season is highlighted by the Kansas City Chiefs traveling to Buffalo to take on the Bills in a game that Taylor Swift may or may not be attending. Derek Carr played pretty well against the Atlanta Falcons last week, but the Falcons are one of the league’s worst teams at generating pressure. Worst price …

NFL best bets Week 10: Betting on bad defense for TNF and Miami to lose on Monday
1 month, 2 weeks ago

NFL best bets Week 10: Betting on bad defense for TNF and Miami to lose on Monday

New York Times  

My NFL Projection Model has had a nice little run here. Last week’s record: 3-2, +1.30 units Season record: 22-21-2, +1.00 units, +2.1% ROI I’m a little late to start this week due to some family matters, so I missed out on some value. I’m also sharing a “worst price to bet,” which is the last number that I would …

NFL Power Rankings Week 10: Something nice about every team, starting with Lions, Chiefs
1 month, 2 weeks ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 10: Something nice about every team, starting with Lions, Chiefs

New York Times  

Read our Week 12 NFL Power Rankings The Power Rankings are aware that there may be bigger news around the country today, and that makes Week 10 the perfect time for us to focus on the positive. Last week: 4 Sunday: Beat Miami Dolphins 30-27 Something nice: Josh Allen’s TD-to-INT ratio After throwing three touchdowns Sunday against the Dolphins, Buffalo’s …

NFL Week 8 picks against the spread: Backing Jameis Winston, one of the planet’s 32 best QBs
1 month, 4 weeks ago

NFL Week 8 picks against the spread: Backing Jameis Winston, one of the planet’s 32 best QBs

New York Times  

That sound you hear is the metal jaws of the garbage truck scraping the bottom of the bin. — Kurt Warner October 22, 2024 If Winston came in right away last week, the Browns would’ve easily covered the spread against the Cincinnati Bengals. And Winston will let it fly against a Ravens defense that ranks 27th in EPA per play …

NFL Power Rankings Week 8: Are Packers, Steelers, Seahawks contenders?
2 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 8: Are Packers, Steelers, Seahawks contenders?

New York Times  

Read our Week 12 NFL Power Rankings The Week 8 Power Rankings are here, and it’s time to take a closer look at everyone’s resume. Up next: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday, 1 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles Last week: 18 Sunday: Beat New York Giants 28-3 Who have they beaten? Up next: at New England Patriots, Sunday, 1 p.m. Las Vegas …

NFL Power Rankings Week 7: How good are Ravens, Lions? Plus more big questions
2 months, 1 week ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 7: How good are Ravens, Lions? Plus more big questions

New York Times  

Read our Week 12 NFL Power Rankings We’re a third of the way through the NFL season, and we have some answers about some teams. Up next: vs. Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last week: 11 Sunday: Beat New Orleans Saints 51-27 One Big Question: What will Mike Evans’ career numbers be? Up next: at Atlanta …

What we learned in NFL Week 6: Bears have their guy, Cowboys shocked at home
2 months, 1 week ago

What we learned in NFL Week 6: Bears have their guy, Cowboys shocked at home

New York Times  

It was an unnerving sight: an NFL head coach disappearing into the blue medical tent on the sideline during a game, then walking to the locker room with the training staff. That means Williams has thrown for nine touchdowns in his first six starts, matching the total the Bears’ last two first-round picks at quarterback amassed across their entire first …

NFL projection model: Falcons, Bears winning the offseason; Cowboys, Chiefs slipping
8 months, 4 weeks ago

NFL projection model: Falcons, Bears winning the offseason; Cowboys, Chiefs slipping

New York Times  

The NFL offseason is well underway, and there has been no shortage of splash moves.  Five biggest winners Atlanta Falcons Top-10 quarterbacks don’t hit free agency too often, so the Falcons are the biggest winners of the offseason by far after landing Cousins. That’s one of the best moves of the offseason outside of the quarterback position and should …

NFL Power Rankings Week 18: Browns and Packers move up, plus a lesson from every team
11 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 18: Browns and Packers move up, plus a lesson from every team

New York Times  

Like the rest of you, the Power Rankings are trying to make some sense of this NFL year as we head into the final week of the regular season. Up next: vs. Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Cleveland Browns Thursday: Beat New York Jets 37-20 The lesson: They didn’t even need Deshaun Watson The Browns would be one of …

NFL Week 17 takeaways: What ails the Eagles? What should Bears do with draft’s No. 1 pick?
11 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Week 17 takeaways: What ails the Eagles? What should Bears do with draft’s No. 1 pick?

