How the coronavirus could spark a severe slowdown or recession in America
4 years, 10 months ago

How the coronavirus could spark a severe slowdown or recession in America

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The longest economic expansion in American history has survived an unprecedented trade war, a catastrophic tsunami in Japan and a severe crash in oil prices. If the American consumer loses faith, and the coronavirus will be a real test of faith, then a recession is going to happen.” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics It’s easy to imagine how a coronavirus outbreak like those gripping South Korea and Italy could cause Americans to hunker down, limiting visits to crowded restaurants, malls and airports. “The American consumer is the firewall between an economy that’s growing and one that’s not,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told CNN Business. “If the American consumer loses faith, and the coronavirus will be a real test of faith, then a recession is going to happen.” In light of the health scare, Zandi this week raised his probability of a recession in the United States during the first half of 2020 to 40% from 20%. “But two weeks ago the South Koreans and the Italians didn’t think it was a problem.” Trade war already weakened the world economy The risk of further outbreak is heightened by the fact that the global economy is already teetering, in large part because of lingering damage from the US-China trade war.

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History of this topic

IMF chief says the global economy has shown resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates
1 year, 3 months ago

IMF chief says the global economy has shown resilience in the face of COVID, war and high rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The global economy has shown “remarkable resilience’’ but still bears deep scars from the coronavirus pandemic, the war in Ukraine and rising interest rates, the head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday. “While the recovery from the shocks of the past few years continues, it is slow and it is uneven,’’ IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said …

In our 'profound interest' that China reins in latest surge in coronavirus infections: Antony Blinken
2 years ago

In our 'profound interest' that China reins in latest surge in coronavirus infections: Antony Blinken

The Hindu  

It is in America's "profound interest" that China reins in the recent surge in coronavirus infections, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has said, asserting that there are major implications if the world's second-largest economy remained shut down due to the virus. When asked about the latest surge in COVID-19 cases in China, Mr. Blinken said the U.S. wants to …

Impending economic crisis will dwarf coronavirus crisis, says credit insurer Allianz
2 years, 2 months ago

Impending economic crisis will dwarf coronavirus crisis, says credit insurer Allianz

NL Times  

The looming economic crisis will make the coronavirus crisis look like nothing, according to credit insurer Allianz Trade. Rarely have so many negative facts come together simultaneously,” Johan Geeroms, director of risk underwriting in the Benelux for Allianz, said in a press statement. And, partly due to the 10 percent increase in the minimum wage the government announced for next …

Coronavirus is under control in the U.S., but the pandemic isn’t over, Fauci says
2 years, 8 months ago

Coronavirus is under control in the U.S., but the pandemic isn’t over, Fauci says

LA Times  

Dr. Anthony Fauci said Wednesday the coronavirus is under better control in the United States, but the pandemic isn’t over — and the challenge is how to keep improving the situation. “We are in a different moment of the pandemic,” said Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease expert, in an interview with the Associated Press. “By no means does that mean …

US economy grew 5.7% in 2021 in rebound from 2020 recession
2 years, 11 months ago

US economy grew 5.7% in 2021 in rebound from 2020 recession

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy grew last year at the fastest pace since Ronald Reagan’s presidency, bouncing back with resilience from 2020’s brief but devastating coronavirus recession. What’s more, the Federal Reserve made clear Wednesday that it plans to raise interest rates multiple times this year to battle the hottest inflation in nearly four decades. “The upside surprise came largely …

Germany is on the brink of a winter recession
3 years ago

Germany is on the brink of a winter recession

CNN  

London CNN Business — Germany is teetering on the brink of recession this winter as supply bottlenecks and a wave of new coronavirus cases hobble the economy. “Ongoing supply bottlenecks and the fourth wave of the coronavirus are noticeably slowing down the German economy,” Timo Wollmershäuser, head of forecasts at Ifo, said in a statement. “The strong post-pandemic recovery that …

The economic crisis is real; the picture of economic resilience is an illusion
3 years, 7 months ago

