India may face economic trouble as fertility levels drop
1 year, 2 months ago

India may face economic trouble as fertility levels drop

The Hindu  

India’s policymakers have long flaunted the massive economic benefits that the country will reap from its huge youth population. An ageing population, many economists believe, could turn out to mean serious economic trouble unless India manages to grow its economy at a rapid pace in the coming decades. As more elderly people come to depend on a shrinking working-age population, developing countries like India will face a far bigger challenge in the coming decades than did developed countries in their past. Most of the developed world had much higher per capita income levels when their populations began to age, which made it easier for them to handle the economic pressures caused by an ageing population. In a 2017 paper published in the American Economic Review, economists Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo analysed the economic performance of countries and noted that there is no strict negative relationship between an ageing population and per capita income levels.

India Fertility Population Elderly Ageing Economic Developing Countries Countries Levels Developed Developed Countries Elderly People Fertility Levels  population  drop  countries  developed  indias  face  trouble  levels  ageing  fertility  economic  india  elderly

History of this topic

Patralekha Chatterjee | Too few babies? Reset the India fertility rate debate
2 weeks, 4 days ago

Patralekha Chatterjee | Too few babies? Reset the India fertility rate debate

Deccan Chronicle  

The idea of defining a woman primarily as a mother, duty bound to uphold the interests of the nation, is not new. India stands out because it is the world’s most populous country with a largely youthful population, where many states are simultaneously witnessing a steady decline in fertility, though at a varying rate, and a spike in the number …

Naidu, Stalin and now Bhagwat flag India’s falling TFR: 8 things to know
3 weeks ago

Naidu, Stalin and now Bhagwat flag India’s falling TFR: 8 things to know

Firstpost  

RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat advocated expressed concern over India’s declining population growth and advocated for each couple to have at least three children. He said if the total fertility rate of a society falls below 2.1, it faces risk of extinction Each couple should have at least three children, advocated Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh chief Mohan Bhagwat as he expressed concerns …

From the India Today archives (2021) | India's population policy: Myths and reality
3 weeks ago

From the India Today archives (2021) | India's population policy: Myths and reality

India Today  

When Uttar Pradesh chief minister Yogi Adityanath chose the occasion of World Population Day on July 11 to announce a new state population policy, there normally should have been no quarrel about it. After all, the state is India’s most populous, harbouring nearly 200 million people or 17 per cent of India’s population. Population Foundation of India’s executive director Poonam …

India's population projected to reach 1.53 billion by 2100: How can it leverage this growth?
1 month ago

India's population projected to reach 1.53 billion by 2100: How can it leverage this growth?

New Indian Express  

India, which became the most populous country in the world in 2023, surpassing China, is projected to have a total population of 1.53 billion by 2100, according to estimates from the United Nations. The UN's population growth estimate projects the total world population to reach 10.4 billion by 2100, based on factors such as fertility rates, increasing life expectancy, and …

Fertility rate in southern states decreasing: Andhra CM Naidu
1 month, 1 week ago

Fertility rate in southern states decreasing: Andhra CM Naidu

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Fertility rates in southern states have gone below the replacement rate, Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu said on Saturday and stressed on the need for “population management”. Speaking at the HT Leadership Summit here, the chief minister said there is a need to talk about population management and it's going to be an asset for India …

Shrinking South: The Demographic Dilemma of India's Southern States
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Shrinking South: The Demographic Dilemma of India's Southern States

New Indian Express  

The demographic transition of India has passed through various stages in different regions, with the southern states facing a demographic disadvantage due to the aging population. Kerala and Tamil Nadu have experienced a decline in the proportion of working-age population, while Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh have seen an increase. This demographic shift has significant economic …

Naidu Reverses Two-Child Norm, Aims Demographic Balance in Andhra Pradesh
2 months ago

Naidu Reverses Two-Child Norm, Aims Demographic Balance in Andhra Pradesh

Hindustan Times  

Telugu Desam Party president and Andhra Pradesh chief minister N Chandrababu Naidu has called for the state to have more children to balance the demographic of young and old. The state cabinet has decided to remove the two-child norm and amend relevant laws to allow more people to contest elections for rural and urban local bodies. The decision is based …

India is heading to IVF clinics, but what's behind the drop in fertility
4 months, 4 weeks ago

