Predictions, pandemics and public health
The HinduHuman beings have two remarkable traits, the second of which we had little reason to suspect that we possessed until the rise of new technologies such as the Internet. If one tenth of the anticipatory gifts we have that seem to be exploited for immediate private gain on the part of corporations and investment bankers were put to use in the preventive domain of public health, not only would the crisis that we have been landed in be swiftly contained, it might even have been pre-empted by suitable medical safeguards. And so, even though there are very good reasons for having a public health care system, the fact that it will help to control the spread of a pandemic could not have been expected to be one of the reasons considered for proposing a good public health system, where it is missing. And second, I don’t deny that there is a distinction between 1) Effectively controlling the spread of a pandemic is one of the many reasons we would and should consider for proposing a good public health care system, and 2) Were there a good public health care system, it would effectively control the spread of a pandemic. Comment | A prediction model for COVID-19 Those who did not consider the need to control the spread of an anticipated pandemic as one among the other good reasons to have a good public health care system where it is missing were simply insouciant.