The economic crisis is real; the picture of economic resilience is an illusion

The Hindu  

As the ongoing second wave of coronavirus infections in India peaks, there is little clarity on what its economic fallout is and will be. Two assessments from official sources—one from the Reserve Bank of India, titled The State of the Economy and the other from the Ministry of Finance, titled Month Economic Report for May—seem to suggest that economic trends …

IMF says US economy is growing at its fastest pace since 1984
3 years, 9 months ago

IMF says US economy is growing at its fastest pace since 1984

CNN  

London CNN Business — President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package will boost the US economy and drive faster global growth this year, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday, though it warned that many countries continue to suffer from the pandemic and are at risk of being left behind. The IMF said the “unprecedented policy response” to the pandemic means …

The engine of the US economy, consumer spending, sputters again
3 years, 11 months ago

The engine of the US economy, consumer spending, sputters again

Al Jazeera  

Surging COVID-19 infections and restrictions in December slammed the brakes on the engine of the US economy – consumer spending – for the second consecutive month. Business-sapping restrictions designed to contain spiralling COVID-19 infections slammed the brakes on the engine of the United States economy in December, as consumers kept their wallets snapped shut and hunkered down at home. Consumer …

U.S. economy shrank 3.5% in 2020 but grew 4% in the last quarter
3 years, 11 months ago

U.S. economy shrank 3.5% in 2020 but grew 4% in the last quarter

LA Times  

Stuck in the grip of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. economy shrank in 2020 by the largest amount in 74 years but grew at a 4% annual rate in the final three months of the year. For 2020 as a whole, a year when the coronavirus inflicted the worst economic freeze since the end of World War II, the economy …

New COVID-19 lockdowns imperil global economy’s recovery
3 years, 11 months ago

New COVID-19 lockdowns imperil global economy’s recovery

Al Jazeera  

Vaccine roll-outs have been a major reason for investors’ rosy outlook, but concerns about mutant strains have tempered optimism. A major chunk of the global recovery in companies’ earnings – recovery expected in the first quarter of 2021 – is at risk of being pushed back further as coronavirus lockdowns and mobility restrictions in several countries cloud hopes of a …

Coronavirus | WHO warns virus crisis not over as vaccine rollout approaches
4 years, 1 month ago

Coronavirus | WHO warns virus crisis not over as vaccine rollout approaches

The Hindu  

The World Health Organization has warned that vaccines will be no magic bullet for the coronavirus crisis as nations gear up for a massive rollout to tackle surging infections. America’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday recommended “universal face mask use” indoors and Biden said he would scale down his January inauguration ceremony to mitigate the virus risk. …

Economic impact of coronavirus will hit next year, experts say
4 years, 1 month ago

Economic impact of coronavirus will hit next year, experts say

Dutch News  

Despite the slight drop in the unemployment rate this week, and signs of a speedier economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis, the big hit will be felt in the second quarter of next year, according to experts. In total, 102 banking, legal and investment experts took part in a survey on the likely impact of the crisis carried out by …

Global economic bailout is running at $19.5 trillion. It will go higher
4 years, 1 month ago

Global economic bailout is running at $19.5 trillion. It will go higher

CNN  

London CNN Business — Governments and central banks have promised to shell out $19.5 trillion since the coronavirus erupted to “put a floor under the world economy,” according to the International Monetary Fund. While coronavirus vaccine candidates point to improved prospects for the global economy next year, they won’t help countries much in the immediate future. In the United States, …

Stocks Tumble As Coronavirus Cases Spike Again In U.S. And Europe
4 years, 2 months ago

Stocks Tumble As Coronavirus Cases Spike Again In U.S. And Europe

NPR  

Stocks Tumble As Coronavirus Cases Spike Again In U.S. And Europe Enlarge this image toggle caption Nam Y. Huh/AP Nam Y. Huh/AP Updated at 5 p.m. ET Stocks on Monday posted their worst day since early September amid a surge in coronavirus cases in the United States and Europe and declining optimism about another U.S. pandemic relief bill. "There continue …