India is heading to IVF clinics, but what's behind the drop in fertility

India Today  

On July 25, 1978, Louise Brown, the first test tube baby, was born. This rush to IVF clinics comes at a time when the fertility rate has seen a significant decline in India. There are many factors such as lifestyle choices and biological factors which contribute to a decline in fertility rates in India. Indian women, for instance, experience an …

India's elderly population expected to double by 2050, with 346 million aged 60 and above: UNFPA
5 months ago

India's elderly population expected to double by 2050, with 346 million aged 60 and above: UNFPA

New Indian Express  

NEW DELHI: India's elderly population is expected to double by 2050, UNFPA India chief Andrea Wojnar said, stressing that more investment in healthcare, housing and pensions is needed, especially for older women who are "more likely to live alone and face poverty." "With India projected to be 50 percent urban by 2050, building smart cities, strong infrastructure, and affordable housing …

India as the world’s population billionaire
5 months ago

India as the world’s population billionaire

Hindustan Times  

Anxieties over population size and the Earth’s carrying capacity have died down, given the signs of the global population tending towards stability. The rest of the world, consisting of 126 countries, is likely to experience population growth till it attains national peaks only by the end of this century. India could help sustain populations in many other countries through immigration …

Demography and its discontents
5 months, 1 week ago

Demography and its discontents

Hindustan Times  

India does not have an official population number after 2011. India is believed to have become the world’s most populous country sometime between January and July 2023 / AFP PHOTO / ARUN SANKAR A country’s demographics, of course, do not wait for official data. The World Population Prospects report released by the United Nations — it is the most authoritative …

Daily Quiz | On World Population Day
5 months, 1 week ago

Daily Quiz | On World Population Day

The Hindu  

Daily Quiz | On World Population Day Copy link Email Facebook Twitter Telegram LinkedIn WhatsApp Reddit YOUR SCORE 0 /5 RETAKE THE QUIZ 1 / 5 | World Population Day falls on July 11. YES NO Answer : It was on July 11, 1987, that the world population count touched 5 billion. YES NO Answer : 2011 SHOW ANSWER 3 …

India’s population to peak at 1.7bn in 2060s, decline afterwards; China and Japan’s population to reduce significantly
5 months, 1 week ago

India’s population to peak at 1.7bn in 2060s, decline afterwards; China and Japan’s population to reduce significantly

Live Mint  

India’s population will most likely peak at 1.7 billion in the early 2060s and is projected to decline after that by 12 per cent. However, according to the World Population Prospects 2024 report released on July 11, the population is expected to decline to 10.2 billion people by the end of this century. The population is currently estimated at 1.45 …

India’s demographic journey of hits and misses
5 months, 1 week ago

India’s demographic journey of hits and misses

The Hindu  

As we observe World Population Day on July 11, there is much to look at in India’s demographic journey over the decades. With 2030, the target year, drawing closer, India’s progress in the SDGs should be understood particularly in light of its population dynamics. India’s population dynamics Three components, namely fertility, mortality, and migration, play a pivotal role in shaping …

Britain’s birth rate halves as wealthy countries face ‘low fertility future’
6 months ago

Britain’s birth rate halves as wealthy countries face ‘low fertility future’

The Telegraph  

Britain’s birth rate has fallen to a record low as a growing number of women shun parenthood. The UK’s birth rate is currently 1.53 children per woman, which the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development classes as well below the 2.1 needed to maintain a country’s population at its current level. Over the past decade the UK’s birth rate has …

Population collapse: The gloomy scenario in South Korea, Japan and what is in store for India in the future
7 months ago

Population collapse: The gloomy scenario in South Korea, Japan and what is in store for India in the future

Op India  

In a recent televised interview, Prime Minister Narendra Modi asserted that the decline in the population of the ‘all-inclusive’ Hindu civilization should be a matter of concern for the world. Today the world should be concerned about how the Hindu population will increase.” India’s TFR drops below 2.1 for the first time, eyeing challenges currently staring at countries like Japan …

India’s demographic dividend will eventually dwindle: ADB
7 months, 3 weeks ago

India’s demographic dividend will eventually dwindle: ADB

Live Mint  

Tbilisi, Georgia: Ageing population is turning out to be a challenge for developing Asia and the Pacific and it could reduce the demographic dividend of countries with younger population such as India and Indonesia, over the coming years, the Asian Development Bank said in a report released here on Thursday. The ADB report titled Aging Well in Asia: Asian Development …

Fertility levels drop below one in many Asian nations: Data
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Fertility levels drop below one in many Asian nations: Data

