DC Edit | Fall in consumption signals economic slump lies ahead
5 days, 20 hours ago

DC Edit | Fall in consumption signals economic slump lies ahead

Deccan Chronicle  

The Indian economy is likely to record the slowest growth in the last four years at 6.4 per cent in the next financial year 2024-25, according to the first advance estimates released by the government on Tuesday. The growth in the manufacturing sector, constrained by weak exports and slowing global demand, is expected to muted at 5.3 per cent from the previous year’s high of 9.9 per cent. Inflation would continue to remain elevated in the next financial year, with consumer price index-based inflation estimated at 4.8 per cent, driven by food price volatility and energy costs. Gross Fixed Capital Formation or investments made by the industry to add capacity — a crucial maker for the future growth in the economy — is estimated to grow lower at 6.4 per cent, which is considerably lower than the previous year’s nine per cent.

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History of this topic

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes
3 days, 14 hours ago

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes

Live Mint  

The first advance estimates released on Tuesday forecast India's growth at 6.4%, the slowest in four years. Services dominance India’s services exports surpassed goods exports, reaching $35.7 billion—about $3 billion more than goods--in November 2024, preliminary data showed. India’s share in global services exports has steadily grown, reaching 4.2% by 2023, while its share in goods exports has remained flat …

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, driven by private demand, investment: UN
3 days, 23 hours ago

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, driven by private demand, investment: UN

Live Mint  

The Indian economy is projected to expand by 6.6 per cent in 2025, primarily supported by robust private consumption and investment, according to a United Nations report. It also said that the near-term outlook for South Asia is expected to remain robust, with growth projected at 5.7 per cent in 2025 and 6.0 per cent in 2026, “driven by strong …

India’s Industrial Output Hits 6-Month High at 5.2%
4 days, 2 hours ago

India’s Industrial Output Hits 6-Month High at 5.2%

Deccan Chronicle  

India's industrial output growth accelerated to a six-month high of 5.2 per cent year-on-year in November 2024 against the backdrop festive demand and pick-up in manufacturing sector. As per use-based classification, the data further showed that the capital goods segment growth accelerated to 9 per cent in November 2024 against a contraction of 1.1 per cent in the year-ago period. …

India’s industrial production expands to six-month high of 5.2% in November
4 days, 4 hours ago

India’s industrial production expands to six-month high of 5.2% in November

Live Mint  

India's industrial output surged to a six-month high of 5.2% annually in November, driven by strong gains in the manufacturing sector. Manufacturing output rose 5.8% in November, while electricity generation and mining activity grew by 4.4% and 1.9%, respectively, according to the latest data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on Friday. Despite the November rebound, industrial …

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, supported by strong private consumption, investment: UN
4 days, 8 hours ago

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, supported by strong private consumption, investment: UN

The Hindu  

The Indian economy is projected to expand by 6.6% in 2025, primarily supported by robust private consumption and investment, according to a United Nations report that said economic growth in South Asia is expected to remain robust this year mainly driven by the "strong performance" in India. The UN World Economic Situation and Prospects 2025, released in United Nations on …

Decoding India’s growth slowdown
Trending News
4 days, 12 hours ago

Decoding India’s growth slowdown

The Hindu  

The first advance estimates of India’s Gross Domestic Product in 2024-25, released by the National Statistics Office this week, shows a decline in the real GDP growth rate to 6.4% from 8.2% registered in 2023-24. The annual growth rates of real gross fixed capital formation in public and private sectors During the 10 years of the United Progressive Alliance rule, …

Mint Primer: Why consumer demand needs a quick revival
5 days, 15 hours ago

Mint Primer: Why consumer demand needs a quick revival

Live Mint  

In the second quarter of the current fiscal, manufacturing growth slowed to just 2.2% from 7% in the first quarter. This pulled down industry’s contribution to the gross domestic product growth significantly, causing overall economic growth to tank. In the second quarter, India’s GDP growth fell sharply to 5.4% as against 8.1% registered in the same period a year ago. …

