Myanmar’s Big Moment
For a brief moment, it seemed as if Myanmar’s eagerly awaited legislative elections might yet be postponed, ostensibly because of recent flooding. The leader of the main political opposition party, Aung San Suu Kyi, seems convinced that the NLD will win the elections in a landslide and that she will lead a new government. Second, Aung San Suu Kyi knows that as the daughter of General Aung San and the country’s revered democracy icon, she herself remains wildly popular among voters, for most of whom these elections represent the first opportunity since 1990 to cast their ballot for the NLD, and many want to embrace the kind of fundamental political change she represents. In the event of the NLD achieving a comprehensive victory in the forthcoming elections and controlling the Union Parliament, Aung San Suu Kyi’s party would be in the best possible position to claim and win the presidency. And while the Commander-in-Chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing has vowed to respect the outcome of the elections, the military may well prefer that Aung San Suu Kyi not achieve a resounding electoral victory that would allow her and the NLD to push the political envelope in ways that are potentially at odds with the constitutional status quo, which the military is keen to protect.
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