A Lost Decade: Decoding the cost of Covid-19 pandemic
4 years, 2 months ago

A Lost Decade: Decoding the cost of Covid-19 pandemic

India Today  

A decade after facing the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression in the 1930s, the world has again stumbled upon an unprecedented economic challenge due to a microscopic virus. Citing International Labour Organisation estimates, the UNCTAD report indicated that the pandemic has put jobs of more than 500 million people in jeopardy, mainly in the developing world. In what …

New coronavirus surge in the US: What you need to know
4 years, 2 months ago

New coronavirus surge in the US: What you need to know

Al Jazeera  

Several states report spike in hospitalisations and jumps in new cases, raising concerns of a ‘third wave’. “Things are starting to move in a concerning direction,” Justin Lessler, associate professor of epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, told Al Jazeera. Learn more: https://t.co/1nMYQAjpSq pic.twitter.com/iObgUYrTeE — CDC October 21, 2020 Amesh Adalja, senior scholar at Johns Hopkins …

‘Only a crisis produces real change.’ What will coronavirus bring?
4 years, 2 months ago

‘Only a crisis produces real change.’ What will coronavirus bring?

The Independent  

There is no magic money tree,” former prime minister Theresa May smugly proclaimed in her 2017 election campaign. The prospect of reconsidering the global distribution of wealth has suddenly shifted from former US president Barack Obama’s “hope” to his “yes we can” attitude. Even Donald Trump’s “make America great again” mantra is largely focused on the economy, with GDP being …

Getting COVID-19 Is Putting Americans On The Brink Of Economic Crisis
4 years, 3 months ago

Getting COVID-19 Is Putting Americans On The Brink Of Economic Crisis

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Contracting COVID-19 is putting already financially stressed Americans on the brink of economic disaster. Of the Americans who’ve contracted COVID-19, 63% are facing serious financial problems, according to a survey released Wednesday morning from NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and Harvard University’s T.H. Instead they found widespread, serious financial distress ― particularly among Americans earning less …

Stocks week ahead: The economic recovery hangs in the balance as winter approaches
4 years, 3 months ago

Stocks week ahead: The economic recovery hangs in the balance as winter approaches

CNN  

A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business’ Before the Bell newsletter. The UK government isn’t ruling out another national lockdown, though the health secretary has said it would be “the last line of defense.” Such measures would be the worst-case scenario for economies experiencing a historic expansion following a record contraction. Just take it from Federal Reserve …

US coronavirus case rates are ticking up after weeks of decline
4 years, 3 months ago

US coronavirus case rates are ticking up after weeks of decline

CNN  

CNN — Daily US coronavirus cases have been ticking up recently, a trend medical experts have said they won’t want to see as a potentially complicated flu season approaches. “We really need to see flu vaccination uptake increased across the Northern Hemisphere … especially this year,” Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization’s technical lead for coronavirus, said Friday. A …

World economy: What else could go wrong before 2020 is done
4 years, 4 months ago

World economy: What else could go wrong before 2020 is done

Live Mint  

The world economy’s rebound from the depths of the coronavirus crisis is fading, setting up an uncertain finish to the year. Adding 1.4 million jobs in August was “a big step in the right direction,” said Ryan Sweet, head of monetary policy research at Moody’s Analytics. But the economy needs to maintain that kind of pace, he said, and “without …

Summertime sadness: Resurgent coronavirus dims economic recovery hopes
4 years, 5 months ago

Summertime sadness: Resurgent coronavirus dims economic recovery hopes

Live Mint  

The virus is the summer house guest from hell. If you add that all up together it’s not a pretty picture.” At the same time, as governments face new flare-ups and reimpose full or partial lockdowns, the prospects for a brisk global economic rebound later in the year have dimmed, according to economists and executives. While the virus-stricken world is …

Fed chief says coronavirus surge starting to dent U.S. economic recovery
4 years, 5 months ago

Fed chief says coronavirus surge starting to dent U.S. economic recovery

The Hindu  

The surge in U.S. coronavirus cases and the restrictions aimed at containing it have begun to weigh on the economic recovery, the head of the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, pointing to an apparent pullback by consumers and a slowdown in the rehiring of furloughed workers, particularly by small businesses. “We have seen some signs in recent weeks that the …

Fed says US economic recovery will be closely linked to course of coronavirus
4 years, 5 months ago

Fed says US economic recovery will be closely linked to course of coronavirus

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Get our free Inside Washington email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The fate of the US economy is “deeply and significantly” …

Are we heading for a double-dip recession?
4 years, 5 months ago

Are we heading for a double-dip recession?