New York Times  

After Week 17 in the NFL began with wins by the Cleveland Browns and Dallas Cowboys, the drama continued Sunday with 14 games, including 10 in the early window. They manhandled the Dolphins — one of football’s best — even though they were coming off an emotional victory on the road and playing on a short week. The Bills and …

NFL Power Rankings Week 17: Ravens take over the top spot, plus an MVP for every team
11 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 17: Ravens take over the top spot, plus an MVP for every team

New York Times  

The NFL’s MVP award is going to dominate much of the conversation in the final two weeks of the regular season, but the Power Rankings think we should be celebrating more than just one player. ET GO DEEPER NFL’s 12 biggest surprises of 2023, led by Baker outplaying 2022 Brady: Sando’s Pick Six Sunday: Beat Dallas Cowboys 22-20 MVP: Tyreek …

What we learned in NFL Week 15: Beware the Ravens and Bills, trouble in Pittsburgh and more
1 year ago

What we learned in NFL Week 15: Beware the Ravens and Bills, trouble in Pittsburgh and more

New York Times  

In Orchard Park, N.Y., the Bills put the rest of the AFC on notice. Here’s all that stood out from Week 15, and an updated look at the playoff picture in the AFC and NFC: Ravens stay in front in AFC Somehow, it seems, the Ravens have flown under the radar this season, overshadowed in their own conference by Miami’s …

NFL playoff picture after Week 15: Eagles fall to Seahawks, lose control over NFC’s top seed
1 year ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 15: Eagles fall to Seahawks, lose control over NFC’s top seed

New York Times  

Read the latest on the NFL playoff picture. Remaining schedule: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, vs. Carolina Panthers, at Tennessee Titans Odds: To make playoffs: 72.6 percent | To earn bye: 0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 2 percent Cleveland Browns Quarterback Joe Flacco, who turns 39 next month, has eclipsed 300 yards in back-to-back games, and he’s thrown for …

NFL Power Rankings Week 14: 49ers make a statement, plus worst-case scenarios
1 year ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 14: 49ers make a statement, plus worst-case scenarios

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 Last week, the Power Rankings looked at the best-case scenario for all 32 NFL teams, but it’s late in the season and we’ve had to watch so many bad Jets quarterbacks that it’s taken all the optimism out of us. ET Sunday GO DEEPER Jones: NFL officials face impossible task — we or …

NFL playoff picture after Week 13: Jaguars lose Trevor Lawrence, control of AFC top seed
1 year ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 13: Jaguars lose Trevor Lawrence, control of AFC top seed

New York Times  

Read the latest on the NFL playoff picture. Remaining schedule: vs. Rams, at Jaguars, at 49ers, vs. Dolphins, vs. Steelers Odds: To make playoffs: 98.6 percent | To earn bye: 23.5 percent | To win Super Bowl: 11.6 percent GO DEEPER NFL Power Rankings Week 14: 49ers make a statement, plus worst-case scenarios The Chiefs are 2-3 over their last …

NFL Power Rankings Week 13: Cowboys, Steelers moving up, plus best-case scenarios
1 year ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 13: Cowboys, Steelers moving up, plus best-case scenarios

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 The homestretch of the NFL season is upon us, and the Power Rankings are in an optimistic mood. Up next: at Green Bay Packers, Sunday, 8:20 p.m. San Francisco 49ers Thursday: Beat Seattle Seahawks 31-13 Best case: Super Bowl ring Since acquiring defensive end Chase Young at the trade deadline, the 49ers are …

Analysis: AFC’s race for the No. 1 seed is tight with 4 division leaders earning Week 12 wins
1 year ago

Analysis: AFC’s race for the No. 1 seed is tight with 4 division leaders earning Week 12 wins

Associated Press  

On Football analyzes the biggest topics in the NFL from week to week. “When you have a short week and you’re playing a team like the Raiders, who always plays you tough, you have to bounce right back,” Mahomes said. A week after drops by Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Justin Watson cost them a win against the Eagles, it was important …

NFL Power Rankings Week 12: Eagles, Chiefs on top, but who else is actually good?
1 year, 1 month ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 12: Eagles, Chiefs on top, but who else is actually good?

