Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Rate cut chances increase after inflation slows in final quarter of 2024

ABC  

The odds of an interest rate cut next month have increased, with official figures showing the Reserve Bank of Australia's preferred measure of inflation fell to 3.2 per cent over the year to December. The more volatile headline inflation figure came in at 0.2 per cent for the December quarter and 2.4 per cent for the year, down from a peak of 7.8 per cent two years ago. " December quarter's rise was the same as the 0.2 per cent increase in the September 2024 quarter," ABS head of prices statistics Michelle Marquardt said. " "There's now a good chance trimmed mean 'underlying' inflation could fall back to with the RBA's 2-3 per cent inflation target band by June, rather than the RBA's current expectation of December," he wrote.

Inflation Prices Interest Fall Cent Quarter Rate Cut Increase Mean Rba Underlying Inflation Electricity Prices  final  increase  inflation  2024  cent  cut  mean  interest  prices  fall  slows  rate  chances  underlying  quarter

History of this topic

Central banks turn more cautious on rate cuts
2 days, 11 hours ago

Central banks turn more cautious on rate cuts

Live Mint  

* Central bank easing meets global caution * BoE keeps rates steady, SNB cuts on Thursday * BOJ remains the G10 outlier By Yadarisa Shabong and Alun John March 20 - Big developed market central banks are turning cautious after a series of interest rate cuts and as uncertainty in global economics and politics grows. Here's a look at where …

With outlook uncertain, the Bank of England joins the US Fed in putting interest rates on hold
Trending News
2 days, 16 hours ago

With outlook uncertain, the Bank of England joins the US Fed in putting interest rates on hold

Associated Press  

LONDON — The Bank of England kept its main U.K. interest rate unchanged at 4.50% on Thursday even though the economy is barely growing and the nation faces more uncertainty in light of the tariff policies being enacted by the Trump administration in the U.S. The decision by the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee was widely expected, and comes a day …

DC Edit | Will inflation fall lead to rate cut?
1 week, 2 days ago

DC Edit | Will inflation fall lead to rate cut?

Deccan Chronicle  

Retail inflation declined to 3.75 per cent in February 2025 for the first time in the last six months, owing to a greater-than-expected fall in vegetable prices. In terms of use-based industry classification, capital goods led the pack with 7.8 per cent growth, followed by consumer durable goods, infrastructure, primary goods, and intermediate goods. Consumer non-durable goods, or Fast-Moving Consumer …

Pakistan pauses rate cuts, but likely not for long
1 week, 3 days ago

Pakistan pauses rate cuts, but likely not for long

The Hindu  

With inflation cooling, Pakistan's central bank hit pause on its multiple rounds of monetary easing that might have risked destabilising its currency or worsening the trade deficit. Economists said the government should shift its focus to implementing economic reforms as interest rate cuts are not the elixir for growth, after the country's central bank on Monday unexpectedly kept interest rates …

European Central Bank cuts interest rates as chief Christine Lagarde warns of 'huge uncertainty'
2 weeks, 2 days ago

European Central Bank cuts interest rates as chief Christine Lagarde warns of 'huge uncertainty'

Firstpost  

The central bank for the 20 countries that use the euro has pivoted from hiking rates to tackle inflation, which surged with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, to lowering them to boost the eurozone’s floundering economy ECB President Christine Lagarde acknowledged that big changes were underway in Europe. Source: AFP European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde warned Thursday the eurozone faces …

European Central Bank cuts rates again as threat of trade war with Trump weighs on economy
2 weeks, 2 days ago

European Central Bank cuts rates again as threat of trade war with Trump weighs on economy

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — The European Central Bank has cut interest rates by another quarter percentage point to boost growth, lowering credit costs for consumers and businesses to support an economy that is struggling to grow - and could soon face even stronger headwinds from threatened U.S. tariffs. That is already having an impact, said ECB head Christine Lagarde, who said …

Interest rate cuts might not be 'rapid' due to 'sticky' inflation, Bank of England chiefs warn as they highlight 'substantial' risks from Trump's trade war
2 weeks, 3 days ago

Interest rate cuts might not be 'rapid' due to 'sticky' inflation, Bank of England chiefs warn as they highlight 'substantial' risks from Trump's trade war

Daily Mail  

Bank of England chiefs today warned of a dual threat from sticky inflation and Donald Trump's trade war. Giving evidence to MPs, the Bank's chief economist Huw Pill warned interest rates might not fall as fast as hopes because there is still 'more work to do' to tackle price pressures. Meanwhile, Governor Andrew Bailey told the Treasury Select Committee there …

Inflation eases to 2.4% in Europe, supporting likely central bank rate cut
2 weeks, 5 days ago