​Growth chill: On the economy
5 days, 20 hours ago

​Growth chill: On the economy

The Hindu  

The National Statistics Office has confirmed emerging fears about the economy’s evidently sluggish trajectory through this year in its first Gross Domestic Product estimates for 2024-25. While the election-focused first quarter hit public capital spending, the second quarter was marred by weak demand and still underwhelming public capex, dragging GDP growth to a seven-quarter low of 5.4%. The NSO’s projection …

‘Rate cut not a silver bullet for growth revival’
5 days, 23 hours ago

‘Rate cut not a silver bullet for growth revival’

The Hindu  

There is no single silver bullet such as an interest rate cut that can address the economy’s slowdown, and the upcoming Union Budget must revive India’s slowing consumption impulses through multiple measures, including a cut in income taxes and fuel duties, and provide a reforms roadmap to bring growth back to the 7% level, India’s apex industry body’s head said. …

Why the 6.4% GDP growth estimate for FY25 should worry Modi govt
Top News
6 days, 15 hours ago

Why the 6.4% GDP growth estimate for FY25 should worry Modi govt

India Today  

The first advance estimates of GDP growth for FY25 have confirmed the worst fears of economists—that growth will fall much below the 7 per cent estimated by the Reserve Bank of India. India’s GDP growth for the second quarter was 5.4 per cent, down from 6.7 per cent in the first quarter and way below the 8.1 per cent in …

Downward revision of GDP growth estimates set gloomy backdrop to Union Budget: Congress
6 days, 15 hours ago

Downward revision of GDP growth estimates set gloomy backdrop to Union Budget: Congress

New Indian Express  

NEW DELHI: The downward revision of GDP growth estimates for the current fiscal calls for radical action to dispel the cloud of growth slowdown and investment chill in the country, the Congress said on Wednesday. In a statement, Ramesh said the advance estimates released by the Union government for GDP growth in the 2024-25 financial year projected a mere 6.4 …

India’s real GDP expected to rise 6.4% in FY25
1 week ago

India’s real GDP expected to rise 6.4% in FY25

The Hindu  

India’s real Gross Domestic Product is expected to rise 6.4% in this financial year, slowing from 8.2% in 2023-24, the National Statistics Office said on Tuesday in its first advance estimates of GDP for 2024-25. The real Gross Value Added in the Indian economy is reckoned to rise 6.4% as well, relative to a 7.2% uptick in 2023-24, with Agriculture …

India's GDP growth may hit 4-year low of 6.4% in FY25, shows government data
1 week ago

India's GDP growth may hit 4-year low of 6.4% in FY25, shows government data

India Today  

India’s GDP growth is projected to slow sharply to 6.4% in FY25, down from 8.2% in FY24, according to the first advance estimates released by the National Statistics Office. "Real GDP has been estimated to grow by 6.4% in FY 2024-25 as compared to the growth rate of 8.2% in Provisional Estimate of GDP for FY 2023-24. Real GDP at …

Watch: Indian economy: what to expect in 2025?
1 week, 4 days ago

Watch: Indian economy: what to expect in 2025?

The Hindu  

At the start of 2024, there was a lot of excitement about the Indian economy - the country was one of the fastest growing economies in the world and there was anticipation that India will become a $4 trillion economy in 2024-25 and become the world’s third-largest economy by 2027. However, the latest data from the National Statistics Office showed …

Want growth? Just teach India better, keep everyone healthy and yes, drop those EV subsidies
1 week, 4 days ago

Want growth? Just teach India better, keep everyone healthy and yes, drop those EV subsidies

New Indian Express  

Our current year's budget was presented in July and expected to build on the 8.2% growth in GDP of the previous year. If our economic growth continues on the present trajectory, we are not likely to remain the most attractive FDI destination for long, thereby putting pressure on INR exchange rate. Will large businesses, driven by quarterly performance, be willing …

