Rate cut expected in Q3FY25, RBI faces liquidity challenge: SBI Research
Hindustan TimesSBI Research, in its recent analysis, predicts that the c is likely to initiate its first rate cut in the third quarter of the financial year 2024-25. Regarding the RBI's stance on the repo rate for monetary policy to be announced on Friday, SBI Research suggests that the central bank should continue with its approach of withdrawing accommodation. The SBI research analysis suggests that achieving a 7.5 per cent growth rate for FY25 seems plausible, with average inflation projected at 4.5 per cent. To address the evolving liquidity landscape, the RBI may need to employ more innovative tools, particularly as government cash balances are expected to remain outside the banking sector due to the JIT mechanism. Looking ahead, SBI Research anticipates healthy credit growth in the range of 14-15 per cent in FY25, albeit with some moderation due to higher interest rates and regulatory actions by the RBI.