Fed pulls back economic aid in face of rising uncertainties
3 years, 2 months ago

Fed pulls back economic aid in face of rising uncertainties

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — If you find the current economy a bit confusing, don’t worry: So does the nation’s top economic official, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The Fed won’t likely gain a clear view of inflation and the job market, Powell suggested, until COVID-19 and its economic consequences — reduced travel, diminished spending, supply and labor shortages — further ease. “We hope to achieve significantly greater clarity about where this economy’s going and what the characteristics of the post pandemic economy are over the first half of next year,” he said. So it’s very, very difficult to forecast and not easy to set policy.” Powell said the Fed wouldn’t hesitate to rates rates if inflation accelerated, or if consumers and businesses began to expect higher prices, which can become a self-fulfilling trend. “We need to be in a position to act in case in case it becomes necessary to do so or appropriate to do so.” Still, Eric Winograd, an economist at asset manager Alliance Bernstein, said Powell’s comments seemed to suggest that he sees problematic inflation as “hypothetical rather than a realized event.” “The Fed clearly does not think that inflation is likely to stay at or near current levels, nor does it think that the labor market is back to full employment,” Winograd added.

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History of this topic

The US Fed seems as clueless as markets about its policy path from here on
3 weeks, 1 day ago

The US Fed seems as clueless as markets about its policy path from here on

Live Mint  

In normal times, the conduct of monetary policy is like driving a car through a fog of uncertainty. The median forecaster on the Fed’s rate-setting panel projects that inflation progress will slow meaningfully in 2025, and that the central bank will cut rates just two more times by next December. But among the 19 Fed board members and Federal Reserve …

Why Trump and the Federal Reserve could clash in the coming years
1 month ago

Why Trump and the Federal Reserve could clash in the coming years

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on the promise that his policies would reduce high borrowing costs and lighten the financial burden on American households. And even if Powell reduces the Fed’s benchmark rate, Trump’s own policies could keep other borrowing costs — like mortgage rates — elevated. The Fed would likely respond by slowing or stopping its rate cuts, …

Powell: Fed’s independence from politics is vital to its interest rate decisions
1 month ago

Powell: Fed’s independence from politics is vital to its interest rate decisions

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that the Federal Reserve’s ability to set interest rates free of political interference is necessary for it to make decisions to serve “all Americans” rather than a political party or political outcome. In his remarks Wednesday, Powell said, “We’re supposed to achieve maximum employment and price stability for the benefit of all Americans …

US Fed plans to gradually lower rates going forward: minutes
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US Fed plans to gradually lower rates going forward: minutes

China Daily  

WASHINGTON -- US Federal Reserve officials expressed confidence that inflation is easing, and are expected to gradually lower interest rates going forward, according to minutes from the Nov 6-7 meeting released Tuesday. The minutes did not address potential policy under the next administration, but some economists raised concerns that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed additional tariffs could drive up inflation, potentially …

Economist reveals how Trump could make the economy worse
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Economist reveals how Trump could make the economy worse

Daily Mail  

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers addresses the New York Economic Club, expressing serious concerns about the Federal Reserve 's approach to inflation. Summers, who has been vocal about inflation risks, warned that the Federal Reserve, under Jerome Powell, is not acting decisively enough to address "overheating risks" in the economy. Summers speculated that a second Trump administration could exacerbate inflation …

Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway, but there’s no hurry
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway, but there’s no hurry

CNN  

Washington CNN — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that interest rates are still expected to decline further, but suggested they might not be that much lower over the next few months. Powell said in a moderated discussion that Fed economists may begin to assess Trump’s plans and how they could affect the economy more seriously as early as …

The Fed thinks inflation is vanquished
2 months ago

The Fed thinks inflation is vanquished

Live Mint  

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is sticking with his view that inflation is all but vanquished. Mr. Powell delivered a surprisingly large, 50-basis point cut in September despite persistent above-target inflation and a strong labor market. Economic models tell Mr. Powell and colleagues that inflation will resume its downward drift eventually, and that if they don’t cut rates in the …

Fed cuts interest rates again, but Trump’s victory makes future path a lot more murky
Trending News
2 months ago

Fed cuts interest rates again, but Trump’s victory makes future path a lot more murky

LA Times  

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a second straight time on Thursday in an effort to keep the economy sailing along by easing the high borrowing costs it engineered to fight inflation. Economists see risks on two fronts: If Trump follows through on his campaign promises to lower taxes and levy across-the-board tariffs, he could reignite inflation and force …