A sombre December manufacturing PMI curbs enthusiasm
Trending News
1 week, 5 days ago

A sombre December manufacturing PMI curbs enthusiasm

Live Mint  

The pace of business activity in India’s manufacturing sector is slowing, dimming hopes for those rooting for a sharp rebound in gross domestic product growth. Read this | New consumption survey reveals the cracks in the economy Remember, pent-up urban consumption demand coupled with a surge in retail credit from banks were among the key factors that led to sharp …

India’s household consumption survey doesn’t feed public policy all that well
1 week, 5 days ago

India’s household consumption survey doesn’t feed public policy all that well

Live Mint  

India’s government recently released the findings of its 2023-24 survey of household consumption expenditure and expressed satisfaction at the seeming narrowing of spending gaps in society at large and between rural and urban populations. However, we must not set too much store by the monthly per capita consumption expenditure figures of this sample survey. India’s free foodgrain scheme may explain …

New consumption survey reveals the cracks in the economy
2 weeks ago

New consumption survey reveals the cracks in the economy

Live Mint  

The Indian economy has grown steadily, but the lack of momentum in consumption and the impact of high food inflation have not gone unnoticed. The fact sheet of the latest Household Consumption Expenditure Survey, conducted between August 2023 and July 2024, confirms the lacklustre growth in consumption spending and a marginal shift from non-food items to food items due to …

Prospects for Indian Economy Improving Says RBI Gov
2 weeks ago

Prospects for Indian Economy Improving Says RBI Gov

Deccan Chronicle  

Mumbai: Amidst an uncertain global macroeconomic and financial environment, the Indian economy is exhibiting resilience and stability with the Gross Domestic Product projected to grow at 6.6 per cent in 2024-25. The growth would be aided by the revival in rural consumption, pickup in government consumption and investment and strong services exports said the Reserve Bank of India’s Financial Stability …

Indian economy to grow at 6.5-6.8 pc in FY25 on higher domestic consumption: Deloitte
2 weeks, 2 days ago

Indian economy to grow at 6.5-6.8 pc in FY25 on higher domestic consumption: Deloitte

Live Mint  

New Delhi, Dec 29 Indian economy is likely to grow at 6.5-6.8 per cent this fiscal and slightly higher between 6.7-7.3 per cent in FY2026, boosted by domestic consumption, Deloitte said on Sunday. Deloitte India Economist Rumki Majumdar said the growth in the first half of the fiscal year 2025 turned out to be slower than estimated as election uncertainties …

India’s rural-urban consumption gap narrowed in 2023-24, govt survey says
2 weeks, 4 days ago

India’s rural-urban consumption gap narrowed in 2023-24, govt survey says

Live Mint  

New Delhi: The average monthly per capita consumption expenditure in India saw significant growth in 2023-24, fuelled by higher spending across rural and urban households and a narrowing consumption gap between the two, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation on Friday. "When ranked by MPCE, the increase in the average MPCE in 2023-24 from …

Sustaining Growth Requires Deeper Commitment From All Economic Stakeholders: Finance Ministry
2 weeks, 5 days ago

Sustaining Growth Requires Deeper Commitment From All Economic Stakeholders: Finance Ministry

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: The finance ministry on Thursday said that sustaining growth would require a deeper commitment from all economic stakeholders as newer uncertainties mostly driven by global factors have emerged. The statement comes at a time when India recorded a moderation in gross domestic product GDP growth to 5.4 per cent for the second quarter ended September 2024. On the …

India Sees Economic Growth at 6.5% for the Year Through March
2 weeks, 5 days ago

India Sees Economic Growth at 6.5% for the Year Through March

Live Mint  

-- India expects the economy to grow at around 6.5% in the year through March, against 8.2% a year before, after the economy slowed unexpectedly in the July-September quarter. “We expect the economy to grow at around 6.5% in real terms in financial year 2024-25,” the Department of Economic Affairs said in its monthly economic review for November. “India’s growth …