Inflation eases to 2.4% in Europe, supporting likely central bank rate cut

Associated Press  

FRANKFURT, Germany — Inflation in Europe eased to an annual 2.4% in February, supporting the case for another interest rate cut from the European Central Bank - but leaving open how far the central bank will go in lowering borrowing costs for an economy that’s still struggling to show robust growth. The February figure for the 20 countries that use …

UK inflation and interest rates 2025 predictions: What it means for your money
3 weeks, 4 days ago

UK inflation and interest rates 2025 predictions: What it means for your money

The Independent  

Hopes of interest rates coming down quickly this year appear to be fading amid rising taxes and economic uncertainty in the UK. Inflation may no longer be at double digits and the cost of living measure even managed to hit the 2 per cent target last year, which prompted interest rate cuts in August and November. He said: “The Bank …

Why are the banks waiting to pass on the Reserve Bank's rate cut?
3 weeks, 6 days ago

Why are the banks waiting to pass on the Reserve Bank's rate cut?

ABC  

Within minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia announcing it would cut interest rates on Tuesday, the major banks were quick to share they were following suit. "Over the past few years, the big banks have maintained a relatively consistent time frame for passing on RBA cash rate hikes to its variable mortgage customers," she said. "It may well be …

Inflation could hit 4% this year: Would that stop the Bank of England cutting interest rates?
1 month ago

Inflation could hit 4% this year: Would that stop the Bank of England cutting interest rates?

Daily Mail  

Inflation could hit 4 per cent this year if the Bank of England's forecasts only slightly exceed expectations. While inflation is expected to fall back to the 2 per cent target, Bank of England policy makers know all too well that forecasts could be proved wrong. The MPC sets interest rates to try to keep consumer prices inflation at the …

RBA’s Bullock Alert to Signs Job Market Shows Stronger Economy
1 month ago

RBA’s Bullock Alert to Signs Job Market Shows Stronger Economy

Live Mint  

Australia’s central bank is closely monitoring the state of the labor market as persistent tightness may signal a stronger underlying impulse in the economy, adding that policymakers aren’t “pre-committed” to any path for interest rates. “While the strong employment growth is good news for jobseekers, we are alert to the possibility that it is signaling a bit more strength in …

RBA’s Hauser Says Rate Pause Would Have Seen CPI Undershoot
1 month ago

RBA’s Hauser Says Rate Pause Would Have Seen CPI Undershoot

Live Mint  

-- Australia’s central bank assessed that keeping interest rates unchanged this year would have resulted in core inflation going below the 2.5% midpoint of its target, Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said. As a result, the board is “rigorously” focused on cooling prices and success over inflation is “not a done deal,” said Hauser, who is the first foreign official to …

Federal Reserve officials see risks of higher inflation ahead, support pause in rate cuts
1 month ago

Federal Reserve officials see risks of higher inflation ahead, support pause in rate cuts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials at a meeting last month pointed to rising risks that inflation could worsen, a key reason they kept their benchmark interest rate unchanged. According to minutes of the Jan. 28-29 meeting, which were released Wednesday, Fed officials said that President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and mass deportations of migrants, as well as strong consumer spending, …

What inflation surge means for your weekly shop - and why it has killed interest rate cut hopes
1 month ago

What inflation surge means for your weekly shop - and why it has killed interest rate cut hopes

The Independent  

Sign up to our free money newsletter for investment analysis and expert advice to help you build wealth Sign up to our free money email for help building your wealth Sign up to our free money email for help building your wealth SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Office for …

UK inflation spikes to a 10-month high, likely to worry the Bank of England
1 month ago

UK inflation spikes to a 10-month high, likely to worry the Bank of England

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Inflation in the U.K. rose …

UK inflation spikes to a 10-month high, likely to worry the Bank of England
1 month ago

UK inflation spikes to a 10-month high, likely to worry the Bank of England

Associated Press  

LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. rose to a 10-month high in January, official figures showed Wednesday, an increase that will likely diminish expectations of rapid interest rate reductions from the Bank of England. The spike, which took inflation further above the bank’s target of 2%, was largely due to increases in airfares, food casts and private school fees in …

Why the Reserve Bank poured cold water on future interest-rate-cut expectations
1 month ago

Why the Reserve Bank poured cold water on future interest-rate-cut expectations

ABC  

It didn't take long for the spectre of Oliver Twist to appear. No sooner had Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock taken the lectern to confirm the news most Australians wanted to hear, that interest rates would be cut for the first time in more than four years, than the obvious question hung in the air. Relief for borrowers as RBA …

