
As the Bank of England holds interest rates, should we fear ‘stagflation’?
The IndependentShould “stagflation” be our word of the day? Concern about the other problems might explain why the Bank of England’s committee voted the way it in deciding to hold rates even when other central banks have been cutting. The doves this time were concerned about Britain’s “weakening labour market” – although it would have to weaken a lot for Britain to qualify as being in full stagflation hell – and sluggish demand. The most popular fixed rate deals – those running for two or five years – are governed by long-term expectations for interest rates set by the City’s interest rate swaps market, not base rates. The MPC’s minutes make it clear that UK rates are expected to be between 3.75 per cent and 4 per cent in three years’ time, compared to just 2 per cent in the eurozone.
History of this topic

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