India’s Economy Is Likely to Grow by 6.5 per Cent in the Current and the Next Financial Year
2 weeks, 6 days ago

India’s Economy Is Likely to Grow by 6.5 per Cent in the Current and the Next Financial Year

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: India's economy is likely to grow by 6.5 per cent in the current and the next financial year, attributing lower than anticipated expansion in the September quarter to fall in private consumption expenditure and gross fixed capital formation. The economy continued to be negative even in October 2024 at 8.4 per cent, implying that in the first seven …

Indian Economy To Recover In Q3 As Rural Demand Continues To Climb, Says State Of The Economy Report
Trending News
2 weeks, 6 days ago

Indian Economy To Recover In Q3 As Rural Demand Continues To Climb, Says State Of The Economy Report

ABP News  

India’s gross domestic product growth is expected to make a comeback in the third quarter of the current financial year, the latest State of the Economy report by the Reserve Bank of India revealed. This revival is being backed by robust festive activity and a consistent upswing in rural demand, the report authored by RBI staff including Deputy Governor Michael …

India’s high-frequency indicators recovering in Q3, to lift GDP in H2: RBI December Bulletin
Trending News
3 weeks ago

India’s high-frequency indicators recovering in Q3, to lift GDP in H2: RBI December Bulletin

Live Mint  

Mumbai: Several high-frequency indicators for the third quarter of the current financial year show that the Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed in the previous three months ended September, according to a paper in the Reserve Bank of India’s monthly bulletin. The recovery in Q3 of FY25 is being driven by strong festival activity and sustained …

Policymakers, economists pin hopes on government spending to propel economic recovery amid sluggish growth
Trending News
3 weeks ago

Policymakers, economists pin hopes on government spending to propel economic recovery amid sluggish growth

Live Mint  

After two consecutive quarters of sluggish economic growth, policymakers and economists are banking on a turnaround in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by increased government spending, a boost from the ongoing festive season, and resilient rural consumption. Economists note that while India is expected to retain its status as the fastest-growing major economy over the next five …

RBI paper reiterates growth optimism, says economy on recovery path
3 weeks ago

RBI paper reiterates growth optimism, says economy on recovery path

New Indian Express  

MUMBAI: After the surprise slump in the second quarter, when GDP growth fell to a seven-quarter low of 5.4 per cent, the economy has regained momentum. According to the Reserve Bank's in-house researchers and economists, the economy is recovering quickly, driven by strong festival demand and a sustained upswing in rural demand. "High-frequency indicators for the third quarter indicate that …

Economy rebounds in Q3 with boost from festivals and rural demand: RBI
3 weeks ago

Economy rebounds in Q3 with boost from festivals and rural demand: RBI

India Today  

The Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed in the September quarter, driven by strong festival activity and a sustained upswing in rural demand, according to a Reserve Bank of India bulletin released on Tuesday. "High frequency indicators for the third quarter of 2024-25 indicate that the Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed …

How to address India's falling household savings
3 weeks, 1 day ago

How to address India's falling household savings

Live Mint  

Savings have long been the backbone of financial stability in Indian households. Read this | Savings to consumption via debt—warnings from India’s households Key factors behind this trend include shifting consumption patterns and evolving investment behaviours among modern consumers. Urban consumers could benefit from digital micro-saving apps linked to everyday expenses, while rural households might prefer simplified savings accounts with …

How the Indian economy fared in 2024, in 9 charts
3 weeks, 1 day ago

How the Indian economy fared in 2024, in 9 charts

Live Mint  

The year 2024 kept governments across the world on tenterhooks, with more than 60 countries, including India, holding elections, injecting uncertainty about how the outcomes would shape future fiscal, monetary, and trade policies. The Indian economy faced several challenges in 2024, from slowing growth to stubborn inflation to risks associated with personal loan growth. While the fight against inflation made …