The Hindu  

Many countries in East and Southeast Asia are in the middle of a population crisis, with fewer births every year and record-low fertility rates. Currently, in four countries — South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Taiwan — the fertility rates are lower than one. Chart 1 | The chart shows the TFR in China, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan and …

Women, babies, growth: ‘Not a switch that can be turned on and off’
9 months, 3 weeks ago

Women, babies, growth: ‘Not a switch that can be turned on and off’

Hindustan Times  

Some estimates say India’s population will peak as early as the 2040s – close enough to worry about. Round 5 of the NFHS shows that India’s fertility level is below the replacement rate of 2.1 in all but five states. One is that once women decide to have fewer children, it’s not a switch that can be turned on and …

Birth rates fall to all-time lows in Japan and South Korea
9 months, 3 weeks ago

Birth rates fall to all-time lows in Japan and South Korea

The Telegraph  

South Korea’s fertility rate hit a record low in 2023, fuelling fears of “national extinction” as politicians scramble for solutions to reverse the population decline. Projections that it could nosedive further to 0.68 this year have stoked concern of a demographic time bomb that represents the biggest risk to South Korea’s economy, social welfare and health systems, as well as …

India's ageing population: Why it matters more than ever
1 year ago

India's ageing population: Why it matters more than ever

Hindustan Times  

The world’s population is living longer and growing older. Notably, the Government of India has made positive strides with its forward looking and inclusive policies, programmes, and schemes such as the National Programme for Health Care of the Elderly, the National Social Assistance Programme, the Maintenance and Welfare of Senior Citizens Act, 2007 and the Bill, Atal Vayo Abhyuday Yojana’, …

Worrisome: Odisha's population growth rate consistently declines
1 year ago

Worrisome: Odisha's population growth rate consistently declines

Deccan Chronicle  

Bhubaneswar: Odisha’s present fertility rate is just 1.8 and it is expected to further reduce to 1.2 in 2036. This apart in three districts – Rayagada, Nabarangpur and Kandhamal — the demographic transition will be higher that is expected to exceed two, indicating a significant regional inequality in demographic transition by 2036, said noted educationist, Professor Amitabh Kundu, here on …

Why India should worry about its ageing population
1 year, 2 months ago

Why India should worry about its ageing population

The Hindu  

India’s policymakers have long flaunted the massive economic benefits that the country will reap from its huge youth population. An ageing population, many economists believe, could turn out to mean serious economic trouble unless India manages to grow its economy at a rapid pace in the coming decades. In a report released late last month, the United Nations estimated that …

Caring for the old: The Hindu Editorial on the United Nations Population Fund’s India Ageing Report 2023
1 year, 2 months ago

Caring for the old: The Hindu Editorial on the United Nations Population Fund’s India Ageing Report 2023

The Hindu  

A good part of the world’s population is growing older, and India mirrors this trend as well. The reality, according to the United Nations Population Fund’s India Ageing Report 2023, is that the population above 60 years will double from 10.5% or 14.9 crore to 20.8% or 34.7 crore by 2050. With life expectancy increasing, thanks to better ways to …

India to lose its demographic edge by 2046, elderly to outnumber youth: UN
1 year, 2 months ago

India to lose its demographic edge by 2046, elderly to outnumber youth: UN

Firstpost  

The UN report said women will live longer than men, due to which the number of older women will be more than older men. A large number of them will be rural women India will turn into a “rapidly ageing society,” a new report by UN said, stating that by 2046, the share of elderly in India’s population will be …

India ageing, elderly to make up 20% of population by 2050: UNFPA report
1 year, 2 months ago

India ageing, elderly to make up 20% of population by 2050: UNFPA report

The Hindu  

With the decadal growth rate of the elderly population of India currently estimated to be at 41%, and the percentage of elderly population in the country projected to double to over 20% of total population by 2050, the United Nations Population Fund, India in its 2023 India Ageing Report has said that by 2046 it is likely that elderly population …

Thinking beyond new births for a sustainable future
1 year, 5 months ago

Thinking beyond new births for a sustainable future

China Daily  

A nurse takes care of a newborn baby at Gansu Provincial Maternity and Childcare Hospital in Lanzhou. Since China has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world, the issue has attracted global attention over the past year, which has fed into two huge news stories: China's population is declining, and India has "overtaken" China in terms of total …