Daily Mail  

The amazing recovery in by stock markets, particularly in the US, since the March Covid crashes has produced guarded optimism among investors around the world. Second wave virus fears Recent developments have already seen Spain enforce a second lockdown and certain states in the US reintroduce indoor closure rules following a fresh bout of cases of the virus. A poll …

Oil falls 2% on U.S.-China tensions, rising virus cases
4 years, 5 months ago

Oil falls 2% on U.S.-China tensions, rising virus cases

Live Mint  

Oil prices dropped nearly 2% on Monday despite a weaker U.S. dollar, as rising coronavirus cases and tensions between the United States and China clouded the outlook for oil demand's recovery. "In lack of larger fundamental news, oil prices are following the overall macro trends, behaving as a 'risky asset' and being traded lower when safe-haven assets strengthen," said Bjornar …

China's economy in good shape despite COVID-19
4 years, 5 months ago

China's economy in good shape despite COVID-19

China Daily  

Passengers take photos of the Shanghai-Suzhou-Nantong Yangtze River Bridge on a train from Shanghai to Nantong as both the bridge and the Shanghai-Suzhou-Nantong Railway opened on July 1. China's economy is running in relatively good shape despite the impact from the COVID-19 outbreak, reporting better-than-expected second quarter growth, the country's top economic regulator said on Friday. Yan Pengcheng, director of …

China's economy in good shape despite COVID-19
4 years, 5 months ago

China's economy in good shape despite COVID-19

China Daily  

Passengers take photos of the Shanghai-Suzhou-Nantong Yangtze River Bridge on a train from Shanghai to Nantong as both the bridge and the Shanghai-Suzhou-Nantong Railway opened on July 1. China's economy is running in relatively good shape despite the impact from the COVID-19 outbreak, reporting better-than-expected second quarter growth, the country's top economic regulator said on Friday. Yan Pengcheng, director of …

Rising coronavirus infections threaten US economic recovery
4 years, 5 months ago

Rising coronavirus infections threaten US economic recovery

Associated Press  

BALTIMORE — Rising coronavirus infections across dozens of states are threatening the U.S. economic recovery, forcing businesses and consumers to freeze spending and keeping the unemployment rate stubbornly high. A separate report showed that more than a million Americans sought unemployment benefits last week – a sign that companies continue to cut jobs as the virus slashes through the heavily …

This is what awaits the global economy after the pandemic (opinion)
4 years, 5 months ago

This is what awaits the global economy after the pandemic (opinion)

CNN  

Editor’s Note: This article was originally published in its entirety in the International Monetary Fund’s summer 2020 issue of Finance & Development Magazine. The first trend is deglobalization; the logistic difficulties brought to light by the current crisis are already pointing to a shift away from global just-in-time supply chains. Yet as economic difficulties mount, the inevitable growth of nationalism …

Why the coronavirus crisis is another cruel economic setback for millennials
4 years, 6 months ago

Why the coronavirus crisis is another cruel economic setback for millennials

LA Times  

Nick Andersen packed up his life in Charleston, S.C., and headed south for a new job and a new start. For the last 50 years, politics ended up protecting the privileges enjoyed by “insiders.” “It’s the young who have borne the brunt of that, even before this current crisis.” Low-wage scars Definitions vary, but Pew Research considers anyone born between …

