RBI payout may slump in disappointment for markets, fund says
Live MintBond traders pinning their hopes on a larger-than-budgeted central bank payout to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government may be in for a disappointment, according to Quantum Advisors Pvt. The Reserve Bank of India will probably transfer as much as ₹60,000 crore for the year to June 30, sticking with estimates unlike last year when the payment was almost double the amount budgeted, said Arvind Chari, Mumbai-based head of fixed income at Quantum. “If this is true, it will be a negative surprise to the markets,” as “the expectation was for a higher transfer from the RBI given the dire fiscal situation.” The transfer of the central bank’s excess capital has been a contentious issue between the central bank and the government and was one of the reasons that led to Governor Urjit Patel resigning in 2018. Due to a change in the accounting norms, the RBI is likely to earn about ₹25,000 crore from its foreign-exchange operations, compared with ₹29000 crore last year, Chari said.