Thinking beyond new births for a sustainable future
1 year, 5 months ago

Thinking beyond new births for a sustainable future

China Daily  

A nurse takes care of a newborn baby at Gansu Provincial Maternity and Childcare Hospital in Lanzhou. Since China has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world, the issue has attracted global attention over the past year, which has fed into two huge news stories: China's population is declining, and India has "overtaken" China in terms of total …

Why China got population control wrong; India got it right
1 year, 7 months ago

Why China got population control wrong; India got it right

Al Jazeera  

Yes, India has many challenges ahead, but compared with China, it has shown that slow and steady can win the race. Today, as India’s population passes China’s amid a mix of hope and apprehensions about its implications, it’s important to recall those journeys so societies and policymakers draw the right lessons from them. Under India’s federal structure, state governments set …

India as most populous can be more boon than bane
1 year, 8 months ago

India as most populous can be more boon than bane

The Hindu  

China is projected to hand over the baton of the most populous country to India by mid-2023. To answer this, we need to understand: the nature of population growth, size and its composition, as well as mechanisms through which a country translates demographic bonus into economic dividend. With 68% of the working age population in 2023, the country continues to …

How India is now the most populous but a gradually ageing nation
1 year, 8 months ago

How India is now the most populous but a gradually ageing nation

India Today  

India has surpassed China to become the world’s most populous nation with 1.43 billion people, according to the latest United Nations data. And by 2100, the share of 65+ population will be 30 per cent as against the current 7 per cent. According to the ‘Youth in India 2022’ Report, released in June 2022 by the ministry of statistics and …

World population data: Average Indian 10 years younger than Chinese
1 year, 8 months ago

World population data: Average Indian 10 years younger than Chinese

Hindustan Times  

The median age of India’s population is 28.2 years, data from the World Population Prospects, which forms the basis of the UNFPA report released on Wednesday, shows. This makes the average Indian 10 years younger than the average Chinese whose median age is 39 years. The median age of India’s population is 28.2 years, data from the World Population Prospects …

India’s population to grow for next 30 decades before declining: UN
1 year, 8 months ago

India’s population to grow for next 30 decades before declining: UN

Live Mint  

After winning the title of being the most populous country in the world, India will continue to expand, in terms of population, for the next three decades, according to UN projections. As per the analysis done by the United Nations' World Population Prospects-2022, India's population is expected to swell up to 166.8 crores by 2050, whereas, China's population would shrink …

India’s population to edge ahead of China’s by mid-2023, says U.N.
1 year, 8 months ago

India’s population to edge ahead of China’s by mid-2023, says U.N.

The Hindu  

India is set to overtake China to become the world’s most populous country by the middle of 2023, according to data released by the United Nations. At a time when there have been increasing calls for imposing a two-child norm in India by various political leaders, and some States such as Assam have issued an order in 2021 to bar …

World’s largest population: Will India gain or lose?
1 year, 8 months ago

World’s largest population: Will India gain or lose?

Al Jazeera  

India has the world’s largest workforce. “The greatest obstacle in the path of overall economic development is the alarming rate of population growth,” India’s health and family planning minister S Chandrasekhar said in 1967. In many ways, this is an indictment of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s “Make in India” policies that have been pitched as a means to turn the …

Tapping advantages of population structure
1 year, 8 months ago

Tapping advantages of population structure

China Daily  

A nurse takes care of a newborn baby at Gansu Provincial Maternity and Childcare Hospital in Lanzhou. India's large population is set to boost its international standing, especially as it is already the world's fifth-largest economy and the fastest growing major economy. Although India has a young and dynamic population with high fertility potential, farmers make up more than 70 …

In Kerala, an aging trend bucks India’s booming population
1 year, 8 months ago

In Kerala, an aging trend bucks India’s booming population

Associated Press  

KOCHI, India — When 82-year-old Vasanthi Baby almost tripped while climbing down the stairs in her home in southern India’s Kerala state, she decided, along with her 84-year-old husband V. Baby, to move to an assisted living center. India has a booming workforce and young population, but language barriers, climate threats, minimal federal provisions and an increasing desire among younger …

Decoding India’s population conundrum | In Focus podcast
1 year, 10 months ago

Decoding India’s population conundrum | In Focus podcast

The Hindu  

2023 is set to be a landmark year for India’s population trajectory, as the country is predicted to overtake China to become the world’s most populous nation. The advantages, experts have pointed out, is the demographic dividend - we will have a massive number of young people in the working age group, and a relatively lower number of those needing …

Aging factory: The Hindu Editorial on China’s population decline
1 year, 11 months ago

