The Fed has a new plan to avoid recession: Party like it’s 1994
CNNNew York CNN Business — Wide leg jeans, butterfly clips and half-point rate increases: The 1990s are back. Powell also indicated that he wouldn’t hesitate to do it again — a move straight out of the central bank’s 1994 playbook, when the Fed last tempered the US economy and successfully executed a so-called soft landing. In the 12 months that followed February 1994, the Fed, under former Chair Alan Greenspan, nearly doubled interest rates to 6% in just seven hikes, including two half-point increases and one three-quarter-point hike. Video Ad Feedback What the Fed needs to do as recession looms over US economy 05:27 - Source: CNNBusiness Larry Summers, a noted critic of Powell’s Fed, has clocked the probability of the central bank’s actions leading to a hard landing at 100%. “The problem the Fed faces is they’re just late.” Rocked by world events Geopolitical luck was also a factor in the ’94 soft landing, and despite economists’ best efforts, luck can’t be easily replicated.