US Fed cuts interest rates by quarter of a percentage point
Top News
2 months ago

US Fed cuts interest rates by quarter of a percentage point

Al Jazeera  

The Fed will have to navigate a changing economic landscape with the election of Donald Trump as the next US president. The United States Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point as policymakers took note of a job market that has “generally eased” while inflation continues to move towards the central bank’s 2 percent …

The US Federal Reserve must do two things right now
2 months ago

The US Federal Reserve must do two things right now

Live Mint  

As US Federal Reserve officials deliberate monetary policy, they may wish to recall what happened when policymakers in past decades became overconfident in using demand management measures to ‘fine tune’ the economy. Its obsession with data dependency has seen it over-react to noisy historical data, lacking the more strategic forward-looking approach needed when using policy tools that operate with ‘long …

Trump seizes on Fed rate cut to open new line of attack on economy
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Trump seizes on Fed rate cut to open new line of attack on economy

Politico  

The Fed’s move to lower borrowing costs offers Trump a fresh line of attack against the Biden-Harris administration’s economic record — and a new chapter in his often contentious relationship with the Fed chief — that could resonate even as inflation fades. “The decision by the Fed shows the economy and the job market are in very bad shape,” Brian …

Takeaways from Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Takeaways from Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell all but proclaimed victory in the fight against inflation and signaled that interest rate cuts are coming in a much-anticipated speech Friday in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Inflation has come down steadily, and investors now expect the Fed to start cutting rates at its next meeting in September — an expectation that essentially got …

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday reinforced a message that the Fed is paying growing attention to a slowing job market and not only to taming inflation, a shift that signals it’s likely to begin cutting interest rates soon. “We also have an employment mandate.” On Tuesday, when Powell addressed the Senate Banking Committee, he suggested that …

Powell says Fed wants to see ‘more good inflation readings’ before it can cut rates
9 months, 1 week ago

Powell says Fed wants to see ‘more good inflation readings’ before it can cut rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reiterated a message he has sounded in recent weeks: While the Fed expects to cut interest rates this year, it won’t be ready to do so until it sees “more good inflation readings’’ and is more confident that annual price increases are falling toward its 2% target. Speaking at a conference …

The US Federal Reserve’s approach to risk could endanger a soft landing
11 months, 1 week ago

The US Federal Reserve’s approach to risk could endanger a soft landing

Live Mint  

The inflation problem is largely behind us, and most signs suggest that Federal Reserve policymakers know it. I would argue that’s partially due to the challenges of consensus-building on the Fed’s rate-setting committee, as well as the central bank’s understandable desire to avoid unduly injecting volatility into financial markets. Recent troubles at New York Community Bancorp—whose shares tumbled 38% on …

Fed chief warns still ‘long way to go’ on inflation fight
1 year, 2 months ago

Fed chief warns still ‘long way to go’ on inflation fight

The Telegraph  

The US still has a “long way to go” in the battle to get inflation back to 2pc, Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell has warned. The central bank chief left the door open for future interest rate rises even as the Fed voted to hold borrowing costs unchanged for the second meeting in a row. The process of getting inflation …

Fed Chair Powell: Slower economic growth may be needed to conquer stubbornly high inflation
1 year, 2 months ago

Fed Chair Powell: Slower economic growth may be needed to conquer stubbornly high inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that inflation remains too high and that bringing it down to the Fed’s target level will likely require a slower-growing economy and job market. Higher long-term rates, coming on top of the Fed’s own short-term rate hikes, could help slow growth and cool inflation, thereby easing pressure on the Fed to …

Fed keeps rates unchanged and signals optimism about a potential ‘soft landing’
1 year, 3 months ago

Fed keeps rates unchanged and signals optimism about a potential ‘soft landing’

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged Wednesday for the second time in its past three meetings, a sign that it’s moderating its fight against inflation as price pressures have eased. The Fed’s policymakers also signaled that they expect to raise rates once more this year and envision their key rate staying higher in 2024 than …

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns the fight against inflation is far from over
1 year, 4 months ago

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns the fight against inflation is far from over

NPR  

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns the fight against inflation is far from over Enlarge this image toggle caption Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday inflation is still too high, and he warned that restoring price stability will likely require an extended period of elevated interest rates. Speaking to a gathering of economists …

