Rupee vs Dollar: What is to be expected in coming months?
India TodayThe rupee has shed about six per cent of its value against the dollar since the beginning of this year and the worrying trend has become much more prominent in recent weeks. However, the question remains whether these moves will offer much needed immediate support to the floundering rupee as inflation pushes higher and the current account deficit threatens to balloon towards multi-year highs or not. RUPEE'S OUTLOOK The rupee is likely to trade near its historic low in three months, battered by widening trade and current account deficits, according to a Reuters poll. Even as the RBI's intermittent dollar selling helped limit losses, higher global crude oil prices and steady capital outflows have widened its current account deficit, which in turn, has dragged down the rupee, as per a Reuters report. IMPACT While India remains the fastest-growing major economy, a weaker rupee, stubbornly high inflation, elevated oil prices and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict pose the biggest downside risks.