India in 2025: Challenges are resurfacing but so are opportunities
3 weeks, 5 days ago

India in 2025: Challenges are resurfacing but so are opportunities

Live Mint  

Much has been said about India’s growth slowdown to 5.4% in the quarter ending September. We believe that the bulk of the growth exuberance over the past few years has been led by the rise of ‘new India’, a small but fast growing part of the economy, which comprises several high-tech sectors. After several heady years, the base of ‘new …

Will India's economic growth pick up pace? Nirmala Sitharaman answers
4 weeks ago

Will India's economic growth pick up pace? Nirmala Sitharaman answers

India Today  

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday said that India’s economy will see healthy growth in the coming quarters despite the lower-than-expected GDP numbers for the second quarter. India’s GDP growth for the July-September quarter fell sharply to 5.4% from 6.7% in the previous quarter, marking an 18-month low, as per data released by the National Statistics Office in November. However, …

Govt confident of economic rebound despite global challenges, says Piyush Goyal
1 month ago

Govt confident of economic rebound despite global challenges, says Piyush Goyal

Live Mint  

New Delhi: Despite global uncertainties owing to supply-chain disturbances following the Red Sea crisis, union commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal has said he was confident that India's economic growth would be back on track by the end of the fiscal year. Speaking at Times Network’s India Economic Conclave on Thursday, Goyal said, "There was an election in the first …

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P
1 month ago

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P

Firstpost  

In its India outlook for 2025, S&P also retained India’s growth forecast for current fiscal at 6.8 per cent, followed by 6.9 per cent growth in 2025-26 S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday said the Indian economy is set for “resilient growth” in 2025 and projected inflation pressure to recede which will lead to “modest” easing of the monetary policy by …

Vivek Kaul: India’s GDP growth slump holds lessons in forecasting
1 month ago

Vivek Kaul: India’s GDP growth slump holds lessons in forecasting

Live Mint  

India’s growth in gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, for the period July to September slowed to a seven-quarter low of 5.4%. Or as Zahaan Bharmal writes in The Art of Physics: Eight Elegant Ideas to Make Sense of Everything: “Blithe predictions… cannot be made in a complex system where the impossibility of accurate prediction is inbuilt." Data from the …

Economists ask Finance Minister to focus on growth rather than fiscal consolidation
1 month, 1 week ago

Economists ask Finance Minister to focus on growth rather than fiscal consolidation

New Indian Express  

NEW DELHI: With the second quarter GDP growth falling to a 7-quarter low of 5.4%, economists have asked the government to shift its policy focus to growth rather than fiscal consolidation. In a pre-budget meeting with finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Friday, a delegation of economists suggested the government readdress the pace of fiscal consolidation and take measures to boost …

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too

Live Mint  

India’s growth in gross domestic product of 5.4% in the three months ended 30 September, or the second quarter of 2024-25, was a shocker. It’s the lowest level seen since the third quarter of 2022-23 and a sharp drop from 8.1% growth in the same period last year and also from 6.7% in the first quarter of 2024-25. Given the …

India’s growth slowdown: Yes, RBI does need to respond
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s growth slowdown: Yes, RBI does need to respond

Live Mint  

The Indian economy is in the midst of a cyclical slowdown. The Indian government is still in the process of getting public finances back into shape after the pandemic shock, when it had to support economic activity even as tax collections collapsed. There is a compelling case for the monetary policy committee, which is meeting this week to decide its …

Congress criticises PM with 'voodoo economics' jibe over slowing GDP growth
1 month, 1 week ago

Congress criticises PM with 'voodoo economics' jibe over slowing GDP growth

India Today  

Congress on Tuesday took a dig at the central government over the GDP growth slowing to a near two-year low and said that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's "voodoo economic policies" put India in the middle of a vicious economic cycle of low growth, no jobs, low income and high prices. "Thanks to Narendra Modi and his voodoo economic policies, India …

