Migration to surge, we need smarter policies
Deccan ChronicleOn World Population Day, the buzzwords are “population” and “demographic dividend”. The Economic Survey 2019 tells us that India is set to witness a sharp slowdown in population growth in the next two decades, and that although the country as a whole will enjoy the “demographic dividend”, some states will start transitioning to an ageing society by the 2030s. “In principle,” the survey says, “the latter states with rising working-age population could meet the labour deficit in many of the former ageing states.” For example, Tamil Nadu’s population growth is expected to decline during 2031-41 unless offset by inward migration. Significantly, of the five districts in India with the largest Scheduled Caste population according to Census 2011, four have evolved as district-level corridors of labour migration to Kerala, the study tells us. The latest Economic Survey tells us that if India’s hospital facilities remain at current levels, rising population over the next two decades will sharply reduce the per capita availability of hospital beds across all major states.
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