经合组织报告：中国将是2020年G20唯一实现正增长的国家

当地时间9月16日，经合组织发布了《经济展望中期报告》，将全球2020年GDP变动预期从下滑6%上调至下滑4.5%，2021年经济增长预期同步上调至5%。此外，报告指出，按照目前的经济和疫情态势，中国将是2020年二十国集团中唯一实现正增长的国家。 A traveller wearing a face mask walks at the Terminal 5 at Heathrow Airport, as the spread of the coronavirus disease continues, in London, Britain, July 26, 2020. 新冠肺炎疫情对世界上许多大型经济体的巨大冲击，可能没有几个月前经济学家担心的那么严重。 In a report published on Wednesday, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development upgraded its forecast for global economic output this year, noting that while declines were still "unprecedented in recent history," the outlook has improved slightly since June. 在周三（9月16日）发布的一份报告中，经济合作与发展组织（OECD）上调了对今年全球经济产出的预测，并指出，尽管降幅仍是“近年来前所未有的”，但前景自6月以来略有改善。 The Paris-based agency said it now expects the world economy to shrink by 4.5% in 2020 before expanding by 5% in 2021. 但代表全球最大经济体的经合组织警告称，整体数据掩盖了重大差异。尽管经合组织大幅提高了对美国和中国2020年的预测，并略微提高了对欧洲的展望，但降低了对墨西哥、阿根廷、印度、南非、印度尼西亚和沙特阿拉伯等发展中国家的预期。 OECD economists said the downgrades reflected "the prolonged spread of the virus, high levels of poverty and informality, and stricter confinement measures for an extended period." 经合组织警告说，经济前景还远未确定，在很大程度上取决于新冠疫情的进展和政策制定者的持续支持。该组织补充说，在最初的经济重启措施后，全球经济复苏的步伐“在夏季出现放缓的迹象”。 "A recovery is now under way following the easing of strict confinement measures and the reopening of businesses, but uncertainty remains high and confidence is still fragile," the agency said in its report.