The Fed thinks inflation is vanquished
Live MintFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is sticking with his view that inflation is all but vanquished. Mr. Powell delivered a surprisingly large, 50-basis point cut in September despite persistent above-target inflation and a strong labor market. Economic models tell Mr. Powell and colleagues that inflation will resume its downward drift eventually, and that if they don’t cut rates in the meantime the labor market will soften more than they intend. Mr. Powell is risking political trouble for himself if persistent inflation above the Fed’s target, or worse, an inflation rebound, makes that economic goal more difficult to achieve. But Mr. Powell also doesn’t want to have to raise rates early in Mr. Trump’s second term to prevent an inflationary bounce back.