RBI’s MPC may rejig growth, inflation math
1 year ago

RBI’s MPC may rejig growth, inflation math

The Hindu  

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das, who will outline the Monetary Policy Committee’s decisions on Friday, is expected to convey a continuation of the central bank’s hawkish stance with a pause on interest rates, but may reset growth and inflation projections for 2023-24 in view of the second quarter growth numbers and food inflation worries. The RBI had forecast an average inflation rate of 5.6% in the current quarter, based on which November and December may yet experience an almost 6% inflation rate. For the full year, the RBI had projected an average inflation rate of 5.4% and real GDP growth of 6.5%, which may need a revisit as growth in Q2 overshot its estimate of 6.5% for the quarter to touch 7.8%. Inflation forecasts may remain unchanged and, if at all there is a revision, will be upwards,” reckoned Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Bank of Baroda, who expects a status quo on rates and the policy stance in this bi-monthly review.

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