China central bank is moving faster towards its policy limits
Live Mint* PBOC expected to cut rates more aggressively this year * Cenbank dropped prudent stance but may have to stay cautious * Bond buying suspension highlights PBOC constraints * Room for more rate, RRR cuts rapidly narrowing * More easing also raises risk of asset bubbles By Kevin Yao BEIJING, - China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to stimulate the economy and soften the blow of impending U.S. tariff hikes, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. "Short versus long term, internal versus external, and exchange rate versus interest rates – these are multiple conflicts," said Xing Zhaopeng, ANZ's senior China strategist Faced with deflationary pressures and mounting headwinds to already stuttering growth, China's top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old "prudent" monetary policy stance for a "moderately loose" posture. "If credit demand doesn't pick up, further rate cuts may not lead to increased lending and could instead create financial market bubbles," Hu said, adding that it would also hurt bank profitability and raise capital outflow risks by weakening the currency too fast and curbing confidence in the economy. "A moderately loose monetary policy will involve both interest rate and quantitative measures," said Xu Hongcai, deputy director of the economic policy commission at the state-backed China Association of Policy Science.