3 Million Cases: Coronavirus Continues To Surge Across U.S.
4 years, 6 months ago

3 Million Cases: Coronavirus Continues To Surge Across U.S.

NPR  

3 Million Cases: Coronavirus Continues To Surge Across U.S. Enlarge this image toggle caption Steven Senne/AP Steven Senne/AP The U.S. has reported more than 3 million coronavirus cases as of Wednesday morning, with all but a handful of states struggling to control outbreaks of COVID-19. Nine U.S. states — New York, California, Texas, Florida, New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts, Arizona and …

Wall Street dips as virus fears drown out economy hopes
4 years, 6 months ago

Wall Street dips as virus fears drown out economy hopes

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — Wall Street careened through all the forces that have pushed and pulled it through the week, at first rising on Friday amid hope for the economy and then falling on worries about worsening coronavirus levels in some states, all before ending with modest losses. Also exacerbating volatility was Friday’s simultaneous expiration of contracts for stock options and …

Covid-19 Is Bad. But It May Not Be the ‘Big One’
4 years, 6 months ago

Covid-19 Is Bad. But It May Not Be the ‘Big One’

Wired  

In 2005, US government health agencies were obsessed with a disease threat that was rolling across the globe: H5N1 avian flu, which had leaped from wild birds into chickens, and from there into humans, and was killing more than half of the people unlucky enough to become infected with it. In an article for the journal Foreign Affairs, Osterholm laid …

Powell warns that long downturn would mean severe damage
4 years, 6 months ago

Powell warns that long downturn would mean severe damage

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned Tuesday that the U.S. economy faces a deep downturn with “significant uncertainty” about the timing and strength of a recovery. “These businesses are the heart of our economy and often embody the work of generations.” Several Democratic senators used their questions to Powell to press for a new congressional rescue bill that …

The second wave? Global markets slip on new coronavirus concerns
4 years, 6 months ago

The second wave? Global markets slip on new coronavirus concerns

Al Jazeera  

Equities and oil prices fall in Asia after new virus cases surge in China and many parts of the US. Global markets started the week on the back foot on Monday while oil prices slipped as fears of a second wave of coronavirus infections in China and a surge in cases in the United States sent investors scurrying for safe-haven …

Stock market plunge: Dow plunges 1,000 points on fears of coronavirus second wave
4 years, 6 months ago

Stock market plunge: Dow plunges 1,000 points on fears of coronavirus second wave

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The runaway train on Wall Street has been derailed by a force nearly as powerful as easy money: a healthy dose of reality. “The rally in the stock market from the March 23 lows was simply overdone,” said David Kelly, chief global market strategist at JPMorgan Funds. “Mass unemployment is going to be the primary …

A US recession began in February in the face of coronavirus
4 years, 7 months ago

A US recession began in February in the face of coronavirus

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy entered a recession in February as the coronavirus struck the nation, a group of economists declared Monday, ending the longest expansion on record. “The unprecedented magnitude of the decline in employment and production, and its broad reach across the entire economy, warrants the designation of this episode as a recession, even if it turns out …

World Health Organization warns the coronavirus situation is WORSENING
4 years, 7 months ago

World Health Organization warns the coronavirus situation is WORSENING

Daily Mail  

The Covid-19 pandemic is getting worse and the crisis is 'far from over', the World Health Organization has warned. More than 136,000 cases of the coronavirus were confirmed on Sunday — which is the highest daily toll since the outbreak began in December The number of cases diagnosed across the world yesterday dropped slightly, with just 131,000 people testing positive …

Second wave of Covid-19 infections are still the biggest risk to the US economy
4 years, 7 months ago

Second wave of Covid-19 infections are still the biggest risk to the US economy

CNN  

New York CNN Business — The US economy is reopening and the labor market is bouncing back after dramatic losses during the height of the Covid-19 lockdown. The lion’s share of economists participating in the June National Association of Business Economics Outlook Survey — 87% — believe a second wave of infections could imperil a rebound and become the biggest …

The coronavirus recession is like no other — and it risks becoming a chronic problem
4 years, 7 months ago

The coronavirus recession is like no other — and it risks becoming a chronic problem