Economy’s solid growth could require more Fed hikes to fight inflation, says Fed’s Jerome Powell
1 year, 4 months ago

Economy’s solid growth could require more Fed hikes to fight inflation, says Fed’s Jerome Powell

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell noted that the economy has been growing faster than expected and that consumers have kept spending briskly — trends that could keep inflation pressures high. The continued strength of the U.S. economy could require further interest rate increases, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday in a closely watched speech that also highlighted the uncertain …

Federal Reserve Chair Powell hints at a pause in rate hikes when central bank meets next month
1 year, 7 months ago

Federal Reserve Chair Powell hints at a pause in rate hikes when central bank meets next month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell indicated Friday that the Federal Reserve will likely forgo an increase in its benchmark interest rate when it meets in June for the first time since it began raising its key rate 14 months ago to fight high inflation. Speaking at a Fed conference in Washington, Powell said the central bank’s benchmark rate, which affects …

Powell signals increased rate hikes if economy stays strong
1 year, 10 months ago

Powell signals increased rate hikes if economy stays strong

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve could increase the size of its interest rate hikes and raise borrowing costs to higher levels than previously projected if evidence continues to point to a robust economy and persistently high inflation, Chair Jerome Powell told a Senate panel Tuesday. “If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we …

US Fed speech: Powell boosts warning on crypto industry and its ‘turmoil’
1 year, 10 months ago

US Fed speech: Powell boosts warning on crypto industry and its ‘turmoil’

Live Mint  

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday informed that US interest rates will likely peak at a higher level than previously expected due to stronger economic data. This was likely due to "unseasonably warm weather," said Powell adding “If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the …

The US Fed’s chief has finally aced the art of communication
2 years, 2 months ago

The US Fed’s chief has finally aced the art of communication

Live Mint  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell managed to thread the needle. Even so, we still have some ways to go, and incoming data since our last meeting suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates will be higher than previously expected.” History is full of episodes of Fed chairs sending unintended message, but Powell’s streak of mismanaged press conferences in the …

Fed voiced determination at last meeting to curb inflation
2 years, 2 months ago

Fed voiced determination at last meeting to curb inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting stressed their commitment to taming “unacceptably high’’ inflation before announcing that they were raising their benchmark interest rate by a substantial three-quarters of a point for a third straight time and signaling more large rate hikes ahead. In minutes from their Sept. 20-21 meeting released Wednesday, the Fed policymakers judged that …

Fed lifts rates to post-crisis high as Powell warns of more pain to come
2 years, 3 months ago

Fed lifts rates to post-crisis high as Powell warns of more pain to come

The Telegraph  

The Federal Reserve lifted interest rates to a post-financial crisis high on Wednesday night as chairman Jerome Powell warned the overpriced US housing market is heading for a painful correction. Mr Powell said central banks have some “way to go” in their fight against inflation and indicated that interest rates have only just reached levels in the US where they …

Powell: Fed’s inflation fight could bring ‘pain,’ job losses
2 years, 4 months ago

Powell: Fed’s inflation fight could bring ‘pain,’ job losses

Associated Press  

JACKSON HOLE, Wyoming — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a stark warning Friday about the Fed’s determination to fight inflation with more sharp interest rate hikes: It will likely cause pain for Americans in the form of a weaker economy and job losses. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said in a high-profile speech at the …

Powell: Fed could keep lifting rates sharply ‘for some time’
2 years, 4 months ago

Powell: Fed could keep lifting rates sharply ‘for some time’

Associated Press  

JACKSON HOLE, Wyoming — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a stark message Friday: The Fed will likely impose more large interest rate hikes in coming months and is resolutely focused on taming the highest inflation in four decades. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” he said in a high-profile speech at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in …

Fed could keep lifting interest rates sharply ‘for some time,’ Jerome Powell says
2 years, 4 months ago

Fed could keep lifting interest rates sharply ‘for some time,’ Jerome Powell says

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell delivered a stark message Friday: The Fed is likely to impose more large interest rate hikes in coming months and is resolutely focused on taming the highest inflation in four decades. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said in the written version of a high-profile speech he was giving at the …