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020
1 month ago

RBA delivers first rate cut since 2020

ABC  

Samantha Donovan: Hello, welcome to PM. So what we've seen is those really sticky items in the inflation baskets, I think insurance premiums, out-of-pocket health care costs, the cost of building a new dwelling or rental prices, those price increases have been such that the Reserve Bank has been worried that if it doesn't keep interest rate policy restrictive, and …

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
1 month ago

Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020

Associated Press  

MELBOURNE, Australia — Australia’s central bank on Tuesday reduced its benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020 as the nation’s inflation cools. “Inflation has fallen substantially since the peak in 2022, as higher interest rates have been working to bring aggregate demand and supply closer towards balance,” the board said in a statement. “Some other central banks …

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision
1 month ago

Borrowers on edge ahead of RBA decision

ABC  

Andy Park: Hello, welcome to The World Today. If by its very nature, the Reserve Bank cutting interest rates stimulates demand and increases inflation, if underlying inflation still isn't within the Reserve Bank's band of between 2% and 3%, won't an interest rate cut have policy makers put up the white flag on inflation? Jane Bardon: The independent Yolngu MP …

How banks are responding to Reserve Bank decision to cut interest rates
1 month ago

How banks are responding to Reserve Bank decision to cut interest rates

ABC  

Australia's major banks have already announced rate cuts following the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to cut interest rates for the first time in four years. NAB announced it would cut home loan interest rates by 0.25 per cent, with Personal Bank group executive Ana Marinkovic saying they were "very pleased" with the decision. Variable home loan interest rates will …

How many more interest rate cuts is the RBA likely to make?
1 month ago

How many more interest rate cuts is the RBA likely to make?

ABC  

The Reserve Bank has finally delivered the rate cut many highly indebted mortgage borrowers have been crying out for. The bank's educated guesses of the neutral cash rate range from as low as around 1.5 per cent to nearly 4 per cent depending on which economic model and set of assumptions it uses. It could be that today's cash rate …

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates for the first time since November 2020
1 month ago

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates for the first time since November 2020

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates for the first time since November 2020. RBA governor Michele Bullock noted that the rise in interest rates from the "emergency lows" of the pandemic had meant households with home loans were hurting, but argued high inflation caused more pain. At the post-meeting press conference, Ms Bullock said she couldn't confirm …

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates to 4.1 per cent after 13 rate hikes — as it happened
1 month ago

Reserve Bank cuts interest rates to 4.1 per cent after 13 rate hikes — as it happened

ABC  

Whether you've been hanging out with us all day or tuned in this afternoon, thanks so much for spending some of your Tuesday with us. But if you're hungry for even more interest rates content tonight, you're in luck. On 7.30, host Sarah Ferguson will speak to Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Westpac chief economist Luci Ellis about the RBA's decision …

Why the Reserve Bank has little option but to cut interest rates
1 month ago

Why the Reserve Bank has little option but to cut interest rates

ABC  

After more than six months of conjecture and on-again off-again signals, interest rates are about to start a descent. In the December quarter, core inflation came in at just 0.5 per cent which, if you annualise it, comes in at just 2 per cent, smack bang at the bottom of the RBA's target range. Core inflation has dropped rapidly, more …

Pressure on Reserve Bank to cut rates
1 month ago

Pressure on Reserve Bank to cut rates

ABC  

Sabra Lane: Good morning, welcome to AM, I'm Sabra Lane, coming to you from Nipaluna, Hobart. The Reserve Bank of Australia wraps up its first meeting of the year this afternoon and it's widely tipped to cut the official interest rate by 0.25 per cent. Cherelle Murphy : I think that the Reserve Bank certainly has a good case to …

When will interest rates go down? Banks are preparing for the RBA's cash rate decision
1 month ago

When will interest rates go down? Banks are preparing for the RBA's cash rate decision

ABC  

The Reserve Bank of Australia is meeting and banks are forecasting an imminent cash rate cut. The cash rate target is set by the RBA and influences how much commercial banks charge customers for borrowing money — it's currently at 4.35 per cent. All of the big four banks — ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac — reckon the RBA …

Markets scale back US Fed rate cut bets for 2025 amid inflation uncertainty
1 month, 1 week ago

Markets scale back US Fed rate cut bets for 2025 amid inflation uncertainty

Live Mint  

Market expectations of multiple rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve this year have weakened after US consumer prices rose more than expected in January, increasing the likelihood that the central bank will keep interest rates higher for longer. Policymakers are closely watching White House trade policy, with President Donald Trump pushing aggressive tariffs that also could boost prices and …

CBA boss Matt Comyn 'acutely aware' customers expect interest rate cuts to be passed on in full
1 month, 1 week ago

