1 month, 4 weeks ago
Trump victory would be good for shares - but bad for bonds, says HAMISH MCRAE
Daily MailThe markets here are nervous – and understandably so – about Chancellor Rachel Reeves's Budget on Wednesday. On a global level, one would naturally expect markets to be jittery about another event that is also just a few days away, namely the outcome of the US election. In the UK, Betfair Exchange reckons Trump is on the brink of 'likely win' – a 60 per cent chance. My reading is that the markets think a Trump victory would on balance be good for share prices, and bad for bonds. More directly, if inflation rises and US Treasury yields rise to, say, 5 per cent, it would be naïve to think the yield on gilts – UK Government bonds – would not climb in tandem.
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