Fed saw evidence of a slowing economy at its last meeting
2 years, 4 months ago

Fed saw evidence of a slowing economy at its last meeting

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials saw signs that the U.S. economy was weakening at their last meeting but still called inflation “unacceptably high’’ before raising their benchmark interest rate by a sizable three-quarters of a point in their drive to slow spiking prices. In both June and July, the Fed sought to curb high inflation by raising its key rate …

US economy sending mixed signals: Here’s what it all means
55 years ago

US economy sending mixed signals: Here’s what it all means

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy is caught in an awkward, painful place. Here’s a look at the economic vital signs that are sending frustratingly mixed signals to policymakers, businesses and forecasters: ___ THE OVERALL ECONOMY As measured by the nation’s gross domestic product — the broadest gauge of output — the economy has looked positively sickly so far this year. …

US not yet in recession and 4 other takeaways from the Fed
2 years, 5 months ago

US not yet in recession and 4 other takeaways from the Fed

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Jerome Powell delivered a tough message at the start of a news conference Wednesday: Inflation is way too high, and the Federal Reserve is laser-focused on taming it with higher borrowing costs. With the Fed’s benchmark interest rate now at a level that’s believed to neither stimulate nor restrain growth, Powell said the pace of rate hikes could …

US economy sending mixed signals: Here’s what it all means
2 years, 5 months ago

US economy sending mixed signals: Here’s what it all means

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy is caught in an awkward, painful place. Here’s a look at the economic vital signs that are sending frustratingly mixed signals to policymakers, businesses and forecasters: ___ THE OVERALL ECONOMY As measured by the nation’s gross domestic product — the broadest gauge of output — the economy has looked positively sickly so far this year. …

Economists to Fed: Inflation doesn't justify big rate hikes that could "push millions out of work"
2 years, 5 months ago

Economists to Fed: Inflation doesn't justify big rate hikes that could "push millions out of work"

Salon  

This article originally appeared at Common Dreams. Hotter-than-expected inflation data published Wednesday intensified fears among progressive economists that the Federal Reserve — in its single-minded drive to tame price increases — will needlessly lock in another major interest rate hike at its policy meeting later this month, further suppressing economic demand and moving the country closer to a recession. "This …

The Federal Reserve Can’t Fix Supply Problems, But It Can Make People Poorer
2 years, 6 months ago

The Federal Reserve Can’t Fix Supply Problems, But It Can Make People Poorer

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING People won’t take jobs because Democrats gave them too much money, according to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. “I think that what’s becoming more clear is that many factors that we don’t control are going to play a very significant role in deciding whether that’s possible or not.” “By slowing demand too aggressively, could very well cause …

Fed: Sharply higher rates may be needed to quell inflation
2 years, 6 months ago

Fed: Sharply higher rates may be needed to quell inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials were concerned at their meeting last month that consumers were increasingly anticipating higher inflation, and they signaled that much higher interest rates could be needed to restrain it. At a news conference after last month’s Fed meeting, Chair Jerome Powell suggested that a rate hike of either one-half or three-quarters of a point was likely …

Powell: ‘No guarantee’ Fed can tame inflation, spare jobs
2 years, 6 months ago

Powell: ‘No guarantee’ Fed can tame inflation, spare jobs

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said there’s “no guarantee’’ the central bank can tame runaway inflation without hurting the job market. Speaking Wednesday at a European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, Powell repeated his hope that the Fed can achieve a so-called soft landing — raising interest rates just enough to slow the economy and rein in …

Powell: Fed must convince public it can tame inflation
2 years, 6 months ago

Powell: Fed must convince public it can tame inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — As if their job weren’t hard enough at a time of raging inflation, Chair Jerome Powell and his Federal Reserve colleagues have to do more these days than decide just how much to raise interest rates without triggering a recession. “People do expect inflation to come back down to levels that are consistent with our price stability mandate,” …

Powell: Fed aims to avoid recession but says it’s possible
2 years, 6 months ago

Powell: Fed aims to avoid recession but says it’s possible

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sought Wednesday to reassure the public that the Fed will raise interest rates high and fast enough to quell inflation, without tightening credit so much as to throttle the economy and cause a recession. “It’s not our intended outcome, but it’s certainly a possibility.” Powell stressed that the Fed’s primary goal is to …

Fed’s Powell facing rising criticism for inflation missteps
2 years, 6 months ago