India’s Potential GDP Growth Pegged at 6.5–7 Percent: Chief Economic Advisor
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s Potential GDP Growth Pegged at 6.5–7 Percent: Chief Economic Advisor

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: In line with the Economic Survey, India's chief economic advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Monday said that the country's potential GDP growth is in the range of 6.5-7 percent and the country should be able to achieve it on the back of things that have already happened in the last 10 years whether it is in terms of …

India’s economic slowdown calls for a well-crafted response
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s economic slowdown calls for a well-crafted response

Live Mint  

Poll managers in the BJP must be heaving a sigh of relief: the underwhelming gross domestic product data for the July-September 2024 quarter has been released well after the Maharashtra assembly polls were done and dusted. Logging disappointing year-on-year growth of 5.4%, the GDP data print for the second quarter of 2024-25 is not only much below consensus estimates from …

GDP numbers a cause for worry
1 month, 1 week ago

GDP numbers a cause for worry

Hindustan Times  

That the Indian economy would lose some momentum as the pent-up demand from the pandemic was exhausted was a given. The September quarter headline GDP growth of 5.4% was more than a percentage point lower than what private and the Reserve Bank of India forecasts expected. The Indian economy’s tepid growth performance is a result of weak animal spirits triggering …

At the root of slowdown: It’s politics, stupid
1 month, 1 week ago

At the root of slowdown: It’s politics, stupid

New Indian Express  

The murmurs and fears echoing in living rooms, bazaars and C-suites for weeks and months have come home to roost. On Friday, the ministry of statistics informed India that GDP growth in the July-September quarter, at 5.4 percent, has fallen from 8.1 percent in the same period last year—the slowest in nearly two years. The reality of a slowdown has …

RBI to keep repo rate unchanged at meeting next week, chances of rate cut in Feb increased: Report
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI to keep repo rate unchanged at meeting next week, chances of rate cut in Feb increased: Report

Live Mint  

New Delhi, November 30 : The Reserve Bank of India is expected to maintain its policy rate during its upcoming meeting next week, as GDP growth slowed significantly in the second quarter of FY25. It said "We anticipate that the RBI will maintain the current policy rate at its meeting next week, although the likelihood of a rate cut in …

RBI’s GDP projections on test as India’s Q2 GDP growth falls short
1 month, 2 weeks ago

RBI’s GDP projections on test as India’s Q2 GDP growth falls short

Live Mint  

The Indian economy experienced a big jolt in the July-September quarter of 2024-25, with the real GDP growth rate slowing to 5.36%, the lowest in seven quarters, data released by the statistics ministry on Friday showed. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests GDP growth will have to average 8.3% in the second half of the year to align with the RBI’s full-year …

India’s GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2, below RBI estimate: Govt data
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2, below RBI estimate: Govt data

Hindustan Times  

NEW DELHI: India’s growth of gross domestic product slowed to a seven-quarter low during July-September quarter of 2024-25, data released by the ministry of statistics and programme implementation showed. India remains the fastest-growing major economy as China’s GDP growth in the July-September quarter this year was 4.6%. The economy expanded 5.4% in the quarter ending September 2024 from a year …

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data

Hindustan Times  

India's Gross Domestic Product growth slowed down to 5.4% during the second quarter of the financial year 2024-25 due to the falling growth rate in manufacturing, consumption, and mining. India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25, govt data shows In comparison, the GDP growth rate was 8.1% in the second quarter of 2023-24, according to government data released …

India Q2 GDP: Economy grows 5.4% in July-Sept, a 7-quarter low
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India Q2 GDP: Economy grows 5.4% in July-Sept, a 7-quarter low

Firstpost  

Government data released on Friday showed that India’s economic growth slowed down to 5.4 per cent in July-September 2024 compared to 8.1 per cent in year-ago quarter India's GDP for the second quarter of the fiscal year 2024 slowed down to 5.4 per cent. File image Government data released on Friday showed that India’s economic growth slowed down to 5.4 …

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