ABC  

Forget what you know about recessions, this one is very different — and it may be chronic. That's not to say we're about to experience years of economic contraction or "negative growth" as economists like to say, but it's going to remain tough going for many Australians for years. This is the combination of two overbearing forces: an economy built …

June 4, 2020 coronavirus news
4 years, 7 months ago

June 4, 2020 coronavirus news

CNN  

Strict lockdowns like those instigated in China – when the coronavirus outbreak began – are better for economies than the longer, more moderate closures like the United States and many European countries have taken, a new international study suggests. “While predicting the true cost of lockdowns is not possible at this stage, our research suggests that shorter, stricter lockdowns minimize …

Coronavirus Will Leave Lasting Scars On Global Economy; Emerging Markets & Developing Economies To Be Worst Hit: World Bank
4 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus Will Leave Lasting Scars On Global Economy; Emerging Markets & Developing Economies To Be Worst Hit: World Bank

ABP News  

New Delhi: The World Bank has said that the Coronavirus pandemic and strict lockdown measures taken to contain its transmission will leave a lasting effect on the global economy particularly the emerging market and developing economies, in its analysis of the situation. World Bank Group President David Malpass emphasised the need for comprehensive policies and indicated that 60 million people …

Crushing the coronavirus uncertainty will be the big 'unlock' for economies: Report
4 years, 7 months ago

Crushing the coronavirus uncertainty will be the big 'unlock' for economies: Report

India TV News  

Crushing the coronavirus uncertainty will be the big 'unlock' for economies around the world and to safeguard lives and livelihoods, restoring confidence is a must, according to a report by McKinsey & Co. "The objective now must be to crush uncertainty as soon as possible. As we have seen in previous crises,when uncertainty subsides, confidence returns and economic recovery unlocks …

Coronavirus Lockdown: GDP data set to show economy grew at its slowest pace in 2 years in March quarter, says report
4 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus Lockdown: GDP data set to show economy grew at its slowest pace in 2 years in March quarter, says report

Firstpost  

Unlike some advanced economies, India’s stimulus package has largely focussed on subsidised credit to small businesses and farmers, while direct fiscal stimulus was limited to around 1 percent of the GDP, economists said. New Delhi: Gross domestic product data out later on Friday is expected to show the economy grew at its slowest pace in at least two years in …

Coronavirus will send WA economy into a recession for 2020–21, Treasurer Ben Wyatt confirms
4 years, 7 months ago

Coronavirus will send WA economy into a recession for 2020–21, Treasurer Ben Wyatt confirms

ABC  

Western Australia's Treasury expects coronavirus to send the state's economy into recession, with a contraction of 3.1 per cent predicted in the 2020–21 financial year as the economy takes a $12 billion hit. Key points: The economy is set to grow 0.7 per cent this financial year before contracting The economy is set to grow 0.7 per cent this financial …

What is China’s post-coronavirus strategy?
4 years, 7 months ago

What is China’s post-coronavirus strategy?

Al Jazeera  

China fails to set an economic growth target, seeks to stabilise employment and living standards. The delayed annual session of the National People’s Congress is under way amid a pandemic that has altered China’s agendas and shuffled its priorities. The country is facing the challenge of restoring an economy that’s shrunk almost 7 percent in the first quarter of the …

Economic hit from coronavirus will be limited, NDRC head says
4 years, 7 months ago

Economic hit from coronavirus will be limited, NDRC head says

China Daily  

He Lifeng, head of the National Development and Reform Commission is interviewed via video link after the opening of the third session of the 13th National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, May 22, 2020. China has the ability to cope with the various risks and challenges amid the COVID-19 outbreak, and …

WEF Covid-19 report: 7 biggest worries for business leaders
4 years, 7 months ago

WEF Covid-19 report: 7 biggest worries for business leaders

CNN  

London CNN Business — A prolonged recession is the biggest worry for company executives as they contemplate the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic. According to the report, published on Tuesday, two thirds of respondents listed a protracted global recession as the “most worrisome” risk facing their companies.The report’s authorsalso flagged increased inequality, a weakening of climate commitments and the misuse …

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