CBA boss Matt Comyn 'acutely aware' customers expect interest rate cuts to be passed on in full

ABC  

There's a lot of coded language in business and finance. Like, when you ask the head of Australia's biggest home lender about whether the Commonwealth Bank will fully pass on a rate cut the Reserve Bank is widely expected to make next Tuesday. Loading When you crunch the numbers, it seems that well over 2 per cent of CBA's mortgage …

US inflation tops forecasts, dimming chances for Federal Reserve rate cuts
1 month, 1 week ago

US inflation tops forecasts, dimming chances for Federal Reserve rate cuts

Hindustan Times  

Underlying US inflation last month rose by the most since March, diminishing chances the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates anytime soon. The so-called core consumer price index — which excludes food and energy costs — increased 0.4% in January after a 0.2% advance in December, Bureau of Labor Statistics figures showed Wednesday. Wednesday’s report serves as further evidence that …

Powell says Fed doesn’t need to rush on rate cuts
1 month, 1 week ago

Powell says Fed doesn’t need to rush on rate cuts

Live Mint  

WASHINGTON—Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a simple message to Congress to start two days of testimony on Tuesday: Because the economy is doing well, the Fed can take its time to decide when and whether to lower interest rates. Powell defended last year’s rate cuts as a needed recalibration of its policy stance to account for improvement on inflation …

Inflation soars in January, hampering plans for rate cuts
1 month, 1 week ago

Inflation soars in January, hampering plans for rate cuts

Salon  

Inflation in the United States suddenly rose in January, in a turn of events one Federal Reserve Bank president called "sobering." The latest update showed that inflation rose to 3 percent in January — a leap of 0.5% and the fastest monthly increase since August 2023 — after many common household goods soared in price. Austan Goolsbee, president of the …

The RBA hasn't changed the cash rate for more than a year. Here's why
1 month, 1 week ago

The RBA hasn't changed the cash rate for more than a year. Here's why

ABC  

The cash rate target — a figure that influences how high people's mortgage repayments are set — hasn't changed for more than a year. That's why, when inflation started increasing rapidly in Australia, the RBA began lifting interest rates to stop inflation getting worse — and to drag inflation back down into the 2–3 per cent range. The RBA raised …

‘US Fed ‘well positioned’ for risks amid Trump tariffs’: Jerome Powell reiterates ‘go-slow’ approach on rate cuts
1 month, 1 week ago

‘US Fed ‘well positioned’ for risks amid Trump tariffs’: Jerome Powell reiterates ‘go-slow’ approach on rate cuts

Live Mint  

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank’s cautious stance on interest rates during his testimony before Congress on Tuesday, stating that inflation remains elevated while the job market remains strong. Higher interest rates could prolong elevated mortgage rates and borrowing costs, though long-term Treasury yields, which influence mortgage rates, move independently of Fed decisions. Impact of Trump …

Will interest rates keep falling and can the UK dodge recession? This is Money podcast
1 month, 1 week ago

Will interest rates keep falling and can the UK dodge recession? This is Money podcast

Daily Mail  

The Bank of England has delivered another rate cut but big questions remain over what happens next? Forecasters had largely agreed that this year would see another two base rate cuts, but the Bank delivered a pair of verdicts that could push ratesetters down a different path. On this podcast episode, Georgie Frost, Simon Lambert and Helen Crane discuss the …

RBI’s first rate cut in five years is small but can be effective
1 month, 1 week ago

RBI’s first rate cut in five years is small but can be effective

Live Mint  

Last week’s monetary policy meeting has several firsts to its credit: It was the first of 2025, the first under a new governor of the Reserve Bank of India, the first since Donald Trump became US president, and the first in five years to cut the repo rate. The result is that the RBI’s operational target—the call money rate, or …

Despite RBI's rate cut, spurring GDP growth is an uphill task
1 month, 1 week ago

Despite RBI's rate cut, spurring GDP growth is an uphill task

Live Mint  

The interest charged on loans is the most important price in an economy. Inflation held on a tight rein, RBI’s explicit mandate since 2016, is aimed not just at public relief on the cost of living, vital in itself, but also at easing the cost of capital: it lessens the risk of lenders being repaid less in real terms because …

Monetary policy: Surely, a rate cut could’ve waited for some clarity to emerge
1 month, 1 week ago

Monetary policy: Surely, a rate cut could’ve waited for some clarity to emerge

Live Mint  

Even in the otherwise arcane world of central banks, where rules have long displaced discretion and legislated mandates are the order of the day. How else can one explain the difference in policy outcomes at the February 2025 meeting of the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee vis-à-vis its earlier meeting in December 2024? After the shift to ‘flexible …