Aging factory: The Hindu Editorial on China’s population decline

The Hindu  

The last time China’s population saw a decline was in 1961, in the midst of a devastating four-year famine following Mao’s failed “Great Leap Forward” campaign. As a paper from Japan’s Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry pointed out, the proportion of child and elderly populations in China as of 2020 was similar to Japan’s in 1990. Moreover, China …

China’s Declining Population Can Still Prosper
54 years, 11 months ago

China’s Declining Population Can Still Prosper

Wired  

Earlier this week, the National Bureau of Statistics in China announced that the Chinese population has decreased for the first time in 60 years. Many people see China’s low fertility and declining population as a threat to its economic prosperity, assuming the labor force will shrink at the same time that social security costs and the number of older dependents …

A challenge and an opportunity
1 year, 11 months ago

A challenge and an opportunity

Hindustan Times  

In 2022 China’s population fell on an annual basis for the first time in 61 years and for the first time due to a normal demographic transition. PREMIUM Evidence of declining fertility rates among all communities, including Muslims, does not support the shrill narrative of any imminent threat of change in India’s broad social composition. Evidence of declining fertility rates …

It’s time to discuss depopulation
2 years ago

It’s time to discuss depopulation

The Hindu  

Two weeks ago, when the world population touched 8 billion, several headlines focused on how India was the largest contributor to the last billion and is set to surpass China as the world’s most populous nation by 2023. However, what needs more urgent policy intervention is the fact that parts of India have not only achieved replacement fertility, but have …

Why India stands to gain as America grows older
2 years, 2 months ago

Why India stands to gain as America grows older

Live Mint  

Elon Musk, Twitter’s presumptive new boss, is known to be outspoken, and has millions of acolytes who hang onto his every word. Some years ago, he said, “Assuming there is a benevolent future with Artificial Intelligence, I think the biggest problem the world will face in 20 years is population collapse." A 2022 United Nations report projects that the world’s …

Our demographic debate needs to widen
2 years, 2 months ago

Our demographic debate needs to widen

New Indian Express  

Political leaders, businessmen, and optimistic economic commentators started talking about India’s demographic dividend at least a decade ago, if not earlier. But typically, much of the discussions and commentaries have focused on narrow parameters, specifically the “dependent ratio” or the proportion of the dependent population to the working age population. The term demographic dividend was coined by Dr David E …

The consequences of declining fertility are many
2 years, 3 months ago

The consequences of declining fertility are many

The Hindu  

Though the global population, in terms of numbers, has been steadily increasing — some reports suggest that it could grow to around 8.5 billion in 2030 — there is an interesting aspect to this: average global fertility has been consistently declining over the past 70 years. Britain took 130 years to transition from a fertility rate of five per woman …

Low birth rate could halve this country’s population by end of this century
2 years, 3 months ago

Low birth rate could halve this country’s population by end of this century

Live Mint  

South Korea has once again shattered its own record for the world’s lowest fertility rate as it faces the prospect of its population of 51 million people more than halving by the end of this century. Korea is the world’s fastest-aging nation among economies with per capita GDP of at least $30,000, according to United Nations global population projections and …

Moving policy away from population control
2 years, 4 months ago

Moving policy away from population control

The Hindu  

The United Nations’ World Population Prospects, 2022, forecasts India becoming the most populous country by 2023, surpassing China, with a 140 crore population. Now, at the third stage of the demographic transition, and experiencing a slowing growth rate due to constant low mortality and rapidly declining fertility, India has 17.5% of the world’s population. Last year, India reached a significant …

Reaping the demographic dividend
2 years, 4 months ago

Reaping the demographic dividend

The Hindu  

The UN report, World Population Prospects 2022, forecasts that the world’s population will touch eight billion this year and rise to 9.8 billion in 2050. A long-time critic of China’s population policy and author of Big Country with An Empty Nest, Yi Fuxian, believes that without its one child policy, China’s population, too, would have naturally risen and peaked at …

Data | With poor pension rates and high health costs, is India ready for the next demographic phase?
2 years, 5 months ago

Data | With poor pension rates and high health costs, is India ready for the next demographic phase?

The Hindu  

In the next 80 years, India’s demographic structure is expected to change, with the share of the working population declining and the share of dependent residents increasing. Click to remove AMP mode State-wise share The graph depicts the % of the projected population in 2036 in the 15-59 age-group and in the 60+ age group across States. In 2036, the …

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