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 The NFL season is starting down the stretch, and there’s still a lot up in the air. ET GO DEEPER NFL Week 11 takeaways: Browns defense is 'special'; 49ers appear to be back Sunday: Lost to New York Giants 31-19 Are they good? Up next: vs. Carolina Panthers, Sunday, 1 p.m. New York …

NFL Power Rankings Week 10: Ravens the new No. 1, midseason report cards for all 32 teams
1 year, 1 month ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 10: Ravens the new No. 1, midseason report cards for all 32 teams

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 We’re through nine weeks of the NFL season, and that means the Power Rankings can start handing out report cards. Up next: vs. New York Giants, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers Thursday: Beat Tennessee Titans 20-16 Report card: B-minus Yes, the Steelers are two games above.500, but we can’t forget the hype surrounding …

What we learned in NFL Week 7: Will real Bills stand up? Rams, Packers frustrated
1 year, 2 months ago

What we learned in NFL Week 7: Will real Bills stand up? Rams, Packers frustrated

New York Times  

For a few seconds, Sean McVay stood and stared while the helplessness of the situation started to sink in. Here’s what else we learned from the afternoon slate of Week 7: Put the Ravens in the Super Bowl conversation After the Ravens’ 38-6 dismantling of the red-hot Lions — a team that had won four in a row and 13 …

What we learned in NFL Week 6: Unbeaten no more as 49ers, Eagles upset by backup QBs
1 year, 2 months ago

What we learned in NFL Week 6: Unbeaten no more as 49ers, Eagles upset by backup QBs

New York Times  

In Cleveland, the journeyman quarterback who’s been cut a staggering 11 times in his career — at one point, he was the XFL’s leading passer — outlasted the league’s newest star in an upset no one saw coming. The league’s two remaining unbeatens — the 49ers and Eagles — both suffered their first loss of the season at the hands …

NFL Power Rankings Week 6: Lions, Jaguars on the rise, plus rookie check-in
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 6: Lions, Jaguars on the rise, plus rookie check-in

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 It’s already Week 6 in the NFL. ET Sunday: Beat New York Giants 31-16 Miami might have missed on second-round cornerback Cam Smith, but the Dolphins made up for it with third-round pick De’Von Achane. Sunday: Beat Buffalo Bills 25-20 Wide receiver Calvin Ridley has helped after being acquired in a trade with …

NFL Power Rankings Week 5: 49ers, Eagles rule and Dolphins tumble on Chaos Week
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 5: 49ers, Eagles rule and Dolphins tumble on Chaos Week

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 The Cincinnati Bengals are terrible. Up next: vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 4:05 p.m ET Sunday Sunday: Lost to Los Angeles Rams 29-23 in OT Rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson isn’t quite there as a passer, but former Eagles offensive architect Shane Steichen, now the Colts’ head coach, is producing offense nonetheless. ET Sunday in London …

NFL Power Rankings Week 4: Dolphins, 49ers are 1-2, plus QB confidence ratings
1 year, 2 months ago

NFL Power Rankings Week 4: Dolphins, 49ers are 1-2, plus QB confidence ratings

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 Every week in the NFL is a Quarterback Week. ET Sunday: Beat Chicago Bears 41-10 QB confidence rating: 10 Patrick Mahomes is still the league’s gold standard. ET Sunday: Beat Washington Commanders 37-3 QB confidence rating: 8 All is forgiven after Josh Allen’s Week 1 meltdown. ET Sunday: Beat Tennessee Titans 27-3 QB …