RBI Monetary Policy: Is the rate cut a growth pill to boost demand? Here’s what it means for the Indian economy
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI Monetary Policy: Is the rate cut a growth pill to boost demand? Here’s what it means for the Indian economy

Live Mint  

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India, led by Governor Sanjay Malhotra, has proposed a new repo rate of 6.25%. "Since the budget has proposed measures to propel domestic consumption and higher government capex, this rate reduction from RBI would further support growth," industry lobby grouping IBA's chairman M V Rao said in a statement. "Though additional …

RBI MPC’s rate cut: A steady debut
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI MPC’s rate cut: A steady debut

Live Mint  

The Reserve Ban of India’s monetary policy committee today unanimously voted in favour of cutting the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%, the first rate cut since May 2020. The RBI also announced multiple liquidity measures, injecting more than ₹1.5 trillion of liquidity, which helped bring call rates close to the repo rate. The key consideration for today's …

RBI kicks off rate cut cycle—what it means for borrowers and markets
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI kicks off rate cut cycle—what it means for borrowers and markets

Live Mint  

The long-awaited policy rate easing by the Reserve Bank of India is finally here. Meanwhile, GDP growth, at 5.4% in the July–September 2024 quarter, is estimated at 6.5% for the full fiscal year—below India’s potential growth rate, warranting monetary support. The RBI is also introducing forward contracts in government securities, enabling long-term investors like insurance funds to better manage interest …

RBI's rate cut sets stage for further easing of interest rates in near term: India Inc
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI's rate cut sets stage for further easing of interest rates in near term: India Inc

The Hindu  

India Inc. welcomed the Reserve Bank of India’s move to slash the benchmark interest rate for the first time in nearly five years on Friday and asserted that it will complement the consumption-boosting measures announced in the last week’s Budget, providing much-needed support to the economy. Industry bodies were of the view that the Reserve Bank's 25 basis points rate …

RBI monetary policy: Will India’s central bank cut the repo rate now or wait? Top experts debate
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI monetary policy: Will India’s central bank cut the repo rate now or wait? Top experts debate

Live Mint  

RBI monetary policy: The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India is deliberating on interest rates amid heightened uncertainty. However, some experts believe the central bank will consider other options to address the challenge of tighter liquidity and delay the rate cut until the next policy meeting in April. Bank of Baroda Experts at Bank of Baroda believe …

India cuts key interest rate for first time since 2020 amid slowing growth
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India cuts key interest rate for first time since 2020 amid slowing growth

Al Jazeera  

Reserve Bank of India announces first rate cut in nearly five years as world’s most populous nation faces slowdown. India’s central bank has cut its benchmark interest rate for the first time in nearly five years as officials try to reverse slowing economic growth in the world’s most populous country. The RBI last cut the key interest rate in May …

Bank of England policymakers
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Bank of England policymakers

Live Mint  

LONDON, Feb 6 - The Bank of England cut interest rates on Thursday as it halved its growth outlook for this year and said a jump in inflation will prove temporary. Here's what Bank of England officials said in a press conference following that decision: BANK OF ENGLAND GOVERNOR ANDREW BAILEY On Inflation and future rate moves: "We expect to …

After disappointing GDP numbers, BoE slashes Britain's interest rates, cuts economic growth forecast
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

After disappointing GDP numbers, BoE slashes Britain's interest rates, cuts economic growth forecast

Firstpost  

The Bank of England brought down its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.5 per cent. Following the announcement of the interest rate cut, BoE also said that it was halving its UK growth estimate for 2025 to 0.75 per cent A man walks up the stairs in from of the Bank of England in London. Britain’s inflation …

Bank of England CUTS interest rates to 4.5% in boost for Brits amid fears over Labour's stalling economy... but could Trump's tariffs thwart hopes of more falls?
Top News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Bank of England CUTS interest rates to 4.5% in boost for Brits amid fears over Labour's stalling economy... but could Trump's tariffs thwart hopes of more falls?

Daily Mail  

The Bank of England boosted Brits today by cutting interest rates amid fears over the stalling economy. The need to kickstart activity looks to have outweighed fears that Donald Trump's trade tariffs will put upwards pressure on inflation - something Threadneedle Street uses interest rates to counter. The Bank of England in London is pictured yesterday ahead of the base …

Bank of England expected to cut key UK interest rate to 4.50%
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Bank of England expected to cut key UK interest rate to 4.50%

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The Bank of England is …

Bank of England expected to resume interest rate cuts
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Bank of England expected to resume interest rate cuts

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Senior economists at the Bank of England will announce …

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