Fed’s Powell facing rising criticism for inflation missteps

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell won praise for his deft leadership during the maelstrom of the pandemic recession. Thanks to a once-in-a-century pandemic, the first major European war in decades, and soaring gas and food prices that the Fed has limited power to affect, Powell could become the first Fed chair since Paul Volcker in the early 1980s …

Powell: Fed to keep hiking rates until it controls inflation
2 years, 7 months ago

Powell: Fed to keep hiking rates until it controls inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday underscored the Federal Reserve’s determination to keep raising interest rates until there is clear evidence inflation is steadily falling — a high-stakes effort that carries the risk of causing an eventual recession. “And we’re going to keep pushing until we see that.” The Fed chair, who was confirmed last week by the Senate …

Fed Chair Jerome Powell: We won’t hesitate to raise rates to tame inflation
2 years, 7 months ago

Fed Chair Jerome Powell: We won’t hesitate to raise rates to tame inflation

CNN  

New York CNN Business — Hindsight is 20:20, even for the Federal Reserve. The US central bank is in the midst of a “whatever it takes” moment when it comes to inflation, but if Fed officials had known how high inflation would rise, they would have changed their course on policy earlier, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday. “In hindsight, …

The US Fed faces a quandary familiar to emerging markets
2 years, 9 months ago

The US Fed faces a quandary familiar to emerging markets

Live Mint  

Judging from market price movements on Monday, the US Federal Reserve risks slipping further into a no-win interaction with capital markets that is more familiar to developing countries that lack policy credibility than to a systemically important central bank, let alone the world’s most powerful one. In a presentation to the National Association for Business Economics, Fed Chair Jerome Powell …

Powell expects a quarter-point Fed rate hike this month
2 years, 10 months ago

Powell expects a quarter-point Fed rate hike this month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that he supports a traditional quarter-point increase in the Federal Reserve’s benchmark short-term interest rate when the Fed meets later this month, rather than a larger increase that some of its policymakers have proposed. Before Russia’s invasion, the Fed planned to carry out “a series” of rate increases this year, Powell said, potentially …

Most Americans have come out ahead economically in the pandemic, despite inflation
2 years, 10 months ago

Most Americans have come out ahead economically in the pandemic, despite inflation

CNN  

CNN — Public discontent with America’s pandemic-battered economy obscures the good news: Even after inflation, most of the country has been coming out ahead. “For most people,” concludes Michael Strain, who directs economic policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute, “the current economic situation is good.” You couldn’t tell that from public opinion, though. A CNN poll last week …

Fed plans to raise rates starting in March to cool inflation
2 years, 11 months ago

Fed plans to raise rates starting in March to cool inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that it will begin a series of interest-rate hikes in March, reversing pandemic-era policies that have fueled hiring and growth — and stock market gains — but also stubbornly high inflation. “The best thing we can do to support continued labor market gains,” Powell said, “is to promote a long expansion, and that …

Fed’s Powell: High inflation poses a threat to job market
2 years, 11 months ago

Fed’s Powell: High inflation poses a threat to job market

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Warning that high inflation could make it harder to restore the job market to full health, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Tuesday that the Fed will raise interest rates faster than it now plans if needed to stem surging prices. But Powell argued that rising inflation, if it persists, also poses a threat the Fed’s goal of …

Inflation is the buzzword at US Fed chief’s confirmation hearing
2 years, 11 months ago

Inflation is the buzzword at US Fed chief’s confirmation hearing

Al Jazeera  

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell received a grilling over inflation during a Senate hearing on Tuesday to confirm him for a second term as the United States’ top central banker. But in December, with inflation running at its hottest rate in nearly 40 years and the labour market awash in a near-record number of job openings, Powell retired the word …

Why the Fed feels now is time to tighten credit more quickly
3 years ago

Why the Fed feels now is time to tighten credit more quickly

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — For months, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell responded to surging inflation by counseling patience and stressing that the Fed wanted to see unemployment return to near-pre-pandemic levels before it would raise interest rates. But he said “rapid progress” had been made toward the Fed’s target of “maximum employment.” And if inflation is still running high next year, he …

Why the Fed feels now is time to tighten credit more quickly
3 years ago

Why the Fed feels now is time to tighten credit more quickly

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — For months, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell responded to surging inflation by counseling patience and stressing that the Fed wanted to see unemployment return to near-pre-pandemic levels before it would raise interest rates. But he said “rapid progress” had been made toward the Fed’s target of “maximum employment.” And if inflation is still running high next year, he …

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