What we learned in NFL Week 3: Dolphins keep cooking, the surprising Colts, Bears are a mess
1 year, 2 months ago

What we learned in NFL Week 3: Dolphins keep cooking, the surprising Colts, Bears are a mess

New York Times  

The first time he sat down with Tua Tagovailoa, Mike McDaniel could feel his quarterback’s shaken confidence from across the desk. The Dolphins’ box score reads like a Big 12 game: 10 touchdowns, 30 first downs, 726 total yards, 70 points and four plays that went for 50 yards or more. We understand the frustration … we’re doing everything we …

NFL Week 3 survivor pool picks: Selecting the Cowboys, Jaguars and Broncos plus strategy
1 year, 3 months ago

NFL Week 3 survivor pool picks: Selecting the Cowboys, Jaguars and Broncos plus strategy

New York Times  

Read The Athletic’s NFL survivor pool picks for Week 12. GO DEEPER Vic's Picks, Week 3: Tua Tagovailoa keeps playing like an MVP Week 3 Strategy Renee Miller: At the start of the season, we had circled the Rams, Bucs, Panthers, Texans and Cardinals as the worst teams in the league based on last year’s offensive performance and/or the arrival …

NFL Power Rankings: Dolphins, Eagles on the rise; offense is back!
1 year, 3 months ago

NFL Power Rankings: Dolphins, Eagles on the rise; offense is back!

New York Times  

Read our NFL Power Rankings Week 16 The Power Rankings are happy to announce that offense is back in the NFL. ET Sunday: Beat New England Patriots 24-17 After two games, the Dolphins lead the NFL in yards per game and yards per play, and one of those games was against Bill Belichick. Sunday: Beat Los Angeles Chargers 27-24 Ryan …

NFL playoff picture after Week 14: Patriots hang tight with league’s toughest schedule ahead
2 years ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 14: Patriots hang tight with league’s toughest schedule ahead

New York Times  

Week 14 has featured a loss for one team in the hunt for a No. Remaining schedule: at Chargers, vs. Texans, vs. Cowboys, at Jaguars Odds: To make playoffs: 88.3 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 4.0 percent Cincinnati Bengals The Bengals didn’t have Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd or Hayden Hurst, but they still …

NFL Week 3 odds and totals: Opening spreads for every game
2 years, 3 months ago

NFL Week 3 odds and totals: Opening spreads for every game

New York Times  

NFL Week 3 gets started on Thursday night with an AFC North battle between the Browns and the visiting Steelers. Week 2 NFL betting recap Week 2 saw favorites go 8-6 straight up with two games pending on Monday night Underdogs went 9-4-1 against the spread Unders went 9-4-1 Favorites are now 17-11-1 straight up on the season, but underdogs …

NFL Week 13 best bets: Two games with intriguing early odds
3 years ago

NFL Week 13 best bets: Two games with intriguing early odds

LA Times  

With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, the calendar flips to December for Week 13 and the playoff race is clear as mud. With four teams on byes this week and a traditional schedule with only one Thursday game, let’s try to find some early line value. Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Amari Cooper carries the …

NFL Week 8 best bets: Three games with intriguing early odds
3 years, 1 month ago

NFL Week 8 best bets: Three games with intriguing early odds

LA Times  

Before looking at Week 8 of the NFL, I want to throw a quick reminder out there to make sure to check the weather forecasts as the week goes along. The Green Bay defense was bordering on the top five in yards per play allowed going into the Washington game, but they lost containment on a few Taylor Heinicke long …

NFL Week 14 picks: Chiefs beat Dolphins; Steelers lose again
4 years ago

NFL Week 14 picks: Chiefs beat Dolphins; Steelers lose again

LA Times  

The Times’ NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week’s matchups. Prediction: Panthers 28, Broncos 21 Texans at Bears Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: None. Prediction: Chiefs 28, Dolphins 20 Cowboys at Bengals Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: None. Prediction: Buccaneers 28, Vikings 24 Colts at Raiders Sunday, 1:05 p.m. TV: None. Prediction: Seahawks 28, Jets 20 Packers at Lions Sunday, 1:05 p.m. …

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